scholarly journals Nomogram for Predicting Overall Survival in Patients With Invasive Micropapillary Carcinoma After Breast-Conserving Surgery: A Population‐Based Analysis

Author(s):  
Yuting Zhao ◽  
Shouyu Li ◽  
Lutong Yan ◽  
Zejian Yang ◽  
Na Chai ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Due to the rarity of invasive micropapillary carcinoma (IMPC) of the breast, no randomized trial has investigated the prediction of overall survival (OS) for patients with IMPC after breast-conserving surgery (BCS). This study aimed to construct a nomogram for predicting OS in IMPC patients after BCS. Methods: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, 481 eligible cases diagnosed with IMPC were collected. OS in IMPC patients after BCS were assessed through multivariable Cox analyses, Harrell’s concordance indexes (C-indexes), receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) curves, calibration curves, decision curve analyses (DCA), and survival analyses. Results: 336 patients were randomly assigned into training cohort and 145 cases in validation cohort. The multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that age at diagnosis, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, marital status, hormone receptor status and chemotherapy were significant prognostic factors for OS in conservatively operated IMPC patients. The nomogram had a good prediction performance with the C-indices 0.771 (95%CI, 0.712-0.830) and 0.715 (95%CI, 0.603-0.827) in training and validation cohorts, respectively, and good consistency between the predicted and observed probability, with calibration curves plotted and the slope was close to 1. Based on calculation of the model, participants in low-risk group had a better OS in comparison with those in high-risk group (P < 0.001). Conclusions: A nomogram was developed to predict individualized risk of OS for IMPC patients after BCS. By risk stratification, this model is expected to guide treatment decision making in improving long-term follow-up strategies for IMPC patients.

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susu Zheng ◽  
Xiaoying Xie ◽  
Xinkun Guo ◽  
Yanfang Wu ◽  
Guobin Chen ◽  
...  

Pyroptosis is a novel kind of cellular necrosis and shown to be involved in cancer progression. However, the diverse expression, prognosis and associations with immune status of pyroptosis-related genes in Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have yet to be analyzed. Herein, the expression profiles and corresponding clinical characteristics of HCC samples were collected from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases. Then a pyroptosis-related gene signature was built by applying the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model from the TCGA cohort, while the GEO datasets were applied for verification. Twenty-four pyroptosis-related genes were found to be differentially expressed between HCC and normal samples. A five pyroptosis-related gene signature (GSDME, CASP8, SCAF11, NOD2, CASP6) was constructed according to LASSO Cox regression model. Patients in the low-risk group had better survival rates than those in the high-risk group. The risk score was proved to be an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS). The risk score correlated with immune infiltrations and immunotherapy responses. GSEA indicated that endocytosis, ubiquitin mediated proteolysis and regulation of autophagy were enriched in the high-risk group, while drug metabolism cytochrome P450 and tryptophan metabolism were enriched in the low-risk group. In conclusion, our pyroptosis-related gene signature can be used for survival prediction and may also predict the response of immunotherapy.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianyu Zhao ◽  
Bo Liu ◽  
Xiaoping Li

Abstract Background: Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is a rare endocrine cancer that manifests as abdominal masses and excessive steroid hormone levels. Transcription factors (TFs) deregulation is found to be involved in adrenocortical tumorigenesis and cancer progression. This study aimed to construct a TF-based prognostic signature for prediction of survival of ACC patients.Methods: The gene expression profile for ACC patients were downloaded from TCGA and GEO datasets. The univariate Cox analysis was applied to identify survival-related TFs and the LASSO Cox regression was conducted to construct the TF signature. The multivariate analysis was used to reveal the independent prognostic factors.Results: We identified a 13-TF prognostic signature comprised of CREB3L3, NR0B1, CENPA, FOXM1, E2F2, MYBL2, HOXC11, ZIC2, ZNF282, DNMT1, TCF3, ELK4, and KLF6 using the univariate Cox analysis and LASSO Cox regression. The risk score based on the TF-signature could classify patients into low- and high-risk group. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that patients in the high-risk group had significantly shorter overall survival compared to the low-risk patients. ROC curves showed that the prognostic signature predicted the overall survival of ACC patients with good sensitivity and specificity. Furthermore, the TF-risk score was an independent prognostic factor.Conclusion: Taken together, we identified a 13-TF prognostic marker to predict overall survival in ACC patients.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianyu Zhao ◽  
Bo Liu ◽  
Xiaoping Li

