scholarly journals Prediction of Collapsibility of Loess of Construction Sites in Xining Based on Machine Learning Methods

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qifei Zhao ◽  
Xiaojun Li ◽  
Yunning Cao ◽  
Zhikun Li ◽  
Jixin Fan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Engineering Practice ◽  
Burial Depth ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
North East

Abstract Collapsibility of loess is a significant factor affecting engineering construction in loess area, and testing the collapsibility of loess is costly. In this study, A total of 4,256 loess samples are collected from the north, east, west and middle regions of Xining. 70% of the samples are used to generate training data set, and the rest are used to generate verification data set, so as to construct and validate the machine learning models. The most important six factors are selected from thirteen factors by using Grey Relational analysis and multicollinearity analysis: burial depth、water content、specific gravity of soil particles、void rate、geostatic stress and plasticity limit. In order to predict the collapsibility of loess, four machine learning methods: Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Subspace Based Support Vector Machine (RSSVM), Random Forest (RF) and Naïve Bayes Tree (NBTree), are studied and compared. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve indicators, standard error (SD) and 95% confidence interval (CI) are used to verify and compare the models in different research areas. The results show that: RF model is the most efficient in predicting the collapsibility of loess in Xining, and its AUC average is above 80%, which can be used in engineering practice.

scholarly journals Housing Value Forecasting Based on Machine Learning Methods

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingyi Mu ◽  
Fang Wu ◽  
Aihua Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Big Data ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
The Government

In the era of big data, many urgent issues to tackle in all walks of life all can be solved via big data technique. Compared with the Internet, economy, industry, and aerospace fields, the application of big data in the area of architecture is relatively few. In this paper, on the basis of the actual data, the values of Boston suburb houses are forecast by several machine learning methods. According to the predictions, the government and developers can make decisions about whether developing the real estate on corresponding regions or not. In this paper, support vector machine (SVM), least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), and partial least squares (PLS) methods are used to forecast the home values. And these algorithms are compared according to the predicted results. Experiment shows that although the data set exists serious nonlinearity, the experiment result also show SVM and LSSVM methods are superior to PLS on dealing with the problem of nonlinearity. The global optimal solution can be found and best forecasting effect can be achieved by SVM because of solving a quadratic programming problem. In this paper, the different computation efficiencies of the algorithms are compared according to the computing times of relevant algorithms.

scholarly journals Possibility of Autonomous Estimation of Shiba Goat’s Estrus and Non-Estrus Behavior by Machine Learning Methods

Animals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 771
Author(s):  
Toshiya Arakawa
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Markov Models ◽  
Tracking System ◽  
Video Tracking ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

Mammalian behavior is typically monitored by observation. However, direct observation requires a substantial amount of effort and time, if the number of mammals to be observed is sufficiently large or if the observation is conducted for a prolonged period. In this study, machine learning methods as hidden Markov models (HMMs), random forests, support vector machines (SVMs), and neural networks, were applied to detect and estimate whether a goat is in estrus based on the goat’s behavior; thus, the adequacy of the method was verified. Goat’s tracking data was obtained using a video tracking system and used to estimate whether they, which are in “estrus” or “non-estrus”, were in either states: “approaching the male”, or “standing near the male”. Totally, the PC of random forest seems to be the highest. However, The percentage concordance (PC) value besides the goats whose data were used for training data sets is relatively low. It is suggested that random forest tend to over-fit to training data. Besides random forest, the PC of HMMs and SVMs is high. However, considering the calculation time and HMM’s advantage in that it is a time series model, HMM is better method. The PC of neural network is totally low, however, if the more goat’s data were acquired, neural network would be an adequate method for estimation.

