scholarly journals Determinants Of Firm Terminal Value: The Perspective Of North American And European Financial Analysts

2014 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 793
Author(s):  
Pedro M. Nogueira Reis ◽  
Marion Gomes Augusto
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Discount Rate ◽  
North American ◽  
Financial Analysts ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Arbitrage Pricing Theory ◽  
Explicit Analysis ◽  
High Level ◽  
A Company

Company valuation models attempt to estimate the value of a company in two stages: (1) comprising of a period of explicit analysis and (2) based on unlimited production period of cash flows obtained through a mathematical approach of perpetuity, which is the terminal value. In general, these models, whether they belong to the Dividend Discount Model (DDM), the Discount Cash Flow (DCF), or RIM (Residual Income Models) group, discount one attribute (dividends, free cash flow, or results) to a given discount rate. This discount rate, obtained in most cases by the CAPM (Capital asset pricing model) or APT (Arbitrage pricing theory) allows including in the analysis the cost of invested capital based on the risk taking of the attributes. However, one cannot ignore that the second stage of valuation that is usually 53-80% of the company value (Berkman et al., 1998) and is loaded with uncertainties. In this context, particular attention is needed to estimate the value of this portion of the company, under penalty of the assessment producing a high level of error. Mindful of this concern, this study sought to collect the perception of European and North American financial analysts on the key features of the company that they believe contribute most to its value. For this feat, we used a survey with closed answers. From the analysis of 123 valid responses using factor analysis, the authors conclude that there is great importance attached (1) to the life expectancy of the company, (2) to liquidity and operating performance, (3) to innovation and ability to allocate resources to R&D, and (4) to management capacity and capital structure, in determining the value of a company or business in long term. These results contribute to our belief that we can formulate a model for valuating companies and businesses where the results to be obtained in the evaluations are as close as possible to those found in the stock market.

Misclassifying cash flows from operations: intentional or not?

2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 18-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karen Lightstone ◽  
Karrilyn Wilcox ◽  
Louis Beaubien
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Financial Analysts ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Statement Of Cash Flows ◽  
Case Basis

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the accuracy and informational quality of the cash from operations section of the cash flow statement. Design/methodology/approach – This paper empirically tested the accuracy of the cash from operations reported by Canadian non-financial companies. The authors studied 262 companies at three different time periods providing 786 firm observations. For each observation, the balance sheet was used to confirm the figures reported in the statement of cash flows. In addition, the authors investigated management's disclosure of the particular working capital items. Findings – The findings suggest that in recent years, companies are more likely to overstate their cash flow from operations, thereby presenting a better financial picture than is supported by the balance sheet accounts. This would suggest that the investing or financing section would be correspondingly understated. The presence of acquisitions reduces overstatements, which may be the result of more auditor presence. Research limitations/implications – This paper extends previous research from documented single, isolated instances of cash from operations being misstated to include a significant sample with more generalizable findings. The data are Canadian which may limit the generalizability to other countries. Future research should address the extent to which financial analysts rely on the reported cash from operations figure. Practical implications – This preliminary study may have implications for financial analysts and others relying on the free cash flow figure. Originality/value – This study expands on previous research which has taken place only on a case-by-case basis.

Challenges in Valuation by Using Discounted Free Cash Flow Method

2020 ◽  
pp. 60-78
Author(s):  
Orhan Goker ◽  
Sinem Derindere Köseoğlu
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Cost Of Capital ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Leverage Ratio ◽  
Public Company ◽  
Company Valuation ◽  
Real Value ◽  
Free Cash Flows ◽  
A Company

It is generally believed that, in determining the real value of a company, the best results are obtained by using the Dicounted FCF method. The overall value of the firm itself or the value of equity is determined by discounting the “appropriate” cash flows by “appropriate” discount rates. We basically need to determine three major parameters: free cash flows, cost of capital, and the terminal value. All these three parameters have sub-parameters within themselves. Because all these parameters and their sub-parameters are to be future values, many factors like the riskiness of the firm in question, its leverage ratio, whether it is a profitable firm, newly-established or public company will not only influence the calculation of these parameters/sub-parameters but will also make it more difficult for the analyst. This chapter explains what variables are needed for company valuation, how they are determined, and what problems may be faced in calculating these values. Finally, authors propose solutions to all the problems analysts will likely face.

