scholarly journals Nomogram for predicting overall survival of patients with bladder cancer: A population-based study

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 29-39
Author(s):  
Jiawu Wang ◽  
Yan Wu ◽  
Weiyang He ◽  
Bo Yang ◽  
Xin Gou

Objective: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a reliable nomogram to estimate overall survival in bladder cancer. Method: Patients diagnosed with bladder cancer identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. The powerful prognostic variables were examined using Cox regression analyses. A nomogram was developed on the prognostic factors. Results: The results suggested that age, sex, race, grade, histologic type, primary site, pathological stage, surgical treatment, and number of primary tumors, were the powerful prognostic factors. All these factors were integrated to construct the nomogram. The nomogram for predicting overall survival showed better discrimination power than the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage system 8th edition. Conclusion: The nomogram has the potential to provide an individualized prediction of overall survival in patients with bladder cancer.

Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2844
Author(s):  
Christopher J. D. Wallis ◽  
Bobby Shayegan ◽  
Scott C. Morgan ◽  
Robert J. Hamilton ◽  
Ilias Cagiannos ◽  
...  

De novo cases of metastatic prostate cancer (mCSPC) are associated with poorer prognosis. To assist in clinical decision-making, we aimed to determine the prognostic utility of commonly available laboratory-based markers with overall survival (OS). In a retrospective population-based study, a cohort of 3556 men aged ≥66 years diagnosed with de novo mCSPC between 2014 and 2019 was identified in Ontario (Canada) administrative database. OS was assessed by using the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between laboratory markers and OS adjusting for patient and disease characteristics. Laboratory markers that were assessed include neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), albumin, hemoglobin, serum testosterone and PSA kinetics. Among the 3556 older men with de novo mCSPC, their median age was 77 years (IQR: 71–83). The median survival was 18 months (IQR: 10–31). In multivariate analysis, a statistically significant association with OS was observed with all the markers (NLR, PLR, albumin, hemoglobin, PSA decrease, reaching PSA nadir and a 50% PSA decline), except for testosterone levels. Our findings support the use of markers of systemic inflammation (NLR, PLR and albumin), hemoglobin and PSA metrics as prognostic indicators for OS in de novo mCSPC.


2017 ◽  
Vol 27 (9) ◽  
pp. 1804-1812 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tine H. Schnack ◽  
Estrid Høgdall ◽  
Lotte Nedergaard Thomsen ◽  
Claus Høgdall

ObjectivesWomen with endometriosis carry an increased risk for ovarian clear cell adenocarcinomas (CCCs). Clear cell adenocarcinoma may develop from endometriosis lesions. Few studies have compared clinical and prognostic factors and overall survival in patients diagnosed as having CCC according to endometriosis status.MethodsPopulation-based prospectively collected data on CCC with coexisting pelvic (including ovarian; n = 80) and ovarian (n = 46) endometriosis or without endometriosis (n = 95) were obtained through the Danish Gynecological Cancer Database. χ2 Test, independent-samples t test, logistic regression, Kaplan-Meier test, and Cox regression were used. Statistical tests were 2 sided. P values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant.ResultsPatients with CCC and pelvic or ovarian endometriosis were significantly younger than CCC patients without endometriosis, and a higher proportion of them were nulliparous (28% and 31% vs 17% (P = 0.07 and P = 0.09). Accordingly, a significantly higher proportion of women without endometriosis had given birth to more than 1 child. Interestingly, a significantly higher proportion of patients with ovarian endometriosis had pure CCCs (97.8% vs 82.1%; P = 0.001) as compared with patients without endometriosis. Overall survival was poorer among CCC patients with concomitant ovarian endometriosis (hazard ratio, 2.56 [95% confidence interval, 1.29–5.02], in the multivariate analysis.ConclusionsAge at CCC diagnosis and parity as well as histology differ between CCC patients with and without concomitant endometriosis. Furthermore, CCC patients with concomitant ovarian endometriosis have a poorer prognosis compared with endometriosis-negative CCC patients. These differences warrant further research to determine whether CCCs with and without concomitant endometriosis develop through distinct pathogenic pathways.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Hong ◽  
Rongrong Wei ◽  
Chuang Nie ◽  
Anastasiia Leonteva ◽  
Xu Han ◽  
...  

