scholarly journals Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony

2015 ◽  
Vol 66 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-98
Author(s):  
Steffen R. Henzel ◽  
Robert Lehmann ◽  
Klaus Wohlrabe
Keyword(s):  
Data Structure ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
Free State ◽  
Large Set ◽  
Regional Survey ◽  
Forecasting Accuracy ◽  
Leading Indicator ◽  
Information Sets ◽  
Survey Results

Abstract We tackle the nowcasting problem at the regional level, using a large set of indicators (regional, national and international) for the years 1998 to 2013. We explicitly take into account the ragged-edge data structure and consider the different information sets faced by a regional forecaster within each quarter. It appears that regional survey results in particular improve forecasting accuracy. Among the 10% best performing models for the short forecasting horizon, one fourth contain regional indicators. Hard indicators from the German manufacturing sector and the Composite Leading Indicator for Europe also deliver useful information for the prediction of regional GDP in Saxony. Unlike national GDP forecasts, the performance of regional GDP is similar across different information sets within a quarter.

scholarly journals Competitiveness Analysis of the Konya Footwear Cluster

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Atilla Arıcıoğlu ◽  
Muhittin Koraş ◽  
Mustafa Gömleksiz
Keyword(s):  
Human Resources ◽  
Knowledge Spillovers ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
Implementation Processes ◽  
Physical Conditions ◽  
Government Factor ◽  
Footwear Industry ◽  
Diamond Model

Since the beginning of 1980's advancements in studies on competitiveness and clustering in global scale have also affected the manufacturing sector in Turkey at the beginning of 2000's. In several debates, it has been strongly emphasized that measurement of both competitiveness and clustering in regional level is a necessity for analyze and implementation processes. This study aims to investigate clustering tendency of footwear manufacturers and to analyze competition power of firms in Konya province in Turkey. For this purpose, footwear industry in the province is analyzed by Porter’s Diamond Model. In addition to Porter’s Model, effect of government factor was included in the analysis. Furthermore, a SWOT analyze was performed through workshops with manufacturers. In regard to competitiveness analysis of footwear industry in Konya, it is shown that the industry has an intermediate competition power. According to analysis, physical conditions of the industry is favorable in context of factor requirements, while lack of human resources is seen as a serious problem in labor-intensive sectors. Also, knowledge spillovers depending upon density and availability in conventional relationships are regarded as an important advantage.

The Correlation of the Data Structure with Demand Forecasting Accuracy

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 467-483
Author(s):  
Sung-Yong Yoo ◽  
Min-Young Park ◽  
Yoon-Taek Kong
Keyword(s):  
Data Structure ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Accuracy

scholarly journals Afrikanerdom, Archives, and Change: The Archive for Contemporary Affairs at the University of the Free State, South Africa

Itinerario ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 19-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kate Law ◽  
Huibré Lombard
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Political Party ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
Free State ◽  
The Political ◽  
National Party ◽  
Post Colonial ◽  
The Core ◽  
History Of ◽  
The University

This article examines some of the core holdings within the Archive for Contemporary Affairs at the University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa. Prominent amongst this material are the papers of the National Party (NP), the political party that formalised the structures of apartheid. Paying particular attention to the papers of what Hermann Giliomee has termed ‘The Last Afrikaner Leaders’ alongside recently acquired material concerning post-colonial politics, we argue for the importance of this archive for scholars studying Afrikaner nationalism, at both national and regional level, the rationales and discourses of apartheid and the history of the country more broadly.

scholarly journals The United Kingdom

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Justyna Szczudlik
Keyword(s):  
Local Governments ◽  
Local Level ◽  
Legal Framework ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Confucius Institutes ◽  
Survey Results ◽  
Asymmetrical Model ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Central Level

The aim of this chapter is to analyse how the UK actors cooperate with their Chinese counterparts at the regional and local level. Due to the United Kingdom’s constitutional and administrative structure, consisting of the four nations (countries), i.e. England, Wales, Scotland (collectively known as the Great Britain) and Northern Ireland, and a highly developed (yet asymmetrical) model of decentralisation of executive and legislative powers (known as devolution) within those four nations, in the UK’s case Sino-British local cooperation refers either to the nations themselves (e.g. Scotland), to various metropolitan projects in England (e.g. the Northern Powerhouse) or to individual cities. This chapter undertakes to answer the following questions: Do local authorities in the UK follow the central government’s policy on China? What are the British local governments’ main goals and areas of cooperation with their Chinese partners? What is the model of the UK’s paradiplomacy? The chapter consists of two main parts. The first one is devoted to the central level: the description of the UK government’s policy towards China, the state of play of UK-China relations, and the UK’s perception of China, including China’s “soft” presence in Britain (tourists, students, Confucius Institutes, etc.). The second part is focused on the local and regional level. It starts with an explanation of the legal framework of British local and regional level cooperation, then it sets forth the survey results, concluding with the presentation of two case studies: Liverpool – a city in England; and Scotland – one of the UK’s nations and EU regions

scholarly journals Industrial production in ensuring economic security of the region

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 127-134
Author(s):  
Maxim A. Miller
Keyword(s):  
Regional Economy ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
Comparison Analysis ◽  
Scientific Methods ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Complex Methods

The article is devoted to the study of the impact of the industrial sector on ensuring economic security at the regional level. The article addresses the issues of orientation of methods assessment of economic security of the region, to use data that reflects the functioning of the industry and also to study of the contribution of manufacturing to economic security and sustainable development in Omsk region. The research uses scientific methods of comparison, analysis of materials, as well as the calculation method. The main results of the study are that the industrial sector of the regional economy is one of the key and mandatory components of ensuring regional socio-economic development, maintaining the necessary level of protection of the region, respectively, the performance of industry should be one of the main blocks in complex methods for assessing economic security at the regional level. Regarding the Omsk region, it is confirmed that the region in the context of economic security and social and labor stability is significantly dependent on the manufacturing sector.

