scholarly journals Previsibilidade de Retorno das Ações na Bovespa: Um Teste Envolvendo o Modelo de Fator de Retorno Esperado

2004 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 183
Author(s):  
Luciano Martin Rostagno ◽  
Gilberto De Oliveira Kloeckner ◽  
João Luiz Becker
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Return Predictability ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Theoretical Assumptions ◽  
History Of

This paper examines the hypothesis of asst return predictability in the Brazilian Stock Market (Bovespa). Evidence suggests that seven factors explain most of the monthly differential returns of the stocks included in the sample. Within the factors that present statistically significant mean, two are liquidity factors (market capitalization and trading volume trend), three refer to price level of stocks (dividend to price, dividend to price trend, and cash flow to price), and two relate to price history of stocks (3 and 12 months excess return). Contradicting theoretical assumptions, risk factors present no explanatory power on cross-sectional returns. Using an expected return factor model, it is contended that stock returns are quite predictable. An investment simulation shows that the model is able to assemble portfolios with statistically significant higher returns. Additional tests indicate that the winner portfolios are not fundamentally riskier suggesting mispricing of assets in the Brazilian stock Market.

Performance of Socially Responsible Portfolios Across Sectors in Indian Stock Market

Think India ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 01-09
Author(s):  
Vanita Tripathi ◽  
Varun Bhandari
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Sharpe Ratio ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Socially Responsible ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Responsible Investing ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
Three Factor

The question of whether socially responsible stocks outperform or under-perform general stocks has been of keen interest for various researchers and academicians. This paper seeks to empirically examine the performance of socially responsible portfolios across various sectors and index of socially responsible and general companies in Indian stock market. We have taken up S&P ESG and CNX NIFTY as the indices of socially responsible and general companies respectively. ESG index has been classified into six different sectors on the basis of GICS. Performance has been evaluated in terms of risk, return and various risk-adjusted measures like Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio, Double Sharpe ratio, Modified Sharpe ratio, M2 measure, Jensens alpha, Famas decomposition measure, etc. We have also checked whether market model is sufficient to explain cross sectional variation in stock returns or we need Fama-French three factor model. The study period ranges from January 1996 – December 2013 and it is further divided into different sub-periods. We find that socially responsible stocks across IT, FMCG and financial sectors are well rewarding in Indian stock market by generating significantly higher returns and outperforming the two indices on the basis of risk-adjusted measures employed during 18 year period and different sub-periods. The results uphold even with the use of market model and Fama-French three factor model by generating highest significant excess returns. There is no empirical evidence on the performance evaluation of socially responsible portfolios across different sectors. Hence this study is first of its kind. This will help investors in selecting best sector for investment in socially responsible companies. Significant higher returns of ESG index and socially responsible stocks across different sectors make Socially Responsible Investing (SRI) a better investment vehicle for investors in India. This is the time when general companies should change their approach and agenda towards CSR and start considering ESG issues as their investment themes. The regulators, policy makers and mutual funds should come up with different socially responsible products and sectoral indices to initiate the movement of SRI across different sectors in India.

scholarly journals THE FOUR-FACTOR MODEL AND STOCK RETURNS IN BANGLADESH

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-149
Author(s):  
Muhammad Saifuddin Khan ◽  
Md. Miad Uddin Fahim
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Market Factors ◽  
Fama And French ◽  
Three Factor

For determining the expected return, and asset pricing, CAPM (Capital asset pricing model) is being used dominantly grounded on only the market (systematic) risk-factor though several anomalies have been revealed in this model. Fama and French (1993) have addressed those anomalies and developed the Three-factor model by combining size and value factors besides market factors. Over time, Carhart (1997) has further developed a model addressing momentum factor besides the three factors of Fama and French (1993) which is known as the Carhart four-factor model. Though several kinds of research have been conducted on the CAPM and three-factor model, little works have been accompanied by the Carhart four-factor model in an evolving market like Bangladesh. The goal of this work is to examine the validity of the Carhart four-factor model and examine the loftier explanatory power in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). From the regression analysis of the Carhart model, we have found that market, size, value, and momentum explain the excess stock return. This study indicates that the Carhart model has the lowest GRS F-statistic, highest adjusted R-squared, and lowest Sharpe ratio in contrast to the CAPM and three-factor model which indicates the superior explanatory power and statistical validity of the Carhart model. JEL Classification Codes: G12, G13, G14.

