scholarly journals Long Term Energy Strategy Scenario to Promote ‘Green’ Electricity Against Natural Gas Consumption

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cristina Tarean
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Energy Strategy ◽  
Green Electricity ◽  
Gas Consumption ◽  
Term Energy ◽  
Natural Gas Consumption

scholarly journals Long-Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasting Based on Analog Method and Fuzzy Decision Tree

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (16) ◽  
pp. 4905
Author(s):  
Bartłomiej Gaweł ◽  
Andrzej Paliński
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Decision Trees ◽  
Energy Intensity ◽  
Fuzzy Decision ◽  
Energy Mix ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Gas Consumption ◽  
Natural Gas Consumption ◽  
Fuzzy Decision Trees

Classic forecasting methods of natural gas consumption extrapolate trends from the past to subsequent periods of time. The paper presents a different approach that uses analogues to create long-term forecasts of the annual natural gas consumption. The energy intensity (energy consumption per dollar of Gross Domestic Product—GDP) and gas share in energy mix in some countries, usually more developed, are the starting point for forecasts of other countries in the later period. The novelty of the approach arises in the use of cluster analysis to create similar groups of countries and periods based on two indicators: energy intensity of GDP and share of natural gas consumption in the energy mix, and then the use of fuzzy decision trees for classifying countries in different years into clusters based on several other economic indicators. The final long-term forecasts are obtained with the use of fuzzy decision trees by combining the forecasts for different fuzzy sets made by the method of relative chain increments. The forecast accuracy of our method is higher than that of other benchmark methods. The proposed method may be an excellent tool for forecasting long-term territorial natural gas consumption for any administrative unit.

Short-term natural gas consumption forecasting from long-term data collection

Energy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 218 ◽  
pp. 119430
Author(s):  
Radek Svoboda ◽  
Vojtech Kotik ◽  
Jan Platos
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Gas Consumption ◽  
Natural Gas Consumption ◽  
Term Data

scholarly journals Reconstructed and Projected U.S. Residential Natural Gas Consumption during 1896–2043

2018 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 607-625 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven A. Mauget
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Climate Variation ◽  
Temperature Cycle ◽  
Total Consumption ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Gas Consumption ◽  
Natural Gas Consumption ◽  
Per Capita

AbstractUsing state-level monthly heating degree-day data, reconstructed per capita natural gas (NGr) consumption records for each state of the continental United States were calculated for 1895–2014 using linear regressions. The regressed monthly NGr values estimate the effects of twentieth- and early twenty-first-century climate variation on per capita natural gas usage, assuming a modern (1990–2013) consumption environment. Using these extended consumption records, the hypothetical effects of climate on past, current, and future natural gas (NG) use are estimated. By controlling for nonclimatic consumption effects, these extended reconstructions provide estimates of the sensitivity of NG consumption to historical climate variation, particularly long-term warming trends, occurring before the period of available consumption records. After detrending, the reconstructions are used to form improved estimates of interannual NG variation under current climate conditions. Given estimates of each state’s current consumption climatology and long-term trends in per capita consumption and current population trends, the net effect of warming and increasing population on future consumption is estimated. Significant long-term negative trends in per capita NG consumption are found in western and northeastern states and in Florida, while southeastern consumption effects reflect a multidecadal temperature cycle. Climate-related consumption effects found here are generally consistent with previous studies, with long-term trend effects limited to less than 12% and multidecadal regime effects limited to less than 9%. Given the stronger positive effects of increasing population on total state natural gas consumption, reduced per capita use associated with warming trends has a weak moderating effect on estimates of projected total consumption in 2043.

scholarly journals Determining the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Pakistan

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 322-328
Author(s):  
F. Ali ◽  
Kh. A. Khan ◽  
A. Raza
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Coal Consumption ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Gas Consumption ◽  
Natural Gas Consumption

Energy is substantial for economic development. This study aims to unveil the causal relationship and long-term association between economic growth and energy consumption in Pakistan. The Granger-Causality test finds that; natural gas consumption, electricity consumption and coal consumption have uni-directional causal relationship with economic growth as (GC, EC and CC→GDP), however, GDP growth rate, natural gas consumption and coal consumption unilaterally Granger causes Inflation (GDP, GC and CC→CPI) and lastly coal consumption→natural gas consumption (GC), Electricity consumption (EC)→GC. The ARDL estimations delineate natural gas consumption and oil consumption having a positive and negative association with GDP growth rate may have significant long term impacts respectively on the the economic growth of Pakistan.

EXPERIENCE, PROSPECTS AND PROBLEMS OF COOPERATION BETWEEN CHINA AND TURKMENISTAN IN THE FIELDOF NATURAL GAS

2019 ◽  
pp. 323-329
Author(s):  
Y. JIA
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Central Asia ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Multilateral Cooperation ◽  
Industrial Chain ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Gas Consumption ◽  
Slow Progress ◽  
Natural Gas Consumption

Since 2007, the use of natural gas in China depends on the import, and with an increase in natural gas consumption, gas imports are also constantly growing. In 2018, Chinas natural gas imports approached 100 billion cubic meters, which is 70 times more than in 2006. In recent years, increasing attention has been paid to the use of natural gas in China. Turkmenistan is Chinas main source of pipeline gas imports, and China is Turkmenistans largest exporter of natural gas. In the framework of the traditional model of oil and gas cooperation, China and Turkmenistan are facing such problems as the uniform content of cooperation, lack of close ties in the field of multilateral cooperation and slow progress in the development of the entire industrial chain. Cooperation between China and Central Asia in the field of oil and gas is increasingly affecting the nerves of other countries, except the five countries of Central Asia, but including Russia, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Iran and other countries of the Middle East, Japan, South Korea, etc. and even the European Union and the USA. Despite the favorable trading environment for both parties, there are also problems in the domestic market of Turkmenistan and the risks of international competition.

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