A Systematic Review of the Factors Affecting the Cyclone Evacuation Decision Process in Bangladesh

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 742-753 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Nasif Ahsan ◽  
◽  
Kuniyoshi Takeuchi ◽  
Karina Vink ◽  
Miho Ohara ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
At Risk ◽  
Content Analysis ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Cultural Context ◽  
Risk Perceptions ◽  
Cultural Issues ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Warning Messages

Researchers are investigating a broad spectrum of factors affecting positively and/or negatively the evacuation decision-making process occurring after people at risk receive cyclone warnings and advisories. Previous studies suggest that early warnings themselves do not propagate evacuation processes to be investigated but, rather, that human risk perceptions do so. This in turn encourages the sociopsychological dimensions of risk perception to be evaluated, which must be done within a country’s own cultural context. In applying content analysis here, we review the literature on evacuation decision-making processes during rapidonset hazards, i.e., tropical cyclones, in coastal Bangladesh. We focus on three broad overlapping themes – early warning, risk perception, and evacuation decision-making. Major content-analysis findings suggest that two things – a lack of credibility in early warning messages and an inefficient dissemination process – tend to affect the risk perception of people at risk and are likely to eventually determine the success of evacuation decision-making. Findings also show that different socioeconomic and socio-cultural issues related to risk perception appear to be more influential than formal warning messages in propagating decisions to evacuate during a cyclone. Based on these results, we suggest specific policy recommendations for improving local evacuation efficiency.

Modelling evacuation decision-making in the 2016 Chimney Tops 2 fire in Gatlinburg, TN

2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (12) ◽  
pp. 1120 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erica D. Kuligowski ◽  
Emily H. Walpole ◽  
Ruggiero Lovreglio ◽  
Sarah McCaffrey
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Risk Perceptions ◽  
Decision Model ◽  
Online Survey ◽  
Protective Action ◽  
Model Risk ◽  
Protective Action Decision Model ◽  
Online Sampling ◽  
Wildfire Evacuation

As wildfires occurring at the wildland–urban interface (WUI) continue to become more severe, there is an increasing need to understand human behaviour in these situations, and evacuation decision-making in particular. To contribute to this understanding, an online survey (using both mail and online sampling methods) was disseminated to households impacted by the 2016 Chimney Tops 2 fire in Tennessee. The survey instrument measured pre-event variables such as awareness of fire risks and previous experience with evacuations as well as the types of warnings and fire cues received during the event, with a focus on factors known to impact evacuation decisions and risk perception. Using linear and logistic regression analyses, it was found that fire cues and receiving warnings from a trusted source influenced risk perceptions leading up to an evacuation decision. In line with the Protective Action Decision Model, risk perception also highly influenced evacuation decisions, along with other variables, i.e. gender and prior preparation actions. Results from this work provide support for findings from previous wildfire evacuation research as well as produce some novel findings, along with several methodological recommendations, which will be further explored.

Can outside CEO successors bring innovation to firms? Evidence from China

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 935-956 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Liu ◽  
Youzhi Xue
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Cultural Context ◽  
Chief Executive ◽  
Ceo Succession ◽  
Firm Innovation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Chinese Companies ◽  
Negative Effect

Purpose This paper aims to examine the effect of outside chief executive officer (CEO) succession on firm innovation in Chinese companies and to explore the mechanism behind the process. By analyzing the motivation of CEO successors of different origins in the context of selection, this paper identifies the factors affecting outside CEO successors’ decision-making on post-succession firm innovation. Design/methodology/approach A Poisson regression model is used on a sample of 1,084 firm-year observations taken from Chinese listed companies that endured CEO succession during the period of 2009–2016. Fixed-effect Poisson regression modeling was performed after likelihood ratio and Hausman testing to assess the robustness of the findings. Findings The results show that outside CEO successions are significantly and negatively associated with post-succession firm innovation. Moreover, the authors found a negative effect of outside CEO succession on post-succession firm innovation when the predecessor has a long tenure or the successor is older. Originality/value .This study contributes to the literature on CEO succession, CEO–board relationships and firm innovation by shedding light on how agency, human capital and career-concerning theories in the CEO selection context apply to corporate governance and strategy. Moreover, by exploring the factors influencing CEO successors’ decision-making in terms of firm innovation in the Chinese social and cultural context, this paper identifies ways to promote firm innovation for Chinese companies from the concept of leadership succession.

