Observations and Analyses of the 9 January 2018 Debris-Flow Disaster, Santa Barbara County, California

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-27
Author(s):  
Jeremy T. Lancaster ◽  
Brian J. Swanson ◽  
Stefani G. Lukashov ◽  
Nina S. Oakley ◽  
Jacob B. Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Santa Barbara ◽  
Debris Removal ◽  
Fire Debris ◽  
Santa Barbara County ◽  
Coastal Land

ABSTRACT The post–Thomas Fire debris flows of 9 January 2018 killed 23 people, damaged 558 structures, and caused severe damage to infrastructure in Montecito and Carpinteria, CA. U.S. Highway 101 was closed for 13 days, significantly impacting transportation and commerce in the region. A narrow cold frontal rain band generated extreme rainfall rates within the western burn area, triggering runoff-driven debris flows that inundated 5.6 km2 of coastal land in eastern Santa Barbara County. Collectively, this series of debris flows is comparable in magnitude to the largest documented post-fire debris flows in the state and cost over a billion dollars in debris removal and damages to homes and infrastructure. This study summarizes observations and analyses on the extent and magnitude of inundation areas, debris-flow velocity and volume, and sources of debris-flow material on the south flank of the Santa Ynez Mountains. Additionally, we describe the atmospheric conditions that generated intense rainfall and use precipitation data to compare debris-flow source areas with spatially associated peak 15 minute rainfall amounts. We then couple the physical characterization of the event with a compilation of debris-flow damages to summarize economic impacts.

Research on Motion Characteristics and Formation Mechanism of Debris Flow

2014 ◽  
Vol 711 ◽  
pp. 388-391
Author(s):  
Ji Wei Xu ◽  
Ming Dong Zhang ◽  
Mao Sheng Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Formation Mechanism ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Catchment Area ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Large Range ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Small Catchment ◽  
Rainfall Characteristics ◽  
Motion Characteristics

On July 9 2013, debris flows occurred around Longchi town with large scale and wide harm, which was a great threat to people's life and property as well as reconstruction work. Debris flow ditch in the surrounding town was studied. This paper focused on loose materials, topography and rainfall characteristics, and explored the formation mechanism of debris flow in Longchi town. The result shows that: a small catchment area in valleys also have the risk of large range of accumulation of debris flow, the debris flow is caused by a lot of loose materials in mountains after earthquake and extreme rainfall. Research results contribute to a better understanding of trigger condition of debris flow after earthquake.

scholarly journals Inundation, flow dynamics, and damage in the 9 January 2018 Montecito debris-flow event, California, USA: Opportunities and challenges for post-wildfire risk assessment

Geosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 1140-1163 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.W. Kean ◽  
D.M. Staley ◽  
J.T. Lancaster ◽  
F.K. Rengers ◽  
B.J. Swanson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Field Measurements ◽  
Economic Loss ◽  
Flow Dynamics ◽  
Dynamic Constraints ◽  
Fire Debris ◽  
Velocity Information ◽  
Intense Burst ◽  
Comprehensive Framework

Abstract Shortly before the beginning of the 2017–2018 winter rainy season, one of the largest fires in California (USA) history (Thomas fire) substantially increased the susceptibility of steep slopes in Santa Barbara and Ventura Counties to debris flows. On 9 January 2018, before the fire was fully contained, an intense burst of rain fell on the portion of the burn area above Montecito, California. The rainfall and associated runoff triggered a series of debris flows that mobilized ∼680,000 m3 of sediment (including boulders >6 m in diameter) at velocities up to 4 m/s down coalescing urbanized alluvial fans. The resulting destruction (including 23 fatalities, at least 167 injuries, and 408 damaged homes) underscores the need for improved understanding of debris-flow runout in the built environment, and the need for a comprehensive framework to assess the potential loss from debris flows following wildfire. We present observations of the inundation, debris-flow dynamics, and damage from the event. The data include field measurements of flow depth and deposit characteristics made within the first 12 days after the event (before ephemeral features of the deposits were lost to recovery operations); an inventory of building damage; estimates of flow velocity; information on flow timing; soil-hydrologic properties; and post-event imagery and lidar. Together, these data provide rare spatial and dynamic constraints for testing debris-flow runout models, which are needed for advancing post-fire debris-flow hazard assessments. Our analysis also outlines a framework for translating the results of these models into estimates of economic loss based on an adaptation of the U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency’s Hazus model for tsunamis.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Rainfall-Triggered Debris Flows under the Impact of Extreme Events: A Chenyulan Watershed Case Study, Taiwan