The Late Bronze Age and Early Iron Age landscape of interior western Sicily

Antiquity ◽  
2001 ◽  
Vol 75 (289) ◽  
pp. 503-504 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J. Kolb ◽  
Sebastiano Tusa
Keyword(s):  
Bronze Age ◽  
Iron Age ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Early Iron Age ◽  
Late Bronze Age ◽  
Regional Survey ◽  
Western Sicily ◽  
Survey Results ◽  
Hilltop Settlement

The archaeology of complex societies in western Sicily has traditionally focused upon Greek and Phoenician colonization rather than the development of the indigenous peoples of the interior. The Salemi regional survey project in western Sicily was conceived as a means to track long-term landscape change of this interior ‘indigenous’ landscape. From 1998 to 2000, this survey has conducted an extensive survey of 150 sq. km of the Salemi region, an intensive survey of 8 sq. km around a nearby Late Bronze Age (LBA) hilltop settlement of Mokarta (Mannino & Spatafora 1995; Spatafora & Mannino 1992; Tusa 1992), and an intensive survey of 25 sq. km around the Early Iron Age (EIA) hilltop settlement of Monte Polizzo (FIGURE 1). Survey work is part ofthe Sicilian–Scandinavian archaeological project (Morris et al. in press; http://dig.anthro.niu.edu/sicily), an international team of scholars who are undertaking large-scale excavations at Monte Polizzo (FIGURE 2). Preliminary survey results reveal that these LBA and EIA peoples relied on an intricate valley hinterland around their hilltop residences. Moreover, marked differences exist between the LBA and EIA valley hinterlands.

scholarly journals The peculiarities of tourism development as a driver of economic development of the region

2020 ◽  
Vol 177 ◽  
pp. 05003
Author(s):  
Tamara Tsatkhlanova ◽  
Elzata Erdnieva ◽  
Bayrta Ubushaeva ◽  
Namina Burkutbaeva ◽  
Danara Erendzhenova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Regional Economy ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
Large Set ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Multiplier Effect ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Sectoral Composition ◽  
Organization Of Production

This article is devoted to the disclosure of the essence and structure of the tourist complex as a specific type of socio-economic system at the regional level. The efficient and successful functioning of the economy of any territory as a single economic complex should be accompanied by the improvement of the organization of production structures and the rationalization of its sectoral composition. Thus, the improvement of the tourism sector occupies one of the most important places among a large set of interrelated issues in the development of the regional economy, which is due to the multiplier effect in the development of this industry. The authors analyzed the state, unique characteristics, level of potential and prospects of development of the tourism industry in order to identify the vector of social and economic growth of the region on the example of the Republic of Kalmykia.

scholarly journals Response to a population bottleneck can be used to infer recessive selection

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel J Balick ◽  
Ron Do ◽  
David Reich ◽  
Shamil R Sunyaev
Keyword(s):  
Transient Response ◽  
Functional Dependence ◽  
Population Bottleneck ◽  
Statistical Test ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
Large Set ◽  
Deleterious Mutations ◽  
Demographic Differences ◽  
Genome Wide ◽  
Different Populations

Here we present the first genome wide statistical test for recessive selection. This test uses explicitly non-equilibrium demographic differences between populations to infer the mode of selection. By analyzing the transient response to a population bottleneck and subsequent re-expansion, we qualitatively distinguish between alleles under additive and recessive selection. We analyze the response of the average number of deleterious mutations per haploid individual and describe time dependence of this quantity. We introduce a statistic, BR, to compare the number of mutations in different populations and detail its functional dependence on the strength of selection and the intensity of the population bottleneck. This test can be used to detect the predominant mode of selection on the genome wide or regional level, as well as among a sufficiently large set of medically or functionally relevant alleles.

The leading manufacturing firms in the Irish Free State in 1929

2018 ◽  
Vol 42 (162) ◽  
pp. 293-316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Barry
Keyword(s):  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Manufacturing Firms ◽  
Ford Motor Company ◽  
Free State ◽  
Foreign Subsidiaries ◽  
One Stage ◽  
Flour Milling ◽  
Irish Free State

AbstractThe manufacturing sector of the 1920s Irish Free State was substantially more complex in structure than occasional references to a ‘beer and biscuits’ economy suggest. There were nine factories employing 500 workers or more in 1929, while the larger firms in sectors such as bacon curing, flour milling and fertilisers each operated more than a single factory. This article identifies the largest manufacturing firms and establishments of the era, as well as the largest within each industrial sector. Twenty-two firms had workforces of a minimum of around 400. Three of the five largest were foreign subsidiaries, the most significant of which – the Ford Motor Company – employed, at one stage, more than twice as many workers as Guinness. Of the larger indigenous companies, the majority were Protestant-owned, though Catholic-owned firms dominated in certain industrial segments.

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