scholarly journals Macroeconomic policy regime in Poland

Equilibrium ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 411
Author(s):  
Milka Kazandziska Kazandziska
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Industrial Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Macroeconomic Policy ◽  
Wage Policy ◽  
Foreign Economic Policy

The goal of this paper is to analyse the economic development of Poland using the concept of macroeconomic policy regimes (MPRs). Six elements of a MPR will be identified: foreign economic policy, industrial policy, the financial system, wage policy, monetary policy and fiscal policy. Examining the functionality of the development of these elements applied to Poland is a further aim of this paper. The functionality of the development of the MPR elements will be analysed on the basis of the fulfilment of the objectives, as well as the use of the proposed instruments and strategy assigned to every element of MPR. Due to space limits, we are going to focus on the former in this paper. Taking into consideration that Poland is an emerging and a relatively open economy, foreign economic policy and industrial policy play very significant roles in restructuring of the economy towards production and exports of high value-added products, which would enable the country to follow a growth path consistent with an external balance. The financial needs of the manufacturing sector and particularly of the producers and/or exporters of high-end products need to be satisfied by the financial system, whose stability needs to be secured with the help of monetary policy. The latter is, moreover, in charge of providing low-cost finance and maintaining the stability of the exchange rate. Stabilising the inflation rate would be given to wage policy. Fiscal policy’s main tasks would be to correct aggregate demand shocks and reduce income inequality.

scholarly journals Demand and Defective Growth Patterns: The Role of The Tradable and Non-Tradable Sectors in an Open Economy

2014 ◽  
Vol 104 (5) ◽  
pp. 272-277 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandile Hlatshwayo ◽  
Michael Spence
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Growth Patterns ◽  
Structural Elements ◽  
Total Income ◽  
Us Economy ◽  
The Us ◽  
Tradable Sector

This paper examines the underlying structural elements of US growth patterns, pre- and post-crisis. Prior to the recession, the US economy exhibited a defective growth pattern driven by outsized domestic demand. As domestic aggregate demand retreats to more sustainable levels relative to total income, the tradable side of the economy is a catalyst for restoring strong growth. A structural rebalancing is already underway; although it is only a third of the economy, the tradable sector generated more than half of gross gains in value-added since the start of the recovery. However, distributional issues loom on the horizon.

scholarly journals Monetary policy change of the Central bank of Poland

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 246-259
Author(s):  
Ireneusz Kraś
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Policy Change ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Democratic Character ◽  
National Bank ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Government

Abstract The National Bank of Poland is an institution which, in conjunction with the government is responsible for the implementation of country’s economic policy reinforces its democratic character. Provisions of its operation are governed by the Constitution of The Republic of Poland and by the Act on the National Bank of Poland. To this end, the objective of the present research is to analyse the proposed amendments in the Act on the NBP. The latter concerns the amendment procedures, term of office and the rotations and numbers of Monetary Policy Council. The remaining part of the analyses is dedicated to the issue of dismissal of a MPC’s member in conjunction with the prohibition of occupying other positions, the adoption of the NBP’s financial statements and the separation of instruments of monetary policy’s instruments for stability of domestic financial system. Introduced changes in the proposed draft reduce the independence of the NBP while making it more subject to the Cabinet. Following the result of further consultations on the draft of Act on the NBP, provisions which reduce the independence of the NBP shall be partially removed.

The relationship between financial development and effectiveness of monetary policy: new evidence from ASEAN-3 countries

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zulkefly Abdul Karim ◽  
Danie Eirieswanty Kamal Basa ◽  
Bakri Abdul Karim
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Financial System ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the relationship between financial development (FD) and monetary policy effectiveness (MPE) on output and inflation in ASEAN-3 countries (Singapore, Malaysia and the Philippines). Design/methodology/approach This study uses an open economy structural vector autoregressive model to generate MPE. Then, an autoregressive distributed lagged (ARDL) model is used to analyze the effect of FD on MPE across countries. Findings The findings revealed that FD plays a different role in MPE across countries. In Malaysia, a more developed financial system tends to reduce the MPE on output, whereas in Singapore, results show that the more developed financial system (stock market capitalization) tends to increase MPE on output. However, in the Philippines, the main results show that the effect of FD (liquid liabilities) upon MPE on output is depending on the policy variable (interest rates or money supply). Originality/value This paper fills this gap by providing the first study of ASEAN-3 countries in examining how effective is a monetary policy in response to the development of the financial market across the country. Second, this paper considers two FD indicators, namely, the banking sector and capital market development in investigating its effect on MPE on output and inflation. Third, the authors construct the MPE in each country using a structural (identified) VAR model by aggregating the response of output growth and inflation rate on monetary policy changes (interest rate and money supply) using impulse–response function. Regarding this, the results of this study provide new empirical evidence and insight into the long debate on the relationship between FD and the MPE.

Macro-Policy, Labour Markets, and Industrial Policy

2020 ◽  
pp. 450-484
Author(s):  
Servaas Storm
Keyword(s):  
Structural Change ◽  
Industrial Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Policy Support ◽  
Industrial Diversification ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Industrialization Process ◽  
Labour Regulation

Debates on industrialization and industrial policy have historically had a supply-side bias: development planners focused on strengthening inter-industry linkages, mobilizing savings to finance investment, and the accumulation of technological knowledge. Aggregate demand was expected to accommodate and even facilitate the structural change brought about by the industrialization process. However, botched industrialization experiences in South East Asia, Latin America, and Africa demonstrate that failures to manage demand in ways supportive of industrial policy can slow or even derail industrialization. We use an open-economy growth model of a late industrializing economy, featuring cumulative causation and a (long-run) balance-of-payments constraint, to investigate conflicts and complementarities between macroeconomic and industrial policies. We identify key macro mechanisms that undermine industrialization processes—and highlight macro policies in support of industrial diversification, structural change, and upgrading. We close by arguing that from a macro point of view, the widely held claim that labour laws are a ‘luxury’ developing countries cannot afford, is wrong. Labour regulation and higher real wage growth, when given adequate macroeconomic policy support, can be made to further industrialization.

