scholarly journals Prior ischemic strokes are non-inferior for predicting future ischemic strokes than CHA2DS2-VASc score in hemodialysis patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anat Bel-Ange ◽  
Shani Zilberman Itskovich ◽  
Liana Avivi ◽  
Kobi Stav ◽  
Shai Efrati ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Maintenance Hemodialysis ◽  
Bleeding Events ◽  
Study Population ◽  
Ischemic Stroke Risk

Abstract Background We tested whether CHA2DS2-VASc and/or HAS-BLED scores better predict ischemic stroke and major bleeding, respectively, than their individual components in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods A retrospective cohort study of a clinical database containing the medical records of 268 MHD patients with non-valvular AF (167 women, mean age 73.4 ± 10.2 years). During the median follow-up of 21.0 (interquartile range, 5.0–44.0) months, 46 (17.2%) ischemic strokes and 24 (9.0%) major bleeding events were reported. Results Although CHA2DS2-VASc predicted ischemic stroke risk in the study population (adjusted HR 1.74 with 95% CI 1.23–2.46 for each unit of increase in CHA2DS2-VASc score, and HR of 5.57 with 95% CI 1.88–16.49 for CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 6), prior ischemic strokes/transient ischemic attacks (TIAs) were non-inferior in both univariate and multivariate analyses (adjusted HR 8.65 with 95% CI 2.82–26.49). The ROC AUC was larger for the prior ischemic stroke/TIA than for CHA2DS2-VASc. Furthermore, the CHA2DS2-VASc score did not predict future ischemic stroke risks in study participants who did not previously experience ischemic strokes/TIAs (adjusted HR 1.41, 95% CI: 0.84–2.36). The HAS-BLED score and its components did not have predictive abilities in discriminating bleeding risk in the study population. Conclusions Previous ischemic strokes are non-inferior for predicting of future ischemic strokes than the complete CHA2DS2-VASc score in MHD patients. CHA2DS2VASc scores are less predictive in MHD patients without histories of CVA/TIA. HAS-BLED scores do not predict major bleeding in MHD patients. These findings should redesign approaches to ischemic stroke risk stratification in MHD patients if future large-scale epidemiological studies confirm them.

Abstract 140: Comparison of Major Complication of Oral Anticoagulants in Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation: Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses

2017 ◽  
Vol 37 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Seok Lee
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Oral Anticoagulant ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Gi Bleeding ◽  
Ischemic Stroke Risk ◽  
Meta Analyses

Background: Oral anticoagulants known as a novel oral anticoagulant have been used for the management of non -valvular atrial fibrillation. There was no enough study regarding the efficacy and safety of three major new oral anticoagulants. We assessed major three oral anticoagulants in terms of major bleeding complication and stroke prevention by meta-analyses studies comparing those drugs. Method: Relevant studies were identified through electronic literature searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane library, and clinicaltrials.gov (from inception to February 24, 2016). RevMan and ITC software were used for direct comparisons, respectively. Results: Apixaban (N=6020), versus dabigatran(N=12038), apixaban versus rivaroxaban(N=8503) and rivaroxaban versus dabigatran were analyzed directly. There was significantly higher major bleeding risks in apixaban compared to dabigatran (both 110mg and 150mg) after adjusting baseline bleeding risk (Relative risk 3.41, 95% confidence interval(2.61 to 4.47) in 110mg, (5.62, 4.83 to 6.54) in 150mg. Intracranial bleeding risk in apixaban was significantly higher than in dabigatran (10.5, 6.10 to18.01). However, apixaban had less GI bleeding risk compared to dabigatran (0.80 , 0.65 to 0.98) and also had less ischemic stroke risk (0.31,0.22 to 0.42). Rivaroxaban showed higher major bleeding risk than dabigatran 110mg (2.34 , 1.81 to 3.03), however, Rivaroxaban had less bleeding risk compared to dabigatran 150mg (0.41, 0.35 to 0.46). Dabigatran 110mg and 150mg had less GI bleeding risk compared to rivaroxaban (0.31 , 0.24 to 0.39) and (0.23,0.17 to 0.29) respectively. Ischemic stroke risk was also decreased in dabigatran110mg (0.46, 0.38 to 0.57). and 150mg (0.66 ,0.52 to 0.83). Conclusion: Observed oral anticoagulants were associated with various complications. Overall, apixaban had higher intracranial bleeding risk than dabigatran. The highest GI bleeding risk in rivaroxaban compared to apixaban and dabigatran. Ischemic stroke risk was the highest in dabigatran. In conclusion, we may use those oral anticoagulant based on risks rates, however, a larger study with longer follow-up is needed to corroborate findings.