scholarly journals Law enforcement officers ' risk perceptions toward on-duty motor-vehicle events

2015 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 563-577 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hope M. Tiesman ◽  
Rebecca J. Heick ◽  
Srinivas Konda ◽  
Scott Hendricks
Keyword(s):  
Risk Perception ◽  
Law Enforcement ◽  
Risk Perceptions ◽  
Occupational Injury ◽  
Motor Vehicle ◽  
Law Enforcement Officers ◽  
Motor Vehicle Crash ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Factors Affecting

Purpose – Motor-vehicle-related events (MVEs) are the leading cause of on-duty death for law enforcement officers, yet little is known about how officers view this significant job hazard. The purpose of this paper is to explore officers’ motor-vehicle risk perception and examine how prior on-duty MVEs and the death or injury of a fellow officer influences this perception. Design/methodology/approach – A state-wide random sample of 136 law enforcement agencies was drawn using publically accessible databases, stratified on type and size of agency. In total, 60 agencies agreed to participate and a cross-sectional questionnaire was distributed to 1,466 officers. Using six-point Likert scales, composite scores for motor-vehicle and intentional violence risk perception were derived. A linear regression multivariable model was used to examine factors affecting motor-vehicle risk perception. Findings – Motor-vehicle risk perception scores were significantly higher than intentional violence scores. A prior on-duty motor-vehicle crash, prior roadside incident, or knowledge of fellow officer’s injury or death from a MVE significantly increased motor-vehicle risk perception scores. After controlling for potential confounders though, only prior on-duty crashes and roadside incidents impacted motor-vehicle risk perception. Research limitations/implications – The study comprised primarily small, rural agencies and generalizability may be limited. Also, although the data were collected anonymously, reporting and response biases may affect these findings. Originality/value – This study involved a large and diverse cohort of officers and explored motor-vehicle risk perception. A better understanding of officers’ risk perceptions will assist in the development and implementation of occupational injury prevention programs, training, and policy.

scholarly journals Consumer’s Buying Decision-Making Process in E-Commerce

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 ◽  
pp. 11003
Author(s):  
Nia Budi Puspitasari ◽  
Susatyo Nugroho W P ◽  
Deya Nilan Amyhorsea ◽  
Aries Susanty
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Social Identity ◽  
Purchase Intention ◽  
Structural Equation ◽  
Decision Variable ◽  
Positive Relation ◽  
Significant Relation ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Online Buying

The e-commerce growth and development in Indonesia is very rapid as well as the internet grows, but it is not well-balanced with the number of online buying transaction which is still relatively low. Even the today’s biggest B2C e-commerce people in Indonesia, Lazada, has continually decreased online purchasing. This research is aimed to describe factors affecting online buying decision- making in the e-commerce Lazada. The type of this research is confirmatory research. The variable used is following conceptual model i.e. Electronic Word of Mouth (EWOM), social identity, risk perception, trust, and purchase intention. The data were obtained through the questionnaire with Likert scale 1-5. There are 104 people researching sample who meets the criteria as Lazada consumer that, at least do a transaction in recent six months. Data analyzing were done using Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) method by Analysis of Moment Structures (AMOS) software. The results showed that the purchase intention has positively related to the purchase decision. Variable EWOM toward trust has positive relation, variable social identity and risk perception have no any significant relation to trust. Variable risk perception toward purchase intention has no significant relation, while the variable trust has significant positive relation to purchase intention.