Abstract Background: Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is a rare endocrine cancer that manifests as abdominal masses and excessive steroid hormone levels. Transcription factors (TFs) deregulation is found to be involved in adrenocortical tumorigenesis and cancer progression. This study aimed to construct a TF-based prognostic signature for prediction of survival of ACC patients.Results: We identified a 13-TF prognostic signature comprised of CREB3L3, NR0B1, CENPA, FOXM1, E2F2, MYBL2, HOXC11, ZIC2, ZNF282, DNMT1, TCF3, ELK4, and KLF6 using the univariate Cox analysis and LASSO Cox regression. The risk score based on the TF-signature could classify patients into low- and high-risk group. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that patients in the high-risk group had significantly shorter overall survival compared to the low-risk patients. ROC curves showed that the prognostic signature predicted the overall survival of ACC patients with good sensitivity and specificity. Furthermore, the TF-risk score was an independent prognostic factor.Conclusion: Taken together, we identified a 13-TF prognostic marker to predict overall survival in ACC patients.


Author(s):  
Dongyan Zhao ◽  
Xizhen Sun ◽  
Sidan Long ◽  
Shukun Yao

AbstractAimLong non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been identified to regulate cancers by controlling the process of autophagy and by mediating the post-transcriptional and transcriptional regulation of autophagy-related genes. This study aimed to investigate the potential prognostic role of autophagy-associated lncRNAs in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients.MethodsLncRNA expression profiles and the corresponding clinical information of CRC patients were collected from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Based on the TCGA dataset, autophagy-related lncRNAs were identified by Pearson correlation test. Univariate Cox regression analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis (LASSO) Cox regression model were performed to construct the prognostic gene signature. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was used to further clarify the underlying molecular mechanisms.ResultsWe obtained 210 autophagy-related genes from the whole dataset and found 1187 lncRNAs that were correlated with the autophagy-related genes. Using Univariate and LASSO Cox regression analyses, eight lncRNAs were screened to establish an eight-lncRNA signature, based on which patients were divided into the low-risk and high-risk group. Patients’ overall survival was found to be significantly worse in the high-risk group compared to that in the low-risk group (log-rank p = 2.731E-06). ROC analysis showed that this signature had better prognostic accuracy than TNM stage, as indicated by the area under the curve. Furthermore, GSEA demonstrated that this signature was involved in many cancer-related pathways, including TGF-β, p53, mTOR and WNT signaling pathway.ConclusionsOur study constructed a novel signature from eight autophagy-related lncRNAs to predict the overall survival of CRC, which could assistant clinicians in making individualized treatment.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinzhi Lai ◽  
Hainan Yang ◽  
Tianwen Xu

Abstract Background Malignant mesothelioma (MM) is a relatively rare and highly lethal tumor with few treatment options. Thus, it is important to identify prognostic markers that can help clinicians diagnose mesothelioma earlier and assess disease activity more accurately. Alternative splicing (AS) events have been recognized as critical signatures for tumor diagnosis and treatment in multiple cancers, including MM. Methods We systematically examined the AS events and clinical information of 83 MM samples from TCGA database. Univariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify AS events associated with overall survival. LASSO analyses followed by multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to construct the prognostic signatures and assess the accuracy of these prognostic signatures by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Kaplan–Meier survival analyses. The ImmuCellAI and ssGSEA algorithms were used to assess the degrees of immune cell infiltration in MM samples. The survival-related splicing regulatory network was established based on the correlation between survival-related AS events and splicing factors (SFs). Results A total of 3976 AS events associated with overall survival were identified by univariate Cox regression analysis, and ES events accounted for the greatest proportion. We constructed prognostic signatures based on survival-related AS events. The prognostic signatures proved to be an efficient predictor with an area under the curve (AUC) greater than 0.9. Additionally, the risk score based on 6 key AS events proved to be an independent prognostic factor, and a nomogram composed of 6 key AS events was established. We found that the risk score was significantly decreased in patients with the epithelioid subtype. In addition, unsupervised clustering clearly showed that the risk score was associated with immune cell infiltration. The abundances of cytotoxic T (Tc) cells, natural killer (NK) cells and T-helper 17 (Th17) cells were higher in the high-risk group, whereas the abundances of induced regulatory T (iTreg) cells were lower in the high-risk group. Finally, we identified 3 SFs (HSPB1, INTS1 and LUC7L2) that were significantly associated with MM patient survival and then constructed a regulatory network between the 3 SFs and survival-related AS to reveal potential regulatory mechanisms in MM. Conclusion Our study provided a prognostic signature based on 6 key events, representing a better effective tumor-specific diagnostic and prognostic marker than the TNM staging system. AS events that are correlated with the immune system may be potential therapeutic targets for MM.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianyu Zhao ◽  
Bo Liu ◽  
Xiaoping Li

