scholarly journals Extinction and persistence of a stochastic SICA epidemic model with standard incidence rate for HIV transmission

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaodong Wang ◽  
Chunxia Wang ◽  
Kai Wang

AbstractIn this paper, a stochastic SICA epidemic model with standard incidence rate for HIV transmission is proposed. The sufficient conditions of the extinction and persistence in mean for the disease are established. Numerical simulations show that random perturbations can suppress disease outbreaks and the risk of HIV transmission can be reduced by reducing the transmission coefficient of HIV while increasing the strength of the stochastic perturbation.

Author(s):  
Eric N'zi ◽  
Modeste N'zi

In this paper, we include stochastic perturbation into SIRS epidemic model incorporating media coverage and study their dynamics. Our model is obtained by taking into account both for demographic stochasticity and environmental fluctuations on contact rate before alert media β1. First, we show that the model is biologically well-posed by proving the global existence, positivity and boundedness of solution . Then, sufficient conditions for the extinction of infectious diseaseis proved. We also established sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution to the model. Finally, the theoretical results are illustrated by numerical simulations; in addition we show that the media coverage can reduce the peak of infective individuals via numerical simulations.


Filomat ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (15) ◽  
pp. 5239-5253 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li-Li Wang ◽  
Nan-Jing Huang ◽  
Donal O’Regan

The purpose of this paper is to propose and investigate a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with saturated incidence rate. Firstly, we give some conditions to guarantee the stochastic SIQR epidemic model has a unique global positive solution. Then we verify that the disease in this model will die out exponentially if Rs 0 < 1, while the disease will be persistent in the mean if Rs 0 > 1. Moreover, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we establish some sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution for the model. Finally, we provide some numerical simulations to illustrate the analytical results.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chengrong Xie ◽  
Yuhua Xu ◽  
Dongbing Tong

We investigate the problem of adaptive mean square synchronization for nonlinear delayed coupled complex networks with stochastic perturbation. Based on the LaSalle invariance principle and the properties of the Weiner process, the controller and adaptive laws are designed to ensure achieving stochastic synchronization and topology identification of complex networks. Sufficient conditions are given to ensure the complex networks to be mean square synchronization. Furthermore, numerical simulations are also given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-4 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jihad Adnani ◽  
Khalid Hattaf ◽  
Noura Yousfi

We investigate a stochastic SIR epidemic model with specific nonlinear incidence rate. The stochastic model is derived from the deterministic epidemic model by introducing random perturbations around the endemic equilibrium state. The effect of random perturbations on the stability behavior of endemic equilibrium is discussed. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to illustrate our theoretical results.


Author(s):  
Khadija Akdim ◽  
Adil Ez-Zetouni ◽  
Mehdi Zahid

In this paper, we investigate a stochastic vaccinated epidemic model with a general awareness-induced incidence perturbed by Lévy noise. First, we show that this model has a unique global positive solution. Therefore, we establish the dynamic behavior of the solution around both disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. Furthermore, when [Formula: see text], we give sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution to the model when the jump part in the Lévy noise is null. Finally, we present some examples to illustrate the analytical results by numerical simulations.


Author(s):  
Hao Peng ◽  
Xinhong Zhang ◽  
Daqing Jiang

In this paper, we analyze a stochastic rabies epidemic model which is perturbed by both white noise and telegraph noise. First, we prove the existence of the unique global positive solution. Second, by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function, we establish a sufficient condition for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions to the model. Then we establish sufficient conditions for the extinction of diseases. Finally, numerical simulations are introduced to illustrate our theoretical results.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 745 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongqian Zhang ◽  
Tingting Ding ◽  
Ning Gao ◽  
Yi Song

In this paper, a stochastic SIRC epidemic model for Influenza A is proposed and investigated. First, we prove that the system exists a unique global positive solution. Second, the extinction of the disease is explored and the sufficient conditions for extinction of the disease are derived. And then the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions for the system is discussed by constructing stochastic Lyapunov function. Furthermore, numerical simulations are employed to illustrate the theoretical results. Finally, we give some further discussions about the system.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting Cui ◽  
Peijiang Liu ◽  
Anwarud Din

AbstractIn this paper, we investigate an norovirus (NoV) epidemic model with stochastic perturbation and the new definition of a nonlocal fractal–fractional derivative in the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo (ABC) sense. First we present some basic properties including equilibria and the basic reproduction number of the model. Further, we analyze that the proposed stochastic system has a unique global positive solution. Next, the sufficient conditions of the extinction and the existence of a stationary probability measure for the disease are established. Furthermore, the fractal–fractional dynamics of the proposed model under Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo (ABC) derivative of fractional order “$${p}$$ p ” and fractal dimension “$${q}$$ q ” have also been addressed. Besides, coupling the non-linear functional analysis with fixed point theory, the qualitative analysis of the proposed model has been performed. The numerical simulations are carried out to demonstrate the analytical results. It is believed that this study will comprehensively strengthen the theoretical basis for comprehending the dynamics of the worldwide contagious diseases.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Driss Kiouach ◽  
Lahcen Boulaasair

We consider a stochastic SIVR (susceptible-infected-vaccinated-recovered) epidemic model with imperfect vaccine. First, we obtain critical condition under which the disease is persistent in the mean. Second, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution to the model. Third, we study the extinction of the disease. Finally, numerical simulations are given to support the analytical results.


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