scholarly journals VAR AND THE CROSS-SECTION OF EXPECTED STOCK RETURNS: AN EMERGING MARKET EVIDENCE

2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 441-459 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dar-Hsin Chen ◽  
Chun-Da Chen ◽  
Su-Chen Wu
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Value At Risk ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Expected Stock Returns ◽  
The Cross

In this paper we investigate the explanatory power of the market beta, firm size, and the book-to-market ratio, as well as Value-at-Risk regarding the cross-sectional expected stock returns in a less developed stock market – Taiwan's stock market. The main purpose is to examine whether the Value-at-Risk factor has marginal explanatory power related to the Fama-French three-factor model. The empirical results show that Value-at-Risk can account for the average stock returns at both 1% and 5% significance levels based on cross-sectional regression analysis. Moreover, from the perspective of the time series regression, the Value-at-Risk factor can also demonstrate the variation of the stock market, especially for the larger companies in the Taiwan stock market.

Cross-Section of Expected Returns Based on Equity Duration

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 297-327
Author(s):  
Sungjeh Moon ◽  
Joonhyuk Song
Keyword(s):  
Cross Section ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Significant Risk Factor ◽  
Expected Returns ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Risk Premiums

We analyze the cross-sectional expected return of KOSPI stocks using equity duration. From 1991 to 2018, we calculate equity durations for the KOSPI listed stocks (including de-listed stocks) and find that the shorter the equity duration, the higher the risk premium. Using the 4-factor model with equity duration added to the benchmark 3-factor model, the explanatory power of the 4-factor model is superior to that of the existing benchmark model in accounting for risk premiums. This is an unusual finding that is not readily explainable by the traditional CAPM or the Fama-French 3-factor model. This can be interpreted that the equity duration is a separate and significant risk factor dissociated from the HML of the 3-factor model.

Important Factors of Estimated Return and Risk: The Taiwan Evidence

2002 ◽  
Vol 05 (01) ◽  
pp. 71-92
Author(s):  
Kuang-Ping Ku ◽  
William T. Lin
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Selection Bias ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Expected Returns ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
High Volatility

This paper seeks to identify which factors are important for estimating portfolio's expected return and standard deviation in the Taiwan stock market. We have summarized from the existing empirical literature a total of 26 factors that may have explanatory power. The results of our evaluation show that except for the trading volume, the remaining 25 factors do not seem to help explain the average stock returns during the July 1985–June 1999 period. However, the power of the trading volume to account for the expected returns on the stock is affected by any changes in the sample or by the use of a different evaluation model. We suggest three potential explanations of why all 26 factors show no stable power to explain average returns on Taiwan stocks: high volatility, selection bias, and market differences. Moreover, we find that all of the 26 factors are important in capturing the systematic covariation in stock returns.

Performance of Socially Responsible Portfolios Across Sectors in Indian Stock Market

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vanita Tripathi ◽  
Varun Bhandari
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Sharpe Ratio ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Socially Responsible ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Responsible Investing ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
Three Factor