An Analysis of the Sources of Value Loss Following Financial Restatements

2021 ◽  
pp. 0148558X2198991
Author(s):  
Philip K. Hong ◽  
Jaywon Lee ◽  
Sang-Hyun Park ◽  
Sukesh Patro
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Discount Rate ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Financial Fraud ◽  
Earnings Persistence ◽  
Flow Component ◽  
Financial Restatements ◽  
Value Loss

We decompose the total value loss around firms’ announcements of financial restatements into components arising from investors’ revisions in cash flows and discount rates. First, relative to population benchmarks, restatements represent circumstances in which the cash flow component becomes more important in explaining valuations. While we find significant contributions from both sources, with the cash flow component explaining more than 33% of the variation in stock returns surrounding restatement announcements, this component explains only 13% to 22% in comparable non-restating firms. When restatements are caused by underlying financial fraud, the discount rate impact becomes more important, explaining about 88% of return variation. On the contrary, the cash flow impact is relatively larger for firms with higher earnings persistence or restatements associated with errors. Our decomposition of the value loss helps explain returns in the post-announcement period. Firms with a higher relative discount rate impact experience a significant downward stock price drift after the initial announcement-related price decline. For firms with a higher relative cash flow impact, the evidence suggests the initial impact of the restatement announcement is more complete with no subsequent drift pattern. Our findings close gaps in the evidence on financial restatements and extend the literature on the drivers of stock price movements.

scholarly journals ARUS KAS, CASH HOLDING, KENDALA PENDANAAN DAN INVESTASI DI INDONESIA

AdBispreneur ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 169
Author(s):  
Risal Rinofah
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Financial Constraints ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Cash Holding ◽  
Investment Level ◽  
Show Evidence ◽  
The Impact ◽  
A Company ◽  
Positive Effect

ABSTRACTThis study aims to detect Cash Flow, Cash Holding and Financial Constraints effect on investment decisions of companies in Indonesia. Some of the previous studies outside Indonesia show evidence of the impact of cash flows and financial constraints on it’s investment level.Using Multiple Regression and Logistic Regression model, on five years data observation shows that cash flow and cash holding have a positive effect on investment level. Interaction test shows the effect of cash flow on investment in financially constrained different from financially unconstrained companies. In other words, the average rate of investment changes caused by the level of cash flow is the same for both companies. While the effect of cash holding on investment, no different in the company that financially constraint and financially unconstraint company.The contribution of this research is to provide insight to the parties related to the importance of cash flow and cash holding to the investment of a company. Based on the results it can be concluded that companies that have cash flow and high cash holding have greater investment opportunities, especially in companies that have problems in finding sources of funding.   ABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeteksi pengaruh Arus Kas, Cash Holding dan Kendala Finansial terhadap keputusan investasi perusahaan di Indonesia. Beberapa penelitian sebelumnya di luar Indonesia menunjukkan bukti ada pengaruh Arus Kas dan Kendala Keuangan pada tingkat investasi.Dengan menggunakan model Regresi Berganda dan Regresi Logistik, pada pengamatan data selama lima tahun menunjukkan bahwa Arus Kas dan Cash Holding berpengaruh positif terhadap tingkat investasi. Uji interaksi menunjukkan pengaruh Arus Kas terhadap investasi pada perusahaan yang mengalami kendala pendanaan berbeda dengan perusahaan yang tidak mengalami kendala pendanaan. Dengan kata lain, tingkat rata-rata perubahan investasi yang disebabkan oleh tingkat arus kas adalah sama untuk kedua perusahaan. Sedangkan pengaruh Cash Holding terhadap investasi, tidak berbeda pada perusahaan yang mengalami kendala pendanaan maupun tidak.Kontribusi dari penelitian ini adalah untuk memberikan wawasan kepada pihak-pihak yang terkait dengan pentingnya arus kas dan Cash Holding untuk investasi perusahaan. Berdasarkan hasil tersebut dapat disimpulkan bahwa perusahaan yang memiliki Arus Kas dan Cash Holding yang tinggi memiliki peluang investasi yang lebih besar, terutama pada perusahaan yang memiliki masalah dalam mencari sumber pendanaan. 

