Does Size, Value and Seasonal Effects Still Persist in Indian Equity Markets?

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neharika Sobti
Keyword(s):  
Seasonal Effects ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Average Return ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Present Context ◽  
Fama And French ◽  
Value Effect

This article is an attempt to re-examine the persistence of company fundamentals such as size and value effects along with seasonal anomalies, such as January, April and Diwali (November) effects, in explaining the cross-sectional variation in average return of portfolios in the Indian equity market. The study analysed 740–1530 companies on an average listed on NSE for the period of 1996–2016 taking Nifty 500 as the market index. The study follows the standard methodology of Fama and French (1993) in constructing size and value mimicking portfolios but the originality comes from formulating 30 size–value-sorted portfolios with size sorted on deciles. An attempt has been made to compare single-index model with Fama–French Three-Factor (FFTF) model in the present context. The study finds evidence of both size and value effect in India and non-existence of January, April and Diwali effects in India for the given period as found previously by Gupta and Kumar (2007), Connor and Sehgal (2001) and Tripathi (2008). The FFTF model does better job than single-index model.

scholarly journals PENGARUH PEMILIHAN INDEKS PASAR DALAM PEMBENTUKAN PORTOFOLIO MODEL INDEKS TUNGGAL

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ezra Putranda Setiawan
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Study ◽  
Standard Error ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Index Value

Portfolio is a type of investment consists of several assets, such as stocks. Single index model is a portfolio optimization method that uses the market index value to calculate beta as a measure of asset’s performance. However, there are several market index available in Indonesia Stock Exchange. In this study, we examine and compare the performance of several market index to the portfolio’s performance that calculated using Single-Index Model. We choose several stocks that used in several market index, obtain the return data, and obtain the beta using several market index. The calculation of the optimal portfolio were repeated using 15 sets of data to obtain consistency. Based on the empirical study, we obtain that the way to choose the market index could affect the estimated beta as well as its standard error. However, it has a very small effect on the weight and the performance of the optimal portfolio.

scholarly journals Empirical Evidence of Asset Pricing Based on Single Index Model, Fama, and French Three and Five-Factor Models in Indonesia Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 87-98
Author(s):  
Ani Silvia ◽  
Chikita Tiara Griska
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Five Factor Model ◽  
Factor Models ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Thomson Reuters ◽  
Fama And French

This empirical test aims to estimate the beta parameters of the risk premium and other risk factors and compare the performance of the single-index model, Fama and Frech three and five-factor models. The sample used as the study object is companies in the property and real estate subsector with data collected from datastream Thomson Reuters from January 2014 to December 2018. The results are consistent with the previous studies that asset pricing using the Fama and French five-factor model can better explain stock returns than the other two models. The property and real estate subsector seems to provide a positive and statistically significant abnormal return, indicating that asset pricing with the three models is irrelevant to Indonesia. These results suggest that the stock market in Indonesia is still inefficient.

scholarly journals Aplikasi Single Index Model dalam Pembentukan Portofolio Optimal Saham LQ45 pada Bursa Efek Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (01) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Atika Lusi Tania
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Stock Portfolios ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Stock Investment ◽  
Stock Portfolio

Single Index Model is a stock return model that divides the effect on returns into a systematic factor (as measured by yields on the market index) and company-specific factors. The shares used in the formation of the portfolio of the Single Index Model are stocks included in the LQ45 Index in the Indonesia Stock Exchange because this Index has always increased from year to year. However, not all shares in the LQ45 Index can be used, there must be a determination to get the most suitable shares to be used as a portfolio. Therefore, the author uses the Single Index Model Application in the Formation of the LQ45 Optimal Stock Portfolio on the Indonesia Stock Exchange so that investors know how to form an optimal portfolio using a simpler model of the single index model. This study aims to apply the application of a single index model in the formation of a stock portfolio registered in LQ45, determine the proportion of stock investment in the number of lots based on the proportion of stock portfolios, and determine the funds needed for stock investment based on the number of lots. Based on the results of data analysis using the Single Index Model Optimal Portfolio, the results show that out of 45 stocks in LQ45, 13 optimal stocks will be purchased by investors. Thirteen shares and market prices include LPPF Rp.3,400, INTP Rp20,025, LPKR Rp274, INCO Rp3,030, PTPP Rp.2,180, SCMA Rp1,615, TBIG Rp.3,850, AALI Rp.10,350, CTRA Rp1. 070, PWON Rp725, TAXI Rp50, WIKA Rp2,340, and WSKT Rp1,970. The proportion of shares is 9% LPPF, 7% INTP, 5% LPKR, 13% INCO, 19% PTPP, 12% SCMA, 9% TBIG, 7% AALI, 4% CTRA, 6% PWON, 3% TAXI, 4% WIKA , WSKT 2%. The funds to be invested are IDR 1,000,000, the total number of shares to be purchased is 1,271 sheets, or if in the lot lot there are around 12 lots.