Abstract Background Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is a rare endocrine cancer that manifests as abdominal masses and excessive steroid hormone levels. Transcription factors (TFs) deregulation is found to be involved in adrenocortical tumorigenesis and cancer progression. This study aimed to construct a TF-based prognostic signature for prediction of survival of ACC patients. Methods The gene expression profile for ACC patients were downloaded from TCGA and GEO datasets. The univariate Cox analysis was applied to identify survival-related TFs and the LASSO Cox regression was conducted to construct the TF signature. The multivariate analysis was used to reveal the independent prognostic factors. Results We identified a 13-TF prognostic signature comprised of CREB3L3, NR0B1, CENPA, FOXM1, E2F2, MYBL2, HOXC11, ZIC2, ZNF282, DNMT1, TCF3, ELK4, and KLF6. The risk score based on the TF-signature could classify patients into low- and high-risk group. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that patients in the high-risk group had significantly shorter overall survival compared to the low-risk patients. ROC curves showed that the prognostic signature predicted the overall survival of ACC patients with good sensitivity and specificity. Furthermore, the TF-risk score was an independent prognostic factor. Conclusions Taken together, we identified a 13-TF prognostic marker to predict overall survival in ACC patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
YuPing Bai ◽  
Wenbo Qi ◽  
Le Liu ◽  
Jing Zhang ◽  
Lan Pang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma is ranked fifth among the most common cancer worldwide. Hypoxia can induce tumor growth, but the relationship with HCC prognosis remains unclear. Our study aims to construct a hypoxia-related multigene model to predict the prognosis of HCC. Methods: RNA-seq expression data and related clinical information were download from TCGA database and ICGC database, respectively. Univariate/multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to construct prognostic models. KM curve analysis, and ROC curve were used to evaluate the prognostic models, which were further verified in the clinical traits and ICGC database. GSEA analyzed pathway enrichment in high-risk groups. Nomogram was constructed to predict the personalized treatment of patients. Finally, real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR(RT-qPCR) was used to detect the expressions of KDELR3 and SCARB1 in normal hepatocytes and 4 hepatocellular carcinoma cells. Results: Through a series of analyses, 7 prognostic markers related to HCC survival were constructed. HCC patients were divided into the high and low risk group, and the results of KM curve showed that there was a significant difference between the two groups. Stratified analysis,found that there were significant differences in risk values of different ages, genders, stages and grades, which could be used as independent predictors. In addition, we assessed the risk value in the clinical traits analysis and found that it could accelerate the progression of cancer, while the results of GSEA enrichment analysis showed that the high-risk group patients were mainly distributed in the cell cycle and other pathways. Then, Nomogram was constructed to predict the overall survival of patients. Finally, RT-qPCR showed that KDELR3 and SCARB1 were highly expressed in HepG2 and L02, respectively. Conclusion: This study provides a potential diagnostic indicator for HCC patients, and help clinicians to deepen the comprehension in HCC pathogenesis so as to make personalized medical decisions.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianxin Li ◽  
Ting Han ◽  
Xin Wang ◽  
Yinchun Wang ◽  
Qingqiang Yang

Abstract Background Long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) is an important regulator of gene expression and serves fundamental role in immune regulation. The present study aimed to develop a novel immune-related lncRNA signature to accurately assess the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods Transcriptome data and clinical information of patients with CRC were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), and the immune-related mRNAs were extracted from immunomodulatory gene datasets IMMUNE RESPONSE and IMMUNE SYSTEM PROCESS based on the Molecular Signatures Database (MSigDB). Then, the immune-related lncRNAs were identified by a correlation analysis between immune-related mRNAs and lncRNAs. Subsequently, univariate, lasso and multivariate Cox regression were used to identify an immune-related lncRNA signature in training cohort, and the predict ability of the signature was further confirmed in the testing cohort and the entire TCGA cohort. Finally, the lncRNA-mRNA co-expression network was established to explore the biological role of the immune-related lncRNA signature. Results In total, 272 Immune-related lncRNAs were identified, five of which were applied to construct an immune-related lncRNA signature based on univariate, lasso and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The signature divided patients with CRC into low- and high-risk groups, and patients with CRC in high-risk group had poorer overall survival than those in low-risk group. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses confirmed that the signature could be an independent prognostic factor in human CRC. Furthermore, functional enrichment analysis revealed that the immune-related lncRNA signature was significantly enriched in immune process and tumor classical pathways. Conclusions The present study revealed that the novel immune-related lncRNA signature could be exploited as underlying molecular biomarkers and therapeutic targets for the patients with CRC.


Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 1822-1822
Author(s):  
Athanasios Galanopoulos ◽  
Evdoxia Kamouza ◽  
Christos K. Kontos ◽  
Argiris Symeonidis ◽  
Vassiliki Pappa ◽  
...  

