scholarly journals Clinical and pathologic factors associated with development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis virus-related cirrhosis: A long-term follow-up study

2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4646-4646
Author(s):  
D. Morales-Espinosa ◽  
A. Martínez-Velasco ◽  
T. Cerón-Lizárraga ◽  
V. Rosas-Camargo ◽  
J. L. Rodríguez-Díaz ◽  
...  

4646 Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents >90% of primary liver neoplasms and develops mainly in patients with liver cirrhosis. Risk factor identification for development of HCC in patients with cirrhosis is of great relevance due to its high incidence and poor prognosis when detected at advanced stages. The aim of our study was to identify HCC development-associated risk factors in a cohort of patients with hepatitis virus-related chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. Materials and Methods: Patients with diagnosis of hepatitis virus-related cirrhosis from January 1980 to January 2000 were included. Patients were followed with abdominal US and determination of AFP levels, physical examination, and biochemical tests every 3–6 months. The endpoint in this study was defined as development of HCC. Liver histology was evaluated according to the METAVIR. Results: 282 patients met the inclusion criteria; most (86%) had a serologic diagnosis of hepatitis C virus, and only 14% had hepatitis B virus at the time of diagnosis of cirrhosis, while 56 and 37% were classified as Child A and B, respectively; only 7% as Child C. Histological activity was mild in 59% of patients; moderate and severe in 41%. Mean annual incidence was 1.87%; 22 and 35% of patients developed HCC at 10 and 15 years of follow-up, respectively. Diagnosis of HCC was made by histopathology in 37% and by tumoral lesion-associated AFP elevation confirmed by imaging studies in 63%. In multivariate analysis, 3 variables were associated with HCC: moderate to severe histological activity; platelet count <105 103/mm3, and alpha- fetoprotein >5 ng/mL. We divided patients into two groups according to regression coefficient: low and high-risk; patients assigned to the low-risk group showed 5, 10, and 15-year HCC incidences of 3.4, 6.4, and 6.4%, respectively, in contrast to patients from the high-risk group, who showed incidences of 17.8, 33.5, and 56.8%, respectively. Conclusions: We found three HCC-associated variables: histological activity; platelet count and alpha-fetoprotein levels. Patients considered as high-risk for developing hepatocellular carcinoma must be considered candidates for closer follow-up. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Eltabbakh ◽  
Heba M. Abdella ◽  
Safaa Askar ◽  
Mohamed A. Abuhashima ◽  
Mohamed K. Shaker

Abstract Background Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer worldwide. There are multiple factors that could affect the malignancy and progression of HCC including tumor number, size, and macrovascular invasion. The alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) model was validated as a predictor for HCC recurrence post-liver transplantation, especially in France. However, the AFP model has not been studied on patients with HCC undergoing locoregional treatment. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of the AFP model in patients with HCC undergoing trans arterial chemoembolization (TACE). This cohort study was conducted at Ain Shams University Hospitals, Cairo, Egypt. We included all newly diagnosed patients with HCC who were fit for TACE from January 2012 to January 2017. The AFP model was calculated for each patient before TACE. Subsequently, we classified them into low- and high-risk groups for TACE. The patients were followed up by AFP level and triphasic spiral CT performed 1 month after TACE to evaluate the response then at 4 months and 7 months post TACE to evaluate the local and distant recurrence. Results One hundred and thirty-two patients were included in the study. Complete response (CR) was achieved nonsignificantly at a higher percentage in the low-risk group in comparison with the high-risk group. One- and three-year recurrence-free survivals (RFS) were longer in the low-risk group in comparison with the high-risk group (50% and 24.1% vs. 29.1% and 16.2%, respectively). One- and three-year overall survival (OS) rates were 97% and 37.3% in the low-risk group vs. 98.1% and 11.6% in the high-risk group, respectively, without statistical significance. On classifying patients with AFP levels < 100 IU/mL into low- and high-risk patients, CR was achieved in a significantly higher percentage in the low-risk group in comparison with the high-risk group(P < 0.05). Recurrence occurred nonsignificantly in a less percentage in low than high-risk group. The median OS was significantly higher in the low-risk group in comparison with that in the high-risk group (18 vs. 16 months respectively) (P < 0.01). Conclusion The AFP model may have a prognostic value for patients with HCC undergoing TACE especially in patients with an AFP level < 100 IU/mL.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongdong Zhou ◽  
Xiaoli Liu ◽  
Xinhui Wang ◽  
Fengna Yan ◽  
Peng Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (AFP-NHCC) (< 8.78 ng/mL) have special clinicopathologic characteristics and prognosis. The aim of this study was to apply a new method to establish and validate a new model for predicting the prognosis of patients with AFP-NHCC. Methods A total of 410 AFP-negative patients with clinical diagnosed with HCC following non-surgical therapy as a primary cohort; 148 patients with AFP-NHCC following non-surgical therapy as an independent validation cohort. In primary cohort, independent factors for overall survival (OS) by LASSO Cox regression were all contained into the nomogram1; by Forward Stepwise Cox regression were all contained into the nomogram2. Nomograms performance and discriminative power were assessed with concordance index (C-index) values, area under curve (AUC), Calibration curve and decision curve analyses (DCA). The results were validated in the validation cohort. Results The C-index of nomogram1was 0.708 (95%CI: 0.673–0.743), which was superior to nomogram2 (0.706) and traditional modes (0.606–0.629). The AUC of nomogram1 was 0.736 (95%CI: 0.690–0.778). In the validation cohort, the nomogram1 still gave good discrimination (C-index: 0.752, 95%CI: 0.691–0.813; AUC: 0.784, 95%CI: 0.709–0.847). The calibration curve for probability of OS showed good homogeneity between prediction by nomogram1 and actual observation. DCA demonstrated that nomogram1 was clinically useful. Moreover, patients were divided into three distinct risk groups for OS by the nomogram1: low-risk group, middle-risk group and high-risk group, respectively. Conclusions Novel nomogram based on LASSO Cox regression presents more accurate and useful prognostic prediction for patients with AFP-NHCC following non-surgical therapy. This model could help patients with AFP-NHCC following non-surgical therapy facilitate a personalized prognostic evaluation.


