scholarly journals EFFECTS OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE SUPPLY AND DEMAND DYNAMICS TO RUPIAH EXCHANGE RATE AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

2010 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 289-328
Author(s):  
Sugeng Sugeng ◽  
M. Noor Nugroho ◽  
Ibrahim Ibrahim ◽  
Yanfitri Yanfitri
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Rate Estimation ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the influence of forex demand and supply interaction on Rupiah's exchange rate. Estimation results show that the movement of rupiah is influenced by the forex supply and demand, where the foreign players are dominating. Furthermore, the demand and supply of foreign exchange is asymmetric.This paper also shows the impact of exchange rate movements on output is only in the short term with a more significant influence to the import, while the depreciation of Rupiah has a larger impact than its appreciation.Keywords:Foreign exchange, inflation, exchange rate.JEL Classification: E31, F31

scholarly journals PENGARUH DINAMIKA PENAWARAN DAN PERMINTAAN VALAS

2010 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sugeng Sugeng ◽  
M. Noor Nugroho ◽  
Ibrahim Ibrahim ◽  
Yanfitri Yanfitri
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Rate Estimation ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the influence of forex demand and supply interaction on Rupiah's exchange rate. Estimation results show that the movement of rupiah is influenced by the forex supply and demand, where the foreign players are dominating. Furthermore, the demand and supply of foreign exchange is asymmetric.This paper also shows the impact of exchange rate movements on output is only in the short term with a more significant influence to the import, while the depreciation of Rupiah has a larger impact than its appreciation.Keywords:Foreign exchange, inflation, exchange rate.JEL Classification: E31, F31

scholarly journals Monetary Policy vs. Foreign Exchange Rate: A Statistical Analysis

2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tyler T. Yu ◽  
Miranda M. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Hypothesis Test ◽  
Time Lag ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this paper is to examine the economic impact of the Feds rate cuts on foreign exchange movements. Using secondary data, the paper estimates the lagged effects of the changes in money supply due to the rate cuts on the foreign exchange rates between the US dollar and the Japanese Yen ($/), British Pounds ($/), and the euro ($/), respectively. Since the impact of monetary policy tends to have a time lag, as suggested by Hall and Taylor, the study segments the measurements in six months intervals (6 months form the cut, 12 months from the cut, 18 months from the cut and 24 months from the cut). The relationship between the changes in money supply and potential impact on foreign exchange rate movements will be investigated using the Pearson Product-Moment Correlation coefficients (PPMCC) as well as Spearmans Rank Correlation coefficients (SRCC, the nonparametric alternative to the PPMCC). Then, a hypothesis test will be conducted to determine whether the correlation between the Federal Reserves stimulating monetary policy and foreign exchange rate movements is significant.

scholarly journals THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC FACTORS ON THE NUMBER OF CORPORATE SUKUK OFFERS IN INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 593-605
Author(s):  
Haerul Ependi ◽  
Hakiman Thamrin
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Independent Variable

This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomics factors on corporate sukuk in Indonesia in the short and long term. The independent variable is Inflation, Economics Growth, Total Money Supply, Foreign Exchange Rate and Bank Indonesia (BI) Rate. Whereas the dependent variable is the number of sukuk corporations offered. The results of this study indicate that the Inflation, Economics Growth, Total money supply, and BI Rate have no significant effect on the number of corporate sukuk offered. While Foreign Exchange Rate has significant effect on the amount of corporate sukuk that offered. In the short term period, the total money supply has significant influence on the number of sukuk corporations offered while the rest have no significant effect

scholarly journals FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AMERIKA DENGAN MODEL KOREKSI KESALAHAN ENGLE-GRANGER (PENDEKATAN MONETER)

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 162
Author(s):  
Eni Setyowati
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product