Assessing Replicability of Machine Learning Results: An Introduction to Methods on Predictive Accuracy in Social Sciences

2019 ◽  
pp. 089443931988844
Author(s):  
Ranjith Vijayakumar ◽  
Mike W.-L. Cheung
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Empirical Data ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Replication Studies ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Accuracy Measure

Machine learning methods have become very popular in diverse fields due to their focus on predictive accuracy, but little work has been conducted on how to assess the replicability of their findings. We introduce and adapt replication methods advocated in psychology to the aims and procedural needs of machine learning research. In Study 1, we illustrate these methods with the use of an empirical data set, assessing the replication success of a predictive accuracy measure, namely, R 2 on the cross-validated and test sets of the samples. We introduce three replication aims. First, tests of inconsistency examine whether single replications have successfully rejected the original study. Rejection will be supported if the 95% confidence interval (CI) of R 2 difference estimates between replication and original does not contain zero. Second, tests of consistency help support claims of successful replication. We can decide apriori on a region of equivalence, where population values of the difference estimates are considered equivalent for substantive reasons. The 90% CI of a different estimate lying fully within this region supports replication. Third, we show how to combine replications to construct meta-analytic intervals for better precision of predictive accuracy measures. In Study 2, R 2 is reduced from the original in a subset of replication studies to examine the ability of the replication procedures to distinguish true replications from nonreplications. We find that when combining studies sampled from same population to form meta-analytic intervals, random-effects methods perform best for cross-validated measures while fixed-effects methods work best for test measures. Among machine learning methods, regression was comparable to many complex methods, while support vector machine performed most reliably across a variety of scenarios. Social scientists who use machine learning to model empirical data can use these methods to enhance the reliability of their findings.

Using Machine Learning Methods To Identify Coal Pay Zones from Drilling and Logging-While-Drilling (LWD) Data

SPE Journal ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (03) ◽  
pp. 1241-1258 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruizhi Zhong ◽  
Raymond L. Johnson ◽  
Zhongwei Chen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Well Completion ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Logging While Drilling

Summary Accurate coal identification is critical in coal seam gas (CSG) (also known as coalbed methane or CBM) developments because it determines well completion design and directly affects gas production. Density logging using radioactive source tools is the primary tool for coal identification, adding well trips to condition the hole and additional well costs for logging runs. In this paper, machine learning methods are applied to identify coals from drilling and logging-while-drilling (LWD) data to reduce overall well costs. Machine learning algorithms include logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The precision, recall, and F1 score are used as evaluation metrics. Because coal identification is an imbalanced data problem, the performance on the minority class (i.e., coals) is limited. To enhance the performance on coal prediction, two data manipulation techniques [naive random oversampling (NROS) technique and synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE)] are separately coupled with machine learning algorithms. Case studies are performed with data from six wells in the Surat Basin, Australia. For the first set of experiments (single-well experiments), both the training data and test data are in the same well. The machine learning methods can identify coal pay zones for sections with poor or missing logs. It is found that rate of penetration (ROP) is the most important feature. The second set of experiments (multiple-well experiments) uses the training data from multiple nearby wells, which can predict coal pay zones in a new well. The most important feature is gamma ray. After placing slotted casings, all wells have coal identification rates greater than 90%, and three wells have coal identification rates greater than 99%. This indicates that machine learning methods (either XGBoost or ANN/RF with NROS/SMOTE) can be an effective way to identify coal pay zones and reduce coring or logging costs in CSG developments.

scholarly journals Retrieval of aerosol optical depth from surface solar radiation measurements using machine learning algorithms, non-linear regression and a radiative transfer-based look-up table

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (13) ◽  
pp. 8181-8191 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jani Huttunen ◽  
Harri Kokkola ◽  
Tero Mielonen ◽  
Mika Esa Juhani Mononen ◽  
Antti Lipponen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Surface Solar Radiation ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Look Up Table ◽  
Non Linear

Abstract. In order to have a good estimate of the current forcing by anthropogenic aerosols, knowledge on past aerosol levels is needed. Aerosol optical depth (AOD) is a good measure for aerosol loading. However, dedicated measurements of AOD are only available from the 1990s onward. One option to lengthen the AOD time series beyond the 1990s is to retrieve AOD from surface solar radiation (SSR) measurements taken with pyranometers. In this work, we have evaluated several inversion methods designed for this task. We compared a look-up table method based on radiative transfer modelling, a non-linear regression method and four machine learning methods (Gaussian process, neural network, random forest and support vector machine) with AOD observations carried out with a sun photometer at an Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) site in Thessaloniki, Greece. Our results show that most of the machine learning methods produce AOD estimates comparable to the look-up table and non-linear regression methods. All of the applied methods produced AOD values that corresponded well to the AERONET observations with the lowest correlation coefficient value being 0.87 for the random forest method. While many of the methods tended to slightly overestimate low AODs and underestimate high AODs, neural network and support vector machine showed overall better correspondence for the whole AOD range. The differences in producing both ends of the AOD range seem to be caused by differences in the aerosol composition. High AODs were in most cases those with high water vapour content which might affect the aerosol single scattering albedo (SSA) through uptake of water into aerosols. Our study indicates that machine learning methods benefit from the fact that they do not constrain the aerosol SSA in the retrieval, whereas the LUT method assumes a constant value for it. This would also mean that machine learning methods could have potential in reproducing AOD from SSR even though SSA would have changed during the observation period.

