Predicting flow stress of Ni steel based on machine learning algorithm

Author(s):  
Guang-Ming Cao ◽  
Zhi-Wei Gao ◽  
Xin-Yu Gao

This article builds a stress–strain prediction model based on production data from the steel industry by using machine learning algorithms. Based on the stress–strain data of 9Ni steel hot deformation behavior, the prediction model of flow stress constitutive equation of 9Ni steel is established. Four models, including Arrhenius-type model considering strain compensation, Arrhenius-type model of Stochastic Configuration Networks (SCNs) neural network, Arrhenius-type model of Multi-objective Particle Swarm Optimization (AMPSO) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) model, are adopted in this research. The results show that the Arrhenius-type model considering strain compensation can predict the stress trend under different deformation conditions, but its prediction accuracy has some deviation. The prediction model based on SVM algorithm has the best prediction accuracy. The square of Correlation Coefficient (R2), the Average Absolute Relative Error (AARE), and Mean Square Error (MSE) are 0.99996, 0.002455, and 0.1998, respectively. Based on the data of 9Ni steel hot deformation behavior, the prediction models of machine learning algorithm have good application prospects in steel industry.

Author(s):  
Sheela Rani P ◽  
Dhivya S ◽  
Dharshini Priya M ◽  
Dharmila Chowdary A

Machine learning is a new analysis discipline that uses knowledge to boost learning, optimizing the training method and developing the atmosphere within which learning happens. There square measure 2 sorts of machine learning approaches like supervised and unsupervised approach that square measure accustomed extract the knowledge that helps the decision-makers in future to require correct intervention. This paper introduces an issue that influences students' tutorial performance prediction model that uses a supervised variety of machine learning algorithms like support vector machine , KNN(k-nearest neighbors), Naïve Bayes and supplying regression and logistic regression. The results supported by various algorithms are compared and it is shown that the support vector machine and Naïve Bayes performs well by achieving improved accuracy as compared to other algorithms. The final prediction model during this paper may have fairly high prediction accuracy .The objective is not just to predict future performance of students but also provide the best technique for finding the most impactful features that influence student’s while studying.


Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (11) ◽  
pp. 3777 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ataollah Shirzadi ◽  
Karim Soliamani ◽  
Mahmood Habibnejhad ◽  
Ataollah Kavian ◽  
Kamran Chapi ◽  
...  

The main objective of this research was to introduce a novel machine learning algorithm of alternating decision tree (ADTree) based on the multiboost (MB), bagging (BA), rotation forest (RF) and random subspace (RS) ensemble algorithms under two scenarios of different sample sizes and raster resolutions for spatial prediction of shallow landslides around Bijar City, Kurdistan Province, Iran. The evaluation of modeling process was checked by some statistical measures and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results show that, for combination of sample sizes of 60%/40% and 70%/30% with a raster resolution of 10 m, the RS model, while, for 80%/20% and 90%/10% with a raster resolution of 20 m, the MB model obtained a high goodness-of-fit and prediction accuracy. The RS-ADTree and MB-ADTree ensemble models outperformed the ADTree model in two scenarios. Overall, MB-ADTree in sample size of 80%/20% with a resolution of 20 m (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.942) and sample size of 60%/40% with a resolution of 10 m (AUC = 0.845) had the highest and lowest prediction accuracy, respectively. The findings confirm that the newly proposed models are very promising alternative tools to assist planners and decision makers in the task of managing landslide prone areas.


TEM Journal ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1385-1389
Author(s):  
Phong Thanh Nguyen

Machine Learning is a subset and technology developed in the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI). One of the most widely used machine learning algorithms is the K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) approach because it is a supervised learning algorithm. This paper applied the K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithm to predict the construction price index based on Vietnam's socio-economic variables. The data to build the prediction model was from the period 2016 to 2019 based on seven socio-economic variables that impact the construction price index (i.e., industrial production, construction investment capital, Vietnam’s stock price index, consumer price index, foreign exchange rate, total exports, and imports). The research results showed that the construction price index prediction model based on the K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) regression method has fewer errors than the traditional method.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 209-221
Author(s):  
Li-Li Wei ◽  
Yue-Shuai Pan ◽  
Yan Zhang ◽  
Kai Chen ◽  
Hao-Yu Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective To study the application of a machine learning algorithm for predicting gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in early pregnancy. Methods This study identified indicators related to GDM through a literature review and expert discussion. Pregnant women who had attended medical institutions for an antenatal examination from November 2017 to August 2018 were selected for analysis, and the collected indicators were retrospectively analyzed. Based on Python, the indicators were classified and modeled using a random forest regression algorithm, and the performance of the prediction model was analyzed. Results We obtained 4806 analyzable data from 1625 pregnant women. Among these, 3265 samples with all 67 indicators were used to establish data set F1; 4806 samples with 38 identical indicators were used to establish data set F2. Each of F1 and F2 was used for training the random forest algorithm. The overall predictive accuracy of the F1 model was 93.10%, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.66, and the predictive accuracy of GDM-positive cases was 37.10%. The corresponding values for the F2 model were 88.70%, 0.87, and 79.44%. The results thus showed that the F2 prediction model performed better than the F1 model. To explore the impact of sacrificial indicators on GDM prediction, the F3 data set was established using 3265 samples (F1) with 38 indicators (F2). After training, the overall predictive accuracy of the F3 model was 91.60%, AUC was 0.58, and the predictive accuracy of positive cases was 15.85%. Conclusions In this study, a model for predicting GDM with several input variables (e.g., physical examination, past history, personal history, family history, and laboratory indicators) was established using a random forest regression algorithm. The trained prediction model exhibited a good performance and is valuable as a reference for predicting GDM in women at an early stage of pregnancy. In addition, there are certain requirements for the proportions of negative and positive cases in sample data sets when the random forest algorithm is applied to the early prediction of GDM.


