scholarly journals Prediction of Size of the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Wavelength Models: Cases of Turkey and World

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tevfik Bulut ◽  
Mustafa Çağrı Yıldız
Keyword(s):  
Time Frame ◽  
The Other ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Cumulative Number ◽  
International Level ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
First Case ◽  
The Usa

Abstract The main purpose of the study is to predict the magnitude of the Covid-19 pandemic by using epidemiological wavelength models in Turkey and at international level. Therefore, firstly, the first 36 days of wavelengths based on the number of daily coronavirus cases in Turkey were calculated. In addition, 114 countries were compared in terms of Covid-19 wavelengths considering the cumulative number of the pandemic cases occured at the end of the first 36 days for evaluation on an equal plane. In the last part of the study, the wavelengths of 185 countries were examined comparatively based on the cumulative number of cases at the end of the time frame from the first epidemic case until 2020-04-16 (including that date). According to the findings of wavelength obtained in Turkey, it was observed that case wavelength on 2020-04-11, death and recovered case wavelength on 2020-04-16, and net wavelength on 2020-03-26 reached its peak. China was the country having the highest wavelength of case, death, and recovered case wavelengths in 114 countries at the end of the first 36 days since the first case occurred. In that country, wavelengths of case, death and recovered case were 33.6, 23.5 and 30.7, respectively. The first three countries with the highest net wavelength at the end of the first 36 days were Serbia (36.5), Netherlands (33.5) and Portugal (30.3), respectively. On the other hand, the country having the highest case and death wavelengths among 185 countries in the time interval from the first case until the date of 2020-04-16 (including that date) was the USA, and case and death wavelengths were 39.7 and 30.7, respectively. The country with the highest recovered case wavelength was China (33.3). The first 3 countries with the highest wavelengths are Canada (51.4), England (45.0) and Serbia (39.2), respectively.

scholarly journals New Epidemiological Model Suggestions Revealing Size of Epidemics Based on the COVID-19 Pandemic Example: Wavelength Models

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tevfik Bulut
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Epidemiological Model ◽  
The Other ◽  
International Level ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Usa

AbstractThe main purpose of the study is to introduce the wavelength models developed to measure the size of outbreaks based on the COVID-19 example. In this way, the wavelengths of the outbreaks can be calculated, ensuring that the outbreaks are valid, reliable and easy to follow at the national and international level. Wavelength models consist of approved case, death, recovered case and net wavelength models. Thus, the size of the outbreak can be measured both individually and as a whole. COVID-19 cases of 181 countries were used to demonstrate the application of the models. The prominent findings in the applied wavelength models are as follows: the countries with the highest case wavelength are USA, Italy, Spain and Germany, respectively. However, Italy ranks first in the death wavelength, followed by Spain, the USA and France. On the other hand, China has taken the first place in the recovered case wavelength. This country was followed by Spain and Germany and Italy, respectively. Based on all these wavelength models mentioned, net wavelength lengths are calculated. According to the findings of net wavelengths obtained, Canada ranked first, followed by United Kingdom, USA and Italy, respectively.

SCENARIOS FOR AN EXPANDING DEMAND OF TOURISM ON THE COASTS OF CUBA

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oscar Gutiérrez-Bolívar ◽  
Oscar Gutiérrez-Bolívar ◽  
Pedro Fernández Carrasco ◽  
Pedro Fernández Carrasco
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
The Other ◽  
Sudden Increase ◽  
Tourist Destination ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Impact

The opening of relationships between United States and Cuba could be a drive for a huge increase in the affluence of tourism to Cuba and especially to the coast areas. Cuba has been for many years an important tourist destination for people from many countries, but almost forbidden for US citizens. The proximity of the USA, its amount of population as well as their great acquisition power will increase in a very substantial way the demand for accommodation and other uses in the proximity of the coasts. There will be a need to implement a package of measures that reduce the impact of such sudden increase in the coastal line. On the other hand that augment in tourism could be an opportunity to improve the standard of life of Cubans. The consideration of different possibilities of such development, the analysis of the damages that each one could cause as well as the measures that could avoid, ameliorate or compensate such effects are the goals that are going to be presented in this paper.

scholarly journals Wróg dla syna, matka dla wnuka – caryca Katarzyna II i jej relacje z synem i wnukiem

2018 ◽  
pp. 359-372
Author(s):  
Agata Strzelczyk
Keyword(s):  
Fairy Tales ◽  
The Other ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
First Case