Abstract 77: Balancing Risks and Benefits of Anticoagulation Therapy in Atrial Fibrillation in Community Practice: Results from the ORBIT-AF Registry

2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael W Cullen ◽  
Sunghee Kim ◽  
Jonathan P Piccini ◽  
Alan S Go ◽  
Gregg C Fonarow ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Anticoagulation Therapy ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Community Practice ◽  
Chads2 Score ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Study Population ◽  
Risk Treatment ◽  
The Cost

Background Oral anticoagulation (OAC) can reduce stroke risk at the cost of increased bleeding risk in those with atrial fibrillation (AF). Observational data have shown that higher-risk patients with AF most likely to benefit from OAC are less likely to receive OAC at hospital discharge. Methods We used data from ORBIT-AF Registry, a cohort of 9,589 AF patients enrolled among 173 participating outpatient practices. OAC was defined as warfarin or dabigatran use at study enrollment. Stroke and bleeding risk were calculated using the CHADS2 and ATRIA scores, respectively. Results The study population had a mean age of 73.5 years; 57.8% were men. Overall, 76.4% of patients received OAC. Use of OAC rose with increasing CHADS2 stroke risk, from 67% for CHADS2 <1 to 80% for CHADS2 ≥2 (p<0.0001). OAC use fell slightly with increasing ATRIA bleeding risk, from 77% for ATRIA score ≤3 to 74% with ≥5 (p=0.002 for trend). Among patients with low bleeding risk, rates of OAC increased commensurate with stroke risk (p<0.0001 for interaction; see figure). Higher bleeding risk tended to decrease rates of OAC among patients with a CHADS2 score ≥2 (p=0.13 for interaction). Conclusions In community-based outpatients with AF, use of OAC rose with increasing thromboembolic risk and declined with higher bleeding risk. These findings suggest that the risk-treatment paradox may be less that previously reported. Provision of OAC in community practice appears to appropriately consider patients' stroke and bleeding risks. Further research is required to understand how quality improvement initiatives can further improve stroke prevention.

Refinement of Ischemic Stroke Risk in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc Score of 1

2014 ◽  
Vol 37 (11) ◽  
pp. 1442-1447 ◽  
Author(s):  
DUO HUANG ◽  
LUO ANGUO ◽  
WEN-SHENG YUE ◽  
LIXUE YIN ◽  
HUNG-FAT TSE ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Ischemic Stroke Risk

Risk of ischemic stroke in asymptomatic atrial fibrillation incidentally-detected in primary care compared with other clinical presentations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher Wallenhorst ◽  
Carlos Martinez ◽  
Ben FREEDMAN
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Primary Care ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Primary Hospital ◽  
Ischemic Stroke Risk ◽  
The Uk

Background: It is uncertain whether stroke risk of asymptomatic ambulatory atrial fibrillation (AA-AF) incidentally-detected in primary care is comparable with other clinical AF presentations in primary care or hospital. Methods: The stoke risk of 22,035 patients with incident non-valvular AF from the UK primary care Clinical Practice Research Datalink with linkage to hospitalization and mortality data, was compared to 23,605 controls without AF (age and sex-matched 5:1 to 5,409 AA-AF patients). Incident AF included 5,913 with symptomatic ambulatory AF (SA-AF); 4,989 with Primary and 5,724 with non-Primary Hospital AF discharge diagnosis (PH-AF and Non-PH-AF); and 5,409 with AA-AF. Ischemic stroke adjusted subhazard ratios (aSHR) within 3 years of AA-AF were compared with SA-AF, PH-AF, Non-PH-AF and controls, accounting for mortality as competing risk and adjusted for ischemic stroke risk factors. Results: There were 1026 ischemic strokes in 49,544 person-years in patients with incident AF (crude incidence rate 2.1 ischemic strokes/100 person-years). Ischemic stroke aSHR over 3 years showed no differences between AA-AF, and SA-AF, PH-AF and nonPH-AF groups (aSHR 0.87-1.01 vs AA-AF). All AF groups showed a significantly higher aSHR compared to controls. (subhazard rate ratio 0.40 [0.34 - 0.47]. Conclusion: Ischemic stroke risk in patients with AA-AF incidentally-detected in primary care is far from benign, and not less than incident AF presenting clinically in general practice or hospital. This provides justification for identification of previously undetected AF, e.g. by opportunistic screening, and subsequent stroke prevention with thromboprophylaxis, to reduce the approximately 10% of ischemic strokes related to unrecognized AF.