scholarly journals The Effects of Past Hurricane Experiences on Evacuation Intentions through Risk Perception and Efficacy Beliefs: A Mediation Analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 327-344 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie L. Demuth ◽  
Rebecca E. Morss ◽  
Jeffrey K. Lazo ◽  
Craig Trumbo
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Self Efficacy ◽  
Risk Perceptions ◽  
Efficacy Beliefs ◽  
Financial Loss ◽  
Multiple Dimensions ◽  
Populations At Risk ◽  
Hazard Experience ◽  
Past Experiences

Abstract Individuals’ past experiences with a hazard can encompass many different aspects, which can influence how they judge and respond to a future hurricane risk. This study, which utilizes survey data from coastal residents who are at risk from hurricanes, adds to understanding of past hazard experience in two ways. First, it examines six different aspects of people’s past hurricane experiences and the relationships among them. Then, it draws on risk theories of behavioral responses to explore how these different experiences influence people’s evacuation intentions for a hypothetical hurricane as mediated through multiple dimensions of risk perception (cognitive, negative affective) and efficacy beliefs (self efficacy, response efficacy). The results suggest that people can experience emotional or otherwise severe impacts from a hurricane even if they do not have experiences with evacuation, property damage, or financial loss. The results also reveal that different past hurricane experiences operated through different combinations of mediating variables to influence evacuation intentions. Some of these processes enhanced intentions; for instance, experience with evacuation, financial loss, or emotional impacts heightened negative affective risk perceptions, which increased evacuation intentions. Other processes dampened evacuation intentions; for instance, people with past hurricane-related emotional impacts had lower self efficacy, which decreased evacuation intentions. In some cases, these enhancing and dampening processes competed. Exploring people’s different past weather experiences and the mechanisms by which they can influence future behaviors is important for more deeply understanding populations at risk and how they respond to weather threats.

scholarly journals Decision-Making Behavior and Risk Perception of Chinese Female Wildlife Tourists

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (18) ◽  
pp. 10301
Author(s):  
Li Cong ◽  
Qiqi Wang ◽  
Geoffrey Wall ◽  
Yijing Su
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Risk Perceptions ◽  
Western China ◽  
Travel Mode ◽  
Security Assurance ◽  
Wildlife Tourism ◽  
Consumption Decisions ◽  
Destination Selection ◽  
Decision Making Behavior

Prior to the global pandemic, wildlife tourism was increasing rapidly globally but was in the early stages of development in China, where it faces great challenges and opportunities. Women comprise a substantial proportion of the market but their decision-making behavior and their perceptions of risk in wildlife tourism have not yet been explored. This paper explores relationships between risk perception and decision-making in tourism. A survey of female tourists was undertaken at non-captive and semi-captive wildlife sites in western China, as well as through internet website posting, resulting in 415 completed questionnaires. Quantitative methods were used to examine four sequential stages of decision-making in wildlife tourism: destination selection, trip itinerary, travel mode and security assurance, and entertainment consumption. Three dimensions of risk perception in wildlife tourism were identified: physical safety, personal comfort, and quality of experience. Decision-making behavior and risk perceptions are related. Perceived risks greatly impact tourists’ travel mode and security assurance decisions. The higher the perceived risk, the greater the likelihood of female tourists participating in decisions on destination selection, travel methods and other entertainment activities undertaken on their wildlife tourism trips. Concerns regarding personal comfort positively influence destination selection, the trip itinerary, and recreation and consumption decisions. Assurance of acquiring a quality experience influences entertainment consumption decisions. The study contributes to the understanding of risk, decision-making behavior and gender research, and confirms the practical importance of safety considerations at wildlife destinations.

scholarly journals Dispositional and situational attribution of COVID-19 risk: A content analysis of response typology (Version: 1)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice Dunning ◽  
Madeleine Pownall
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Content Analysis ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Attribution Theory ◽  
Online Survey ◽  
Personal Hygiene ◽  
Framework Analysis ◽  
Government Decision ◽  
Dispositional Attributions ◽  
Situational Attribution

