scholarly journals 30 day predicted outcome in undifferentiated chest pain: multicenter validation of the HEART score in Tunisian population

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Hassene Khalil ◽  
Adel Sekma ◽  
Hajer Yaakoubi ◽  
Khaoula Bel Haj Ali ◽  
Mohamed Amine Msolli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Chest Pain ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Discrimination Performance ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Tunisian Population ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Heart Score

Abstract Background Chest pain remains one of the most challenging serious complaints in the emergency department (ED). A prompt and accurate risk stratification tool for chest pain patients is paramount to help physcian effectively progrnosticate outcomes. HEART score is considered one of the best scores for chest pain risk stratification. However, most validation studies of HEART score were not performed in populations different from those included in the original one. Objective To validate HEART score as a prognostication tool, among Tunisian ED patients with undifferentiated chest pain. Methods Our prospective, multicenter study enrolled adult patients presenting with chest pain at chest pain units. Patients over 30 years of age with a primary complaint of chest pain were enrolled. HEART score was calculated for every patient. The primary outcome was major cardiovascular events (MACE) occurrence, including all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and coronary revascularisation over 30 days following the ED visit. The discriminative power of HEART score was evaluated by the area under the ROC curve. A calibration analysis of the HEART score in this population was performed using Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness of test. Results We enrolled 3880 patients (age 56.3; 59.5% males). The application of HEART score showed that most patients were in intermediate risk category (55.3%). Within 30 days of ED visit, MACE were reported in 628 (16.2%) patients, with an incidence of 1.2% in the low risk group, 10.8% in the intermediate risk group and 62.4% in the high risk group. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.87 (95% CI 0.85–0.88). HEART score was not well calibrated (χ2 statistic = 12.34; p = 0.03). Conclusion HEART score showed a good discrimination performance in predicting MACE occurrence at 30 days for Tunisian patients with undifferentiated acute chest pain. Heart score was not well calibrated in our population.

scholarly journals Pre-hospital risk assessment in suspected non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome: A prospective observational study

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominique N van Dongen ◽  
Rudolf T Tolsma ◽  
Marion J Fokkert ◽  
Erik A Badings ◽  
Aize van der Sluis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Heart Score ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
St Elevation

Background: Pre-hospital risk stratification of non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) by the complete HEART score has not yet been assessed. We investigated whether pre-hospital risk stratification of patients with suspected NSTE-ACS using the HEART score is accurate in predicting major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Methods: This is a prospective observational study, including 700 patients with suspected NSTE-ACS. Risk stratification was performed by ambulance paramedics, using the HEART score; low risk was defined as HEART score ⩽ 3. Primary endpoint was occurrence of MACE within 45 days after inclusion. Secondary endpoint was myocardial infarction or death. Results: A total of 172 patients (24.6%) were stratified as low risk and 528 patients (75.4%) as intermediate to high risk. Mean age was 53.9 years in the low risk group and 66.7 years in the intermediate to high risk group ( p<0.001), 50% were male in the low risk group versus 60% in the intermediate to high risk group ( p=0.026). MACE occurred in five patients in the low risk group (2.9%) and in 111 (21.0%) patients at intermediate or high risk ( p<0.001). There were no deaths in the low risk group and the occurrence of acute myocardial infarction in this group was 1.2%. In the high risk group six patients died (1.1%) and 76 patients had myocardial infarction (14.4%). Conclusions: In suspected NSTE-ACS, pre-hospital risk stratification by ambulance paramedics, including troponin measurement, is accurate in differentiating between low and intermediate to high risk. Future studies should investigate whether transportation of low risk patients to a hospital can be avoided, and whether high risk patients benefit from immediate transfer to a hospital with early coronary angiography possibilities.

scholarly journals Comparison of Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction Score and Heart Score in risk stratification of acute myocardial infarction patients, prognostic accuracy and arrhythmia incidence

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (9) ◽  
pp. 3300
Author(s):  
Keerthana Batyala ◽  
M. V. Nagabhushana ◽  
Malli Dorasanamma
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Acute Myocardial Infarction ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
P Value ◽  
Heart Score ◽  
Prognostic Accuracy ◽  
Timi Score

Background: To compare TIMI & HEART SCORE for their risk stratification in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients,  prognostic accuracy and Arrhythmia incidence.Methods: This observational study is conducted in a Tertiary care hospital over a period of 2 years from August 2017 to July 2019. A total of 100 patients presented to ER with Chest Pain are selected for study. Patients were monitored for a period of one month in ICCU.Results: In present study out of 61 cases with TIMI score ≥5, mortality of 11.5%(7 cases, p value 0.028). Heart score more than 6  constitutes high risk group, out of which mortality was observed in 7.45% cases (p=0.48). Most of the arrhythmias (70.49%) in present study observed in patients with TIMI score ≥5 (High risk group) which is statistically significant with p value 0.002. Most of the arrhythmias in present study observed in patients with HS ≥8 which is not statistically significant with p value 0.135.Conclusions: In present study, overall mortality rate was 7% and these patients who died constitutes to high risk group with TIMI. HEART SCORE identified more patients as low risk compared to TIMI SCORE. TIMI SCORE is a good predictor of arrhythmia incidence.