Abstract 18538: The ATRIA Stroke Risk Score Predicts Ischemic Stroke Better than CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc in a large Swedish Cohort of Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Aspberg ◽  
Yuchiao Chang ◽  
Daniel Singer
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Anticoagulation Therapy ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Cut Points ◽  
Net Clinical Benefit ◽  
Better Than

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Anticoagulation therapy (OAC) effectively prevents AIS, but increases bleeding risk. There is a need for better AIS risk prediction to optimize the anticoagulation decision in AF. The ATRIA stroke risk score (ATRIA) (table) was superior to CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc in two large California community AF cohorts. We now report the performance of the 3 scores in a very large Swedish AF cohort. Methods: The cohort consisted of all Swedish patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of AF from July 1, 2005 to December 31, 2008. Predictor variables and the outcome, AIS, were obtained from inpatient ICD-10 codes. Warfarin use was determined from National Pharmacy Database. Risk scores were assessed via c-index (C) and net reclassification index (NRI). Results: The cohort included 158,370 AF patients off warfarin who contributed 340,332 person-years of follow-up, and 11,823 incident AIS, for an overall AIS rate of 3.47%/yr, higher than the 2%/yr seen in the California cohorts. Using the entire point score, ATRIA had a good C of 0.712 (0.708-0.716), significantly better than CHADS2, 0.694 (0.689-0.698), or CHA2DS2-VASc, 0.697 (0.693-0.702). Using published cut-points for Low/Moderate/High AIS risk, C deteriorated for all scores but ATRIA and CHADS2 were superior to CHA2DS2-VASc. NRI favored ATRIA; 0.16 (0.15-0.18) versus CHADS2; 0.22 (0.21-0.24) versus CHA2DS2-VASc. However, NRI decreased to near-zero when cut-points were altered to better fit the cohort’s stroke rates. Conclusion: Findings in this large Swedish AF cohort validate those in the California AF cohorts, with the ATRIA score predicting stroke risk better than CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc. However, relative performance of the categorical scores varied by population stroke risk. Knowledge about this population risk may be needed to optimize cut-points on the multipoint scores to achieve better net clinical benefit from OAC.

482Direct oral anticoagulant rivaroxaban in very old and frail patients: A one-year prospective follow-up of a large-scale cohort (SAFIR-AC)

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
O Hanon ◽  
J Vidal ◽  
E Chaussade ◽  
J P David ◽  
N Boulloche ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Geriatric Population ◽  
Very Old ◽  
The Mean ◽  
One Year ◽  
The One

Abstract Background/Introduction Age is one of the strongest predictors/risk factors for ischemic stroke in subjects with atrial fibrillation (AF). Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have been shown to be effective in the prevention of this condition; however, clinical evidence on bleeding risk with this therapeutic strategy in very old and frail geriatric patients is poor. Purpose To assess bleeding risk in French geriatric patients aged ≥80 years and diagnosed with AF newly treated with rivaroxaban. Methods Subjects, presenting to one of 33 geriatric centers, with non-valvular AF and recent initiation of a treatment with rivaroxaban were enrolled in the study and followed-up every 3 months for 12 months. Clinical and routine laboratory data and evaluation scores, such as HAS-BLED, HEMORR2HAGES, ATRIA, and CHA2DS2-VASc, as well as comprehensive geriatric evaluation were reported. Major bleeding, as defined in ROCKET AF study, was reported at each visit, and this primary outcome was adjudicated by an independent committee. Results of this cohort were compared with findings from a similar cohort treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) from the same centers (n=924). Results A total of 1045 subjects were enrolled in the study of whom 995 (95%) had a one-year follow-up (analyzed population). The mean (standard deviation (SD)) age was 86.0 (4.3) years, with the majority of patients being female (61%), 23% aged 90 years or older, and 48% having an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <50 mL/min. The main comorbidities were hypertension in 77% of subjects, malnutrition 49%, anemia 43%, dementia 39%, heart failure 36%, and falls 27%. The mean (SD) score for CHA2DS2-VASc was 4.8 (1.4), HAS-BLED 2.4 (0.9), Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) 21.5 (6.9), Activities of Daily Living (ADL) 4.4 (1.9), and Charlson Comorbidity Index 6.7 (2.0). The one-year rate of major bleeding events was 6.4% of which 0.8% were fatal and 1.1% intracranial hemorrhages (ICH), whereas the one-year rate of ischemic stroke was 1.4% and all-cause mortality 17.9%. Computed with VKA cohort findings and adjusted for age, gender, eGFR and Charlson score, this would result in a hazard ratio of 0.54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.38 to 0.78) for major bleeding, 0.36 (0.17 to 0.76) for ICH, 0.62 (0.29 to 1.33) for ischemic stroke, and 0.82 (0.65 to 1.02) for all-cause mortality, in favor of rivaroxaban. Conclusions This is the first large-scale prospective study in geriatric population in AF subjects treated with DOAC (rivaroxaban) Major bleeding risk appeared higher in very old than younger population, however major bleeding and ICH rates were significantly lower with rivaroxaban than with VKAs when used in the same geriatric population. This study indicates that Rivaroxaban can be used in very old and frail patients for the treatment of non-valvular AF. Acknowledgement/Funding Unrestricted grant from Bayer

