Framingham risk score after risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy in women at risk for hereditary breast ovarian cancer: A controlled observational study

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 11048-11048
Author(s):  
T. M. Michelsen ◽  
S. Tonstad ◽  
A. A. Dahl ◽  
A. H. Pripp ◽  
C. G. Tropé ◽  
...  

11048 Background: Risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO) effectively prevents ovarian cancer in BRCA mutation carriers and in women at risk for hereditary breast-ovarian cancer. RRSO induces immediate menopause, which may increase the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). Our aim was to determine CHD risk using Framingham risk score and examine factors associated with this risk in women who had undergone RRSO compared to population-based controls. Methods: A sample of 326 (65% of invited) women who underwent RRSO after genetic counseling from 1980–2005 provided completed questionnaires, physical measures, and blood samples. Controls were 1,630 age-matched controls from the Norwegian Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT-2) (1995- 97). Results: Mean age in both the RRSO and control groups at survey was 54.4 years. Mean follow-up after surgery was 6.5 years (SD 4.4). The RRSO group had a more favorable CHD risk profile (higher education, more physical activity, less smoking, lower total cholesterol, higher HDL cholesterol, lower systolic blood pressure and lower BMI) and lower Framingham total score compared to controls (p<0.05). In multiple logistic regression analyses RRSO was inversely associated with Framingham 10-year risk ≥5% (Odds Ratio 0.49, 95% CI [0.34, 0.71] p<0.001). Conclusions: In contrast to expectation, women at increased risk of hereditary breast ovarian cancer had a favorable CHD risk profile after RRSO compared to age-matched controls from the general population, and RRSO was associated with lower Framingham risk score. Follow-up time, self-selection of women seeking genetic counseling, changes in lifestyle after surgery and survival bias are possible explanations of this finding. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Saluja ◽  
H Contractor ◽  
M Daniells ◽  
J Sobolewska ◽  
K Khan ◽  
...  

Abstract Background There is existing evidence to suggest a correlation between coronary artery calcification (CAC) measured using ECG-triggered chest computed tomography and cardiovascular disease. Further evidence has emerged to suggest a correlation between CAC measured using non-gated CT scans and cardiovascular disease. Herein, we sought to ascertain the utility of incidental findings of CAC on non-triggered high resolution CT (HRCT) thorax used for patients undergoing lung cancer screening or follow-up for interstitial lung disease and Framingham risk score (FRS) in predicting cardiovascular events. Methods The Computerised Radiology Information Service (CRIS) database was manually searched to determine all HRCT scans performed in a single trust from 05/2015 to 05/2016. The reports issued by Radiologists and images of selected studies were reviewed. For patients with CAC, we calculated the calcium score for patients using the Agatston method. Clinical events were determined from the electronic medical record without knowledge of patients' CAC findings. For these patients, the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) was also calculated. The primary end point of the study was composite of all-cause mortality and cardiac events (non-fatal myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, new atrial fibrillation or heart failure episode requiring hospitalization). Results We selected 300 scans from a total of approximately 2000 scans performed over this time. Data at follow up was available for 100% of the patients, with a median duration of follow up of 1.6 years. Moderate to severe CAC was found in 35% of people. Multivariable analysis showed good concordance between CAC and FRS in predicting composite clinical end point. The Odds Ratio for cardiac events in patients with moderate to severe CAC was 5.3 (p&lt;0.01) and for composite clinical end point was 3.4 (p&lt;0.01). This is similar to the OR predicted by the FRS: 4.8; p&lt;0.01 and 3.1; p&lt;0.01 respectively. Only 6.2% of patients with moderate to severe CAC were currently statin treated. Conclusion In this retrospective study of patients with respiratory disease attending for HRCT scanning, co-incidentally detected CAC predicts cardiac events, with good concordance with the FRS. The incidental finding of CAC on non-gated CT scanning should be reported with Agatston score calculation allowing consideration of intervention to mitigate cardiovascular risk and optimize. Further multi-centre prospective studies of this strategy, with a larger patient cohort should be conducted to clarify the utility of CAC as a prediction tool to modify cardiac risk. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Niloofar Barzegar ◽  
Maryam Tohidi ◽  
Mitra Hasheminia ◽  
Fereidoun Azizi ◽  
Farzad Hadaegh

