scholarly journals Hydrometeorological Consequences on the Water Balance in the Ganga River System Under Changing Climatic Conditions using Land Surface Model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohd Sayeed Ul Hasan ◽  
Abhishek Kumar Rai
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Groundwater Level ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Water Budget ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Ganga River ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Ganga Basin ◽  
Groundwater Drought

Abstract United Nations Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) ensures adequately accessible water and management for all. Due to the rapid increase in population and industries along the Ganga river, it is necessary to estimate the water budget for fulfilling the demand for water in the future. The M-K test conducted on the Noah-Land Surface Model data for 72 years results in maximum declining trend of water budget in the Yamuna Lower (Q=-3.82BCM/year), and minimum in the Damodar sub-basin (Q=-0.10BCM/year). All the sub-basins show increase in groundwater level (mbgl) except the Kali Sindh, which shows decreasing trend (Q=-0.07 m/year). The extreme severe groundwater drought were estimated using Standard Groundwater Level Index (SGWLI), of the values for the Ram Ganga Confluence (SGWLI=2.44;2005), Upper stream of Gomti (SGWLI=2.06;2014), Ghaghra (SGWLI=2.22;2005), Ram Ganga (SGWLI=2.28;2005), Yamuna Lower (SGWLI=2.13;2007), Kali Sindh (SGWLI=2.30,2.67;2002,2003), Chambal Upper (SGWLI=2.30,2.20;2001,2003), Son (SGWLI=2.02;2010), Gandak (SGWLI=2.37;2010),Kosi (SGWLI=2.08;2012), Damodar (SGWLI=2.72;2010), and Bhagirathi (SGWLI=2.06;2014) were obtained for a period of 1996 to 2016 using a total of 62,050 observed well data.The obtained in-situ point data are converted into the surface raster using geostatistical technique. Our results show declining trend in the water budget of all the 19 sub-basin of the Ganga basin, and also the groundwater drought in several parts. Policy makers will benefit from our findings as they can use them to further UN Sustainable Development Goals such as ending poverty (SDG-1), hunger eradication (SDG-2), clean water & sanitation (SDG-6), socioeconomic development (SDG-8) and climate action (SDG-13) all of which must be accomplished before 2030.

scholarly journals Introducing Hysteresis in Snow Depletion Curves to Improve the Water Budget of a Land Surface Model in an Alpine Catchment

2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 631-649 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claire Magand ◽  
Agnès Ducharne ◽  
Nicolas Le Moine ◽  
Simon Gascoin
Keyword(s):  
Snow Cover ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Water Budget ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Depletion Curve ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Snow Model

Abstract The Durance watershed (14 000 km2), located in the French Alps, generates 10% of French hydropower and provides drinking water to 3 million people. The Catchment land surface model (CLSM), a distributed land surface model (LSM) with a multilayer, physically based snow model, has been applied in the upstream part of this watershed, where snowfall accounts for 50% of the precipitation. The CLSM subdivides the upper Durance watershed, where elevations range from 800 to 4000 m within 3580 km2, into elementary catchments with an average area of 500 km2. The authors first show the difference between the dynamics of the accumulation and ablation of the snow cover using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images and snow-depth measurements. The extent of snow cover increases faster during accumulation than during ablation because melting occurs at preferential locations. This difference corresponds to the presence of a hysteresis in the snow-cover depletion curve of these catchments, and the CLSM was adapted by implementing such a hysteresis in the snow-cover depletion curve of the model. Different simulations were performed to assess the influence of the parameterizations on the water budget and the evolution of the extent of the snow cover. Using six gauging stations, the authors demonstrate that introducing a hysteresis in the snow-cover depletion curve improves melting dynamics. They conclude that their adaptation of the CLSM contributes to a better representation of snowpack dynamics in an LSM that enables mountainous catchments to be modeled for impact studies such as those of climate change.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Groundwater Simulations in Benin from the ALMIP2 Project

