scholarly journals Updates in the NCEP GFS Cumulus Convection Schemes with Scale and Aerosol Awareness

2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (5) ◽  
pp. 2005-2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jongil Han ◽  
Weiguo Wang ◽  
Young C. Kwon ◽  
Song-You Hong ◽  
Vijay Tallapragada ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Flux ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Turnover Time ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Cumulus Convection ◽  
Quasi Equilibrium ◽  
Convection Scheme ◽  
Freezing Level ◽  
Convection Schemes

Abstract The current operational NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS) cumulus convection schemes are updated with a scale-aware parameterization where the cloud mass flux decreases with increasing grid resolution. The ratio of advective time to convective turnover time is also taken into account for the scale-aware parameterization. In addition, the present deep cumulus convection closure using the quasi-equilibrium assumption is no longer used for grid sizes smaller than a threshold value. For the shallow cumulus convection scheme, the cloud-base mass flux is modified to be given by a function of mean updraft velocity. A simple aerosol-aware parameterization where rain conversion in the convective updraft is modified by aerosol number concentration is also included in the update. Along with the scale- and aerosol-aware parameterizations, more changes are made to the schemes. The cloud-base mass-flux computation in the deep convection scheme is modified to use convective turnover time as the convective adjustment time scale. The rain conversion rate is modified to decrease with decreasing air temperature above the freezing level. Convective inhibition in the subcloud layer is used as an additional trigger condition. Convective cloudiness is enhanced by considering suspended cloud condensate in the updraft. The lateral entrainment in the deep convection scheme is also enhanced to more strongly suppress convection in a drier environment. The updated NCEP GFS cumulus convection schemes display significant improvements especially in the summertime continental U.S. precipitation forecasts.

scholarly journals A Mass-Flux Scheme View of a High-Resolution Simulation of a Transition from Shallow to Deep Cumulus Convection

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (7) ◽  
pp. 1895-1909 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiming Kuang ◽  
Christopher S. Bretherton
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Mass Flux ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Cumulus Parameterization ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Cumulus Convection ◽  
Thermodynamic Structure ◽  
Cumulus Schemes ◽  
Resolution Simulation

Abstract In this paper, an idealized, high-resolution simulation of a gradually forced transition from shallow, nonprecipitating to deep, precipitating cumulus convection is described; how the cloud and transport statistics evolve as the convection deepens is explored; and the collected statistics are used to evaluate assumptions in current cumulus schemes. The statistical analysis methodologies that are used do not require tracing the history of individual clouds or air parcels; instead they rely on probing the ensemble characteristics of cumulus convection in the large model dataset. They appear to be an attractive way for analyzing outputs from cloud-resolving numerical experiments. Throughout the simulation, it is found that 1) the initial thermodynamic properties of the updrafts at the cloud base have rather tight distributions; 2) contrary to the assumption made in many cumulus schemes, nearly undiluted air parcels are too infrequent to be relevant to any stage of the simulated convection; and 3) a simple model with a spectrum of entraining plumes appears to reproduce most features of the cloudy updrafts, but significantly overpredicts the mass flux as the updrafts approach their levels of zero buoyancy. A buoyancy-sorting model was suggested as a potential remedy. The organized circulations of cold pools seem to create clouds with larger-sized bases and may correspondingly contribute to their smaller lateral entrainment rates. Our results do not support a mass-flux closure based solely on convective available potential energy (CAPE), and are in general agreement with a convective inhibition (CIN)-based closure. The general similarity in the ensemble characteristics of shallow and deep convection and the continuous evolution of the thermodynamic structure during the transition provide justification for developing a single unified cumulus parameterization that encompasses both shallow and deep convection.

scholarly journals Evaluating Boundary Layer–Based Mass Flux Closures Using Cloud-Resolving Model Simulations of Deep Convection

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (7) ◽  
pp. 2212-2225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer K. Fletcher ◽  
Christopher S. Bretherton
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Mass Flux ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Cumulus Convection ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Shallow Cumulus ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Cloud Resolving Model

