An Analysis of Influencing Factors of Consumption Level Based on Lasso Regression Model—Taking 31 Provinces (Municipalities and Autonomous Regions) in the Mainland of China as an Example

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 2907-2914
Author(s):  
金淋 钟
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Lasso Regression ◽  
Consumption Level ◽  
The Mainland Of China ◽  
Autonomous Regions

scholarly journals Retrospective Study on the Influencing Factors and Prediction of Hospitalization Expenses for Chronic Renal Failure in China Based on Random Forest and LASSO Regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pingping Dai ◽  
Weifu Chang ◽  
Zirui Xin ◽  
Haiwei Cheng ◽  
Wei Ouyang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Renal Failure ◽  
Chronic Renal Failure ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Length Of Stay ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Lasso Regression ◽  
Health Administration ◽  
Selection Operator

Aim: With the improvement in people's living standards, the incidence of chronic renal failure (CRF) is increasing annually. The increase in the number of patients with CRF has significantly increased pressure on China's medical budget. Predicting hospitalization expenses for CRF can provide guidance for effective allocation and control of medical costs. The purpose of this study was to use the random forest (RF) method and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to predict personal hospitalization expenses of hospitalized patients with CRF and to evaluate related influencing factors.Methods: The data set was collected from the first page of data of the medical records of three tertiary first-class hospitals for the whole year of 2016. Factors influencing hospitalization expenses for CRF were analyzed. Random forest and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression models were used to establish a prediction model for the hospitalization expenses of patients with CRF, and comparisons and evaluations were carried out.Results: For CRF inpatients, statistically significant differences in hospitalization expenses were found for major procedures, medical payment method, hospitalization frequency, length of stay, number of other diagnoses, and number of procedures. The R2 of LASSO regression model and RF regression model are 0.6992 and 0.7946, respectively. The mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of the LASSO regression model were 0.0268 and 0.043, respectively, and the MAE and RMSE of the RF prediction model were 0.0171 and 0.0355, respectively. In the RF model, and the weight of length of stay was the highest (0.730).Conclusions: The hospitalization expenses of patients with CRF are most affected by length of stay. The RF prediction model is superior to the LASSO regression model and can be used to predict the hospitalization expenses of patients with CRF. Health administration departments may consider formulating accurate individualized hospitalization expense reimbursement mechanisms accordingly.

scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Changes in Vegetation Cover and Its Influencing Factors in the Loess Plateau of China Based on the Geographically Weighted Regression Model

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 673
Author(s):  
Chen Yang ◽  
Meichen Fu ◽  
Dingrao Feng ◽  
Yiyu Sun ◽  
Guohui Zhai
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Loess Plateau ◽  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Vegetation Cover ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Vegetation Coverage ◽  
The Loess Plateau ◽  
Geographically Weighted Regression Model ◽  
Spatiotemporal Changes

Vegetation plays a key role in ecosystem regulation and influences our capacity for sustainable development. Global vegetation cover has changed dramatically over the past decades in response to both natural and anthropogenic factors; therefore, it is necessary to analyze the spatiotemporal changes in vegetation cover and its influencing factors. Moreover, ecological engineering projects, such as the “Grain for Green” project implemented in 1999, have been introduced to improve the ecological environment by enhancing forest coverage. In our study, we analyzed the changes in vegetation cover across the Loess Plateau of China and the impacts of influencing factors. First, we analyzed the latitudinal and longitudinal changes in vegetation coverage. Second, we displayed the spatiotemporal changes in vegetation cover based on Theil-Sen slope analysis and the Mann-Kendall test. Third, the Hurst exponent was used to predict future changes in vegetation coverage. Fourth, we assessed the relationship between vegetation cover and the influence of individual factors. Finally, ordinary least squares regression and the geographically weighted regression model were used to investigate the influence of various factors on vegetation cover. We found that the Loess Plateau showed large-scale greening from 2000 to 2015, though some regions showed decreasing vegetation cover. Latitudinal and longitudinal changes in vegetation coverage presented a net increase. Moreover, some areas of the Loess Plateau are at risk of degradation in the future, but most areas showed a sustainable increase in vegetation cover. Temperature, precipitation, gross domestic product (GDP), slope, cropland percentage, forest percentage, and built-up land percentage displayed different relationships with vegetation cover. Geographically weighted regression model revealed that GDP, temperature, precipitation, forest percentage, cropland percentage, built-up land percentage, and slope significantly influenced (p < 0.05) vegetation cover in 2000. In comparison, precipitation, forest percentage, cropland percentage, and built-up land percentage significantly affected (p < 0.05) vegetation cover in 2015. Our results enhance our understanding of the ecological and environmental changes in the Loess Plateau.

