CDK2 and CDK1 specific activities: A novel prognostic indicator in early breast cancer
10592 Background: Cyclin-dependent kinases (CDKs) are expressed almost constantly but their activities change according to cell cycle phase. We studied the specific activity (SA; activity/expression) of CDKs to accurately evaluate their role in cell proliferation. We focused on the ratio of CDK2 SA to CDK1 SA because this ratio has been associated with rapid tumor growth in human breast cancer xenografts. Our goal was to investigate the prognostic significance of CDK2/1 ratio in node-negative breast cancer. Methods: We used a novel assay to measure SAs of CDK2 and CDK1 in 365 primary breast tumors. All tumors were histologically confirmed invasive breast cancer without lymph node involvement. The primary endpoint was relapse-free survival (RFS). Cut-off values for CDK2/1 ratio were defined as those points that best discriminated groups according to RFS. Tumors were grouped as low (136pts), intermediate (84pts), and high (145pts) CDK2/1 ratio. The median follow-up was 59 months (range 4–102). Results: Pts characteristics are described as follows: menopausal status: pre- 42%, post- 58%; tumor size: =20mm 48%, >20mm 52%; histologic grade (HG): I 28%, II 47%, III 23%; ER: (+) 57%, (-) 42%; PR: (+) 51%, (-) 48%. Pts with HG III or high CDK2/1 ratio showed significantly lower 5y-RFS rates than those with HG I/II or low/intermediate CDK2/1 ratio, respectively (HG: I 97%, II 91%, III 85%, P=0.040; CDK2/1 ratio: low 97%, intermediate 92%, high 85%, P=0.017). In univariate analysis, PR (- vs +, P=0.088) had a tendency to associate with relapse, and HG (III vs I, P=0.024) and CDK2/1 ratio (high vs low, P=0.011) also had a significant correlation with relapse. However, only CDK2/1 ratio showed a significant independent prognostic indicator in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio 2.86, 95% CI 1.25–6.58, P=0.01). More important, among women (n=185) with hormone receptor (HR) positive disease given adjuvant hormone therapy alone, who have had no useful factors to predict their outcomes, high CDK2/1 ratio was also associated with worse prognosis than low CDK2/1 ratio (5y-RFS 84% vs 100%, P=0.007). Conclusions: For patients with node- negative disease, especially those with HR positive tumors given adjuvant hormone therapy alone, the CDK2/1 ratio might be useful as a routine laboratory test to predict outcome. No significant financial relationships to disclose.