Comparable risk of ischemic stroke in patients with screen-detected atrial fibrillation on single timepoint handheld ECG screening to patients with known AF

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
W Sun ◽  
B Freedman ◽  
C Martinez ◽  
C Wallenhorst ◽  
B.P.Y Yan
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Anticoagulation Therapy ◽  
Clinic Visit ◽  
Initial Screening ◽  
Subdistribution Hazard ◽  
Ischemic Stroke Risk ◽  
Similar Risk

Abstract Aims To determine risk of ischemic stroke in patients with single timepoint screen-detected atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods Cohort of 11,972 consecutive patients aged ≥65 years attending medical outpatient clinics in Hong Kong underwent AF screening using a handheld single-lead ECG (AliveCor) from Dec 2014 to Dec 2017 (NCT02409654). Repeated screening was performed in patients who had &gt;1 clinic visit during the study period. Cohort was divided into 4 exposure groups: (i) new AF detected by initial screening (S1-AF); (ii) new AF detected by subsequent screening or clinically diagnosed during follow up (FU-AF); (iii) known AF and (iv) no initial or subsequent FU-AF (no AF). Exposure in the FU-AF group was handled as a time-dependent variable. All AF exposure groups were further stratified by oral anticoagulant (OAC) use at the end of FU. Cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke was compared between groups during a median FU period of 2.3 (IQR=1.7–3.3) years, using Fine and Gray regression accounting for death as competing risk and using no AF as reference. Results Of 11,972 subjects enrolled, 2,236 (18.7%) had known AF and 9,736 (81.3%) underwent 13,571 screening events during the study period. The yield of newly diagnosed AF on initial screening was 2.3% (n=223/9,736), with 71 new AF detected by subsequent screening. During FU, 2.3% (221/9,442) screen-negative patients were diagnosed with AF clinically. Compared to no AF, S1-AF without OAC had the highest ischemic stroke risk (subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR)=2.79; 1.47–5.27), then FU-AF without OAC (SHR=2.66; 1.21–5.82) and known AF without OAC (SHR=1.97; 1.50–2.57). All AF groups taking OAC had similar risk of ischemic stroke as no AF. Conclusion This is the first study to report the prognosis of AF detected by single timepoint screening. The prognosis is not benign. Both risks of stroke and benefits from anticoagulation therapy were similar between screen-detected and known AF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

scholarly journals Role of Biological Markers for Cerebral Bleeding Risk STRATification in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation on Oral Anticoagulants for Primary or Secondary Prevention of Ischemic Stroke (Strat-AF Study): Study Design and Methodology

Medicina ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (10) ◽  
pp. 626 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Poggesi ◽  
Carmen Barbato ◽  
Francesco Galmozzi ◽  
Eleonora Camilleri ◽  
Francesca Cesari ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Biological Markers ◽  
Oral Anticoagulant ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Circulating Biomarkers ◽  
Cerebral Mri