Abstract High-resolution three-dimensional cloud resolving model simulations of deep cumulus convection under a wide range of large-scale forcings are used to evaluate a mass flux closure based on boundary layer convective inhibition (CIN) that has previously been applied in parameterizations of shallow cumulus convection. With minor modifications, it is also found to perform well for deep oceanic and continental cumulus convection, and it matches simulated cloud-base mass flux much better than a closure based only on the boundary layer convective velocity scale. CIN closure maintains an important feedback among cumulus base mass flux, compensating subsidence, and CIN that keeps the boundary layer top close to cloud base. For deep convection, the proposed CIN closure requires prediction of a boundary layer mean turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) and a horizontal moisture variance, both of which are strongly correlated with precipitation. For our cases, CIN closure predicts cloud-base mass flux in deep convective environments as well as the best possible bulk entraining CAPE closure, but unlike the latter, CIN closure also works well for shallow cumulus convection without retuning of parameters.

scholarly journals A Unified Convection Scheme (UNICON). Part I: Formulation

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (11) ◽  
pp. 3902-3930 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sungsu Park
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Vertical Transport ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Quasi Equilibrium ◽  
Convection Scheme ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Turbulent Eddies

Abstract The author develops a unified convection scheme (UNICON) that parameterizes relative (i.e., with respect to the grid-mean vertical flow) subgrid vertical transport by nonlocal asymmetric turbulent eddies. UNICON is a process-based model of subgrid convective plumes and mesoscale organized flow without relying on any quasi-equilibrium assumptions such as convective available potential energy (CAPE) or convective inhibition (CIN) closures. In combination with a relative subgrid vertical transport scheme by local symmetric turbulent eddies and a grid-scale advection scheme, UNICON simulates vertical transport of water species and conservative scalars without double counting at any horizontal resolution. UNICON simulates all dry–moist, forced–free, and shallow–deep convection within a single framework in a seamless, consistent, and unified way. It diagnoses the vertical profiles of the macrophysics (fractional area, plume radius, and number density) as well as the microphysics (production and evaporation rates of convective precipitation) and the dynamics (mass flux and vertical velocity) of multiple convective updraft and downdraft plumes. UNICON also prognoses subgrid cold pool and mesoscale organized flow within the planetary boundary layer (PBL) that is forced by evaporation of convective precipitation and accompanying convective downdrafts but damped by surface flux and entrainment at the PBL top. The combined subgrid parameterization of diagnostic convective updraft and downdraft plumes, prognostic subgrid mesoscale organized flow, and the feedback among them remedies the weakness of conventional quasi-steady diagnostic plume models—the lack of plume memory across the time step—allowing UNICON to successfully simulate various transitional phenomena associated with convection (e.g., the diurnal cycle of precipitation and the Madden–Julian oscillation).

scholarly journals A Stochastic Parameterization for Deep Convection Based on Equilibrium Statistics

2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 87-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. S. Plant ◽  
G. C. Craig
Keyword(s):  
Mass Flux ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Local Fluctuations ◽  
Single Column ◽  
Ensemble Mean ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Closure Method ◽  
Deterministic Limit

Abstract A stochastic parameterization scheme for deep convection is described, suitable for use in both climate and NWP models. Theoretical arguments and the results of cloud-resolving models are discussed in order to motivate the form of the scheme. In the deterministic limit, it tends to a spectrum of entraining/detraining plumes and is similar to other current parameterizations. The stochastic variability describes the local fluctuations about a large-scale equilibrium state. Plumes are drawn at random from a probability distribution function (PDF) that defines the chance of finding a plume of given cloud-base mass flux within each model grid box. The normalization of the PDF is given by the ensemble-mean mass flux, and this is computed with a CAPE closure method. The characteristics of each plume produced are determined using an adaptation of the plume model from the Kain–Fritsch parameterization. Initial tests in the single-column version of the Unified Model verify that the scheme is effective in producing the desired distributions of convective variability without adversely affecting the mean state.

scholarly journals Simulating deep convection with a shallow convection scheme

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (20) ◽  
pp. 10389-10406 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Hohenegger ◽  
C. S. Bretherton
Keyword(s):  
Climate Modeling ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Gradual Transition ◽  
Shallow Convection ◽  
Convection Scheme ◽  
Community Atmosphere Model ◽  
Simulated Precipitation

Abstract. Convective processes profoundly affect the global water and energy balance of our planet but remain a challenge for global climate modeling. Here we develop and investigate the suitability of a unified convection scheme, capable of handling both shallow and deep convection, to simulate cases of tropical oceanic convection, mid-latitude continental convection, and maritime shallow convection. To that aim, we employ large-eddy simulations (LES) as a benchmark to test and refine a unified convection scheme implemented in the Single-column Community Atmosphere Model (SCAM). Our approach is motivated by previous cloud-resolving modeling studies, which have documented the gradual transition between shallow and deep convection and its possible importance for the simulated precipitation diurnal cycle. Analysis of the LES reveals that differences between shallow and deep convection, regarding cloud-base properties as well as entrainment/detrainment rates, can be related to the evaporation of precipitation. Parameterizing such effects and accordingly modifying the University of Washington shallow convection scheme, it is found that the new unified scheme can represent both shallow and deep convection as well as tropical and mid-latitude continental convection. Compared to the default SCAM version, the new scheme especially improves relative humidity, cloud cover and mass flux profiles. The new unified scheme also removes the well-known too early onset and peak of convective precipitation over mid-latitude continental areas.

