Penerapan Metode ANFIS untuk Prediksi Nilai Akhir dan Kelulusan Uji Kompetensi

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
Rayendra

To improve the graduation of Computer Literate Certified Professional (CLCP) competence test conducted by Competence Test of Information and Communication Technology (TUK-TIK) needs to be done continuous improvement by increasing try out competency test. Past values of the competency test can be used as modeling to predict the final score and the passing of the competency test. With the modeling can be predicted the passing of competency test participants through try out-try out done so that can be known weakness of candidate competency test from three units of CLCP competence. The modeling used to predict the final score and the passing of this competency test is the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) method. Used 20 past data of competency test participants with 6 criteria as input value from three CLCP competence units namely Word Processing, Spreadsheet, and Presentation. The resulting prediction is accurate enough with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) value for each competency unit of 0.31492%, 0.284202%, and 0.267167%

2020 ◽  
Vol 202 ◽  
pp. 14008
Author(s):  
Siska Ayu Widiana ◽  
Suryono Suryono ◽  
Budi Warsito

Food security is a problem that every country had, especially for poor and developing countries. To improve the food security one of the solutions that can be applied is to collaborate technology and agriculture such as greenhouse. The technology that is applied to greenhouse can produce plants with good quality. Good quality plant can be predicted with prediction on the plant seeds in order to develop the plants production just as we expected. Prediction on plant seeds is using the adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model which is a combination of fuzzy and neural network. ANFIS will process the data with high complexity and it will provide the prediction result with high accuracy. Plant seeds prediction is using 65 data which divided into two data, specifically 50 training data and 15 testing data. The prediction provides accurate result and will generate 14/15 x 100% = 93.3333% precision with Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) is 64.3391 from 15 prediction data about 4.2893, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 5.3485 from 15 prediction data about 0.35657, Mean Square Deviation (MSD) is 9.159 from 15 prediction data about 0.6106.


Author(s):  
Tatang Rohana Cucu

Abstract - The process of admitting new students is an annual routine activity that occurs in a university. This activity is the starting point of the process of searching for prospective new students who meet the criteria expected by the college. One of the colleges that holds new student admissions every year is Buana Perjuangan University, Karawang. There have been several studies that have been conducted on predictions of new students by other researchers, but the results have not been very satisfying, especially problems with the level of accuracy and error. Research on ANFIS studies to predict new students as a solution to the problem of accuracy. This study uses two ANFIS models, namely Backpropagation and Hybrid techniques. The application of the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model in the predictions of new students at Buana Perjuangan University, Karawang was successful. Based on the results of training, the Backpropagation technique has an error rate of 0.0394 and the Hybrid technique has an error rate of 0.0662. Based on the predictive accuracy value that has been done, the Backpropagation technique has an accuracy of 4.8 for the value of Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and 0.156364623 for the value of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Meanwhile, based on the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) value, the Backpropagation technique has a value of 0.5 and 0.09516671 for the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value. So it can be concluded that the Hybrid technique has a better level of accuracy than the Backpropation technique in predicting the number of new students at the University of Buana Perjuangan Karawang.   Keywords: ANFIS, Backpropagation, Hybrid, Prediction


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonal Bindal

<p>In the recent years, prediction modelling techniques have been widely used for modelling groundwater arsenic contamination. Determining the accuracy, performance and suitability of these different algorithms such as univariate regression (UR), fuzzy model, adaptive fuzzy regression (AFR), logistic regression (LR), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and hybrid random forest (HRF) models still remains a challenging task. The spatial data which are available at different scales with different cell sizes. In the current study we have tried to optimize the spatial resolution for best performance of the model selecting the best spatial resolution by testing various predictive algorithms. The model’s performance was evaluated based of the values of determination coefficient (R<sup>2</sup>), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The outcomes of the study indicate that using 100m × 100m spatial resolution gives best performance in most of the models. The results also state HRF model performs the best than the commonly used ANFIS and LR models.</p>


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 369-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Ramesh ◽  
A. P. Kesarkar ◽  
J. Bhate ◽  
M. Venkat Ratnam ◽  
A. Jayaraman

Abstract. The retrieval of accurate profiles of temperature and water vapour is important for the study of atmospheric convection. Recent development in computational techniques motivated us to use adaptive techniques in the retrieval algorithms. In this work, we have used an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to retrieve profiles of temperature and humidity up to 10 km over the tropical station Gadanki (13.5° N, 79.2° E), India. ANFIS is trained by using observations of temperature and humidity measurements by co-located Meisei GPS radiosonde (henceforth referred to as radiosonde) and microwave brightness temperatures observed by radiometrics multichannel microwave radiometer MP3000 (MWR). ANFIS is trained by considering these observations during rainy and non-rainy days (ANFIS(RD + NRD)) and during non-rainy days only (ANFIS(NRD)). The comparison of ANFIS(RD + NRD) and ANFIS(NRD) profiles with independent radiosonde observations and profiles retrieved using multivariate linear regression (MVLR: RD + NRD and NRD) and artificial neural network (ANN) indicated that the errors in the ANFIS(RD + NRD) are less compared to other retrieval methods. The Pearson product movement correlation coefficient (r) between retrieved and observed profiles is more than 92% for temperature profiles for all techniques and more than 99% for the ANFIS(RD + NRD) technique Therefore this new techniques is relatively better for the retrieval of temperature profiles. The comparison of bias, mean absolute error (MAE), RMSE and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) of retrieved temperature and relative humidity (RH) profiles using ANN and ANFIS also indicated that profiles retrieved using ANFIS(RD + NRD) are significantly better compared to the ANN technique. The analysis of profiles concludes that retrieved profiles using ANFIS techniques have improved the temperature retrievals substantially; however, the retrieval of RH by all techniques considered in this paper (ANN, MVLR and ANFIS) has limited success.