Author(s):  
Hui Huang ◽  
Si-min Ruan ◽  
Meng-fei Xian ◽  
Ming-de Li ◽  
Mei-qing Cheng ◽  
...  

Objectives: This study aimed to construct a prediction model based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) ultrasomics features and investigate its efficacy in predicting early recurrence (ER) of primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after resection or ablation. Methods: This study retrospectively included 215 patients with primary HCC, who were divided into a developmental cohort (n = 139) and a test cohort (n = 76). Four representative images—grayscale ultrasound, arterial phase, portal venous phase and delayed phase —were extracted from each CEUS video. Ultrasomics features were extracted from tumoral and peritumoral area inside the region of interest. Logistic-regression was used to establish models, including a tumoral model, a peritumoral model and a combined model with additional clinical risk factors. The performance of the three models in predicting recurrence within 2 years was verified. Results: The combined model performed best in predicting recurrence within 2 years, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.845, while the tumoral model had an AUC of 0.810 and the peritumoral model one of 0.808. For prediction of recurrence-free survival, the 2 year cumulative recurrence rate was significant higher in the high-risk group (76.5%) than in the low-risk group (9.5%; p < 0.0001). Conclusion: These CEUS ultrasomics models, especially the combined model, had good efficacy in predicting early recurrence of HCC. The combined model has potential for individual survival assessment for HCC patients undergoing resection or ablation. Advances in knowledge: CEUS ultrasomics had high sensitivity, specificity and PPV in diagnosing early recurrence of HCC, and high efficacy in predicting early recurrence of HCC (AUC > 0.8). The combined model performed better than the tumoral ultrasomics model and peritumoral ultrasomics model in predicting recurrence within 2 years. Recurrence was more likely to occur in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group, with 2-year cumulative recurrence rates respectively 76.5% and 9.5% (p < 0.0001).


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshitaka Ito ◽  
Kazuhiro Naito ◽  
Katsuhisa Waseda ◽  
Hiroaki Takashima ◽  
Akiyoshi Kurita ◽  
...  