The question of whether socially responsible stocks outperform or under-perform general stocks has been of keen interest for various researchers and academicians. This paper seeks to empirically examine the performance of socially responsible portfolios across various sectors and index of socially responsible and general companies in Indian stock market. We have taken up S&P ESG and CNX NIFTY as the indices of socially responsible and general companies respectively. ESG index has been classified into six different sectors on the basis of GICS. Performance has been evaluated in terms of risk, return and various risk-adjusted measures like Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio, Double Sharpe ratio, Modified Sharpe ratio, M2 measure, Jensens alpha, Famas decomposition measure, etc. We have also checked whether market model is sufficient to explain cross sectional variation in stock returns or we need Fama-French three factor model. The study period ranges from January 1996 December 2013 and it is further divided into different sub-periods. We find that socially responsible stocks across IT, FMCG and financial sectors are well rewarding in Indian stock market by generating significantly higher returns and outperforming the two indices on the basis of risk-adjusted measures employed during 18 year period and different sub-periods. The results uphold even with the use of market model and Fama-French three factor model by generating highest significant excess returns. There is no empirical evidence on the performance evaluation of socially responsible portfolios across different sectors. Hence this study is first of its kind. This will help investors in selecting best sector for investment in socially responsible companies. Significant higher returns of ESG index and socially responsible stocks across different sectors make Socially Responsible Investing (SRI) a better investment vehicle for investors in India. This is the time when general companies should change their approach and agenda towards CSR and start considering ESG issues as their investment themes. The regulators, policy makers and mutual funds should come up with different socially responsible products and sectoral indices to initiate the movement of SRI across different sectors in India.

scholarly journals The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns in Brazil

2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 151
Author(s):  
Gyorgy Varga ◽  
Ricardo Dias de Oliveira Brito
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Positive Relation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Expected Stock Returns ◽  
The Cross

In a sample of the Brazilian stock market from 1999 to 2015, this paper shows that the book-to-market and momentum of individual firms capture some of the cross-sectional variation in average stock returns, while the market β and size do not play a role. The positive relation of cross-section of returns with book-to-market is more evident earlier, while the positive relation with momentum is stronger later in the sample. However, because none of these characteristics show explanatory power for all the subsamples studied, we are not fully convinced that they capture fundamental risk factors.

scholarly journals Comparative analysis of the explanatory power of the CAPM and the Fama-French three-factor model on cross-sectional variation of returns on stocks trading on the Official market of the Macedonian Stock exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Fatmir Besimi ◽  
◽  
Ana Bisheva
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Capital Asset Pricing ◽  
Capital Asset ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Asset Pricing Model ◽  
The Cross ◽  
Three Factor

The amount of literature on factors that explain the cross-sectional variation in average returns is vast, however, the majority of these papers attempt to explain the variation of returns in developed and emerging markets. In that sense, the literature lacks sufficient evidence regarding the variation of returns of frontier markets. The Republic of North Macedonia is considered to be a frontier market and in this paper we aim to empirically test the ability of the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Fama-French Three Factor Model in explaining the cross-sectional variations of stock returns of securities trading on the Macedonian Stock Exchange. The empirical study is based on monthly returns from January 2011 to April 2021. Additionally, we use annual data obtained from the financial statements of the analysed companies included in this study. Using OLS time series regression we find that both models have limited explanatory power of the cross-sectional variation in expected returns on the Macedonian Stock Exchange. The study shows that only the size factor exhibits some limited explanatory power regarding stock returns. Based on the comparative analysis the Fama-French Three-Factor Model describes the variation of returns on the MSE much better than the Capital Asset Pricing Model.

Freedom Indices and Capital Asset Pricing Model: Some Malaysian Evidence

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Ying Tay Lee ◽  
Devinaga Rasiah ◽  
Ming Ming Lai
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Firm Size ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Press Freedom ◽  
Capital Asset Pricing ◽  
Capital Asset ◽  
Cross Sectional

Human rights and fundamental freedoms such as economic, political, and press freedoms vary widely from country to country. It creates opportunity and risk in investment decisions. Thus, this study is carried out to examine if the explanatory power of the model for capital asset pricing could be improved when these human rights movement indices are included in the model. The sample for this study comprises of 495 stocks listed in Bursa Malaysia, covering the sampling period from 2003 to 2013. The model applied in this study employed the pooled ordinary least square regression estimation. In addition, the robustness of the model is tested by using firm size as a controlled variable. The findings show that market beta as well as the economic and press freedom indices could explain the cross-sectional stock returns of the Malaysian stock market. By controlling the firm size, it adds marginally to the explanation of the extended CAP model which incorporated economic, political, and press freedom indices.

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