Abstract Background To investigate whether the Triglyceride-Glucose index (TyG-index) is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD)/coronary heart disease (CHD). Methods A total of 7521 Iranians aged ≥ 30 years (male = 3367) were included in the study. Multivariate Cox regression analyses (adjusted for age, gender, waist circumference, body mass index, educational level, smoking status, physical activity, family history of CVD, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, low and high density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipid lowering drugs) were used to assess the risk of incident CVD/CHD across quintiles and for 1-standard deviation (SD) increase in the TyG-index. The cut off point for TyG-index was assessed by the minimum value of $$\sqrt {\left( {1 - sensitivity} \right)^{2} + \left( {1 - specificity} \right)^{2} }$$ 1 - s e n s i t i v i t y 2 + 1 - s p e c i f i c i t y 2 . We also examined the added value of the TyG-index in addition to the Framingham risk score when predicting CVD. Results During follow-up, 1084 cases of CVD (male = 634) were recorded. We found a significant trend of TyG-index for incident CVD/CHD in multivariate analysis (both Ps for tend ≤ 0.002). Moreover, a 1-SD increase in TyG-index was associated with significant risk of CVD/CHD in multivariate analysis [1.16 (1.07–1.25) and 1.19 (1.10–1.29), respectively]. The cut-off value of TyG-index for incident CVD was 9.03 (59.2% sensitivity and 63.2% specificity); the corresponding value of TyG-index for incident CHD was 9.03 (60.0% sensitivity and 62.8% specificity), respectively. Although no interaction was found between gender and TyG-index for CVD/CHD in multivariate analysis (both Ps for interaction > 0.085), the significant trend of TyG-index was observed only among females for incident CVD (P = 0.035). A significant interaction was found between age groups (i.e. ≥ 60 vs < 60 years) and TyG-index for CVD outcomes in the multivariate model (P-value for interaction = 0.046). Accordingly, a significant association between the TyG-index and outcomes was found only among the younger age group. Among the population aged < 60 the addition of TyG-index to the Framingham risk score (FRS) did not show improvement in the predictive ability of the FRS, using integrated discrimination improvement. Conclusion The TyG-index is significantly associated with increased risk of CVD/CHD incidence; this issue was more prominent among the younger population. However, adding TyG-index to FRS does not provide better risk prediction for CVD.


2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (10) ◽  
pp. 2246-2252 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reci Meseri ◽  
Reyhan Ucku ◽  
Belgin Unal

AbstractObjectiveTo determine the best anthropometric measurement among waist: height ratio (WHtR), BMI, waist:hip ratio (WHR) and waist circumference (WC) associated with high CHD risk in adults and to define the optimal cut-off point for WHtR.DesignPopulation-based cross-sectional study.SettingBalcova, Izmir, Turkey.SubjectsIndividuals (n 10 878) who participated in the baseline survey of the Heart of Balcova Project. For each participant, 10-year coronary event risk (Framingham risk score) was calculated using data on age, sex, smoking status, blood pressure, serum lipids and diabetes status. Participants who had risk higher than 10 % were defined as ‘medium or high risk’.ResultsAmong the participants, 67·7 % were female, 38·2 % were obese, 24·5 % had high blood pressure, 9·2 % had diabetes, 1·5 % had undiagnosed diabetes (≥126 mg/dl), 22·0 % had high total cholesterol and 45·9 % had low HDL-cholesterol. According to Framingham risk score, 32·7 % of them had a risk score higher than 10 %. Those who had medium or high risk had significantly higher mean BMI, WHtR, WHR and WC compared with those at low risk. According to receiver-operating characteristic curves, WHtR was the best and BMI was the worst indicator of CHD risk for both sexes. For both men and women, 0·55 was the optimal cut-off point for WHtR for CHD risk.ConclusionsBMI should not be used alone for evaluating obesity when estimating cardiometabolic risks. WHtR was found to be a successful measurement for determining cardiovascular risks. A cut-off point of ‘0·5’ can be used for categorizing WHtR in order to target people at high CHD risk for preventive actions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Elijah Stone ◽  
Yuling Zhou ◽  
Herbert Jelinek ◽  
Craig S. Mclachlan

Abstract Background Prolonged electrocardiogram (ECG) QRS duration has been associated with increased cardiovascular risk. It is unclear whether the main predictor of cardiovascular risk, the Framingham risk score also predicts short-term changes in ECG QRS duration. Our aim is to determine whether baseline Framingham risk score is associated with baseline or changes in QRS duration. Methods A retrospective cross-sectional analysis was performed using observational data obtained from two hundred two participants. Framingham risk score was calculated using an online risk calculator. QRS duration was obtained using a 10 s trace from a Welch Allyn PC-based 12-lead ECG system. Results Average follow-up duration was 3.3 ± 1.1 years. Mean QRS change was 1.8 ± 11.4 ms. Specifically, among two hundred two participants, there are 104 subjects with a greater QRS duration at follow-up, while 98 subjects had the same or a shorter follow-up QRS duration. Baseline Framingham risk score did not significantly predict an increase in QRSd with an odds ratio of 1.04 (P = 0.230). Regression analysis of QRS duration at baseline and Framingham risk at baseline had a weak association (R2 = 0.020; P = 0.043). The Framingham risk score at follow-up was likewise has a weak association with follow-up QRS duration (R2 = 0.045; P = 0.002). Conclusions Our results do not demonstrate a statistically significant association between Framingham risk parameters and future QRS duration changes over longitudinal time. QRS duration had variable changes between baseline and follow-up. This might suggest that a longer period of follow-up is required to document more stable increases in QRS duration associated with ventricular pathology. A larger population study is needed to confirm our observations.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Molly Jung ◽  
Hector M Medina ◽  
Martha Daviglus ◽  
Marina DelRios ◽  
Mario Garcia ◽  
...  