scholarly journals Assessing the Presence and Position of Carotid Plaque Improves Risk Stratification for Cardiovascular Disease Prediction Among Patients With Hypertension

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui-Juan Zuo ◽  
Xian-Tao Song ◽  
Jin-Wen Wang ◽  
Hong-Xia Yang ◽  
Jie Lin
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Carotid Plaque ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Traditional Risk Factors

Abstract Background: Ischemic cardiovascular disease (ISCVD) is a massive public health problem. ISCVD risk prediction models based on traditional risk factors as predictors is limited. Carotid atherosclerosis plays a fundamental value in the occurrence of ISCVD. The aim of this study was to evaluate the value of risk stratification plus carotid plaque improving the prediction of ISCVD. Methods: Between June 2016 and June 2017, 3998 subjects with hypertension were prospectively recruited and completed traditional risk factors survey and carotid ultrasound measurements in Anzhen Hospital, Beijing, China. Results: A total of 2010 (50.3%) subjects were detected carotid plaque. Among patients free from ISCVD (n=3479), there were 884 patients (25.4%) at high risk for ISCVD, and 868 (25.0%), 1727 (49.6%) was classified as intermediate risk or low risk according to Chinese cardiovascular risk score chart. The detected rate of carotid plaque was 64.7%, 53.7%, and 38.5% among patients at high risk to low risk, respectively. Carotid plaques and risk stratification alone or in combination were significantly associated with ischemic stroke, and negatively correlated with coronary heart disease (all P>0.05). Adding carotid plaque to risk stratification, the ischemic stroke prevalence increased from 5.3% to 9.1% in the low-risk group (P=0.001), 5.4% to 12.3% in the intermediate-risk group (P<0.001) and 8.2% to 14.4% than in the high-risk group (P=0.004). Intermediate risk plus carotid plaque (443/3998) were reclassified to a new high-risk group, high risk only (749/3998) and low risk plus carotid plaque (353/3998) were reclassified to a new intermediate risk group; and intermediate risk only (553/3998) were reclassified to a new low risk group. According to the reclassification, there were 1635 subjects (40.9%) at high risk, and 1102 (27.6%), 1261 (31.5%) was classified as intermediate risk or low risk. Conclusions: Carotid plaque has an important position as it plus risk stratification may improve the risk assessment of ischemic stroke and have resulted in reclassification.

scholarly journals Performance Of The Modified Heart Score In An Asian Population

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shanaz Sajeed ◽  
Michael De Dios ◽  
Dan Ong Wei Jun ◽  
Amila Clarence Punyadasa
Keyword(s):  
Emergency Department ◽  
Chest Pain ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Asian Population ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Predictive Tool ◽  
Heart Score ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Chinese Study

Abstract INTRODUCTION Chest pain is the most common potentially life threatening presentation to the emergency department (ED). Furthermore, the identification of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) including its risk stratification and subsequent disposition can be challenging. The original HEART score was derived as a predictive tool to risk stratify patients presenting with undifferentiated chest pain (CP) and aid physician decision-making. However, it utilized conventional Troponins as its cardiac biomarker component. Our study aims to assess the utility of the modified HEART score with highly sensitive troponins in an Asian setting with mixed ethnicity to determine if it corroborates the findings of the another recent Chinese study by Chun-Peng MA et al[7]. METHODS Clinical data from 413 patients presenting to the ED for evaluation of chest pain were analyzed. The predictive value of the modified HEART score for determining MACE was then evaluated.RESULTS 49 patients (11.9%) had a MACE: 31 patients (7.5%) underwent PCI, and 1 patient (0.2%) underwent CABG. There were 17 (4.1%) deaths.Three risk groups were elucidated based on MACE. In the low risk group (0-2), there were 72 patients (17.4%), with a MACE rate of 1.4%. In the intermediate risk group (3-5), there were 233 patients (56.4%), with a MACE rate of 5.2%. In the high risk group (6-10), there were 108 patients (26.2%), with a MACE rate of 33.3%. CONCLUSION The modified HEART score is an effective risk stratification tool in an ethnically diverse Asian population. Furthermore, it identifies low risk patients who are candidates for early discharge from a local emergency department.

