scholarly journals PEMODELAN PRODUKSI BAWANG MERAH DI JAWA TENGAH DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN HYBRID AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE – ADAPTIVE NEURO FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 281-292
Author(s):  
Inas Husna Diarsih ◽  
Tarno Tarno ◽  
Agus Rusgiyono
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
National Production ◽  
Anfis Method ◽  
Method Model

Red onion is one of the strategic horticulture commodities in Indonesia considering its function as the main ingredients of the basic ingredients of Indonesian cuisine. In an effort to increase production to supply national necessary, Central Java as the main center of red onion production should be able to predict the production of several periods ahead to maintain the balance of national production. The purpose of this research is to get the best model to forecast the production of red onion in Central Java by ARIMA, ANFIS, and hybrid ARIMA-ANFIS method. Model accuracy is measured by the smallest RMSE and AIC values. The results show that the best model to modeling red onion production in Central Java is obtained by hybrid ARIMA-ANFIS model which is a combination between SARIMA ([2], 1, [12]) and residual ARIMA using ANFIS model with input et,1, et,2 on the grid partition technique, gbell membership function, and membership number of 2 that produce RMSE 12033 and AIC 21.6634. While ARIMA model yield RMSE 13301,24 and AIC 21,89807 with violation of assumption. And the ANFIS model produces RMSE 14832 and AIC 22,0777. This shows that ARIMA-ANFIS hybrid method is better than ARIMA and ANFIS.Keywords: production of red onion, ARIMA, ANFIS, hybrid ARIMA-ANFIS

Penerapan Metode ANFIS untuk Prediksi Nilai Akhir dan Kelulusan Uji Kompetensi

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
Rayendra
Keyword(s):  
Word Processing ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Information And Communication ◽  
Anfis Method ◽  
Final Score ◽  
Computer Literate ◽  
Competence Test

To improve the graduation of Computer Literate Certified Professional (CLCP) competence test conducted by Competence Test of Information and Communication Technology (TUK-TIK) needs to be done continuous improvement by increasing try out competency test. Past values of the competency test can be used as modeling to predict the final score and the passing of the competency test. With the modeling can be predicted the passing of competency test participants through try out-try out done so that can be known weakness of candidate competency test from three units of CLCP competence. The modeling used to predict the final score and the passing of this competency test is the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) method. Used 20 past data of competency test participants with 6 criteria as input value from three CLCP competence units namely Word Processing, Spreadsheet, and Presentation. The resulting prediction is accurate enough with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) value for each competency unit of 0.31492%, 0.284202%, and 0.267167%

scholarly journals Classification of Gait Patterns in Patients with Neurodegenerative Disease Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Ye ◽  
Yi Xia ◽  
Zhiming Yao
Keyword(s):  
Motor Neurons ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Pso Algorithm ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Gait Dynamics ◽  
Double Support ◽  
Adaptive Capabilities ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

A common feature that is typical of the patients with neurodegenerative (ND) disease is the impairment of motor function, which can interrupt the pathway from cerebrum to the muscle and thus cause movement disorders. For patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis disease (ALS), the impairment is caused by the loss of motor neurons. While for patients with Parkinson’s disease (PD) and Huntington’s disease (HD), it is related to the basal ganglia dysfunction. Previously studies have demonstrated the usage of gait analysis in characterizing the ND patients for the purpose of disease management. However, most studies focus on extracting characteristic features that can differentiate ND gait from normal gait. Few studies have demonstrated the feasibility of modelling the nonlinear gait dynamics in characterizing the ND gait. Therefore, in this study, a novel approach based on an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is presented for identification of the gait of patients with ND disease. The proposed ANFIS model combines neural network adaptive capabilities and the fuzzy logic qualitative approach. Gait dynamics such as stride intervals, stance intervals, and double support intervals were used as the input variables to the model. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm was utilized to learn the parameters of the ANFIS model. The performance of the system was evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy using the leave-one-out cross-validation method. The competitive classification results on a dataset of 13 ALS patients, 15 PD patients, 20 HD patients, and 16 healthy control subjects indicated the effectiveness of our approach in representing the gait characteristics of ND patients.

scholarly journals Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and CO2 Emissions in G20 Countries: Application of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 2771 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas Mardani ◽  
Dalia Streimikiene ◽  
Mehrbakhsh Nilashi ◽  
Daniel Arias Aranda ◽  
Nanthakumar Loganathan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Co2 Emissions ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

