Long term risk factors for coronary heart disease and stroke: influence of duration of follow-up over four decades of mortality surveillance

2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (9) ◽  
pp. 1139-1145 ◽  
Author(s):  
G David Batty ◽  
Martin Shipley ◽  
George Davey Smith ◽  
Mika Kivimaki
2016 ◽  
Vol 62 (10) ◽  
pp. 1372-1379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henning Jansen ◽  
Wolfgang Koenig ◽  
Andrea Jaensch ◽  
Ute Mons ◽  
Lutz P Breitling ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Galectin-3 has emerged as a potential useful novel biomarker for heart failure and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, it remains unclear whether galectin-3 is associated with recurrent cardiovascular events during long-term follow-up of patients with stable coronary heart disease (CHD) after adjustment for multiple established and novel risk factors. METHODS We measured galectin-3 at baseline in a cohort consisting of 1035 CHD patients and followed them for 13 years to assess a combined CVD end point. Moreover, we adjusted for multiple traditional and novel risk factors. RESULTS Galectin-3 concentration was positively associated with the number of affected coronary arteries, history of heart failure, and multiple traditional risk factors. Also, galectin-3 correlated significantly with emerging risk factors [e.g., cystatin C, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity (hs)-troponin]. During follow-up (median 12.0 years), 260 fatal and nonfatal CVD events occurred. The top quartile of galectin-3 concentration was significantly associated with CVD events compared to the bottom quartile after adjustment for age and sex [hazard ratio (HR) 1.88 (95% CI, 1.30–2.73), P = 0.001 for trend] as well as for established CVD risk factors (HR 1.67, 95% CI, 1.14–2.46, P = 0.011 for trend). However, after adjustment for other biomarkers available [including eGFR (estimated glomerular filtration rate), sST2 protein, GDF-15 (growth differentiation factor 15), NT-proBNP, and hs-troponin], the association was no longer statistically significant [HR 1.11 (95% CI 0.72–1.70), P = 0.82 for trend]. CONCLUSIONS Galectin-3 does not independently predict recurrent cardiovascular events in patients with established CHD after adjustment for markers of hemodynamic stress, myocardial injury, inflammation, and renal dysfunction.


Circulation ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 127 (suppl_12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen P Glasser ◽  
Daniel L Halberg ◽  
Charles Sands ◽  
Paul Muntner ◽  
Monika Safford

Background: Increased attention has been given to pulse pressure (PP) as a potential independent risk factor of cardiovascular disease. We examined the relationship between PP and incident acute coronary heart disease (CHD). Methods: We used data from the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) national cohort study of 30,239 black and white participants aged 45 years or older and enrolled between 2003 and 2007. Baseline data included a 45-minute interview and in-home visit during which blood pressure was assessed and recorded as the average of two measurements obtained after a 5 minute seated rest. PP (SBP-DBP) was classified into 4 groups (<45, 45-54, 54.1-64, >64.1 mmHg). Telephone follow-up occurred every six months for self or proxy-reported suspected events, triggering medical record retrieval and adjudication by experts. Cox-proportional hazards models examined the association of incident CHD with PP groups, adjusting for socio-demographic and clinical risk factors. Results: This analysis included 22,909 participants free of CHD at baseline, with mean age 64.7±9.4 years; 40.4%were black, 44.6% were male and they experienced a total of 515 incident CHD events over a mean 3.4 yrs of follow-up (maximum 6 years). In unadjusted analyses, compared with PP<45 mmHg, each higher PP group had incrementally higher hazard ratios (HR) for incident CHD (HR 1.28 {95% CI 1.02-1.60}, 2.05 {1.63-2.56}, 3.82 {3.08-4.74}, p<0.001 for linear trend). This relationship persisted after fully adjusting including SBP for the highest PP group (HR 0.96 {0.75-1.21}, 1.12 {0.86-1.46}, 1.51 {1.09-2.10}, p trend <0.0001). Conclusions: High PP was associated with incident CHD, even when accounting for SBP and numerous other CVD risk factors.


2005 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 219-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristina Sundquist ◽  
Jan Qvist ◽  
Sven-Erik Johansson ◽  
Jan Sundquist

Cardiology ◽  
1993 ◽  
Vol 82 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 223-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lennart Welin ◽  
Henry Eriksson ◽  
Bo Larsson ◽  
Kurt Sv&auml;rdsudd ◽  
Lars Wilhelmsen ◽  
...  

Circulation ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 118 (suppl_18) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pedro Carmo ◽  
Carlos Aguiar ◽  
Jorge Ferreira ◽  
Luis Raposo ◽  
Pedro Goncalves ◽  
...  

Purpose: N-terminal fragment of the B type-natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is an established tool for assessing acute dyspnoea and stratifying risk in heart failure, acute coronary syndromes (ACS), and stable coronary heart disease (SCHD). The aim of this study was to determine the value of NT-proBNP in predicting long-term risk of patients (Pts) submitted to elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the setting of SCHD. Methods: We prospectively studied 291 Pts (age 64.3±9.6 years, 64 female) with SCHD submitted to successful elective PCI, and determined NT-proBNP immediately before PCI. Pts were divided into 2 groups according to NT-proBNP level: group T3 formed by Pts with NT-proBNP level in the highest tertile and group T1+T2 formed by all remaining Pts. The study endpoint was time to the first occurrence of death (D) or non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) during the mean follow-up of 568 ± 322 days. Multivariable analyses were performed to adjust the prognostic value of NT-proBNP for the effects of factors known to influence NT-proBNP (age, gender, renal function, body mass index) and of other potential predictors of outcome (cardiovascular risk factors, prior cardiovascular events, left ventricular ejection fraction, and PCI characteristics). Results: NT-proBNP ranged from 5 pg/ml to 104 pg/ml in the 1st tertile (T1), 105 pg/ml to 358 pg/ml in the 2nd tertile (T2), and 364 pg/ml to 33.991 pg/ml in the 3rd tertile (T3). During follow-up, 8 Pts died and 11 suffered a non-fatal MI. NT-proBNP was significantly higher in Pts who experienced an adverse outcome (440 pg/ml [inter-quartile range, 104 –1712] vs 174 pg/ml [inter-quartile range, 78 – 460) in Pts with uneventful follow-up; P= 0.007). An NT-proBNP level ≥364 pg/ml was associated with a higher endpoint rate (13.4% vs 3.1% in group T1+T2) and independently predicted outcome: adjusted hazard ratio 3.11, 95% CI, 1.15– 8.37, P=0.025. The sensitivity, specificity, predictive positive value, and negative predictive value for the criterion NT-proBNP ≥364 pg/ml were 68.4%, 69.1%, 13.4%, and 96.9%, respectively. Conclusion: In the setting of SCHD, the level of NT-proBNP is a powerful prognostic marker even after successful PCI.


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