scholarly journals Real-time automatic uncertainty estimation of coseismic single rectangular fault model using GNSS data

2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Keitaro Ohno ◽  
Yusaku Ohta ◽  
Satoshi Kawamoto ◽  
Satoshi Abe ◽  
Ryota Hino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Disaster Response ◽  
Order Approximation ◽  
Nonlinear Problems ◽  
Large Earthquake ◽  
Fault Model ◽  
Deformation Monitoring ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
The Sea Of Japan ◽  
Plate Interface

AbstractRapid estimation of the coseismic fault model for medium-to-large-sized earthquakes is key for disaster response. To estimate the coseismic fault model for large earthquakes, the Geospatial Information Authority of Japan and Tohoku University have jointly developed a real-time GEONET analysis system for rapid deformation monitoring (REGARD). REGARD can estimate the single rectangular fault model and slip distribution along the assumed plate interface. The single rectangular fault model is useful as a first-order approximation of a medium-to-large earthquake. However, in its estimation, it is difficult to obtain accurate results for model parameters due to the strong effect of initial values. To solve this problem, this study proposes a new method to estimate the coseismic fault model and model uncertainties in real time based on the Bayesian inversion approach using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. The MCMC approach is computationally expensive and hyperparameters should be defined in advance via trial and error. The sampling efficiency was improved using a parallel tempering method, and an automatic definition method for hyperparameters was developed for real-time use. The calculation time was within 30 s for 1 × 106 samples using a typical single LINUX server, which can implement real-time analysis, similar to REGARD. The reliability of the developed method was evaluated using data from recent earthquakes (2016 Kumamoto and 2019 Yamagata-Oki earthquakes). Simulations of the earthquakes in the Sea of Japan were also conducted exhaustively. The results showed an advantage over the maximum likelihood approach with a priori information, which has initial value dependence in nonlinear problems. In terms of application to data with a small signal-to-noise ratio, the results suggest the possibility of using several conjugate fault models. There is a tradeoff between the fault area and slip amount, especially for offshore earthquakes, which means that quantification of the uncertainty enables us to evaluate the reliability of the fault model estimation results in real time.

scholarly journals An Improved Multipath Mitigation Method and Its Application in Real-Time Bridge Deformation Monitoring

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 2259
Author(s):  
Ruicheng Zhang ◽  
Chengfa Gao ◽  
Qing Zhao ◽  
Zihan Peng ◽  
Rui Shang
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Sampling Rate ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Deformation Monitoring ◽  
Success Rates ◽  
Multipath Mitigation ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Observation Noise ◽  
Original Observation ◽  
Better Than

A multipath is a major error source in bridge deformation monitoring and the key to achieving millimeter-level monitoring. Although the traditional MHM (multipath hemispherical map) algorithm can be applied to multipath mitigation in real-time scenarios, accuracy needs to be further improved due to the influence of observation noise and the multipath differences between different satellites. Aiming at the insufficiency of MHM in dealing with the adverse impact of observation noise, we proposed the MHM_V model, based on Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and the MHM algorithm. Utilizing the VMD algorithm to extract the multipath from single-difference (SD) residuals, and according to the principle of the closest elevation and azimuth, the original observation of carrier phase in the few days following the implementation are corrected to mitigate the influence of the multipath. The MHM_V model proposed in this paper is verified and compared with the traditional MHM algorithm by using the observed data of the Forth Road Bridge with a seven day and 10 s sampling rate. The results show that the correlation coefficient of the multipath on two adjacent days was increased by about 10% after residual denoising with the VMD algorithm; the standard deviations of residual error in the L1/L2 frequencies were improved by 37.8% and 40.7%, respectively, which were better than the scores of 26.1% and 31.0% for the MHM algorithm. Taking a ratio equal to three as the threshold value, the fixed success rates of ambiguity were 88.0% without multipath mitigation and 99.4% after mitigating the multipath with MHM_V. The MHM_V algorithm can effectively improve the success rate, reliability, and convergence rate of ambiguity resolution in a bridge multipath environment and perform better than the MHM algorithm.

A guided latent Dirichlet allocation approach to investigate real-time latent topics of Twitter data during Hurricane Laura

2021 ◽  
pp. 016555152110077
Author(s):  
Sulong Zhou ◽  
Pengyu Kan ◽  
Qunying Huang ◽  
Janet Silbernagel
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Language Processing ◽  
Disaster Response ◽  
Domain Knowledge ◽  
Latent Dirichlet Allocation ◽  
Situational Awareness ◽  
High Performing ◽  
Latent Topics ◽  
Dirichlet Allocation

Natural disasters cause significant damage, casualties and economical losses. Twitter has been used to support prompt disaster response and management because people tend to communicate and spread information on public social media platforms during disaster events. To retrieve real-time situational awareness (SA) information from tweets, the most effective way to mine text is using natural language processing (NLP). Among the advanced NLP models, the supervised approach can classify tweets into different categories to gain insight and leverage useful SA information from social media data. However, high-performing supervised models require domain knowledge to specify categories and involve costly labelling tasks. This research proposes a guided latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) workflow to investigate temporal latent topics from tweets during a recent disaster event, the 2020 Hurricane Laura. With integration of prior knowledge, a coherence model, LDA topics visualisation and validation from official reports, our guided approach reveals that most tweets contain several latent topics during the 10-day period of Hurricane Laura. This result indicates that state-of-the-art supervised models have not fully utilised tweet information because they only assign each tweet a single label. In contrast, our model can not only identify emerging topics during different disaster events but also provides multilabel references to the classification schema. In addition, our results can help to quickly identify and extract SA information to responders, stakeholders and the general public so that they can adopt timely responsive strategies and wisely allocate resource during Hurricane events.