An Evaluation of Mass Flux Closures for Diurnal Cycles of Shallow Cumulus

2004 ◽  
Vol 132 (11) ◽  
pp. 2525-2538 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. J. Neggers ◽  
A. P. Siebesma ◽  
G. Lenderink ◽  
A. A. M. Holtslag
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Mass Flux ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Quasi Equilibrium ◽  
Difficult Case ◽  
Diurnal Cycles ◽  
Shallow Cumulus ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Three closure methods for the mass flux at cloud base in shallow cumulus convection are critically examined for the difficult case of a diurnal cycle over land. The closure methods are first evaluated against large-eddy simulations (LESs) by diagnosing all parameters appearing in the closure equations during simulations of two different observed diurnal cycles of shallow cumulus. This reveals the characteristic behavior of each closure mechanism purely as a result of its core structure. With these results in hand the impact of each closure on the development of the cloudy boundary layer is then studied by its implementation in an offline single-column model of a regional atmospheric climate model. The LES results show that the boundary layer quasi-equilibrium closure typically overestimates the cloud-base mass flux after cloud onset, due to the neglect of significant moisture and temperature tendencies in the subcloud layer. The convective available potential energy (CAPE) adjustment closure is compromised by its limitation to compensating subsidence as the only CAPE breakdown mechanism and the use of a constant adjustment time scale. The closure method using the subcloud convective vertical velocity scale gives the best results, as it catches the time development of the cloud-base mass flux as diagnosed in LES.

scholarly journals Fluctuations in a quasi-stationary shallow cumulus cloud ensemble

2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 1223-1282 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Sakradzija ◽  
A. Seifert ◽  
T. Heus
Keyword(s):  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Mass Flux ◽  
Flux Distribution ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Cloud ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Cumulus Clouds ◽  
Large Eddy Simulation Model ◽  
Shallow Cumulus ◽  
Distribution Mode

Abstract. We propose an approach to stochastic parameterization of shallow cumulus clouds to represent the convective variability and its dependence on the model resolution. To collect the information about the individual cloud lifecycles and the cloud ensemble as a whole, we employ a Large-Eddy Simulation model (LES) and a cloud tracking algorithm, followed by conditional sampling of clouds at the cloud-base level. In the case of a shallow cumulus ensemble, the cloud-base mass flux distribution is bimodal due to the different shallow cloud subtypes. Each distribution mode can be approximated with a Weibull distribution, explaining the deviation from a single-parameter exponential shape through the diversity in cloud lifecycles. The exponential distribution of cloud mass flux previously suggested for deep convection parameterization is a special case of the Weibull distribution, which opens a way towards unification of the statistical convective ensemble formalism of shallow and deep cumulus clouds. Based on the empirical and theoretical findings, a stochastic model has been developed to simulate a shallow convective cloud ensemble. It is formulated as a compound random process, with the number of convective elements drawn from a Poisson distribution, and the cloud mass flux sampled from a mixed Weibull distribution. Convective memory is accounted for through the explicit cloud lifecycles, making the model formulation consistent with the choice of the Weibull cloud mass flux distribution function. The memory of individual shallow clouds is required to capture the correct convective variability. The resulting distribution of the subgrid convective states in the considered shallow cumulus case is scale-adaptive – the smaller the grid size, the broader the distribution.

scholarly journals Simulating deep convection with a shallow convection scheme

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 8385-8430 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Hohenegger ◽  
C. S. Bretherton
Keyword(s):  
Climate Modeling ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Gradual Transition ◽  
Shallow Convection ◽  
Convection Scheme ◽  
Community Atmosphere Model ◽  
Simulated Precipitation