A Simulation Model for Multi-Factor Sensitivity Analysis on Energy Demand

2012 ◽  
Vol 621 ◽  
pp. 352-355
Author(s):  
Zhong Fu Tan ◽  
Shu Xiang Wang ◽  
Chen Zhang ◽  
Li Qiong Lin ◽  
Yin Hui Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Energy Efficiency ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Simulation Model ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Demand Forecast ◽  
Population Urbanization

This paper analyses multi influencing factors of energy demand, using energy demand forecast regression model reveals inner relations between each factor and energy demand. Establish simulation model of the relation between GDP, energy intense and energy demand. Under the change in population, urbanization and energy efficiency, this paper gives analysis model of energy demand change.

scholarly journals Extracting relationship between air pollution and precipitation using spatio-temporal analysis in Tehran metropolis

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Shokouh Dareshiri ◽  
Mohammadreza Sahelgozin ◽  
Maryam Lotfian ◽  
Jens Ingensand
Keyword(s):  
Air Pollution ◽  
Carbon Monoxide ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Polynomial Regression ◽  
Human Life ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Influencing Factor ◽  
Polynomial Equation ◽  
Temporal Analysis

<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> Precipitation is one of the main stages of the water cycle, and it is required for the organisms to survive on the planet. In contrast, air pollution is a phenomenon that has greatly affected the human life nowadays. Population growth, development of factories and increasing number of fossil fuel vehicles are the most influencing factors on air pollution. In addition to understand nature of precipitation and air pollution, finding relationship between these two phenomena is necessary to make appropriate policies for reducing air pollution. Furthermore, studying trends of precipitation and air pollution in the past, is helpful to forecast the times and places with less precipitation and more air pollution for a better urban management. In this study, we tried to extract any probable relationship between these two parameters by investigating their monthly measured amounts in 22 municipal districts of Tehran in three epochs of time (2009, 2013 and 2017). Carbon Monoxide (CO) was considered as the indicator of air pollution. Results of the study show that the parameters have a significant relationship with each other. By using Pearson Correlation Coefficient and One-Way Variance (ANOVA) test, relationship between the data for each month and for each district of Tehran were studied separately. As the time has passed and the air pollution has increased, the correlation between the parameters in districts has decreased. In addition, during the cold months of the year, the correlations decrease since the fact that precipitation is not the only influencing factor on the air pollution due to the rise of air “Inversion”. Finally, the polynomial regression model of carbon monoxide based on precipitation was extracted for each of the three years. The model suggests a degree three polynomial equation. The obtained coefficients from the regression model show that the relationship between parameters was stronger in the years with more rainfalls. This can be due to the more significant impact of other influencing factors on air pollution, such as population density, wind direction, vehicles and factories in the areas or conditions with a less rainfall.</p>

scholarly journals Screening the Influence of Biomarkers for Metabolic Syndrome in Occupational Population Based on the Lasso Algorithm

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiao-Ying Xie ◽  
Ming-Wei Wang ◽  
Zu-Ying Hu ◽  
Cheng-Jian Cao ◽  
Cong Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Metabolic Syndrome ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Risk Assessment Model ◽  
Lasso Regression