Introduction: The Framingham Risk Score (FRS) is a coronary heart disease (CHD) risk model established using an ethnically homogeneous population that predicts 10-year hard CHD events, myocardial infarction (MI) and coronary death. The Reynolds Risk Score (RRS) and Global Vascular Risk Score (GVRS) are validated CHD risk models that, in addition to hard CHD events, predict stroke and other CHD outcomes. In addition to major CHD risk factors, RRS adds systemic inflammation and family history of MI as GVRS adds behavioral and anthropometric measures. This study aims to compare agreement of RRS and GVRS with FRS among Hispanic/Latino adults and to describe discordance in RRS and GVRS with FRS categories, by socio-demographic characteristics. Methods: HCHS/SOL is a population-based cohort study of Hispanics/Latinos in four US communities. The analytic sample includes 6,058 non-diabetic participants 45-74 years of age with no past history of CHD and stroke who underwent comprehensive baseline examination. 10-year hard CHD risk score was calculated; participants were categorized as low (<10%), moderate (10-<20%), and high (≥20%) risk. Kappa scores were calculated to compare agreement of RRS and GVRS with FRS. Socio-demographic characteristics of concordance and discordance were characterized overall; multinomial logistic regression models was used to examine age-sex-adjusted likelihood of in discordance by these factors. Results: Mean age of the participants was 55 (SE=0.15) years, 54.3% were women, 41% had family history of CHD, and 90% were foreign born. Overall, 4,805 (74%) had low FRS, 1,143 (24%) had moderate FRS, and 110 (2%) had high FRS. There was poor agreement between RRS and FRS (Kappa=0.16, P<0.01) and fair agreement between GVRS and FRS (Kappa=0.36, P<0.01). In age-sex-adjusted analyses, RRS and GVRS were both more likely to classify persons of moderate and high risk who are between the ages of 60-74; GVRS classified more moderate and high risk women than the FRS. RRS and GVRS discordance with FRS was not associated with nativity and length of time in US. Conclusion: Significant discordance was observed between RRS and GVRS compared to FRS. Among Hispanic/Latino adults, use of RRS or GVRS may be more inclusive in classifying older age adults and women at high 10-year CHD risk.


2008 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 401-412 ◽  
Author(s):  
EWA ANITA JANKOWSKA ◽  
ALICJA SZKLARSKA ◽  
ANNA LIPOWICZ ◽  
MONIKA ŁOPUSZAŃSKA ◽  
SŁAWOMIR KOZIEL ◽  
...  

SummaryIn modern societies, there are regular social gradients in most health parameters, and also in the structure of morbidity and mortality. However, the significance of inter-generation social mobility for general health status still remains equivocal. This study was therefore performed in order to compare the effect of social mobility on coronary heart disease (CHD) risk between middle-aged Polish men and women. A total of 342 men and 458 women, aged 40 and 50 and inhabitants of Wrocław, were examined. Risk of CHD was estimated using the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), calculated for each individual. Social mobility was defined as an inter-generation change in social status expressed as educational level between the examined individual and his/her father. Using two-variable regression models, it was demonstrated that FRS in men was determined by both their father’s education level (β=0·33, p<0·0001) and inter-generation change in educational status (β=0·18, p=0·008). In contrast, FRS in women was related only to their father’s education level (β=0·35, p<0·0001), but not to inter-generation social mobility (β=0·35, p=0·25). In particular, an incremental change in educational level among those men whose father had finished primary school at the very most or among those whose father had finished basic trade school was accompanied by a significant decrease in FRS (F=4·12, p=0·009 and F=3·25, p=0·04, respectively). It is concluded that inter-generation social mobility modifies CHD risk (as estimated using FRS) in middle-aged Polish men, but not in women. The precise mechanisms responsible for the observed sex difference in this phenomenon need to be established in further studies.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document