Aim: To assess and predict risk and prognosis of lung cancer (LC) patients with second primary malignancy (SPM). Methods: LC patients diagnosed from 1992 to 2016 were obtained through the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Standardized incidence ratios were calculated to evaluate SPM risk. Cox regression and competing risk models were applied to assess the factors associated with overall survival, SPM development and LC-specific survival. Nomograms were built to predict SPM probability and overall survival. Results & conclusion: LC patients remain at higher risk of SPM even though the incidence declines. Patients with SPM have a better prognosis than patients without SPM. The consistency indexes for nomograms of SPM probability and overall survival are 0.605 (95% CI: 0.598–0.611) and 0.644 (95% CI: 0.638–0.650), respectively.


2018 ◽  
Vol 66 (8) ◽  
pp. 1133-1140
Author(s):  
Deliang L Liu ◽  
Zhuojun J Zheng

This study sought to explore the prognostic factors in a large retrospective cohort of patients with B-cell primary ocular lymphoma (POL) from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. There were 2778 patients with B-cell POL whose complete clinical information was listed in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 1997 and 2014. The epidemiology, therapeutic measures, and clinical characteristics were listed as descriptive statistics. Survival analysis was conducted by univariate and multivariable Cox regression models. Multivariate analysis identified age, lymphoma subtype, primary lesion, and radiation status as independent prognostic factors. For indolent lymphoma, radical treatment, especially intravenous chemotherapy, should be avoided. For invasive lymphoma, chemotherapy combined with full orbital irradiation is recommended. Radiotherapy alone or in combination with chemotherapy is superior to chemotherapy alone. These differences were statistically significant (p<0.05). Radiation brings benefits, with tolerable neurotoxicity, to patients with invasive B-cell POL. Radical tumor treatment may not be needed for patients with indolent B-cell POL.


Sarcoma ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Jules Lansu ◽  
Winan J. Van Houdt ◽  
Michael Schaapveld ◽  
Iris Walraven ◽  
Michiel A. J. Van de Sande ◽  
...  

Background. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the overall survival (OS) and associated characteristics for patients with Myxoid Liposarcoma (MLS) over time in The Netherlands. Methods. A population-based study was performed of patients with primary localized (n = 851) and metastatic (n = 50) MLS diagnosed in The Netherlands between 1989 and 2016, based on data from the National Cancer Registry. Results. The median age of the MLS patients was 49 years, and approximately two-thirds was located in the lower limb. An association was revealed between age and the risk of having a Round Cell (RC) tumor. OS rates for primary localized MLS were 93%, 83%, 78%, and 66% after 1, 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. The median OS for patients with metastatic disease at diagnosis was 10 months. Increasing age (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.05, p=0.00), a tumor size >5 cm (HR 2.18; p=0.00), and tumor location (trunk HR 1.29; p=0.09, upper limb HR 0.83; p=0.55, and “other” locations HR 2.73; p=0.00, as compared to lower limb) were independent prognostic factors for OS. The percentage of patients treated with radiotherapy (RT) increased over time, and preoperative RT gradually replaced postoperative RT. In contrast to patients with localized disease, significant improvement of OS was observed in patients with metastatic disease over time. Conclusions. In this large nationwide cohort, tumor size and tumor location were independent prognostic factors for OS. Furthermore, a higher probability of an RC tumor with increasing age was suggested. An increased use of RT over the years did not translate into improved OS for localized MLS.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shutao Zhao ◽  
Chang Lu ◽  
Junan Li ◽  
Chao Zhang ◽  
Xudong Wang