Corporate cash flow and dividends smoothing: a panel data analysis at Bursa Malaysia

2015 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 2-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Apedzan Emmanuel Kighir ◽  
Normah Haji Omar ◽  
Norhayati Mohamed
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Payout Policy ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Firms ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the debate and find out the impact of cash flow on changes in dividend payout decisions among non-financial firms quoted at Bursa Malaysia as compared to earnings. There has been renewed debate in recent finance and accounting literature concerning the key determinants of changes in dividends payout policy decisions in some jurisdictions. The conclusion in some is that firms base their dividend decisions on cash flows rather than published earnings. Design/methodology/approach – The research made use of panel data from 1999 to 2012 at Bursa Malaysia, using generalized method of moments as the main method of analysis. Findings – The research finds that Malaysia non-financial firms consider current earnings more important than current cash flow while making dividends payout decisions, and prior year cash flows are considered more important in dividends decisions than prior year earnings. We also found support for Jensen (1986) in Malaysia on agency theory, that managers of firms pay dividends from free cash flow to reduce agency conflicts. Practical implications – The research concludes that Malaysian non-financial firms use current earnings and less of current cash flow in making changes in dividends policy. The policy implication is that current earnings are dividends smoothing agents, and the more they are considered in dividends payout decisions, the less of dividends smoothing. Social implications – If dividends smoothing is encouraged, it could lead to dividends-based earnings management. Originality/value – The research is our novel contribution of assisting investors and government in making informed decisions regarding dividends policy in Malaysia.

Financial sustainability in Italian farms: an analysis of the FADN sample

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriele Dono ◽  
Rebecca Buttinelli ◽  
Raffaele Cortignani
Keyword(s):  
Rural Development ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Production Systems ◽  
Public Support ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Financial Sustainability ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Random Effects Models ◽  
Financial Variables

PurposeThe paper examines the factors that influence the production of cash flows in a sample of Italian farm accountancy data network (FADN) farms to generate information useful for calibrating policies to support farmers' investments.Design/methodology/approachAn econometric analysis on the sample estimates the influence of structural, economic, commercial and financial variables on CAFFE, i.e. the cash flow that includes the payments to the farmer's resources and the free cash flow on equity (FCFE). The econometric problem of endogeneity is treated by adopting the Hausman test to choose between fixed and random effects models. The results for Italian agriculture and its types of farming (TFs) are examined based on the FCFE/capital depreciation ratio, where FCFE subtracts from CAFFE the opportunity cost payments to the farmer's resources. This ratio identifies TFs with problems of sustainability of the production system.FindingsThe results show that increasing the productive dimension, in particular the endowment of farmland and working capital, is still essential to stimulate the production of cash flows of Italian agriculture. Without this growth, increasing the depreciable capital base is ineffective. FCFE does not compensate for depreciation in several TFs, which in various cases could also improve by improving economic efficiency and commercial position.Research limitations/implicationsAssessing the factors that most influence cash flows can help to better calibrate rural development measures to the territories and farming types that most need public support. Our analysis procedure can be applied to all production systems equipped with farm accounting networks; however, the criteria for rewarding farmer resources and calculating the replacement value of agricultural capital need to be better discussed.Originality/valueThe specification of rural development policies rarely takes into account the financial sustainability conditions of farms, as well as the factors that determine them, in defining the support parameters and the selection criteria for funding. Our approach, based on the analysis of FADN data, considers these aspects and provides ideas for better calibrating public support for investments among agricultural territories, sectors and types of farms.