Pre-Peer Review Version 1: In the current COVID-19 pandemic, there have been official health recommendations of social distancing, thorough handwashing, and self-isolation to prevent the spread of the virus. However, compliance with these recommendations has been mixed. We suggest that non-compliance may be justified by one’s (mis)perception of their own COVID-19 risk. In this paper, we explore the dispositional and situational attribution of self-reported COVID-19 risk, as per Heider’s Attribution Theory. We conducted a content and framework analysis of responses to an online survey, in which participants (N = 114) were asked to rate their likelihood of contracting the COVID-19 virus, before providing textual responses to explain their rating. Overall, we observed that generally, participants who rated their risk to be low made more dispositional attributions (i.e. attributing their risk to factors such as age and own personal hygiene) whereas higher risk participants made more situational attributions (i.e. attributing COVID-19 risk to government decision-making and other people’s cleanliness). A finalised framework of five response typologies including intrinsic, behavioural, balanced, contextual, and disengaged responses was systematically applied to the data. These results will be discussed in the context of attribution theory and risk perception, whilst providing future recommendations for research that tackles non-compliance of COVID-19 behaviours.

Impact of a country’s logistical capabilities on supply chain risk

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Sreedevi ◽  
Haritha Saranga ◽  
Sirish Kumar Gouda
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Risk Perceptions ◽  
Structural Equation ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Equation Modeling ◽  
Supply Chain Risk ◽  
Content Type

Purpose This paper aims to examine the relationship between environmental factors, risk perception and decision-making in risk management. Specifically, using attribution theory, the authors study the influence of macro-level logistical capabilities of a host country on a firm’s actual and perceived supply chain risk, and examine if this country-level factor and the firm level perception of risk affect a firm’s decision-making in risk management. Design/methodology/approach This study uses a combination of primary data from 932 manufacturing firms from 22 countries and secondary data from the logistics performance index (LPI), and empirically tests the conceptual framework using partial least squares structural equation modeling. Findings Key results reveal that a country’s logistical capabilities, measured using LPI, have a significant impact on managers’ risk perception. Firms located in countries with high LPI perceive lower risk in their supply chain both in the upstream and downstream, and therefore do not invest much in external integration, compared to firms in low LPI countries, and hence are exposed to high risk. Originality/value This is one of the first empirical studies linking a country’s logistical capabilities with supply chain risk perceptions, objective supply chain risk and supply chain risk management efforts of a firm using the International Manufacturing Strategy Survey database.

scholarly journals Analysis of Security Perceptions of Foreign Tourists: The Case of Alanya

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muharrem Aksu ◽  
Ali Rıza Aktaş ◽  
Onur Oku ◽  
Faruk Kerem Şentürk
Keyword(s):  
Risk Perception ◽  
Sexual Harassment ◽  
Risk Perceptions ◽  
Education Level ◽  
Tourism Demand ◽  
Criminal Cases ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Safety Perception ◽  
Chi Squared ◽  
Town Center

High risk perception of the tourists affects tourism demand and causes serious declines in the number of tourists to destinations. With this respect, data collected from 500 randomly chosen foreign tourists were analyzed in order to identify their safety perception levels of Alanya town center and in which circumstances and places they have risk perceptions. Factors such as country of origin (nationality), gender, age, travel companion, education level, and duration of stay were tested in order to find out if they have an effect on safety/risk perceptions. Analysis included frequency tables and chi-squared tests. According to the main findings, majority of foreign tourists visiting Alanya find the destination safe (90,6%). There were significant differences in tourists’ perception of risk and safety among issues like traffic and criminal cases such as theft, purse-snatching, sexual harassment, crimes. Additionally, correlation was detected between one of the factors affecting risk perception, -gender and risk types such as -going out at nights, theft and sexual harassment; and foreign tourists’ showed different risk perceptions according to their gender.

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