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 2201
Author(s):  
Jinn-Chyi Chen ◽  
Wen-Shun Huang
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Extreme Rainfall Event ◽  
Extreme Rainfall Events ◽  
Hourly Rainfall ◽  
Central Taiwan ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the conditions that lead to debris flows, and their association with the rainfall return period (T) and the probability of debris flow occurrence (P) in the Chenyulan watershed, central Taiwan. Several extreme events have occurred in the Chenyulan watershed in the past, including the Chi-Chi earthquake and extreme rainfall events. The T for three rainfall indexes (i.e., the maximum hourly rainfall depth (Im), the maximum 24-h rainfall amount (Rd), and RI (RI = Im× Rd)) were analyzed, and the T associated with the triggering of debris flows is presented. The P–T relationship can be determined using three indexes, Im, Rd, and RI; how it is affected and unaffected by extreme events was developed. Models for evaluating P using the three rainfall indexes were proposed and used to evaluate P between 2009 and 2020 (i.e., after the extreme rainfall event of Typhoon Morakot in 2009). The results of this study showed that the P‒T relationship, using the RI or Rd index, was reasonable for predicting the probability of debris flow occurrence.

scholarly journals Brief communication: Meteorological and climatological conditions associated with the 9 January 2018 post-fire debris flows in Montecito and Carpinteria, California, USA

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (11) ◽  
pp. 3037-3043 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nina S. Oakley ◽  
Forest Cannon ◽  
Robert Munroe ◽  
Jeremy T. Lancaster ◽  
David Gomberg ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Intensity ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Southern California ◽  
Cold Front ◽  
Santa Barbara ◽  
Fire Debris ◽  
Orographic Enhancement

Abstract. The Thomas Fire burned 114 078 ha in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties, southern California, during December 2017–January 2018. On 9 January 2018, high-intensity rainfall occurred over the Thomas Fire burn area in the mountains above the communities of Montecito and Carpinteria, initiating multiple devastating debris flows. The highest rainfall intensities occurred with the passage of a narrow rainband along a cold front oriented north to south. Orographic enhancement associated with moist southerly flow immediately ahead of the cold front also played a role. We provide an explanation of the meteorological characteristics of the event and place it in historic context.

Towards real-time global assessment of post-fire debris flow hazards with remotely sensed data

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elijah Orland ◽  
Dalia Kirschbaum ◽  
Thomas Stanley
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Debris Flow ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Remotely Sensed Data ◽  
Model Framework ◽  
Burned Areas ◽  
Early Results ◽  
Fire Debris ◽  
Debris Flow Initiation

<p>As the risk of wildfires increases worldwide, burned steeplands are vulnerable to the secondary hazard of widespread sediment mobilization through debris flows. Following an initial burn, sediment and soil previously restrained by vegetation are no longer consolidated, allowing for easy mobilization into channels and along steep hillslopes through runoff.  Sufficiently powerful rainfall incorporates entrained material into turbulent flows and serves as the primary trigger for debris flow initiation. There is thus an ongoing need to establish the relationship between rainfall and debris flow initiation based on a variety of spatiotemporal preconditions. Previous work establishes regional and local thresholds to constrain the effect of rainfall in recently burned areas, but no empirical or numerical solution has worldwide application. Building from regionally-based efforts in the U.S., this work considers how remote sensing data can be applied to better approximate the post-fire debris flow hazards worldwide using freely available global datasets and software. Our work assesses the utility of remote sensing resources for analyzing burn characteristics, topography, rainfall intensity/duration, and, thus, debris flow initiation. Early results show that global observations are sufficient to delineate background rainfall rates from storms likely to cause debris flows across a variety of burn severity and topographic conditions. However, the dearth of publicly-available post-fire debris flow inventories globally limit the ability to test how the model framework performs within different climatologic and morphologic areas. This work will present preliminary analysis over the Western United States and demonstrate the feasibility of a global, near-real time model to provide situational awareness of potential hazards within recently burned areas worldwide. Future work will also consider how global or regional precipitation forecasts may increase the lead time for improved early warning of these hazards.</p>

Time Since Burning and Rainfall Characteristics Impact Post-Fire Debris-Flow Initiation and Magnitude

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-56
Author(s):  
Luke A. McGuire ◽  
Francis K. Rengers ◽  
Nina Oakley ◽  
Jason W. Kean ◽  
Dennis M. Staley ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Modeling ◽  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Ground Cover ◽  
Temporal Changes ◽  
Infiltration Capacity ◽  
Rainfall Characteristics ◽  
San Gabriel Mountains ◽  
Fire Debris