Background: While anticoagulant therapy is standard management for atrial fibrillation (Af), dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is needed after stent implantation for coronary artery disease. HAS-BLED score estimates risk of major bleeding for patients on anticoagulation to assess risk-benefit in Af care. However, it is little known about usefulness of HAS-BLED score in Af patient treated with coronary stents requiring DAPT or DAPT plus warfarin (triple therapy: TT). The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of HAS-BLED score on major bleeding in Af patients undergoing DAPT or TT. Methods: A total of 837 consecutive patients were received PCI in our hospital from Jan. 2007 to Dec. 2010, and 66 patients had Af or paroxysmal Af at the time of PCI. Clinical events including major bleeding (cerebral or gastrointestinal bleeding) were investigated up to 3 years. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on HAS-BLED score (High-risk group: HAS-BLED score≥4, n=19 and Low-risk group: HAS-BLED score<4, n=47). DAPT therapy was required for a minimum 12 months after stent implantation and warfarin was prescribed based on physicians’ discretion. Management/change of antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy during follow-up periods were also up to physicians’ discretion. Results: Baseline characteristics were not different between High-risk and Low-risk group except for age. Overall incidence of major bleeding was observed in 8 cases (12.1%) at 3 years follow-up. Major bleeding event was significantly higher in High-risk group compared with Low-risk group (31.6% vs. 4.3%, p=0.002). However, management of DAPT and TT was not different between the 2 groups. Among component of HAS-BLED score, renal dysfunction and bleeding contributed with increased number of the score. Conclusion: High-risk group was more frequently observed major bleeding events compared with Low-risk group in patients with Af following DES implantation regardless of antiplatelet/anticoagulant therapy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 75s-75s
Author(s):  
Sandra Luna-Fineman ◽  
Soad L. Alabi ◽  
Mauricio E. Castellanos ◽  
Yessika Gamboa ◽  
Ligia Fu ◽  
...  