scholarly journals Retrieval of aerosol optical depth from surface solar radiation measurements using machine learning algorithms, nonlinear regression and a radiative transfer based look-up table

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Huttunen ◽  
H. Kokkola ◽  
T. Mielonen ◽  
M. Mononen ◽  
A. Lipponen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Nonlinear Regression ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Surface Solar Radiation ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Look Up Table

Abstract. In order to have a good estimate of the current forcing by anthropogenic aerosols knowledge on past aerosol levels is needed. Aerosol optical depth (AOD) is a good measure for aerosol loading. However, dedicated measurements of AOD are only available from 1990’s onward. One option to lengthen the AOD time series beyond 1990’s is to retrieve AOD from surface solar radiation (SSR) measurements done with pyranometers. In this work, we have evaluated several inversion methods designed for this task. We compared a look-up table method based on radiative transfer modelling, a nonlinear regression method and four machine learning methods (Gaussian Process, Neural Network, Random Forest and Support Vector Machine) with AOD observations done with a sun photometer at an Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) site in Thessaloniki, Greece. Our results show that most of the machine learning methods produce AOD estimates comparable to the look-up table and nonlinear regression methods. All of the applied methods produced AOD values that corresponded well to the AERONET observations with the lowest correlation coefficient value being 0.87 for the Random Forest method. While many of the methods tended to slightly overestimate low AODs and underestimate high AODs, Neural network and support vector machine showed overall better correspondence for the whole AOD range. The differences in producing both ends of the AOD range seem to be caused by differences in the aerosol composition. High AODs were in most cases those with high water vapour content which might affect the aerosol single scattering albedo (SSA) through uptake of water into aerosols. Our study indicates that machine learning methods benefit from the fact that they do not constrain the aerosol SSA in the retrieval where as the LUT method assumes a constant value for it. This would also mean that machine learning methods could have potential in reproducing AOD from SSR even though SSA would have changed during the observation period.

scholarly journals Design of an Intelligent Variable-Flow Recirculating Aquaculture System Based on Machine Learning Methods

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 6546
Author(s):  
Fudi Chen ◽  
Yishuai Du ◽  
Tianlong Qiu ◽  
Zhe Xu ◽  
Li Zhou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Recirculating Aquaculture System ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Variable Flow ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Recirculating Aquaculture ◽  
Aquaculture System ◽  
Regulation Model

A recirculating aquaculture system (RAS) can reduce water and land requirements for intensive aquaculture production. However, a traditional RAS uses a fixed circulation flow rate for water treatment. In general, the water in an RAS is highly turbid only when the animals are fed and when they excrete. Therefore, RAS water quality regulation technology based on process control is proposed in this paper. The intelligent variable-flow RAS was designed based on the circulating pump-drum filter linkage working model. Machine learning methods were introduced to develop the intelligent regulation model to maintain a clean and stable water environment. Results showed that the long short-term memory network performed with the highest accuracy (training set 100%, test set 96.84%) and F1-score (training 100%, test 93.83%) among artificial neural networks. Optimization methods including grid search, cuckoo search, linear squares, and gene algorithm were proposed to improve the classification ability of support vector machine models. Results showed that all support vector machine models passed cross-validation and could meet accuracy standards. In summary, the gene algorithm support vector machine model (accuracy: training 100%, test 98.95%; F1-score: training 100%, test 99.17%) is suitable as an optimal variable-flow regulation model for an intelligent variable-flow RAS.

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