Understanding the relationships among CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and economic growth helps nations to develop energy sources and formulate energy policies in order to enhance sustainable development. The present research is aimed at developing a novel efficient model for analyzing the relationships amongst the three aforementioned indicators in G20 countries using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model in the period from 1962 to 2016. In this regard, the ANFIS model has been used with prediction models using real data to predict CO2 emissions based on two important input indicators, energy consumption and economic growth. This study made use of the fuzzy rules through ANFIS to generalize the relationships of the input and output indicators in order to make a prediction of CO2 emissions. The experimental findings on a real-world dataset of World Development Indicators (WDI) revealed that the proposed model efficiently predicted the CO2 emissions based on energy consumption and economic growth. The direction of the interrelationship is highly important from the economic and energy policy-making perspectives for this international forum, as G20 countries are primarily focused on the governance of the global economy.

Development of an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model to predict sea surface temperature (SST)

2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 354-373
Author(s):  
Semih Kale
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

Abstract An accurate estimation of the sea surface temperature (SST) is of great importance. Therefore, the objective of this work was to develop an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model to predict SST in the Çanakkale Strait. The observed monthly air temperature, evaporation and precipitation data from the Çanakkale meteorological observation station were used as input data. The Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy inference system was applied. The grid partition method (ANFIS-GP) and the subtractive clustering partitioning method (ANFIS-SC) were used with Gaussian membership functions to generate the fuzzy inference system. Six performance evaluation criteria were used to evaluate the developed SST prediction models, including mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and correlation of determination (R2). The dataset was randomly divided into training and testing datasets for the machine learning process. Training data accounted for 75% of the dataset, while 25% of the dataset was allocated for testing in ANFIS. The hybrid algorithm was selected as a training algorithm for the ANFIS. Simulation results revealed that the ANFIS-SC4 model provided a higher correlation coefficient of 0.96 between the observed and predicted SST values. The results of this study suggest that the developed ANFIS model can be applied for predicting sea surface temperature around the world.

scholarly journals Optimization of EPB Shield Performance with Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System and Genetic Algorithm

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 780 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khalid Elbaz ◽  
Shui-Long Shen ◽  
Annan Zhou ◽  
Da-Jun Yuan ◽  
Ye-Shuang Xu
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Pressure Balance ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Advance Rate ◽  
Multi Objective ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Epb Shield

The prediction of earth pressure balance (EPB) shield performance is an essential part of project scheduling and cost estimation of tunneling projects. This paper establishes an efficient multi-objective optimization model to predict the shield performance during the tunneling process. This model integrates the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with the genetic algorithm (GA). The hybrid model uses shield operational parameters as inputs and computes the advance rate as output. GA enhances the accuracy of ANFIS for runtime parameters tuning by multi-objective fitness function. Prior to modeling, datasets were established, and critical operating parameters were identified through principal component analysis. Then, the tunneling case for Guangzhou metro line number 9 was adopted to verify the applicability of the proposed model. Results were then compared with those of the ANFIS model. The comparison showed that the multi-objective ANFIS-GA model is more successful than the ANFIS model in predicting the advance rate with a high accuracy, which can be used to guide the tunnel performance in the field.

scholarly journals Modified Cascaded Inverter using ANFIS Controller with Reduced Number of Switches

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 572-578
Keyword(s):  
Learning Outcomes ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
System Response ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Learning Content ◽  
Performance Point ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
System Response Time ◽  
The Ideal

In this paper, an Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is proposed to the multilevel inverter to eliminate the Total Harmonic Distortions (THD) with a modified cascaded inverter. This method prohibits the variations presents in the output voltage of the modified cascaded inverter. The work is directed to prove that the importance of ANFIS is integrated learning for alteration of learning content affording to learners desires. The concert of the ANFIS model was calculated by means of standard error quantities which shows the ideal setting needed for better certainty. The MATLAB Simulink performance point out that it is affordable and easy to implement the performance of the ANFIS process. The study of different modified cascaded inverter consisting of five-level, seven-level, and nine- level is carried out for evaluating the THD with ANFIS controller and without ANFIS controller is implemented. The learning outcomes are based on the study of various system settings; it demonstrates the usability of the m-learning application. However, it must be noted that the number of inputs increased being considered by the model increases the system response time of the system.

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