ABSTRACT The extreme heat from wildfire alters soil properties and incinerates vegetation, leading to changes in infiltration capacity, ground cover, soil erodibility, and rainfall interception. These changes promote elevated rates of runoff and sediment transport that increase the likelihood of runoff-generated debris flows. Debris flows are most common in the year immediately following wildfire, but temporal changes in the likelihood and magnitude of debris flows following wildfire are not well constrained. In this study, we combine measurements of soil-hydraulic properties with vegetation survey data and numerical modeling to understand how debris-flow threats are likely to change in steep, burned watersheds during the first 3 years of recovery. We focus on documenting recovery following the 2016 Fish Fire in the San Gabriel Mountains, California, and demonstrate how a numerical model can be used to predict temporal changes in debris-flow properties and initiation thresholds. Numerical modeling suggests that the 15-minute intensity-duration (ID) threshold for debris flows in post-fire year 1 can vary from 15 to 30 mm/hr, depending on how rainfall is temporally distributed within a storm. Simulations further demonstrate that expected debris-flow volumes would be reduced by more than a factor of three following 1 year of recovery and that the 15-minute rainfall ID threshold would increase from 15 to 30 mm/hr to greater than 60 mm/hr by post-fire year 3. These results provide constraints on debris-flow thresholds within the San Gabriel Mountains and highlight the importance of considering local rainfall characteristics when using numerical models to assess debris-flow and flood potential.

scholarly journals Characterization of a landslide-triggered debris flow at a rainforest-covered mountain region in Brazil

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victor Carvalho Cabral ◽  
Fábio Augusto Gomes Vieira Reis ◽  
Fernando Mazo D’Affonseca ◽  
Ana Lucía ◽  
Claudia Vanessa dos Santos Corrêa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Peak Discharge ◽  
Hazard Management ◽  
Magnitude Comparison ◽  
Tropical Regions ◽  
Serra Do Mar ◽  
Total Magnitude

AbstractDebris flows represent great hazard to humans due to their high destructive power. Understanding their hydrogeomorphic dynamics is fundamental in hazard assessment studies, especially in subtropical and tropical regions where debris flows have scarcely been studied when compared to other mass-wasting processes. Thus, this study aims at systematically analyzing the meteorological and geomorphological factors that characterize a landslide-triggered debris flow at the Pedra Branca catchment (Serra do Mar, Brazil), to quantify the debris flow’s magnitude, peak discharge and velocity. A magnitude comparison with empirical equations (Italian Alps, Taiwan, Serra do Mar) is also conducted. The meteorological analysis is based on satellite data and rain gauge measurements, while the geomorphological characterization is based on terrestrial and aerial investigations, with high spatial resolution. The results indicate that it was a large-sized stony debris flow, with a total magnitude of 120,195 m3, a peak discharge of 2146.7 m3 s−1 and a peak velocity of 26.5 m s−1. The debris flow was triggered by a 188-mm rainfall in 3 h (maximum intensity of 128 mm h−1), with an estimated return period of 15 to 20 years, which, combined with the intense accumulation of on-channel debris (ca. 37,000 m3), indicates that new high-magnitude debris flows in the catchment and the region are likely to occur within the next two decades. The knowledge of the potential frequency and magnitude (F–M) can support the creation of F–M relationships for Serra do Mar, a prerequisite for reliable hazard management and monitoring programs.

scholarly journals Engineering Planning Method and Control Modes for Debris Flow Disasters in Scenic Areas

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xing-Long Gong ◽  
Xiao-Qing Chen ◽  
Kun-Ting Chen ◽  
Wan-Yu Zhao ◽  
Jian-Gang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Flow Control ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Planning Method ◽  
Extreme Rainfall Events ◽  
Field Investigations ◽  
Systematic Planning ◽  
And Control ◽  
Jiuzhaigou Valley

