scholarly journals Capital Account Regulation and National Autonomy: The Political Economy of the New Welfare Economics

2021 ◽  
Vol 43 (1) ◽  
pp. 173-197
Author(s):  
Luiza Peruffo ◽  
Pedro Perfeito da Silva ◽  
André Moreira Cunha

Abstract The 2007-2009 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) eroded the consensus around the benefits of capital mobility within mainstream economics. Against this background, this paper discusses to what extent the new mainstream position on capital flow management measures, based on the New Welfare Economics, expands the policy space of developing and emerging economies (DEEs). This paper argues that the new position can be classified as an embedded neoliberal one, given that it keeps liberalization as its ultimate goal, while nonetheless accepting to mitigate some of its harmful consequences. After comparing the capital account policies of China and Brazil, this paper concludes that the policy prescriptions of the New Welfare Economics do not lead to higher levels of national autonomy for DEEs and are likewise unable to curb financial instability in these countries.

Policy Papers ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 (60) ◽  
Author(s):  

The global financial crisis underscored the costs of systemic instability at both the national and global levels and highlighted the importance of dedicated macroprudential and capital flow management policies. The IMF has been assisting its members with policy advice as well as developing and making operational their policy frameworks. Multilateral aspects of both policies need to be fully considered, including the interaction with other domestic and international legal frameworks. To the extent that capital flows are the source of systemic financial sector risks, the tools used to address those risks can be seen as both capital flow management measures (CFMs) and macroprudential measures (MPMs).


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 313-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara Fritz ◽  
Daniela Magalhães Prates

Capital account regulation (CAR) has experienced profound reconsideration since the global financial crisis. This new debate focuses on the macroeconomic gains of regulating international capital flows in terms of reducing external and financial vulnerability, but it does not consider relevant aspects relating to the context in which these regulations are implemented. In this paper, we undertake a comparative analysis of similar types of CAR applied in Brazil during the 1990s and 2000s. Based on this analysis, we conclude that for the design of CAR, which is relevant for its effectiveness, institutional features of both the financial market and the macroeconomic regime, shaped by macroeconomic constraints, are relevant. For the case of Brazil, we conclude that, contrary to the 2000s, the strong preference given to inflation stabilization in the 1990s, together with high external vulnerability, strongly limited the CAR's design of this period.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-33
Author(s):  
SOLIKIN M. JUHRO ◽  
K. P. PRABHEESH ◽  
ALEXANDER LUBIS

This paper examines the effectiveness of the trilemma policy choice, in the presence of macroprudential policies in ten emerging market economies. We address this issue due to the extensive use of macroprudential policies to maintain financial stability in the aftermath of global financial crisis. Our overall findings suggest that adoption of macroprudential policies with monetary policy helps to maintain macroeconomic stability in 6 out of 10 cases, and with capital account openness being effective only in three cases. Our findings suggest that the emerging economies’ policymakers can optimize the effectiveness of trilemma policy choice by giving more weightage to macroprudential policies along with exchange rate stability and monetary policy.


Author(s):  
Ravi Roy ◽  
Thomas D. Willett

The size and scope of financial sectors throughout the world have grown exponentially in tandem with the rise of globalization and increased capital mobility. The terms “economic globalization” and “financialization” are often discussed as inextricably related phenomena. Although the rapid increase in the number and variety of financial services and products during the past four decades has helped spur economic growth and create wealth on an unprecedented scale, the devastating fallout from the global financial crisis of 2008–2009, and the economic turbulence that followed, demonstrates how poorly managed financial sectors can simultaneously cause enormous pain. This chapter argues that if the opportunities created by economic globalization and financialization are to be maximized, while at the same tempering volatile financial markets, then the global financial system (and the national economies connected with it) must be fundamentally restructured. A number of ways that should be taken under consideration are discussed.


2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 135-169
Author(s):  
Alberto Fuertes ◽  
Jose María Serena

Purpose This paper aims to investigate how firms from emerging economies choose among different international bond markets: global, US144A and Eurobond markets. The authors explore if the ranking in regulatory stringency –global bonds have the most stringent regulations and Eurobonds have the most lenient regulations – leads to a segmentation of borrowers. Design/methodology/approach The authors use a novel data set from emerging economy firms, treating them as consolidated entities. The authors also obtain descriptive evidence and perform univariate non-parametric analyses, conditional and multinomial logit analyses to study firms’ marginal debt choice decisions. Findings The authors show that firms with poorer credit quality, less ability to absorb flotation costs and more informational asymmetries issue debt in US144A and Eurobond markets. On the contrary, firms issuing global bonds – subject to full Securities and Exchange Commission requirements – are financially sounder and larger. This exercise also shows that following the global crisis, firms from emerging economies are more likely to tap less regulated debt markets. Originality/value This is, to the authors’ knowledge, the first study that examines if the ranking in stringency of regulation – global bonds have the most stringent regulations and Eurobonds have the most lenient regulations – is consistent with an ordinal choice by firms. The authors also explore if this ranking is monotonic in all determinants or there are firm-specific features which make firms unlikely to borrow in a given market. Finally, the authors analyze if there are any changes in the debt-choice behavior of firms after the global financial crisis.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (52) ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Mauro ◽  
Jing Zhou

Contrary to the traditional assumption of interest rates on government debt exceeding economic growth, negative interest-growth differentials have become prevalent since the global financial crisis. As these differentials are a key determinant of public debt dynamics, can we sleep more soundly, despite high government debts? Our paper undertakes an empirical analysis of interestgrowth differentials, using the largest historical database on average effective government borrowing costs for 55 countries over up to 200 years. We document that negative differentials have occurred more often than not, in both advanced and emerging economies, and have often persisted for long historical stretches. Moreover, differentials are no higher prior to sovereign defaults than in normal times. Marginal (rather than average) government borrowing costs often rise abruptly and sharply, but just prior to default. Based on these results, our answer is: not really.


2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-51
Author(s):  
Canh Phuc Nguyen

The exchange rate plays an important role to trade, investment and macroeconomic risks of open economies. There are many factors that affect the exchange rate such as inflation, interest rates, balance of payments where remittance flows receive more and more attention of economists due to their increase in their values, particularly in emerging economies. This study uses data from 21 countries which are classified as emerging markets in the period between 2001 and 2013 to investigate the impacts of remittances on exchange rate. Through panel data estimations, we found that remittances increase the value of the local currencies, which is not altered by the 2008 global financial crisis.


Author(s):  
Ayfer Gedikli ◽  
Seyfettin Erdoğan ◽  
Durmuş Çağrı Yıldırım

Since the rise of globalization which has abolished the role of nation-state gradually, the world has been increasingly dealing with world-wide pandemics and multi-regional financial crises. The nature of the Global Financial Crisis has made it clear that financially integrated and globalized markets which are poorly regulated with lax supervision, can pose significant risks, with disastrous economic consequences. Did global unfairness and loose monetary policy or lack of common fiscal policy deepen the crisis? Is globalization responsible from the loss of power of local governments on their economies? Finally, can “deglobalization” be an alternative solution for the emerging economies? The answers of these questions are even more crucial after the “FED tapering”. In this context, this chapter discusses the future of financial globalization with respect to its effects on the emerging economies during the global crisis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 64 ◽  
pp. 176-194
Author(s):  
Pablo Aguirre ◽  
José Antonio Alonso ◽  
Miguel Jerez

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