2021 ◽  
Vol 297 ◽  
pp. 01029
Author(s):  
Mohammed Azza ◽  
Jabran Daaif ◽  
Adnane Aouidate ◽  
El Hadi Chahid ◽  
Said Belaaouad

In this paper, we discuss the prediction of future solar cell photo-current generated by the machine learning algorithm. For the selection of prediction methods, we compared and explored different prediction methods. Precision, MSE and MAE were used as models due to its adaptable and probabilistic methodology on model selection. This study uses machine learning algorithms as a research method that develops models for predicting solar cell photo-current. We create an electric current prediction model. In view of the models of machine learning algorithms for example, linear regression, Lasso regression, K Nearest Neighbors, decision tree and random forest, watch their order precision execution. In this point, we recommend a solar cell photocurrent prediction model for better information based on resistance assessment. These reviews show that the linear regression algorithm, given the precision, reliably outperforms alternative models in performing the solar cell photo-current prediction Iph


Author(s):  
Rahayu Abdul Rahman ◽  
◽  
Suraya Masrom ◽  
Nor Balkish Zakaria ◽  
Sunarti Halid

-External auditor is one of the governance mechanisms in mitigating corporate managerial misconduct and thereby enhance the credibility of accounting information. Thus, the main objective of this study is to develop machine learning prediction model on auditor choice of the firm which signal the quality of auditing and financial reporting processes.This paper presents the fundamental knowledge on the design and implementation of machine learning model based on four selected algorithms tested on the real dataset of 2,262 firm-year observations of companies listed on Malaysian stock exchange from 2000 to 2007. The performance of each machine learning algorithm on the auditor choice dataset has been observed based on three groups of features selection namely firm characteristics, governance and ownership. The findings indicated that the machine learning models present better accuracy performance with ownership features selection mainly with the Naïve Bayes algorithm. Keywords-Auditor Choice, Machine Learning, Prediction


Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (15) ◽  
pp. 2860 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jee-Heon Kim ◽  
Nam-Chul Seong ◽  
Wonchang Choi

This study was conducted to develop an energy consumption model of a chiller in a heating, ventilation, and air conditioning system using a machine learning algorithm based on artificial neural networks. The proposed chiller energy consumption model was evaluated for accuracy in terms of input layers that include the number of input variables, amount (proportion) of training data, and number of neurons. A standardized reference building was also modeled to generate operational data for the chiller system during extended cooling periods (warm weather months). The prediction accuracy of the chiller’s energy consumption was improved by increasing the number of input variables and adjusting the proportion of training data. By contrast, the effect of the number of neurons on the prediction accuracy was insignificant. The developed chiller model was able to predict energy consumption with 99.07% accuracy based on eight input variables, 60% training data, and 12 neurons.


Author(s):  
He Yang ◽  
Emma Li ◽  
Yi Fang Cai ◽  
Jiapei Li ◽  
George X. Yuan

The purpose of this paper is to establish a framework for the extraction of early warning risk features for the predicting financial distress based on XGBoost model and SHAP. It is well known that the way to construct early warning risk features to predict financial distress of companies is very important, and by comparing with the traditional statistical methods, though the data-driven machine learning for the financial early warning, modelling has a better performance in terms of prediction accuracy, but it also brings the difficulty such as the one the corresponding model may be not explained well. Recently, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), an ensemble learning algorithm based on extreme gradient boosting, has become a hot topic in the area of machine learning research field due to its strong nonlinear information recognition ability and high prediction accuracy in the practice. In this study, the XGBoost algorithm is used to extract early warning features for the predicting financial distress for listed companies, with 76 financial risk features from seven categories of aspects, and 14 non-financial risk features from four categories of aspects, which are collected to establish an early warning system for the predication of financial distress. With applications, we conduct the empirical testing respect to AUC, KS and Kappa, the numerical results show that by comparing with the Logistic model, our method based on XGBoost model established in this paper has much better ability to predict the financial distress risk of listed companies. Moreover, under the framework of SHAP (SHAPley Additive exPlanations), we are able to give a reasonable explanation for important risk features and influencing ways affecting the financial distress visibly. The results given by this paper show that the XGBoost approach to model early warning features for financial distress does not only preform a better prediction accuracy, but also is explainable, which is significant for the identification of early warning to the financial distress risk for listed companies in the practice.


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