The Impact of the Industrial Policies Adopted in the Seventeenth Italian Legislature (2013-2018)

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 795-810
Author(s):  
Riccardo Gallo ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Industrial Policy ◽  
Industrial Revolution ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Capacity Utilization ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Utilization Rate ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Italian Economy ◽  
The Impact

This paper offers an analysis of the main industrial policy measures adopted by the three Italian governments following each other on from 2013. The first focused its industrial policy on boosting the creation of innovative start-ups and fostering small-scale enterprises in order to acquire new equipment. The second of these governments stimulated public aggregate demand and passed the reform known as the Jobs Act (2014). The industry’s capacity utilization rate rose in 2016, as did the value added of the companies to their net revenues. In 2017, the third government initiated a project aimed at driving the Italian economy into the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Up to now there have indeed been positive signals from the viewpoint of capital expenditure on plants and equipment, but not yet from that of knowledge and training for new jobs.

scholarly journals The Concept of Macro-Economic Policy Based on the Compromise between Inflation and Growth

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 485-496
Author(s):  
V.I. Maevsky ◽  
◽  
A.A. Rubinstein ◽  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Phillips Curve ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Theoretical Approaches

The article describes a concept of a long-term macro-economic policy based on a compromise between economic growth and inflation that accompanies this growth. This concept differs from the existing theoretical approaches supported by monetary authorities in that it does not rely on the notion of Russia as a small open economy and it does not focus on price volatility as the number one problem in the long-term perspective. The theoretical framework usually used to address the relationship between economic growth and inflation is the Phillips curve and its modifications. In our study, this problem is connected to the phenomenon of non-neutrality of money in the long term. The analysis uses the simulation model of the shifting mode of reproduction (SMR model) and econometric methods. It is shown that a compromise between economic growth and inflation can be achieved if the long-term monetary policy results in the approximately equal rates of real GDP and inflation. Such monetary policy is possible to realize provided that some important macro-economic conditions are fulfilled, for example, the rouble undervaluation coefficient is reduced, the debt-to-gross-domestic- product ratio is increased, the ratio of international (foreign exchange) reserves to GDP is decreased, and the transition to a fiscal deficit policy is implemented. In other words, a systemic approach is required. This is not an easy way but it will ensure a growth in GDP rates and lower inflation.

scholarly journals Structural Changes in Investment and the Waning Power of Monetary Policy

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Justin Bloesch ◽  
Jacob P. Weber
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Value Added ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Secular Change ◽  
Labor Income ◽  
Labor Earnings ◽  
Investment Goods

We argue that secular change in both the production and composition of investment goods has weakened private investment's role in the transmission of monetary policy to labor earnings and consumption. We show analytically that fluctuations in the production of investment goods amplify the response of consumption to monetary policy shocks by varying labor income for hand-to-mouth agents. We document three secular changes that weaken this channel: (i) labor's share of value added in investment goods production has declined, (ii) the import share of investment goods has risen, and (iii) the composition of investment has shifted towards components that are less responsive to monetary policy. A small open economy, two agent New Keynesian model calibrated to match these facts implies a 38% and 26% weaker response of labor income and aggregate consumption, respectively, to real interest rate shocks in a 2010's economy relative to a 1960's economy.

scholarly journals PROBLEMS OF MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION IN GEORGIA IN THE CONDITIONS OF AN OPEN ECONOMY

2017 ◽  
pp. 9-14
Author(s):  
George Abuselidze ◽  
Davit Qatamadze
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Main Concern ◽  
Macroeconomic Stabilization ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Effective System

In the open economy control conditions, the government’s main concern should be ensurance of macroeconomic stabilization. One of real tools for achieving this goal is monetary and budgetary levers’ combination, in which strong fiscal stimuls should be merged with monetary policy, although herewith it requires tough coordination between government-led public and the National Bank’s monetary policies. In addition, we have to note noted that monetary levers should be used to influence tax balance, while fiscal policy should be oriented only on regulation of aggregate demand. Cutting taxes and decreasing government spending is essential to stimulate production in Georgia, as well as increasing research funds and developing effective system for qualification growth.

Economic effects of monetary policy in Russia: What do large datasets tell us?

2020 ◽  
pp. 31-53 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna A. Pestova ◽  
Natalia A. Rostova
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
Theoretical Concepts ◽  
Empirical Estimates

Is the Bank of Russia able to control inflation and, at the same time, manage aggregate demand using its interest rate instruments? In other words, are empirical estimates of the effects of monetary policy in Russia consistent with the theoretical concepts and experience of advanced economies? This paper is aimed at addressing these issues. Unlike previous research, we employ “big data” — a large dataset of macroeconomic and financial data — to estimate the effects of monetary policy in Russia. We focus exclusively on the period after the 2008—2009 global financial crisis when the Bank of Russia announced the abandoning of its fixed ruble exchange rate regime and started to gradually transit to an interest rate management. Our estimation results do not confirm standard responses of key economic activity and price variables to tightening of monetary policy. Specifically, our estimates do not reveal a statistically significant restraining effect of the Bank of Russia’s policy of high interest rates on inflation in recent years. At the same time, we find a significant deteriorating effect of the monetary tightening on economic activity indicators: according to our conservative estimates, each of the key rate increases occurred in March and December 2014 had led to a decrease in the industrial production index by about 0.2 percentage points within a year.

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