Increasing the Efficiency of Industrial Enterprise Investment Projects through Cash Flow Management

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 (2) ◽  
pp. 90-106
Author(s):  
Denis Shageev
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Discount Rate ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Effective Management ◽  
Method Of Calculation ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Cash Flow Management ◽  
Actual Size

Objective and subjective factors of influence on the nominal and actual size of a cash flow of the project in the form of the scheme are opened. The analysis of method of calculation of a discount rate and award for risk is made. On analysis results, in article it was offered to exclude an indicator of an award for risk from a formula of calculation of a discount rate and to research it separately as the certain managed size influencing the nominal, but not actual size of cash flows of the project. It gave the chance to technically reduce value of a discount rate and by that to increase the NPV real value of the project. Designations of negative and positive factors project risks are entered. Availability and an opportunity positive influence of factors risks on the project is proved. The formulas of calculation of the modified cash flow, effect and effective management of cash flows of the project differing on structure, content and entering of the additional positive amendment on risk are offered. It will give the chance to reduce or eliminate negative influence of objective and subjective factors risks, and in certain cases and in addition to raise project NPV. For assessment of levels of effective management of cash flows the verbal scale is offered.

scholarly journals Ukuran Perusahaan Memoderasi Pengaruh Free Cash Flow dan Leverage Terhadap Kebijakan Dividen

2019 ◽  
pp. 484
Author(s):  
I Kadek Edi Rian Trisna ◽  
Gayatri Gayatri
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Firm Size ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Cash Dividend ◽  
Optimal Dividend ◽  
Current Growth ◽  
Optimal Dividend Policy ◽  
A Company

Determining the optimal cash dividend policy a company should consider several factors. An optimal dividend policy is required because it can create a balance between dividends and current growth in the next period. The purpose of this study is to obtain empirical evidence on the effect of free cash flow and leverage on dividend policy and firm size capability in moderating the effect of free cash flow and leverage against dividend policy. Companies going public listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) year 2013-2017 is the location of research with purposive sampling as a method of determining the sample. Companies that meet the criteria are 10 companies with a total of 39 observations. Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) was used to test in this research. The result showed that free cash flow had positive and leverage effect negatively on dividend policy. The study also found that firm size is able to strengthen the effect of free cash flow on dividend policy and weaken the influence of leverage on dividend policy. Keywords: dividend policy, free cash flow, leverage, company size..  

The Investment Strategy of Free Cash Flow Multiple

1998 ◽  
Vol 01 (03) ◽  
pp. 355-367 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric Liluan Chu
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Price Ratio ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Daily Returns

This study applies the investment strategy recommended by Hackel and Livnat (1993), the free cash flow (FCF) multiple, in Taiwan after the promulgation of Taiwan's FASB No. 95 in 1989. The results indicate that the portfolio with the higher FCF/Price ratio significantly rewards returns in excess of the market. Instead of using earnings/price ratio in the forming portfolio, the study shows that the decile portfolio with the highest FCF/Price ratio significantly outperforms the market during the period from 1990 to 1994. If daily returns are adjusted by the market model, the decile portfolio presents an average 20.5268% cumulative abnormal returns in the testing period, which is statistically higher than zero. The results also indicate that the annual cumulative abnormal returns of the FCF/Price ratio based portfolio are all positive. The annual results also show that the decile portfolio performs much better when the market declines significantly. The outperformance still exists if returns are adjusted by the market without considering risk. The decile portfolio presents an average 8.198% abnormal with a significant t value returns. The superiority of free cash flow in forming portfolio exists but with a decreasing trend when the portfolio is enlarged. The result implies that either the firms with extremely high FCF/Price ratios are undervalued by the market or the market responses slowly to their superior performance in cash flows. The finding supports Hackel and Livnat's (1993) arguments. It suggests that free cash flow is useful information especially for the forming portfolio. The results also enhance the usefulness of the statement of cash flow.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document