ANALISIS PORTOFOLIO OPTIMAL DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL INDEKS TUNGGAL PADA SAHAM IDX BUMN20 DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA JANUARI 2018-JANUARI 2019

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mochamad Andik Firmansyah
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Portfolio Risk ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Market Return ◽  
Single Index Model

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan level of expected return dan the best risk of optimal portfolio  formation dengan menggunakan Single Index Model pada saham IDX BUMN 20 yang tercatat di Indonesia Stock Exchange dari bulan Januari 2018 sampai January 2019. Saham IDX BUMN 20 yang tercatat di Indonesia Stock Exchange dengan populasi sebanyak 20 perusahaan. Dengan menggunakan populasi sebesar 20 perusahaan maka peneliti menggunakan purposive sampling, dan ternyata hanya 18 perusahaan saja yang ditemukan memenuhi kriteria penelitian ini. Penelitian ini juga menggunakan metode Kuantitatif Deskriptif. Analisa data pada penelitian ini untuk menentukan saham-saham mana saja yang termasuk the optimal portfolio, dan juga the level of proportion of 1 funds yang termasuk juga dalam kategori the optimal portfolio dan the level of expected return serta the best risk of the optimal portfolio yang terbentuk dengan menggunakan Single Index Model. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa terdapat 5 perusahaan dengan kategori the optimal portfolio dari 18 sampel perusahaan pada saham IDX BUMN 20 dengan tingkat tertinggi dari level of proportion of 1 funds ditemukan pada PTBA share sat 1.89333 or 189,333%, di lain pihak dengan tingkat terendah adalah pada TLKM shares at -2.13488 or -213.488% yang berarti bahwa saham TLKM adalah negatif dan harus dijual dalam jangka waktu pendek sebesar 213,488% dari dana yang dimiliki oleh para inventor dan menghasilkan rate of return yang diharapkan dari formasi optimal portfolio sebesar 0.17583 or 17.583% lebih tinggi dari yang diharapkan oleh market return sebesar 0.00264 or 0.264% dan memiliki tingkat portfolio risk borne sebesar 0.10384 or 10,384%, lebih kecil dari the risk of market sebesar 0.03367 or 3,367% dan beta market sebesar 1.Kata Kunci : Portfolio, Optimal Portfolio, Single Index Model.

ANALISIS DIVERSIFIKASI INTERNASIONAL : PEMBENTUKAN PORTOFOLIO OPTIMAL INDEKS SAHAM DUNIA (Studi Kasus Pada Indeks Saham Aktif Dunia Versi The Wall Street Journal)

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (02) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rony Mahendra ◽  
Erwin Dyah Astawinetu
Keyword(s):  
Wall Street Journal ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Wall Street ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Stock Indices ◽  
The Wall Street Journal

The research objective is to establish an optimal portfolio and know the difference between risk and return stock index portfolio candidates and non-candidates. Method used in the preparation of this research portfolio is the single index model, while the samples of this study are active world stock indices version of The Wall Street Journal during the period August 2012 - August 2016 and The Global Dow is used as the benchmark stock index. In establishing the optimal portfolio is used two perspectives: the Rupiah perspective and the U.S. Dollar perspective. The results showed there were three stock indices from the perspective of Rupiah and 8 share index menurutperspektif U.S. Dollar that make up the optimal portfolio, with the cut-of-pointsebesar 0,01393menurut Rupiah perspective and the perspective of 0.0078 US Dollars Based on the perspective of return expectations Rupiah obtained by 0.0258 with a risk of 0.06512. Berdarkan perspective of US Dollars, obtained return expectations at 0.0154 with a risk of 0.0292. From the test results showed that the hypothesis, the return on both perspectives there are significant differences between the index of the candidate, with a non-candidate. Then the risk of stock index, among the candidates, with a non-candidate, the Rupiah perspective there is no difference, but in the perspective of US Dollars, there are significant differences.Keywords: Single Index Model, candidate portfolio, optimal portfolio, expected return, excess return to beta, cut-off-point

scholarly journals Asymptotic normality of conditional distribution estimation in the single index model

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 162-175
Author(s):  
Diaa Eddine Hamdaoui ◽  
Amina Angelika Bouchentouf ◽  
Abbes Rabhi ◽  
Toufik Guendouzi
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Function ◽  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Asymptotic Normality ◽  
Conditional Distribution ◽  
Conditional Distribution Function ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Distribution Estimation

AbstractThis paper deals with the estimation of conditional distribution function based on the single-index model. The asymptotic normality of the conditional distribution estimator is established. Moreover, as an application, the asymptotic (1 − γ) confidence interval of the conditional distribution function is given for 0 < γ < 1.

A comparison of minimum variance and maximum Sharpe ratio portfolios for mainstream investors

2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anja Vinzelberg ◽  
Benjamin Rainer Auer
Keyword(s):  
Minimum Variance ◽  
Sharpe Ratio ◽  
Optimization Techniques ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Asset Classes

PurposeMotivated by the recent theoretical rehabilitation of mean-variance analysis, the authors revisit the question of whether minimum variance (MinVar) or maximum Sharpe ratio (MaxSR) investment weights are preferable in practical portfolio formation.Design/methodology/approachThe authors answer this question with a focus on mainstream investors which can be modeled by a preference for simple portfolio optimization techniques, a tendency to cling to past asset characteristics and a strong interest in index products. Specifically, in a rolling-window approach, the study compares the out-of-sample performance of MinVar and MaxSR portfolios in two asset universes covering multiple asset classes (via investable indices and their subindices) and for two popular input estimation methods (full covariance and single-index model).FindingsThe authors find that, regardless of the setting, there is no statistically significant difference between MinVar and MaxSR portfolio performance. Thus, the choice of approach does not matter for mainstream investors. In addition, the analysis reveals that, contrary to previous research, using a single-index model does not necessarily improve out-of-sample Sharpe ratios.Originality/valueThe study is the first to provide an in-depth comparison of MinVar and MaxSR returns which considers (1) multiple asset classes, (2) a single-index model and (3) state-of-the-art bootstrap performance tests.

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