Evaluation of the Oncotype DX genomic prostate score for risk stratification in prostate cancer patients considered candidiates for active surveilance.

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 122-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ganesh K Kartha ◽  
Yaw Nyame ◽  
Eric A. Klein
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Patient Choice ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Physician Recommendation

122 Background: With evidence showing over treatment, more patients are choosing active surveillance (AS) for intermediate or lower risk prostate cancer (CaP). Genomic profiling is offered to risk stratify patients to aid in management decision−making. This study reports risk discrepancies between National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) criteria and OncotypeDx Genomic Prostate Score (GPS) and how this influences decision−making in our CaP population. Methods: An inception cohort study was carried out on 56 patients with NCCN very low to intermediate risk CaP who were candidates for AS and underwent GPS testing on prostate biopsy specimens performed within 6mo of entry. GPS provided a score corresponding to a GPS-based risk stratification. Study endpoints: 1) distribution of GPS risk groups within each NCCN risk category; 2) frequency of change to lower or higher risk based on GPS; 3) effect of GPS on physician recommendations and patient choice on disease management. Results: 52/56 patients had sufficient carcinoma on biopsy for a GPS analysis. GPS reassigned risk in 23% (12/52) of patients, with 10 going from NCCN low risk to GPS very low risk and 2 assigned to a higher GPS risk profile (Table). AS was recommended in 19 patients with GPS very low risk group and 8 patients in the GPS-defined low risk group. Physicians recommended treatment to 7 patients with GPS intermediate risk. Patient choice was congruent with physician recommendation in all cases. No patients chose AS when assigned to a higher risk category. All 10 patients reassigned to a lower risk category chose AS. Conclusions: In this CaP cohort, assessment by GPS changed risk stratification in 23% of patients. Moving to a different risk category changed physician recommendation and patient choice in the corresponding direction (to surveillance or therapy) in all cases. More study and larger sample size are needed to fully assess the effect of GPS on clinical decision making. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals Performance of The Modified Heart Score In An Asian Population

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shanaz Sajeed ◽  
Michael De Dios ◽  
Dan Ong Wei Jun ◽  
Amila Clarence Punyadasa
Keyword(s):  
Emergency Department ◽  
Chest Pain ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Asian Population ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Predictive Tool ◽  
Heart Score ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Chinese Study

Abstract INTRODUCTION Chest pain is the most common potentially life threatening presentation to the emergency department (ED). Furthermore, the identification of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) including its risk stratification and subsequent disposition can be challenging. The original HEART score was derived as a predictive tool to risk stratify patients presenting with undifferentiated chest pain (CP) and aid physician decision-making. However, it utilized conventional Troponins as its cardiac biomarker component. Our study aims to assess the utility of the modified HEART score with highly sensitive troponins in an Asian setting with mixed ethnicity to determine if it corroborates the findings of the another recent Chinese study by Chun-Peng MA et al[7]. METHODS Clinical data from 413 patients presenting to the ED for evaluation of chest pain were analyzed. The predictive value of the modified HEART score for determining MACE was then evaluated. RESULTS 49 patients (11.9%) had a MACE: 31 patients (7.5%) underwent PCI, and 1 patient (0.2%) underwent CABG. There were 17 (4.1%) deaths. Three risk groups were elucidated based on MACE. In the low risk group (0-2), there were 72 patients (17.4%), with a MACE rate of 1.4%. In the intermediate risk group (3-5), there were 233 patients (56.4%), with a MACE rate of 5.2%. In the high risk group (6-10), there were 108 patients (26.2%), with a MACE rate of 33.3%. CONCLUSION The modified HEART score is an effective risk stratification tool in an ethnically diverse Asian population. Furthermore, it identifies low risk patients who are candidates for early discharge from a local emergency department.

scholarly journals Preclinical markers of carotid atherosclerosis and cardiovascular risk assessed by the ESH/ESC scale (2003, 2007, 2009)

2011 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 14-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Sh. Urazalina ◽  
A. N. Rogoza ◽  
T. V. Balakhonova ◽  
R. P. Myasnikov ◽  
T. E. Kolmakova ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
European Society ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Intima Media Thickness ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
European Society Of Cardiology