Compared with debris flows in other areas, debris flows in scenic areas not only seriously threaten residents, tourists, roads, walkways, and other infrastructure, but also cause considerable damage to the landscapes and ecosystems of these areas. Extreme rainfall events in the future will increase the complexities and challenges involved in debris flow control in scenic areas. Currently, the systematic planning of the entire scenic area is not considered in the treatment of debris flows. It is not possible to realize the rapid planning of any debris flow gully control project in a scenic area and to quantify the volume of debris flow material retained by each engineering structure. Based on field investigations and data collected from debris flow control projects in gullies in Jiuzhaigou Valley, China, an engineering planning method for debris flow control projects in scenic areas is herein proposed, and the challenges confronting existing control projects in scenic areas are discussed. Moreover, based on the example of Jiuzhaigou Valley, corresponding control engineering schemes for debris flow gullies in Xiajijie Lake Gully, Zhuozhui Gully, Xuan Gully, Pingshitou Gully, and West-Zhuozhui Gully are formulated. Four control modes for debris flow disasters in scenic areas are proposed, namely, “blocking + deposit stopping,” “deposit stopping,” “blocking,” and “drainage + deposit stopping,” which provide a systematic control strategy for post-earthquake debris flow disaster management in Jiuzhaigou Valley and other similar scenic areas.

scholarly journals Case Study of the Characteristics and Dynamic Process of July 10, 2013, Catastrophic Debris Flows in Wenchuan County, China

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guisheng Hu ◽  
Ningsheng Chen ◽  
Javed Iqbal Tanoli ◽  
Yong You ◽  
Jun Li
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Recovery Period ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Solid Material ◽  
Site Investigation ◽  
Dynamic Processes ◽  
Power Stations ◽  
Secondary Disasters

The Wenchuan earthquake of May 12, 2008, generated a significant amount of loose solid material that can produce devastating debris flows. In the five years since the earthquake, there have been many large-scale individual and group catastrophic debris flows that have caused lots of damage to the resettled population and the reconstruction efforts. The reconstructed towns of Yingxiu, Yinxing and Miansi have suffered debris flows and other secondary disasters in the past five years and are still not out of danger in the future. A debris-flow catastrophic event hit four towns of Wenchuan County along the Duwen Highway, part of China’s National Highway 213, at midnight on July 10, 2013, following a local extreme rainfall of 176.2mm 24h-1. The debris flows occurred simultaneously along seven gullies. A total of 15000 people were affected due to the destruction of resettlement areas, factories, power stations, and houses. Because of this devastating event, traffic along the Duwen highway was completely disrupted during the disaster and recovery period. The present study focuses on the Lianshan Bridge debris flow gully; the disaster characteristics and cause of the debris flow were analyzed based on field investigations, remote sensing interpretation, and laboratory experiments. The particular dynamic parameters of the debris flow were calculated and analyzed including density, velocity, discharge, total volume and impact force. Also, the dynamic processes and changes that occurred in the debris flow were examined, and the block and burst characteristics of debris flow were studied based on statistical calculation and analysis dynamic characteristic parameters of debris flow. Finally, a program to prevent further debris flow was proposed according to the on-site investigation and based on the analysis of the features and dynamic processes of the debris flow.  ResumenEl terremoto de Wenchuan, el 12 de mayo de 2008, generó una gran cantidad de material sólido suelto que puede producir flujos de detritos devastadores. En los años posteriores al terremoto han ocurrido deslizamientos a gran escala individuales y simultáneos que han causado daño a los habitantes reubicados y a los esfuerzos de reconstrucción. Las ciudades reconstruidas de Yingxiu, Yinxing y Miansi han sufrido flujos de detritos y otros desastres secundarios desde el terremoto, y no están exentas de eventos futuros. Un evento simultáneo de flujo de detritos afectó a cuatro localidades del condado de Wenchuan, a lo largo de la autopista de Duwen, parte de la carretera nacional 213, en la medianoche del 10 de julio de 2013, después de una lluvia extrema de 176,2 mm 24h-1. Los movimientos de detritos ocurrieron en siete pendientes. Un total de 1500 personas resultaron afectadas debido a la destrucción en áreas de reasentamiento, fábricas, estaciones eléctricas y viviendas. Debido a este devastador hecho, el tráfico de la autopista Duwen estuvo interrumpido durante el período del desastre y mientras se recuperaba la zona. Este estudio se enfoca en el deslizamiento del Puente Lianshan, donde se analizaron las características y las causas del flujo de detritos basados en investigaciones de campo, interpretación de detección remota y experimentos de laboratorio. Se calcularon y analizaron los parámetros dinámicos particulares del flujo de detritos como la densidad, velocidad, descarga, volumen total y fuerza de impacto. También se analizaron los procesos dinámicos y los cambios que ocurrieron en el flujo de detritos, al igual que se estudiaron las características de bloqueo y ruptura del flujo con base en cálculos estadísticos y análisis de los parámetros dinámicos característicos. Finalmente, se propone un programa para prevenir mayores movimientos de detritos de acuerdo con la investigación de campo y basado en los análisis de las características y procesos dinámicos del flujo de material sólido suelto.

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