An Empirical Analysis of the Relationships among State Transfers, Local Revenues and Expenditures in the Growth of the Italian Government
Abstract The analysis of local governments as potential devices to improve the efficiency of public sectors becomes particularly important for Italy, given both the relevant post-war growth of its public sector and the supra-national constraints imposed by the European Monetary Union. The purpose of this paper is to investigate into the relationships between central and local governments’ revenue-expenditure patterns, by considering disaggregate data on Regioni, Province and Comuni. The empirical results exhibit a high elasticity of local expenditure with respect to State transfers, and insignificance of local taxation revenues in determining local expenditure, as a strong version of the so-called flypaper effect. The identification of a second cointegrating vector between State transfers and own resources, with an ambiguous sign, is another remarkable feature of the Italian fiscal federalism, and points to die need for a more efficient monitoring in allocating State transfers.