Abstract Background: This study aimed to evaluate the conditional survival (CS) of appendiceal tumors (ATs) after surgery.Methods: A total of 3,031 patients with ATs who underwent surgery were included in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2016. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to analyze the prognostic factors affecting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). CS was used to calculate the probability of survival for another 3 years after the patient had survived x years. The formulas were COS3 = OS (x + 3) /OS (x), and CCS3 = CSS (x + 3)/CSS (x).Results: The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OSs for all patients were 95.6%, 83.3%, and 73.9%, respectively, while the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year CSSs were 97.0%, 87.1%, and 79.9%, respectively. Age, grade, histology, N stage, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and radiation were independent prognostic factors for OS and CSS. For patients that survived for 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years, their COS3s were 81.7%, 83.9%, and 87.0%, respectively. The CCS3s were 85.5%, 88.3%, and 92.0% respectively. In patients with poor clinicopathological factors, COS3 and CCS3 increased significantly, and the survival gap between OS and COS3, CSS and CCS3 was more obvious.Conclusions: CS for appendiceal tumors were dynamic and increased over time, especially in patients with poor prognosis.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (10) ◽  
pp. 573-584
Author(s):  
Yu-Jie Lu ◽  
Han Wang ◽  
Lin-Yan Fang ◽  
Wen-Jie Wang ◽  
Wei Song ◽  
...  

Aim: To establish and validate a nomogram for the estimation of overall survival of patients with uterine leiomyosarcoma (uLMS). Methods: Information on patients diagnosed as uLMS was retrospectively retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The patients were randomly assigned into the training and the validation cohorts. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine the independent prognostic factors for building a nomogram for predicting overall survival. The predictive accuracy was evaluated based on the concordance indices and the calibration plots. Results: A nomogram that combined age, marital status, tumor size, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result stage, surgery and radiation was established. The internal and external concordance indices were 0.748 and 0.745, respectively. The calibration plots approached 45 degrees. Conclusion: The nomogram might be an effective tool for predicting the survival of patients with uLMS.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanan Ma ◽  
Aimei Zhao ◽  
Jinjuan Zhang ◽  
Sumei Wang ◽  
Jiandong Zhang

Objective: The target of this work was to analyze the clinical characteristics and construct nomograms to predict prognosis in patients with cervical adenosquamous carcinoma (ASC). Methods: A total of 788 ASC patients were tracked in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. We compared the clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of ASC. Cox regression models were established, and nomograms constructed and verified. Results: ASC patients have lower age levels and higher histological grades than patients with squamous cell carcinoma. Nomograms were constructed with good consistency and feasibility in clinical practice. The C-indices for overall survival and cancer-specific survival were 0.783 and 0.787, respectively. Conclusion: ASC patients have unique clinicopathological and prognostic characteristics. Nomograms were successfully constructed and verified.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minzhi Lv ◽  
Chunxiao Wu ◽  
Ying Zheng ◽  
Naiqing Zhao

Objectives.A population-based study was undertaken to investigate the epidemiological features of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) in Shanghai, especially the incidence and the preliminary exploration of survival.Methods.A total of 1923 patients with GISTs diagnosed from 2001 to 2010 in Shanghai were reviewed. The annual incidence and overall survival of GISTs were calculated; Cox proportional hazards’ regression was used to analyze several prognostic factors.Results.The average crude incidence of GISTs was 2.11 per 100,000 between 2004 and 2008, and the age-standardized incidence was 1.28 per 100,000. The incidence increased gradually from 2004 to 2008. In addition, 57% of cases had GIST in the stomach and 33% in the intestine. The 5-year overall survival of GISTs was 86.98%. The Cox regression analysis showed older age (≥65 yr versus <40 yr, HR = 5.085; (40, 65) yr versus <40 yr, HR = 1.975), male gender (HR = 1.474), and tumor locations (intestinal versus stomach, HR = 1.609) were predictors of its mortality.Conclusion.GISTs, mainly occurring in the stomach, are more common in elderly population, with an increasing incidence from 2004 to 2008. Older age, male gender, and tumor locations are risk factors for its mortality.


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