Exploring the Channels and Impact of Debt on Economic Growth

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 171-191
Author(s):  
Kashif Munir ◽  
Nisma Riffat Mehmood
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Good Governance ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Conditional Convergence ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Effect Model ◽  
Private And Public

The objective of this study is to analyse the effect of debt on economic growth as well as the channels, that is, investment, total factor productivity (TFP), interest rate and saving channel through which debt affects economic growth in South Asian countries. The study uses growth model based on conditional convergence and augments to include debt. Panel data of four South Asian countries from 1990 to 2013 at annual frequency are utilized and fixed effect model is used for estimation. The results of the study showed that inverted U-shaped relationship exists between debt and economic growth in South Asian countries. However, the most important and significant channel through which debt affects economic growth is private and public investment as well as TFP. Reducing debt accumulation alone will not rectify the problem unless the supplementary macroeconomic policies are made sound; therefore, there is a dire need to improve macroeconomic policies, good governance and elimination of structural distortions. JEL: C23, H6, O47

scholarly journals Is External Debt a Boon or a Curse? Empirical Evidence from South Asian Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 223-232
Author(s):  
MUHAMMAD REEHAN HAMEED ◽  
MAJID ALI ◽  
HAFSAH BATOOL
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Fixed Effect ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effect Model ◽  
Short Run

Over the years, the South Asian countries were facing the dilemma of twin’s deficits because they had failed to generate sufficient revenues to finance their budget. Consequently, they were continuously relying on both domestic and external debt to bridge these deficits which had put a severe implication on their economic growth. Their financial position continued to deteriorate and undermined all the efforts of the governments made to stimulate economic growth. The governments in these countries failed to generate enough revenues through internal sources. Therefore, the deficits were normally fiancé through external sources. The paper examined whether the external debt was a blessing or course to the economic growth of South Asian countries i.e. Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. For this purpose 30 years of panel data of these countries from 1990 to 2019 had been taken. Fixed effect model and Panel Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) Approach had been applied to examine the short-run and long-run association among the variables. The natural log of GDP per capita was used as a proxy for economic growth. The other variables were external debt, initial GDP, foreign direct investment, trade openness, investment, and secondary school investment rate. The outcomes of the study indicated that that external debt had a negative impact on economic growth both in the short-run and long-run. This revealed that external debt had not been utilized effectively and productively. The study suggested that effort would be made to manage the external debt and reduced the twin's deficits to minimize the harmful impact of external debt on the economy. Keywords: South Asian, External Debt, ARDL, Fixed Effect Model, Economic Growth.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF PUBLIC DEBT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION FROM SOUTH ASIAN COUNTRIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 173-184
Author(s):  
Muhammad Reehan Hameed ◽  
Ghulam Sarwar ◽  
Shahid Adil ◽  
Hafsah Batool ◽  
Israr Hussain
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effect Model ◽  
Short Run

Purpose of the study: This study aims to analyze the short-run and as well as long-run effects of public debt on the economy of South Asian countries. And to resolve problems in managing and servicing their massive public debt obligations. Methodology: For econometrically investigation, panel data has been used for the era of 1990-2019. For obtaining econometric outcomes, we applied the Fixed Effect Model and PMG/ Panel ARDL. Main Findings: The results revealed that public debt negatively affected the economic performance of these countries. This effect is adverse both in short as well as in long period. Applications of this study: The study can be effective for simultaneous achievement of the desirable level of economic growth and public debt stock seems to be difficult and could remain elusive if some serious measures have not been taken. Novelty/Originality of this study: The study recommends the efficient and productive utilization of borrowed funds to avoid their negative repercussions.

scholarly journals Impact of Tourism Growth and FDI on Economic Growth: Evidence from South Asian Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Azhar Bhatti ◽  
Muhammad Yousuf Khan Marri ◽  
Ali Azam
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
The Interest Rate

Nowadays, economic growth has again gained global attention because of the uncertainty in global economic conditions and attracts the focus of regulators and recent research studies. In this scenario, this study examines the role of tourism growth and foreign direct investment (FDI) on the economic growth of South Asian countries. This study has used the interest rate and population growth as the control variables. The secondary data has been extracted from the world development indicators (WDI) from 2001 to 2020. The fixed effect model (FEM) and generalized method of moments (GMM) are run to test the linkage among the variables. The results expose that tourism growth, FDI, interest rate, and population growth have a positive and significant effect on the economic growth in South Asian countries. The results provide guidelines to the regulators and furnish policies regarding economic growth for tourism growth.

Determinants of External Debt in Developing Countries

2017 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hoang Khac Lich ◽  
Duong Cam Tu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Debt Accumulation ◽  
The Past ◽  
Net Exports ◽  
Effect Model

This paper investigates the determinants of external debt in developing countries. By analyzing the fixed effect model, with the panel data of 50 countries during 1996-2015, it shows that external debt has been increasing dramatically. This is because of an increase in debt accumulation in the past, public investment and exchange rate. By contrast, the pace of economic growth, inflation and net exports decreases the external debt.

scholarly journals Financial Globalization and Economic Growth in South Asia

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-57 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. R. Bhanumurthy ◽  
Lokendra Kumawat
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Panel Var ◽  
Financial Globalization ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Individual Country ◽  
Panel Causality ◽  
Country Level ◽  
Fiscal Prudence

The article examines relationship between financial globalization and economic growth in South Asian countries namely Bhutan, Bangladesh, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. Following the framework of Bekaert et al. (2005) and with the help of Panel VAR and Panel causality (in GMM framework) models the study concludes that the causation from financial globalization to growth in the region appears to be weak. There appears reverse causation running from growth to financial globalization. We found that domestic macroeconomic policies such as fiscal prudence act as pull factors for foreign capital. The article has some interesting results at individual country level. JEL: C33, F21, F36, F65

scholarly journals INDEKS PERSEPSI KORUPSI DAN PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI NEGARA-NEGARA ASIA TENGGARA

Jurnal Ecogen ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 681
Author(s):  
Muhammad Fajar ◽  
Zul Azhar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Development ◽  
Human Development Index ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Southeast Asian ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Development Index ◽  
The Government ◽  
Southeast Asian Countries

This research aims to know and analyze determine of corruption and the human development index to economic growth in Southeast Asian countries. This research use panel least square and Fixed Effect Model. The estimation result should that corruption has a possitive and significant effect on economic growth in Southeast Asian countries and the human development Index has a possitive and significant effect on economic growth in Southeast Asian countries. From the result of this research, to increase economic growth, the government in SoutheastAsian countries must strengthen the bureaucratic and legal institutions of a country,increase the role of the government or related agencies in monitoring and crackingdown on corruption that results in lossof government productivity and allocating resources appropriately so that the creation of peace and prosperity among the countries in Southeast Asian. Keywords: Economic Growth, Corruption, Human Development Index

scholarly journals Determinant of FDI Inflows in OIC Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tania Megasari ◽  
Samsubar Saleh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Effect Model

This study aims to analyze the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) country members for the period 2005 to 2018 The determinant variables of FDI are corruption, political stability and macroeconomic variables such as inflation, exchange rates, economic growth, and trade openness. Analysis used in the study  is the fixed effect model (FEM) of the OIC data panel.The results showed that economic growth and trade openness had a significant influence on foreign direct investment (FDI), while the effects of corruption, political stability, inflation and the exchange rate have no significant effect on foreign direct investment (FDI).

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