Abstract 57a Purpose: A significant percentage of patients in Central America present with buphthalmos, carrying a high risk of globe rupture and orbital contamination. In 2007, AHOPCA introduced chemotherapy before enucleation in children with buphthalmos. Methods: Patients with advanced intraocular disease were considered standard-risk and underwent enucleation. Those with diffuse invasion of choroid, postlaminar optic nerve, or anterior chamber invasion received 4-6 cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy (vincristine, carboplatin, etoposide). Patients with buphthalmos or perceived to be at risk for abandonment were considered high-risk, given 2-3 cycles of chemotherapy before enucleation to compete 6 cycles regardless of pathology. All cases were discussed via online meetings. Results: From 2007 to 2014, 396 patients were enrolled; 240 had IRSS stage I (174 unilateral). 143 had upfront enucleation, 95 had pre-enucleation chemotherapy, 1 is pending enucleation and 1 abandoned before enucleation. The standard-risk group 69 had risk pathology and 76 had no risk factors; 125 had no events, 5 abandoned 11 relapsed/progressed and 2 died of toxicity. Of 95 high-risk group, 8 abandoned, 20 relapse/progressive, 6 had toxic deaths and 61 are alive at last follow-up (median time of 4 years). Of high risk group, 55 were unilateral, 82% are alive. At 7 years OS (abandonment-censored) was 95±0.02 and 79±0.04 for standard-risk and high-risk (p=0.008). Conclusion: AHOPCA addressed advanced intraocular disease with an innovative approach. In eyes with buphthalmos and patients with risk of abandonment, neo-adjuvant chemotherapy is effective, when followed by post-enucleation chemotherapy. This approach avoids ocular rupture and intensified therapy, and reduces refusal/abandonment rate. AUTHORS' DISCLOSURES OF POTENTIAL CONFLICTS OF INTEREST: No COIs from the authors.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 846-846
Author(s):  
Vikram Mathews ◽  
Biju George ◽  
Kavitha M Lakshmi ◽  
Auro Viswabandya ◽  
Ezhilarasi Chendamarai ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 846 We had previously reported a well tolerated regimen using single agent arsenic trioxide (ATO) (Blood 2006:107; 2627) leading to durable remissions in patients with newly diagnosed acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL). Briefly, the regimen consisted of ATO (10mg/day for adults and 0.15mg/kg/day for pediatric patients) for up to 60 days in induction; this was followed by a 28 day consolidation after a 4 week break. Four weeks after completion of consolidation, patients received ATO for 10 days/month for 6 months. A concern with the previous report was the relatively short duration of follow up. Here we report the long term follow-up data of the same cohort. As previously reported, 72 newly diagnosed cases of APL were enrolled. 62 patients (86.1%) achieved hematological remission. The remaining died prior to achieving remission. There were no primary induction failures. Twenty two (30.6%) of these patients were considered good risk group (WBC count at diagnosis <5×109/L and a platelet count >20×109/L), the rest were considered high risk. Since publication of the last report an additional 7 patients have relapsed to give a total of 13 relapses, 2 were in the good risk group and the remaining 11 in the high risk group. The relapses in the good risk group were salvaged with an autologous SCT and have durable continued second remissions. The median time to relapse was 1.5 years. Five (38.52%) of these relapses occurred beyond 2 years and included both relapses in the good risk group. At a median follow-up of 58 months the 5-year Kaplan-Meier overall survival (OS), event free survival (EFS) and disease free survival (DFS) of the entire cohort was 74.22±5.26%, 68.93±5.52% and 80.00±5.17% respectively. The 5-year OS and EFS of the good risk and high risk group was 100±00% vs. 63.30±6.9% and 90.00±6.71% vs. 59.66±6.99% respectively. Beyond induction, all deaths followed relapse of disease. There were no second malignancies reported. Besides the previously reported toxicities, which were mild and transient in most cases, there were no new toxicities that were reported on continued follow up of these cases. Since completion of therapy, in spite of counseling and advising against pregnancy, 3 males and 4 females in the reproductive age group have had 8 normal children. No abortions, still births or fetal defects were reported among patients in the reproductive age group in this cohort. Hair and nail samples from 5 cases that had completed maintenance therapy more than 24 months earlier have been collected for analysis, the results of which are awaited. At our center the cost of administering this regimen is a quarter of that of a conventional ATRA plus anthracycline based regimen. Additionally, after the initial induction therapy the rest of the treatment did not require hospital admission nor did it result in any Grade III/IV hematological toxicity. Single agent ATO based regimen as reported previously is well tolerated, results in durable remissions and does not have any significant late side effects. In the good risk group it is associated with excellent clinical outcomes while in the high risk group additional interventions are probably required to reduce the risk of late relapses. In a resource constrained environment it is probably the best option. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 534-534
Author(s):  
Natasha Catherine Edwin ◽  
Jesse Keller ◽  
Suhong Luo ◽  
Kenneth R Carson ◽  
Brian F. Gage ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Patients with multiple myeloma (MM) have a 9-fold increased risk of developing venous thromboembolism (VTE). Current guidelines recommend pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis in patients with MM receiving an immunomodulatory agent in the presence of additional VTE risk factors (NCCN 2015, ASCO 2014, ACCP 2012). However, putative risk factors vary across guidelines and no validated VTE risk tool exists for MM. Khorana et al. developed a VTE risk score in patients with solid organ malignancies and lymphoma (Blood, 2008). We sought to apply the Khorana et al. score in a population with MM. Methods We identified patients diagnosed with MM within the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) between September 1, 1999 and December 31, 2009 using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-03 code 9732/3. We followed the cohort through October 2014. To eliminate patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance and smoldering myeloma, we excluded patients who did not receive MM-directed therapy within 6 months of diagnosis. We also excluded patients who did not have data for hemoglobin (HGB), platelet (PLT) count, white blood count (WBC), height and weight, as these are all variables included in the Khorana et al. risk model. Height and weight were assessed within one month of diagnosis and used to calculate body mass index (BMI). We measured HGB, PLT count, and WBC count prior to treatment initiation: within two months of MM diagnosis. A previously validated algorithm, using a combination of ICD-9 code for VTE plus pharmacologic treatment for VTE or IVC filter placement, identified patients with incident VTE after MM diagnosis (Thromb Res, 2015). The study was approved by the Saint Louis VHA Medical Center and Washington University School of Medicine institutional review boards. We calculated VTE risk using the Khorana et al. score: We assigned 1 point each for: PLT ≥ 350,000/μl, HGB < 10 g/dl, WBC > 11,000/μl, and BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2. Patients with 0 points were at low-risk, 1-2 points were considered intermediate-risk and ≥3 points were termed high-risk for VTE. We assessed the relationship between risk-group and development of VTE using logistic regression at 3- and 6-months. We tested model discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (concordance statistic, c) with a c-statistic range of 0.5 (no discriminative ability) to 1.0 (perfect discriminative ability). Results We identified 1,520 patients with MM: 16 were high-risk, 802 intermediate-risk, and 702 low-risk for VTE using the scoring system in the Khorana et al. score. At 3-months of follow-up, a total of 76 patients developed VTE: 27 in the low-risk group, 48 in the intermediate-risk group, and 1 in the high-risk group. At 6-months of follow-up there were 103 incident VTEs: 41 in the low-risk group, 61 in the intermediate-risk group, and 1 in the high-risk group. There was no significant difference between risk of VTE in the high- or intermediate-risk groups versus the low-risk group (Table 1). The c-statistic was 0.56 at 3-months and 0.53 at 6-months (Figure 1). Conclusion Previously, the Khorana score was developed and validated to predict VTE in patients with solid tumors. It was not a strong predictor of VTE risk in MM. There is a need for development of a risk prediction model in patients with MM. Figure 1. Figure 1. Disclosures Carson: American Cancer Society: Research Funding. Gage:National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute: Research Funding. Kuderer:Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC: Consultancy, Honoraria. Sanfilippo:National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute: Research Funding.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Lingling He ◽  
Shuan Zhang ◽  
Xiaoli Liu ◽  
Yuyong Jiang ◽  
Xianbo Wang ◽  
...  