2019 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mashallah Rezakazemi ◽  
Saeed Shirazian

Abstract The Euler–Euler method and soft computing methods are recently utilized for the purpose of bubbly flow simulation and evolution of the dispersed and continuous phase in a two-phase reactor. Joining computational fluid dynamics (CFD) to the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) method can enable the researchers to avoid several runs for heavy numerical methods (multidimensional Euler–Euler) to optimize fluid conditions. This overview can also help the researchers to carefully analyze fluid conditions and categorize their huge number of data in their artificial neural network nodes and avoid a complex non-structure CFD mesh. In addition, it can provide a neural geometry without limitation of an increasing mesh number in the fluid domain. In this study, gas and liquid circulation were considered as one of the main CFD factors in the scale-up of reactors used as an output parameter for prediction tool (ANFIS method) in different dimensions. This study shows that a combination of ANFIS and CFD methods provides the non-discrete domain in various dimensions and makes a smart tool to locally predict multiphase flow. The integration of numerical calculation and smart methods also shows that there is a great agreement between CFD results and ANFIS output depending on different dimensions.


Author(s):  
Mujiarto Mujiarto ◽  
Asari Djohar ◽  
Mumu Komaro ◽  
Mohamad Afendee Mohamed ◽  
Darmawan Setia Rahayu ◽  
...  

<p>In this paper, an Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) based on Arduino microcontroller is applied to the dynamic model of 5 DoF Robot Arm presented. MATLAB is used to detect colored objects based on image processing. Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) method is a method for controlling robotic arm based on color detection of camera object and inverse kinematic model of trained data. Finally, the ANFIS algorithm is implemented in the robot arm to select objects and pick up red objects with good accuracy.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 260-269
Author(s):  
Zulfauzi - ◽  
Budi Santoso ◽  
M. Agus Syamsul Arifin ◽  
Siti Nuraisyah

The problem behind this research is the imbalance between the capacity offered and the capacity demanded by the community, resulting in uncontrolled rice prices, so it is necessary to predict rice price in the future to monitor the stability of rice prices in the Lubuklinggau City area. In this study, the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) method was used to predict future rice prices. The sample used in this study is data on rice price in Lubuklinggau City from January 2016 to December 2020. The result of the prediction of rice price in the Lubuklinggau City area for the next five years. With the accuracy value in rice price predictions based on MSE training, numely 99,9037% and based on the MSE test that is 99,8784%. While the accuracy values of rice price predictions based on MAPE training and testing are 93,2997% and 88,2782%, respectively. For the accuracy value of rice price prediction result based on the MSE and MAPE values respectively namely 99,8935% and 92,9212%. It can be concluded that the ANFIS method is very effectively used for the process of predicting a price or value in the future


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 108-122
Author(s):  
Handa Gustiawan

Inacon Luhur pertiwi PT. as amanagement consulting firm in carrying outits work on the project PNPM Urban withcontract number HK.02.03 / NMC / IBRD /SATKER-PK / 007/2012 dated 10 May 2012.By carrying out quantitative researchmethods, using primary and secondary dataas samples. Primary data retrieved byconducting an observation as anobservation instrument of expertsperformance assessment. Secondary datawas collected by observing the data,reading, studying and quoting from the bookof literature, as well as the resources thatare closely related to this study. The dataobtained will be used for purposes ofdescriptive data analysis process by usingAdaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System(ANFIS). ANFIS method is a method thatuses neural networks to implement fuzzyinference system. Fuzzy inference systemused is the fuzzy inference system modelsTagaki-Sugeno-Kang (TSK) withconsideration of simplicity and easycomputation. The result of this research isthe prototipe of expert performanceevaluation which can be implemented atInacon Luhur Pertiwi PT.


2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 489
Author(s):  
Herliyani Hasanah ◽  
Nurmalitasari Nurmalitasari

Kebutuhan akan energi listrik menjadi kebutuhan primer nasional. Dalam keberlangsungan proses produksi energi listrik pada pembangkitan – pembangkitan diperlukan energi listrik untuk pemakaian sendiri. Dalam penelitian ini dibangun sebuah aplikasi sistem cerdas untuk memprediksi energi listrik pemakaian sendiri di PT Indonesia Power sub unit PLTA Wonogiri. Pada penelitian ini menggunakan 2 kelompok input, yaitu input FIS (Fuzzy Inference System) dan input pada NN (Neuro Fuzzy). Input data  merupakan data produksi harian energi listrik di PLTA Wonogiri selama kurun waktu 2010 – 2016. Variabel data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data produksi listrik untuk pemakaian PLTA Wonogiri adalah energi listrik yang dihasilkan PLTA Wonogiri dengan satuan KwH (f), elevasi muka air waduk dengan satuan meter (a1) dan debit air yang masuk ke turbin dengan satuan /detik (a2).  Output yang diperoleh adalah pusat centroid (m), derajat keanggotaan (mf), bobot (w) dan konsekuen parameter ( c ). Dari hasil pengujian diperoleh keluaran dengan performansi yang optimal pada saat Fuzzy C Means 2 kelas dengan parameter laju pembelajaran 0.4, momentum 0.6 dengan bessar Mean Percentage Error 0.377970875.  Kata kunci:  prediksi, pemakaian sendiri, energi listrik, fuzzy inference system, neuro fuzzy


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