Aim. To assess the degree of cardiovascular (CV) risk adjustment in patients with low and intermediate risk by the SCORE scale, who were further examined in accordance with the European Society of Hypertension/European Society of Cardiology Guidelines (2003, 2007, 2009), and also underwent carotid artery (CA) ultrasound, as an extension of the ambulatory examination protocol. Material and methods. The study included 600 individuals aged 30-65 years (445 women, 155 men), with low to intermediate SCORE-assessed risk, and without diagnosed atherosclerosis or diabetes mellitus. The algorithm of CV risk stratification included SCORE scale, the ESH/ESC Guidelines (2003, 2007, 2009) and duplex CA ultrasound, with intima-media thickness (IMT) and atherosclerotic plaque (AP) assessment. Results. At the first stage of CV risk classification, which included routine examinations only, 73,8 % of the patients remained in the “low-risk” group, 14,5 % remained in the “intermediate-risk” group, and 11,7 % were moved to the “high-risk” group. After taking into account the duplex CA ultrasound results, the “low-risk”, “intermediaterisk”, and “high-risk” groups included 35,7 %, 33,5 %, and 30,8 % of the patients, respectively. In the “low-risk” and “intermediate-risk” groups, most patients had normal blood pressure levels (72,8 % and 83,5 %, respectively), while most patients in the “high-risk” group had arterial hypertension (56,7 %). The reason for moving the patients to the “high-risk” group was visualization of AP in CA (100 %). The percentage of subjects with one AP in this group was 22,7 %. In total, AP were visualized in 358 out of 600 participants (59,6 %). Out of these 358 patients, 26 (7,2 %) had IMT value >0,9 mm. Out of 242 patients without AP in CA, 2 (0,8 %) had IMT value >0,9 mm. Conclusion. At both risk stratification stages, the most prevalent causes of moving the patients to the groups of higher CV risk were dyslipidemia (81,3 % and 92,5 %, respectively), smoking (26,7 % and 22,2 %), abdominal obesity (77,7 %), and metabolic syndrome (98,5 %). The level of CV risk was affected by AP presence to a substantially greater extent than by IMT.

scholarly journals SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in Healthcare Workers in Germany: A Follow-Up Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (9) ◽  
pp. 4540
Author(s):  
Johannes Korth ◽  
Benjamin Wilde ◽  
Sebastian Dolff ◽  
Jasmin Frisch ◽  
Michael Jahn ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Healthcare Workers ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Close Contact ◽  
Virus Transmission ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Igg Antibody

SARS-CoV-2 is a worldwide challenge for the medical sector. Healthcare workers (HCW) are a cohort vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection due to frequent and close contact with COVID-19 patients. However, they are also well trained and equipped with protective gear. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody status was assessed at three different time points in 450 HCW of the University Hospital Essen in Germany. HCW were stratified according to contact frequencies with COVID-19 patients in (I) a high-risk group with daily contacts with known COVID-19 patients (n = 338), (II) an intermediate-risk group with daily contacts with non-COVID-19 patients (n = 78), and (III) a low-risk group without patient contacts (n = 34). The overall seroprevalence increased from 2.2% in March–May to 4.0% in June–July to 5.1% in October–December. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG detection rate was not significantly different between the high-risk group (1.8%; 3.8%; 5.5%), the intermediate-risk group (5.1%; 6.3%; 6.1%), and the low-risk group (0%, 0%, 0%). The overall SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence remained low in HCW in western Germany one year after the outbreak of COVID-19 in Germany, and hygiene standards seemed to be effective in preventing patient-to-staff virus transmission.

scholarly journals Sernbo score predicts survival after intracapsular hip fracture in the elderly

2013 ◽  
Vol 95 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
EJC Dawe ◽  
E Lindisfarne ◽  
T Singh ◽  
I McFadyen ◽  
P Stott
Keyword(s):  
Hip Fracture ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Social Situation ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Intracapsular Hip Fracture ◽  
The Mean

Introduction The Sernbo score uses four factors (age, social situation, mobility and mental state) to divide patients into a high-risk and a low-risk group. This study sought to assess the use of the Sernbo score in predicting mortality after an intracapsular hip fracture. Methods A total of 259 patients with displaced intracapsular hip fractures were included in the study. Data from prospectively generated databases provided 22 descriptive variables for each patient. These included operative management, blood tests and co-mobidities. Multivariate analysis was used to identify significant predictors of mortality. Results The mean patient age was 85 years and the mean follow-up duration was 1.5 years. The one-year survival rate was 92% (±0.03) in the low-risk group and 65% (±0.046) in the high-risk group. Four variables predicted mortality: Sernbo score >15 (p=0.0023), blood creatinine (p=0.0026), ASA (American Society of Anaesthesiologists) grade >3 (p=0.0038) and non-operative treatment (p=0.0377). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed the Sernbo score as the only predictor of 30-day mortality (area under curve 0.71 [0.65–0.76]). The score had a sensitivity of 92% and a specificity of 51% for prediction of death at 30 days. Conclusions The Sernbo score identifies patients at high risk of death in the 30 days following injury. This very simple score could be used to direct extra early multidisciplinary input to high-risk patients on admission with an intracapsular hip fracture.

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