Aim. To establish a new score model to predict risk of death in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and type 2 diabetes mellitus.Methods. This was a retrospective study of 147 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and type 2 diabetes mellitus who came to Beijing Ditan Hospital between October 2008 and June 2013. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to obtain the independent factors associated with death risk. A new score model was devised according to these factors.Results. A prediction score model composed of HbA1c, NLR, age, and CTP class was devised, which ranged from 0 to 7. AUROC of the score was 0.853 (P<0.001, 95% CI: 0.791–0.915). Scores 0–2, 3-4, and 5–7 identified patients as low-, medium-, and high-risk categories. The cumulative survival rate was 93.6%, 83.0%, and 74.5% in the low-risk group in 1, 2, and 3 years, while it was 64.0%, 46.0%, and 26.0% in the medium-risk group, whereas it was 24.0%, 12.0%, and 6.0% in the high-risk group, respectively. The cumulative survival rate was significantly higher in the low-risk group than that in the medium-risk group and high-risk group (P<0.001).Conclusion. The HbA1c-based score model can be used to predict death risk in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and type 2 diabetes mellitus.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-95
Author(s):  
Ioan-Mihai Japie ◽  
Dragoș Rădulescu ◽  
Adrian Bădilă ◽  
Alexandru Papuc ◽  
Traian Ciobanu ◽  
...  

AbstractIntroduction: In order to diagnose and stage malignant bone tumors, the pathologic examination of harvested pieces with immunohistochemistry test is necessary; they also provide information regarding the prognosis on a medium to long term. Among tissular biomarkers with potential predictive value, a raised Ki-67 protein level is used to determine the risk of local recurrence or metastasis.Material and method: This study was performed on 50 patients with primary malignant bone tumors admitted in the Traumatology and Orthopedy Department of University Emergency Hospital, Bucharest. Patients repartition according to diagnosis was the following: 21 patients with osteosarcoma, 18 patients with chondrosarcoma, 6 patients with Ewing sarcoma, 3 patients with malignant fibrous histiocytoma, and 2 with fibrosarcoma. The follow-up period was between 12 and 72 months with a mean of 26 months.Results: Patients were aged between 18 and 77 years old, with a mean age of 41,36. There were 22 women and 28 men. No sex or age difference was notable for the tumor outcome. After calculating the Ki-67 LI, 36 patients were included in the high-risk group (Ki-67 LI > 25%), while 14 had a low risk for metastasis and local relapse (Ki-67 < 25%). The low-risk patients had chondrosarcoma (8 patients), osteosarcoma (5 patients), and fibrosarcoma (1 patient). During the follow-up, 8 patients, all belonging to the high risk group, developed metastasis, while 5 patients developed local recurrences; 4 patients who relapsed belonged to the high risk group and 1 to the low risk group. Metastases developed in 3 patients with osteosarcoma, 2 with Ewing sarcoma, 2 with chondrosarcoma and 1 patient with fibrosarcoma. Most metastases occurred within one year after surgery. The other fibrosarcoma patient developed local recurrence after 6 months, while the other local recurrences occurred in osteosarcoma patients (2 cases) and 1 in a Ewing sarcoma patient and chondrosarcoma patient.Conclusions: Our study concluded that while Ki-67 LI values are useful in determining the aggressivity of primary malignant bone tumors, it should always be used in conjunction with the clinical, imaging and anatomopathological diagnosis methods in order to accurately predict the patients’ outcome.


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