Background and Objectives: In anticoagulated atrial fibrillation (AF) patients, the validity of models recommended for the stratification of the risk ratio between benefits and hemorrhage risk is limited. Cerebral small vessel disease (SVD) represents the pathologic substrate for primary intracerebral hemorrhage and ischemic stroke. We hypothesize that biological markers—both circulating and imaging-based—and their possible interaction, might improve the prediction of bleeding risk in AF patients under treatment with any type of oral anticoagulant. Materials and Methods: The Strat-AF study is an observational, prospective, single-center hospital-based study enrolling patients with AF, aged 65 years or older, and with no contraindications to magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), referring to Center of Thrombosis outpatient clinic of our University Hospital for the management of oral anticoagulation therapy. Recruited patients are evaluated by means of a comprehensive protocol, with clinical, cerebral MRI, and circulating biomarkers assessment at baseline and after 18 months. The main outcome is SVD progression—particularly microbleeds—as a selective surrogate marker of hemorrhagic complication. Stroke occurrence (ischemic or hemorrhagic) and the progression of functional, cognitive, and motor status will be evaluated as secondary outcomes. Circulating biomarkers may further improve predictive potentials. Results: Starting from September 2017, 194 patients (mean age 78.1 ± 6.7, range 65–97; 61% males) were enrolled. The type of AF was paroxysmal in 93 patients (48%), and persistent or permanent in the remaining patients. Concerning the type of oral anticoagulant, 57 patients (29%) were on vitamin K antagonists, and 137 (71%) were on direct oral anticoagulants. Follow-up clinical evaluation and brain MRI are ongoing. Conclusions: The Strat-AF study may be an essential step towards the exploration of the role of a combined clinical biomarker or multiple biomarker models in predicting stroke risk in AF, and might sustain the incorporation of such new markers in the existing stroke prediction schemes by the demonstration of a greater incremental value in predicting stroke risk and improvement in clinical outcomes in a cost-effective fashion.

P4742Evaluation of the HAS-BLED, ATRIA and ORBIT bleeding risk scores in newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Bergamaschi ◽  
A Stefanizzi ◽  
M Coriano ◽  
P Paolisso ◽  
I Magnani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Independent Predictor ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Newly Diagnosed ◽  
Bleeding Events ◽  
Hemorrhagic Events ◽  
Major Bleeding Events

Abstract Background Several risk scores have been proposed to assess the bleeding risk in patients with Atrial Fibrillation. Purpose To compare the efficacy of HAS-BLED, ATRIA and ORBIT scores to predict major bleedings in newly diagnosed non-valvular AF (NV-AF) treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) or new oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Methods We analyzed all consecutive patients with AF at our outpatient clinic from January to December 2017. Only those with new diagnosed NV-AF starting new anticoagulant therapy were enrolled. Major hemorrhagic events were defined according to the ISTH definition in non-surgical patients. Results Out of the 820 patients admitted with AF, 305 were newly diagnosed with NV-AF starting oral anticoagulation. Overall, 51.3% were male with a mean age of 72.6±13.7 years. Thirty-six patients (11.8%) started VKAs whereas 269 (88.2%) patients were treated with NOACs. The median follow-up time was 10.4±3.4 months. During follow-up, 123 (32.2%) bleeding events were recorded, 21 (17,1%) in the VKA group and 102 (82,9%) in the NOAC group. Eleven (2.9%) major bleeding events occurred: 5 (45.5%) in the VKA group and 6 (54.5%) in the NOAC group. Overall, patients with major hemorrhagic events showed a mean value of the scores significantly higher when compared to patients without such bleeding complications (HASBLED 3.4 vs 2.4 p=0.007; ATRIA 5.6 vs 2.4 p<0.001; ORBIT 3.6 vs 1.8 p<0,001). Conversely, when analyzing the VKA subgroup, only the ATRIA score was significantly higher in patients with major adverse events (7.4 vs 3.5 p<0.001; HAS-BLED: 4.4 vs 3.6 p=0.27; ORBIT 4.4 vs 2.9 p=0.13). An ATRIA score ≥4 identified patients at high risk of bleeding (29.4% vs. 0% events. respectively, p=0.04). In the NOAC group, patients with major bleeding events had higher mean values of ATRIA (4.0 vs 2.3 p=0.02) and ORBIT (2.8 vs 1.6 p=0,04) but not the HAS-BLED (2.5 vs 2.3 p=0.57) scores. Similarly, patients on NOACs with an ATRIA score ≥4 had higher rates of major bleedings (8.1% vs. 1.6% p=0,02). Comparing the single elements of the ATRIA score, only glomerular filtration rate <30 ml/min/1.73 mq was associated with major bleedings in the VKA group (p<0.001) whereas, in the NOAC group, anemia was strongly associated with bleeding events (p=0,02). In fact, multivariate analysis in the NOAC group showed that hemoglobin level at admission was an independent predictor for major bleeding events (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.23–0.75, P=0.003). Conversely, in the VKA group, baseline creatinine level was an independent predictor for these events (OR 12.76, 95% CI 1.6–101.7, P=0.016). Conclusions The ATRIA score showed the best efficacy in predicting major bleeding events. Hemoglobin and creatinine levels at admission were independent predictors for major hemorrhagic events in the NOAC and in the VKA groups, respectively. The latter finding might be helpful in stratifying the hemorrhagic risk at the beginning of treatment.

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