scholarly journals Enhanced Neural Network Model for Worldwide Estimation of Weighted Mean Temperature

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 2405
Author(s):  
Fengyang Long ◽  
Chengfa Gao ◽  
Yuxiang Yan ◽  
Jinling Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Radiosonde Data ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Measured Temperature ◽  
Weighted Mean ◽  
Weighted Mean Temperature ◽  
Application Scope

Precise modeling of weighted mean temperature (Tm) is critical for realizing real-time conversion from zenith wet delay (ZWD) to precipitation water vapor (PWV) in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) meteorology applications. The empirical Tm models developed by neural network techniques have been proved to have better performances on the global scale; they also have fewer model parameters and are thus easy to operate. This paper aims to further deepen the research of Tm modeling with the neural network, and expand the application scope of Tm models and provide global users with more solutions for the real-time acquisition of Tm. An enhanced neural network Tm model (ENNTm) has been developed with the radiosonde data distributed globally. Compared with other empirical models, the ENNTm has some advanced features in both model design and model performance, Firstly, the data for modeling cover the whole troposphere rather than just near the Earth’s surface; secondly, the ensemble learning was employed to weaken the impact of sample disturbance on model performance and elaborate data preprocessing, including up-sampling and down-sampling, which was adopted to achieve better model performance on the global scale; furthermore, the ENNTm was designed to meet the requirements of three different application conditions by providing three sets of model parameters, i.e., Tm estimating without measured meteorological elements, Tm estimating with only measured temperature and Tm estimating with both measured temperature and water vapor pressure. The validation work is carried out by using the radiosonde data of global distribution, and results show that the ENNTm has better performance compared with other competing models from different perspectives under the same application conditions, the proposed model expanded the application scope of Tm estimation and provided the global users with more choices in the applications of real-time GNSS-PWV retrival.

scholarly journals Cooperating the BDS, GPS, GLONASS and strong-motion observations for real-time deformation monitoring

2017 ◽  
Vol 209 (3) ◽  
pp. 1408-1417 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Tu ◽  
Jinhai Liu ◽  
Cuixian Lu ◽  
Rui Zhang ◽  
Pengfei Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Strong Motion ◽  
Deformation Monitoring ◽  
Time Deformation

scholarly journals Experimental Verification of Real-Time Flow-Rate Estimations in a Tilting-Ladle-Type Automatic Pouring Machine

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 6701
Author(s):  
Yuta Sueki ◽  
Yoshiyuki Noda
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Molten Metal ◽  
Flow Rate ◽  
Kalman Filters ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Liquid Volume ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Rate Estimation ◽  
Time Flow

This paper discusses a real-time flow-rate estimation method for a tilting-ladle-type automatic pouring machine used in the casting industry. In most pouring machines, molten metal is poured into a mold by tilting the ladle. Precise pouring is required to improve productivity and ensure a safe pouring process. To achieve precise pouring, it is important to control the flow rate of the liquid outflow from the ladle. However, due to the high temperature of molten metal, directly measuring the flow rate to devise flow-rate feedback control is difficult. To solve this problem, specific flow-rate estimation methods have been developed. In the previous study by present authors, a simplified flow-rate estimation method was proposed, in which Kalman filters were decentralized to motor systems and the pouring process for implementing into the industrial controller of an automatic pouring machine used a complicatedly shaped ladle. The effectiveness of this flow rate estimation was verified in the experiment with the ideal condition. In the present study, the appropriateness of the real-time flow-rate estimation by decentralization of Kalman filters is verified by comparing it with two other types of existing real-time flow-rate estimations, i.e., time derivatives of the weight of the outflow liquid measured by the load cell and the liquid volume in the ladle measured by a visible camera. We especially confirmed the estimation errors of the candidate real-time flow-rate estimations in the experiments with the uncertainty of the model parameters. These flow-rate estimation methods were applied to a laboratory-type automatic pouring machine to verify their performance.

scholarly journals Automated terrestrial laser scanning with near-real-time change detection – monitoring of the Séchilienne landslide

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 293-310 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan A. Kromer ◽  
Antonio Abellán ◽  
D. Jean Hutchinson ◽  
Matt Lato ◽  
Marie-Aurelie Chanut ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Change Detection ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Laser Scanning ◽  
Terrestrial Laser Scanning ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Deformation Monitoring ◽  
Time Change ◽  
High Temporal Resolution ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Detection Processing

Abstract. We present an automated terrestrial laser scanning (ATLS) system with automatic near-real-time change detection processing. The ATLS system was tested on the Séchilienne landslide in France for a 6-week period with data collected at 30 min intervals. The purpose of developing the system was to fill the gap of high-temporal-resolution TLS monitoring studies of earth surface processes and to offer a cost-effective, light, portable alternative to ground-based interferometric synthetic aperture radar (GB-InSAR) deformation monitoring. During the study, we detected the flux of talus, displacement of the landslide and pre-failure deformation of discrete rockfall events. Additionally, we found the ATLS system to be an effective tool in monitoring landslide and rockfall processes despite missing points due to poor atmospheric conditions or rainfall. Furthermore, such a system has the potential to help us better understand a wide variety of slope processes at high levels of temporal detail.

Real-Time Simulation of Deep Azimuthal Resistivity Tool in 2D Fault Model Using Neural Networks

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dmitry Kushnir ◽  
Nikolay Velker ◽  
Alexey Bondarenko ◽  
Gleb Dyatlov ◽  
Yuliy Dashevsky
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Fault Model ◽  
Real Time Simulation ◽  
Time Simulation ◽  
Azimuthal Resistivity
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