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 339-354
Author(s):  
Mehnaz Rashid ◽  
Rong-You Chien ◽  
Agnès Ducharne ◽  
Hyungjun Kim ◽  
Pat J.-F. Yeh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seasonal Variations ◽  
Surface Runoff ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Water Budget ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Substantial Improvement ◽  
Base Flow ◽  
Specific Yield ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Multidisciplinary Analysis

AbstractA comprehensive estimation of water budget components, particularly groundwater storage (GWS) and fluxes, is crucial. In this study, we evaluate the terrestrial water budget of the Donga basin (Benin, West Africa), as simulated by three land surface models (LSMs) used in the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis Land Surface Model Intercomparison Project, phase 2 (ALMIP2): CLM4, Catchment LSM (CLSM), and Minimal Advanced Treatments of Surface Interaction and Runoff (MATSIRO). All three models include an unconfined groundwater component and are driven by the same ALMIP2 atmospheric forcing from 2005 to 2008. Results show that all three models simulate substantially shallower water table depth (WTD) with smaller seasonal variations, approximately 1–1.5 m compared to the observed values that range between 4 and 9.6 m, while the seasonal variations of GWS are overestimated by all the models. These seemingly contradictory simulation results can be explained by the overly high specific yield prescribed in all models. All models achieve similar GWS simulations but with different fractions of precipitation partitioning into surface runoff, base flow, and evapotranspiration (ET), suggesting high uncertainty and errors in the terrestrial and groundwater budgets among models. The poor performances of models can be attributed to bias in the hydrological partitioning (base flow vs surface runoff) and sparse subsurface data. This analysis confirms the importance of subsurface hydrological processes in the current generation of LSMs and calls for substantial improvement in both surface water budget (which controls groundwater recharge) and the groundwater system (hydrodynamic parameters, vertical geometry).

scholarly journals Modelling LAI at a regional scale with ISBA-A-gs: comparison with satellite-derived LAI over southwestern France

2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (8) ◽  
pp. 1389-1404 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Brut ◽  
C. Rüdiger ◽  
S. Lafont ◽  
J.-L. Roujean ◽  
J.-C. Calvet ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Temperature Response ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Satellite Signal

Abstract. A CO2-responsive land surface model (the ISBA-A-gs model of Météo-France) is used to simulate photosynthesis and Leaf Area Index (LAI) in southwestern France for a 3-year period (2001–2003). A domain of about 170 000 km2 is covered at a spatial resolution of 8 km. The capability of ISBA-A-gs to reproduce the seasonal and the interannual variability of LAI at a regional scale, is assessed with satellite-derived LAI products. One originates from the CYCLOPES programme using SPOT/VEGETATION data, and two products are based on MODIS data. The comparison reveals discrepancies between the satellite LAI estimates and between satellite and simulated LAI values, both in their intensity and in the timing of the leaf onset. The model simulates higher LAI values for the C3 crops than the satellite observations, which may be due to a saturation effect within the satellite signal or to uncertainties in model parameters. The simulated leaf onset presents a significant delay for C3 crops and mountainous grasslands. In-situ observations at a mid-altitude grassland site show that the generic temperature response of photosynthesis used in the model is not appropriate for plants adapted to the cold climatic conditions of the mountainous areas. This study demonstrates the potential of LAI remote sensing products for identifying and locating models' shortcomings at a regional scale.

scholarly journals Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century

2015 ◽  
Vol 371 ◽  
pp. 59-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. N. Nasonova ◽  
Y. M. Gusev ◽  
E. M. Volodin ◽  
E. E. Kovalev
Keyword(s):  
River Runoff ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Greenhouse Gas Emission ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Russian River