Exchange rate measures the value of a certain foreign exchange from other foreign exchange's perspective. As the condition of economic changes, the exchange rate ma change substantially. The decrease of the value of a foreign exchange is called depreciation and the increase value of a foreign exchange is called appreciation.The equilibrium exchange rate will change along with the change of demand and supply. Factors causing the change of demand and supply curve among others are the amount of money supply, relative gross domestic product (GDP) and the level of relative interest rate.The research is aimed to analyze the influence of variables of Indonesian money supply, American money supply, Indonesian real Gross Domestic Product, American real Gross Domestic Product, deposits interest rate and LIBOR (London Interbank Offer Rates on SDR Deposit) both in short and long terms.One of the ways to analyze the influence of short term and long term is by developing the dynamic model. In this research, the analyzes of dynamic model was conducted with ENGEL-GRANGER ERROR CORRECTION MODEL approach which was developed by ENGEL-GRANGER (1987) based on GRANGER REPRESENTATION THEOREM.The ECM analyzes was chosen not only because of its ability to solve the problem of time series which is not stationer, and spurious regression and spurious correlation in the economic analyses but also its ability to discuss the consistence of empiric model with economic theory. Beside, ECM concept is also thought to be more realistic in observing the development of economics variables from the result of the analyzes during the time of observation. It was known that long-term exchange rate is influenced by Indonesia real Gross Domestic Product and the number of Indonesian money supply. The variable of Indonesian real Gross Domestic showed the significant result and the signal test was convenient with the theory. The variable which influence" short term exchange rate are the amount of Indonesian money supply, Indonesian real Gross Domestic Product, and Indonesian deposit interest rate. The three variables showed the significant result and the signal test was convenient with the theory.

Intervention Strategies in Foreign Exchange Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 58 (3) ◽  
pp. 381-399
Author(s):  
Vesna Martin
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Intervention Strategies ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The goal of the paper is to present the intervention strategies used by central banks in order to influence the value of the domestic currency, transparency versus discretion when it comes to publishing data about FX intervention and the cost and effectiveness of intervention. It is rarely that nowadays countries allow for an exchange rate to be formed on the market basis through the effects of supply and demand for foreign exchange on the foreign exchange market. The central bank buys or sells a foreign currency in the foreign exchange market in order to increase or decrease the value of its national currency in comparison to the foreign currency. The reasons for the intervention are the reduction of short-term oscillations of the exchange rate, the impact at the level of foreign exchange reserves, as well as the maintaining the price and financial stability as the ultimate goal of most central banks. The paper will present intervention strategies on foreign exchange market, which involves the implementation of interventions in the market of options, forward, foreign currency repo and foreign currency swaps. Then, on the spot market, interventions using an auction, as well as the application of foreign currency indexed certificates.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS ON MONETARY POLICY

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 1337-1342
Author(s):  
Vesna Korunoska ◽  
Biljana Mitrovic ◽  
Pavle Trpeski
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Adjustment Process ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The paper monitors the balance of payments in the Republic of N. Macedonia, which determines the amount of the exchange rate through the supply and demand of foreign currency, as well as the impact of the exchange rate on the balance of payments movements. Real exchange rates are essentially equilibrium exchange rates. exchange rate that will keep the balance of payments in balance without taking measures for foreign exchange control, without pronounced inflation and deflationary tendencies and without constant expectation of monetary and foreign exchange reserves.There are several methods by which balance of payments can be established: by devaluation, by currency control and by deflation. When considering the relationship between the national currency exchange rate and the balance of payments of a national economy in terms of their interconnections, one should depart from their causal link of impacts. The exchange rate affects the balance of payments, as well as the balance of payments affects the exchange rate.The first part of the paper elaborates in detail the key activities of the balance of payments adjustment and the exchange rate adjustment, as well as their mutual impact.We use the adjustment mechanism to restore balance once the initial equilibrium has been disturbed. The payment adjustment process takes two different forms. One, under certain conditions, has adjustment factors that automatically contribute to balancing. Second, in the event that automatic adjustment fails to strike a balance, the government adopts a discretionary policy to achieve this goal.

scholarly journals The Dynamic Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Log Prices in China: An Analysis Based on the TVP-VAR Model

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 449
Author(s):  
Chenlu Tao ◽  
Gang Diao ◽  
Baodong Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Wood Industry ◽  
The Impact

China’s wood industry is vulnerable to the COVID-19 pandemic since wood raw materials and sales of products are dependent on the international market. This study seeks to explore the speed of log price recovery under different control measures, and to perhaps find a better way to respond to the pandemic. With the daily data, we utilized the time-varying parameter autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model, which can incorporate structural changes in emergencies into the model through time-varying parameters, to estimate the dynamic impact of the pandemic on log prices at different time points. We found that the impact of the pandemic on oil prices and Renminbi exchange rate is synchronized with the severity of the pandemic, and the ascending in the exchange rate would lead to an increase in log prices, while oil prices would not. Moreover, the impulse response in June converged faster than in February 2020. Thus, partial quarantine is effective. However, the pandemic’s impact on log prices is not consistent with changes of the pandemic. After the pandemic eased in June 2020, the impact of the pandemic on log prices remained increasing. This means that the COVID-19 pandemic has long-term influences on the wood industry, and the work resumption was not smooth, thus the imbalance between supply and demand should be resolved as soon as possible. Therefore, it is necessary to promote the development of the domestic wood market and realize a “dual circulation” strategy as the pandemic becomes a “new normal”.