Aim: Metabolic syndrome (MS) screening is essential for the early detection of the occupational population. This study aimed to screen out biomarkers related to MS and establish a risk assessment and prediction model for the routine physical examination of an occupational population.Methods: The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression algorithm of machine learning was used to screen biomarkers related to MS. Then, the accuracy of the logistic regression model was further verified based on the Lasso regression algorithm. The areas under the receiving operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the selection accuracy of biomarkers in identifying MS subjects with risk. The screened biomarkers were used to establish a logistic regression model and calculate the odds ratio (OR) of the corresponding biomarkers. A nomogram risk prediction model was established based on the selected biomarkers, and the consistency index (C-index) and calibration curve were derived.Results: A total of 2,844 occupational workers were included, and 10 biomarkers related to MS were screened. The number of non-MS cases was 2,189 and that of MS was 655. The area under the curve (AUC) value for non-Lasso and Lasso logistic regression was 0.652 and 0.907, respectively. The established risk assessment model revealed that the main risk biomarkers were absolute basophil count (OR: 3.38, CI:1.05–6.85), platelet packed volume (OR: 2.63, CI:2.31–3.79), leukocyte count (OR: 2.01, CI:1.79–2.19), red blood cell count (OR: 1.99, CI:1.80–2.71), and alanine aminotransferase level (OR: 1.53, CI:1.12–1.98). Furthermore, favorable results with C-indexes (0.840) and calibration curves closer to ideal curves indicated the accurate predictive ability of this nomogram.Conclusions: The risk assessment model based on the Lasso logistic regression algorithm helped identify MS with high accuracy in physically examining an occupational population.

scholarly journals Identifying the Dynamic Pattern and Influencing Factors of Influenza in Northwest China from 2013 to 2020, Based on Dynamic Regression Model and Wavelet Analysis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruonan Wang ◽  
Jiancai Du ◽  
Jiangping Li ◽  
Yajuan Zhang ◽  
Jing Wen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wavelet Analysis ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Minimum Temperature ◽  
Public Awareness ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Dynamic Pattern ◽  
Prevention Campaign ◽  
Dynamic Regression Model

Abstract Background: Influenza remains a serious global public health problem and a substantial economic burden. The dynamic pattern of influenza differs considerably among geographic and climatological areas, however, the factors underlying these differences are still uncertain. The aim of this paper is to characterize the dynamic pattern of influenza and its potential influencing factors in Northwest China. Methods: Influenza cases in Ningxia China from Nov. 2013 to Jun. 2020 were served as influenza proxy. Firstly, the baseline seasonal ARIMA model of influenza cases and seasonal pattern were analyzed. Then, the dynamic regression model was used to identifying the potential influencing factors of influenza. In addition, the wavelet analysis was further used to explore the coherence between influenza cases and these significant influencing factors.Results: The high risk periods of influenza in Ningxia presented a winter cycle outbreaks pattern and the fastigium came in January. The seasonal ARIMA(0,0,1)(1,1,0)12 was the optimal baseline forecast model. The dynamic regression models and wavelet analysis indicated that PM2.5 and public awareness are significantly positively associated with influenza, as well as minimum temperature is negatively associated. Conclusion: Meteorological (minimum temperature), pollution (PM2.5) and social (public awareness) factors may significantly associated with influenza in Northwest China. Decreasing PM2.5 concentration or increasing the public awareness prior to the fastigium of influenza may be the serviceable methods to reduce the disease risk of influenza, which have an important implication for policy-makers to choose an optimal time for influenza prevention campaign.

Die Flexion der Indefinita jemand und niemand

2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-243
Author(s):  
Linnéa Weitkamp
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Corpus Study ◽  
Frequent Use ◽  
Current Variation ◽  
Reference Corpus

Abstract This article investigates the inflection of the German indefinite pronouns jemand and niemand in the accusative and dative. The pronouns are used both with inflectional suffix (jemanden/jemandem, niemanden/niemandem) and without (jemand, niemand) and are thus an example of current variation in contemporary German. The grammars take an unusually liberal stance and describe both forms as correct, partially even with preference to the uninflected form. A corpus study which examines conceptually written data of the DeReKo (German reference corpus) and conceptually oral data of the DECOW16B (German web corpus), shows that over 90 % of occurrences are inflected. But almost 10 % of uninflected forms show that these formations are no arbitrary errors either. To find out what influences the presence or absence of the inflectional ending, a binary logistic regression model was calculated. The following factors proved to be significant influencing factors for inflection: the degree of formality (DeReKo vs. DECOW16B), the lexeme (jemand vs. niemand), the case (acc vs. dat), government by preposition vs. government by verb and the following nominalized adjective (jemand anderen). With regard to the different inflectional suffixes, the frequent use of -en in the dative stood out in particular. Although this form is classified as erroneous in all grammars, almost 30 % of the dative occurrences in informal DECOW16B data are formed in this way.

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