Abstract INTRODUCTION: The hypomethylating agents 5-azacitidine (5-AZA) and decitabine are recently considered the most preferable treatment option for patients with intermediate-2 and high-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS), by International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS). 5-AZA responders experience improved survival both in clinical trials (AZA 001) and in the real-life setting. Thrombocytopenia is a common event in MDS, during the course of the disease; recently, severe thrombocytopenia (≤30,000 platelets/μL) has been suggested as an important factor regarding the survival of MDS patients. In the present study, we examined the potential prognostic significance of severe thrombocytopenia, in intermediate-2- and high-risk MDS patients, being treated with 5-AZA, during the first 3 years of treatment. METHODS: This retrospective study included 850 higher-risk patients (intermediate-2- and high-risk), registered in the the Hellenic MDS Registry, treated with 5-AZA from 2010 to 2018 and were followed up for a time period up to 3 years. Complete patient data were available for 225 patients. Biostatistical analysis performed in this study included Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression. The level of statistical significance was set at a probability value of less than 0.050 (P<0.050). RESULTS: The current study included 225 patients (159 male and 66 women) with intermediate-2- or high-risk MDS treated with 5-AZA, with a median age of 74 years (range: 47 - 89). WHO diagnosis included 1 (0.4%) case of RCUD, 8 (3.6%) cases of RCMD, 3 (1.3%) cases of RCMD-RS, 43 (19.1%) cases of RAEB-1, and 170 (75.6%) cases of RAEB-2. According to IPSS, 174 (77.3%) patients were classified in the intermediate-2 risk group and 51 (22.7%) patients in the high-risk group. In addition, according to IPSS-R, 24 (10.7%) patients were categorized in the intermediate risk group, 106 (47.1%) patients in the high-risk group, and 95 (42.2%) patients in the very-high risk group. All patients were evaluated regarding response to 5-AZA treatment. The initial response at 6 months was: complete remission (CR) in 40 (18.4%) patients, partial remission (PR) in 24 (11.1%) patients, hematological improvement (HI) in 35 (16.1%) patients; therefore, the initial overall response rate (CR, PR, and HI) was 45.6%. Stable disease (SD) was achieved by 56 (25.8%) MDS patients, while 62 (28.5%) patients showed progression of disease (PD) or treatment failure. Severe thrombocytopenia was not predictive of response, as shown using logistic regression analysis. However, severe thrombocytopenia predicted poor overall survival (OS) in the first 3 years of treatment with 5-AZA, as shown by the Kaplan-Meier analysis (Figure 1; P=0.016). Regarding AML-free survival, a strong trend was observed for thy unfavorable prognostic role of this severe cytopenia (P=0.096). Univariate Cox regression analysis for OS revealed a statistically significant hazard ratio (HR) of 1.6 for MDS patients with severe thrombocytopenia (HR=1.6, 95% CI=1.08, P=0.019). CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that severe thrombocytopenia (≤ 30,000 platelets/μL) in intermediate-2- and high-risk MDS patients, treated with 5-AZA, predicts lower OS rates during the first 3 years of treatment. Figure 1. Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Piao Shen ◽  
Yuzhen Zheng ◽  
Siyu Zhu ◽  
Xingping Yang ◽  
Jian Tan ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Primary pulmonary sarcoma (PPS) accounts for less than 1.1% of all pulmonary tumors. Few data outcomes are reported. This study aims to clarify the predictive value of clinicopathologic features on the overall survival (OS) of PPS patients.Methods: Patients with primary pulmonary sarcoma (PPS) were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (from 2000 to 2015) and divided randomly into training and validation cohorts at a ratio of 1:1. Univariate Cox analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were implemented to identify prognostic factors related to overall survival of primary pulmonary sarcoma patients. Then, we performed multivariate Cox regression to establish a prognostic factors signature. The Kaplan- Meier (K-M) survival curves and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to estimate the prognostic power of the signature. In addition, multivariate Cox regression screened out independent prognostic factors and constructed a nomogram. Results: PPS patients with training group were divided into low- and high-risk group based on risk score, and high-risk group had a shorter survival time. The validation group got the same result. (P<0.001). On multivariate analysis of the training cohort, independent factors for survival were marriage, age, sex, grade, operation, metastasis and tumor size, which were all selected into the nomogram. The calibration curve and ROC plots for probability of 3-year and 5-year survival were in accord with prediction by nomogram and actual observation. And the C-index of the nomogram for predicting survival was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.74 to 0.80, P<0.05), which was statistically significant. Conclusion: We constructed a risk prognosis model based on PPS patients from SEER database. In addition, the construction of nomogram provides one more idea for clinical treatment.


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