Abstract. The objective of the present study is application of the land surface model SWAP to project climate change impact on northern Russian river runoff up to 2100 using meteorological projections from the atmosphere–ocean global climate model INMCM4.0. The study was performed for the Northern Dvina River and the Kolyma River characterized by different climatic conditions. The ability of both models to reproduce the observed river runoff was investigated. To apply SWAP for hydrological projections, the robustness of the model was evaluated. The river runoff projections up to 2100 were calculated for two greenhouse gas emission scenarios: RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 prepared for the phase five of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). For each scenario, several runoff projections were obtained using different models (INMCM4.0 and SWAP) and different post-processing techniques for correcting biases in meteorological forcing data. Differences among the runoff projections obtained for the same emission scenario and the same period illustrate uncertainties resulted from application of different models and bias-correcting techniques.

scholarly journals Multisource Estimation of Long-Term Terrestrial Water Budget for Major Global River Basins

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (9) ◽  
pp. 3191-3206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Pan ◽  
Alok K. Sahoo ◽  
Tara J. Troy ◽  
Raghuveer K. Vinukollu ◽  
Justin Sheffield ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Balance ◽  
Error Analysis ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Water Budget ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Data Sources ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Terrestrial Water

A systematic method is proposed to optimally combine estimates of the terrestrial water budget from different data sources and to enforce the water balance constraint using data assimilation techniques. The method is applied to create global long-term records of the terrestrial water budget by merging a number of global datasets including in situ observations, remote sensing retrievals, land surface model simulations, and global reanalyses. The estimation process has three steps. First, a conventional analysis on the errors and biases in different data sources is conducted based on existing validation/error studies and other information such as sensor network density, model physics, and calibration procedures. Then, the data merging process combines different estimates so that biases and errors from different data sources can be compensated to the greatest extent and the merged estimates have the best possible confidence. Finally, water balance errors are resolved using the constrained Kalman filter technique. The procedure is applied to 32 globally distributed major basins for 1984–2006. The authors believe that the resulting global water budget estimates can be used as a baseline dataset for large-scale diagnostic studies, for example, integrated assessment of basin water resources, trend analysis and attribution, and climate change studies. The global scale of the analysis presents significant challenges in carrying out the error analysis for each water budget variable. For some variables (e.g., evapotranspiration) the assumptions underpinning the error analysis lack supporting quantitative analysis and, thus, may not hold for specific locations. Nevertheless, the merging and water balance constraining technique can be applied to many problems.

scholarly journals Evaluation and Transferability of the Noah Land Surface Model in Semiarid Environments

2005 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 68-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terri S. Hogue ◽  
Luis Bastidas ◽  
Hoshin Gupta ◽  
Soroosh Sorooshian ◽  
Ken Mitchell ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Time Frame ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Systematic Evaluation ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
Noah Land Surface Model

Abstract This paper investigates the performance of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Noah land surface model at two semiarid sites in southern Arizona. The goal is to evaluate the transferability of calibrated parameters (i.e., direct application of a parameter set to a “similar” site) between the sites and to analyze model performance under the various climatic conditions that can occur in this region. A multicriteria, systematic evaluation scheme is developed to meet these goals. Results indicate that the Noah model is able to simulate sensible heat, ground heat, and ground temperature observations with a high degree of accuracy, using the optimized parameter sets. However, there is a large influx of moist air into Arizona during the monsoon period, and significant latent heat flux errors are observed in model simulations during these periods. The use of proxy site parameters (transferred parameter set), as well as traditional default parameters, results in diminished model performance when compared to a set of parameters calibrated specifically to the flux sites. Also, using a parameter set obtained from a longer-time-frame calibration (i.e., a 4-yr period) results in decreased model performance during nonstationary, short-term climatic events, such as a monsoon or El Niño. Although these results are specific to the sites in Arizona, it is hypothesized that these results may hold true for other case studies. In general, there is still the opportunity for improvement in the representation of physical processes in land surface models for semiarid regions. The hope is that rigorous model evaluation, such as that put forth in this analysis, and studies such as the Project for the Intercomparison of Land-Surface Processes (PILPS) San Pedro–Sevilleta, will lead to advances in model development, as well as parameter estimation and transferability, for use in long-term climate and regional environmental studies.

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