Abstract. Convective processes profoundly affect the global water and energy balance of our planet but remain a challenge for global climate modeling. Here we develop and investigate the suitability of a unified convection scheme, capable of handling both shallow and deep convection, to simulate cases of tropical oceanic convection, mid-latitude continental convection, and maritime shallow convection. To that aim, we employ large-eddy simulations (LES) as a benchmark to test and refine a unified convection scheme implemented in the Single-Column Community Atmosphere Model (SCAM). Our approach is motivated by previous cloud-resolving modeling studies, which have documented the gradual transition between shallow and deep convection and its possible importance for the simulated precipitation diurnal cycle. Analysis of the LES reveals that differences between shallow and deep convection, regarding cloud-base properties as well as entrainment/detrainment rates, can be related to the evaporation of precipitation. Parameterizing such effects and accordingly modifying the University of Washington shallow convection scheme, it is found that the new unified scheme can represent both shallow and deep convection as well as tropical and continental convection. Compared to the default SCAM version, the new scheme especially improves relative humidity, cloud cover and mass flux profiles. The new unified scheme also removes the well-known too early onset and peak of convective precipitation over mid-latitude continental areas.

scholarly journals Initiation of Deep Convection over an Idealized Mesoscale Convergence Line

2017 ◽  
Vol 74 (3) ◽  
pp. 835-853 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raphaël Rousseau-Rizzi ◽  
Daniel J. Kirshbaum ◽  
Man Kong Yau
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Environmental Parameters ◽  
Lapse Rate ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Cumulus Convection ◽  
Core Size ◽  
Convergence Line ◽  
Convection Initiation ◽  
Heating Anomaly ◽  
Horizontal Area

Abstract This study performs cloud-resolving simulations of cumulus convection over an idealized surface-based convergence zone to investigate the mechanisms and sensitivities of deep convection initiation forced by mesoscale ascent. The surface convergence forms in response to a localized diurnal heating anomaly over an otherwise homogeneous and unheated surface, producing a strong boundary layer updraft over the center of the heat source. This updraft gives rise to a line of cumuli that gradually deepen and, in some cases, transition into deep convection. To statistically investigate the factors controlling this transition, a new thermal-tracking algorithm is developed to follow incipient cumulus cores as they ascend through the troposphere. This tool is used to isolate the impacts of key environmental parameters (cloud-layer lapse rate, midlevel humidity, etc.) and initial core parameters near cloud base (horizontal area, vertical velocity, etc.) on the ultimate cloud-top height. In general, the initial core size determines which thermals in a given cloud field will undergo the deepest ascent, and the sensitivity of cloud depth to initial core parameters increases in environments that are more hostile to deep convection. Diurnal midlevel moistening from detraining cumuli above the convergence line produces a small but robust enhancement in cloud-top height, particularly for smaller cores.

scholarly journals Untangling Microphysical Impacts on Deep Convection Applying a Novel Modeling Methodology. Part II: Double-Moment Microphysics

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (9) ◽  
pp. 3749-3770 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wojciech W. Grabowski ◽  
Hugh Morrison
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Cloud Condensation Nuclei ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Cloud Droplet ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Microphysics Scheme ◽  
Freezing Level ◽  
Modeling Methodology ◽  
Double Moment ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The suggested impact of pollution on deep convection dynamics, referred to as the convective invigoration, is investigated in simulations applying microphysical piggybacking and a comprehensive double-moment bulk microphysics scheme. The setup follows the case of daytime convective development over land based on observations during the Large-Scale Biosphere–Atmosphere (LBA) experiment in Amazonia. In contrast to previous simulations with single-moment microphysics schemes and in agreement with results from bin microphysics simulations by others, the impact of pollution simulated by the double-moment scheme is large for the upper-tropospheric convective anvils that feature higher cloud fractions in polluted conditions. The increase comes from purely microphysical considerations: namely, the increased cloud droplet concentrations in polluted conditions leading to the increased ice crystal concentrations and, consequently, smaller fall velocities and longer residence times. There is no impact on convective dynamics above the freezing level and thus no convective invigoration. Polluted deep convective clouds precipitate about 10% more than their pristine counterparts. The small enhancement comes from smaller supersaturations below the freezing level and higher buoyancies inside polluted convective updrafts with velocities between 5 and 10 m s−1. The simulated supersaturations are large, up to several percent in both pristine and polluted conditions, and they call into question results from deep convection simulations applying microphysical schemes with saturation adjustment. Sensitivity simulations show that the maximum supersaturations and the upper-tropospheric anvil cloud fractions strongly depend on the details of small cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) that can be activated in strong updrafts above the cloud base.

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