scholarly journals Prognosis prediction model for a special entity of gastric cancer, linitis plastica

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 307-327
Author(s):  
Xinhua Chen ◽  
Yunfei Zhi ◽  
Zhousheng Lin ◽  
Jinyuan Ma ◽  
Weiming Mou ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wanli Yang ◽  
Lili Duan ◽  
Xinhui Zhao ◽  
Liaoran Niu ◽  
Yiding Li ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Gastric cancer (GC) is one of lethal diseases worldwide. Autophagy-associated genes play a crucial role in the cellular processes of GC. Our study aimed to investigate and identify the prognostic potential of autophagy-associated genes signature in GC. Methods: RNA-seq and clinical information of GC and normal controls were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Then, the Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used to pick out the differentially expressed autophagy-associated genes. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses were performed to investigate the potential roles and mechanisms of autophagy-associated genes in GC. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis and Lasso regression analysis were carried out to identify the overall survival (OS) related autophagy-associated genes, which were then collected to construct a predictive model. Kaplan-Meier method and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were utilized to validate the accuracy of this model. Finally, a clinical nomogram was established by combining the clinical factors and autophagy-associated genes signature. Results: A total of 28 differentially expressed autophagy-associated genes were identified. GO and KEGG analyses revealed that several important cellular processes and signaling pathways were correlated with these genes. Through Cox regression and Lasso regression analyses, we identified 4 OS-related autophagy-associated genes (GRID2, ATG4D, GABARAPL2, and CXCR4) and constructed a prognosis prediction model. GC Patients with high-risk had a worse OS than those in low-risk group (5-year OS, 27.7% vs 38.3%; P=9.524e-07). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the prediction model was 0.67. The nomogram was demonstrated to perform better for predicting 3-year and 5-year survival possibility for GC patients with a concordance index (C-index) of 0.70 (95% CI: 0.65-0.72). The calibration curves also presented good concordance between nomogram-predicted survival and actual survival. Conclusions: We constructed and evaluated a survival model based on the autophagy-associated genes for GC patients, which may improve the prognosis prediction in GC.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daichi Shigemizu ◽  
Shintaro Akiyama ◽  
Sayuri Higaki ◽  
Taiki Sugimoto ◽  
Takashi Sakurai ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is a precursor to Alzheimer’s disease (AD), but not all MCI patients develop AD. Biomarkers for early detection of individuals at high risk for MCI-to-AD conversion are urgently required. Methods We used blood-based microRNA expression profiles and genomic data of 197 Japanese MCI patients to construct a prognosis prediction model based on a Cox proportional hazard model. We examined the biological significance of our findings with single nucleotide polymorphism-microRNA pairs (miR-eQTLs) by focusing on the target genes of the miRNAs. We investigated functional modules from the target genes with the occurrence of hub genes though a large-scale protein-protein interaction network analysis. We further examined the expression of the genes in 610 blood samples (271 ADs, 248 MCIs, and 91 cognitively normal elderly subjects [CNs]). Results The final prediction model, composed of 24 miR-eQTLs and three clinical factors (age, sex, and APOE4 alleles), successfully classified MCI patients into low and high risk of MCI-to-AD conversion (log-rank test P = 3.44 × 10−4 and achieved a concordance index of 0.702 on an independent test set. Four important hub genes associated with AD pathogenesis (SHC1, FOXO1, GSK3B, and PTEN) were identified in a network-based meta-analysis of miR-eQTL target genes. RNA-seq data from 610 blood samples showed statistically significant differences in PTEN expression between MCI and AD and in SHC1 expression between CN and AD (PTEN, P = 0.023; SHC1, P = 0.049). Conclusions Our proposed model was demonstrated to be effective in MCI-to-AD conversion prediction. A network-based meta-analysis of miR-eQTL target genes identified important hub genes associated with AD pathogenesis. Accurate prediction of MCI-to-AD conversion would enable earlier intervention for MCI patients at high risk, potentially reducing conversion to AD.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 164-164 ◽  
Author(s):  
Woo Jin Hyung ◽  
Taeil Son ◽  
Minseok Park ◽  
Hansang Lee ◽  
Youn Nam Kim ◽  
...  

164 Background: Staging systems for cancer are critical to predict the prognosis of patients. Current staging systems for gastric cancer have limitations to predict individualized and precise prediction of patient’s survival after treatment. We aimed to develop prediction model based on deep learning by estimating the survival probability of patients who underwent gastrectomy. Methods: To predict the survival probability, we used a deep neural network model which consisted of 5 layers: input layer, 3 fully connected layer, and output layer with 8 characteristics (age, sex, histology, depth of tumor, number of metastatic and examined lymph node, presence of distant metastasis, and resection extent) of patients which was previously published Yonsei prediction model using Cox regression. Each layer functioned as the nonlinear weighted sum of lower layer. Five-year overall survival was predicted using the deep learning method and it was compared to Yonsei prediction model. The average area under the curve (AUC) was compared between the models. For internal validation, 5-fold cross validations were carried out. We also performed external validation with a dataset from another hospital (n = 1549). . Results: Deep learning predicted 5-year overall survival of patients with an average accuracy of 83.5% in the test set. The average AUC of deep learning by integrating 8 characteristics was significantly higher than that of Yonsei prediction model (AUC: 0.844 vs. 0.831, P < 0.001) with the same variables. In the external validation the average accuracy of survival prediction was 84.1%. The AUC was also greater in a dataset from other hospital in Korea (AUC: 0.852 vs. 0.847, P = 0.023) Conclusions: Prognosis prediction with deep learning showed superior survival predictive power compared to prediction model using Cox regression. It can provide individualized and precise stratification based on the risk using characteristics of gastric cancer patients.


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