Estimation of fiscal rule impact on Russian ruble equilibrium exchange rate

2021 ◽  
pp. 70-84
Author(s):  
D. A. Menshikh
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Alternative Methods ◽  
Equilibrium Exchange Rate ◽  
The Real ◽  
Equilibrium Exchange ◽  
Fiscal Rule ◽  
The Impact

This paper describes a new approach that makes it possible to assess the impact of foreign exchange interventions implemented under the fiscal rule on the Russian ruble equilibrium exchange rate. The essence of the approach is to quantify the impact of foreign exchange interventions carried out within the framework of the fiscal rule on the balance of supply and demand of foreign exchange, and to reflect this influence in macroeconomic models using the “effective” oil price indicator. The article describes in detail the calculation of this indicator. The advantage of using the “effective” oil price indicator compared to alternative methods lies in the efficiency (the ability to apply for monthly data), simplicity (the possibility of using for scenario forecasting of the exchange rate), as well as the flexibility of the method (the possibility of taking into account periods of suspension of the fiscal rule and deferred purchases). The current gap in the real effective exchange rate of Russian ruble was calculated based on the data for February 2008 — October 2019. The assessment of the contribution of the fiscal rule to the equilibrium value of the real exchange rate was about 2 pp., at the end of 2019 Russian ruble was overvalued.

scholarly journals The Efffect of Environmental Management Accounting, Environmental Strategy on Environmental Performance and Financial Performance Moderated By Managerial Commitment

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-119
Author(s):  
Eko Cahyo Mayndarto ◽  
Yvonne Agustine
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Management ◽  
Performance Management ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Environmental Performance ◽  
Management Accounting ◽  
Environmental Strategy ◽  
Management Commitment ◽  
Environmental Management Accounting ◽  
The Impact

Environmental management (EMA) has been considered as a successful idea to reduce ecological burdens in the form of energy dependence and carbon footprint. In addition to the company's highest emphasis on EMA, the organization's environmental strategy (ENS) is articulated and implemented with ecological motivation. The role of the ENS strengthens the internal awareness of the organization to improve environmental conditions and thereby helps reduce negative environmental stresses. In addition, with increasing environmental regulations in place, the need for sound environmental policies and strategies of the company is essential to protect future growth and market image. Results There is a significant influence of environmental management accounting to encourage environmental performance, there is a significant effect of environmental management accounting to encourage economic performance, there is a significant influence of environmental strategy to encourage environmental performance, there is a significant influence of environmental strategy to encourage economic performance, commitment to moderate management The significant influence of Environmental Management Accounting to encourage Environmental Performance, Management Commitment Cannot Moderate the Effect of Environmental Management Accounting which encourages Economic Performance, Management Commitment to Moderate the significant influence of Environmental Strategy to encourage Environmental Performance and Management Commitment to Moderate the Impact of Environmental Strategy which is significant to encourage Economic Performance .  

scholarly journals EFEK KETERBUKAAN PERDAGANGAN PADA VOLATILITAS NILAI TUKAR

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-45
Author(s):  
Wayrohi Meilvidiri ◽  
Syahruddin Syahruddin ◽  
Romualdus Turu Putra Maro Djanggo
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Normality Test ◽  
Lm Test ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

This study uses the q to q dataset for the period 2011-2018, to examine the effect of trade openness on the exchange rate, on the other hand variable money supply, inflation and GDP growth and high-low exchange rates (dummy) will smooth the impact of shocks to the exchange rate . Using the OLS econometric estimator to see the effect of variables and the ARCH method to measure the uncertainty of exchange rate movements. Estimation results show that trade openness (open trade index); the money supply (money supply) and the high-low peak value of the exchange rate have a significant positive effect while the growth variable has a significant negative effect on exchange rate volatility. The LM test simultaneously found ARCH in residual data in lag 1 and lag 2. The normality test found abnormal residuals, while the residual heteroscedasticity test showed no ARCH problems in the last residuals.

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