This article is about Russian Empress Catherine the Great, her relations with her son Paul and grandson Alexander and role that she played in their upbringings. When Paul, Catherine’s only legal son was born, he was taken from her by Empress Elizabeth. That – and the fact, that Paul blamed Catherine for the death of his father – resulted in the fact, that they never develops proper, familial relation. On the other hand, Catherine was very active and affectionate grandmother, primarily for her oldest grandson, Alexander. She wanted to raise him to become ideal enlightened monarch. She took care of his education and even wrote fairy tales for him herself. Paul hated mother with bitter passion. Alexander loved her, but her influence shaped also his negative features. Catherine had undoubtedly great impact on both her son’s and grandson’s lives, but in the first case – impact was definitely negative and in second case – only arguably positive.

scholarly journals La actualización revolucionaria de los mitos fundacionales de la nación en la obra del grupo Cine Liberación y el cine histórico cubano (1968 – 1976)

2013 ◽  
pp. 241-264
Author(s):  
Ignacio Del Valle Dávila
Keyword(s):  
The Other ◽  
Mots Clés ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
National Myths ◽  
First Case ◽  
The Sixties ◽  
Cultural Domain ◽  
The Revolution

Resumo No final dos anos sessenta, ocorreu uma eclosão do cinema folclórico-histórico na Argentina e em Cuba. No primeiro caso, isso se deu principalmente devido ao interesse da ditadura de Onganía em utilizar os mitos fundadores da nação como uma metáfora legitimadora do regime. Contrários a essa tendência, o Grupo Cine Liberación elaborou representações desses relatos que buscavam adaptá-los à contingência, especialmente nos filmes La hora de los hornos (1968) e Los hijos del Fierro (1976). Em Cuba, o centenário da Guerra Grande (1868-1878) e a maior rigidez ideológica em matéria cultural durante o Quinquênio Gris (1971-1976) levaram a que se fomentasse a produção de um cinema histórico que representava a Revolução de 1959 como o produto de um século de luta. Os cineastas cubanos e Cine Liberación coincidiram em sua busca por renovar a forma de representação cinematográfica da História, enquanto o cinema comercial argentino apostou em adaptações distantes desse revisionismo. Résumé À la fin des années soixante s’est produit en Argentine et Cuba une éclosion du cinéma folklorique-historique. Dans le premier cas, ceci est dû principalement à l’intérêt de la dictature d’Onganía à se servir des mythes fondateurs de la nation avec l’objectif d’élaborer des métaphores légitimatrices du régime. Face à cela, Grupo Cine Liberación a élaboré des représentations de ces récits tout en cherchant à les adapter à la contingence, notamment dans les films L’heure des brasiers (1968) et Les fils de Fierro (1976). À Cuba le centenaire de la Guerre des dix ans (1968-1878) ainsi qu’une plus grande rigidité idéologique dans le domaine culturel pendant le Quinquennat Gris (1971-1976), ont conduit à l’encouragement de la production d’un cinéma historique où la révolution de 1959 est représentée comme la conclusion d’un siècle de lutte. Les cinéastes cubains et Cine Liberación ont partagé leur intérêt de renouveler les représentations cinématographiques de l’Histoire, tandis que le cinéma commercial argentin a misé sur des adaptations éloignées du révisionnisme.Abstract At the end of the sixties, there was a growth of historical-folkloric cinema in Argentina and Cuba. In the first case, it happened mainly because of the interest of the Onganía’s dictatorship in making use of the nation’s founding myths to develop metaphors to legitimize this regime. On the other hand, Grupo Cine Liberación elaborated representations of these narratives trying to adapt them to the contingency, especially in the movies The hour of the furnaces (1968) and Los hijos del Fierro (1976). In Cuba, the centenary of the War of ten years (1868-1878), as well as an increase of ideological rigidity in the cultural domain during the Grey Quinquennium (1971-1976), encouraged the production of a historical cinema where the revolution of 1959 has been represented as the conclusion of a century of struggle. Cuban filmmakers and Cine Liberación shared their interest in renewing the filmic representations of History, whereas the Argentinean commercial cinema supported adaptations far from this revisionism.Palavras-chave Cinema histórico, legitimação, mitos nacionais Mots-clés Cinéma historique, légitimation, mythes nationauxKeywords Historical cinema, legitimization, national myths 

“Sovereign Democracy” Discourse in the Russian Foreign Policy

2018 ◽  
pp. 178-200
Author(s):  
Neziha Musaoğlu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
The Other ◽  
Russian Foreign Policy ◽  
The West ◽  
Policy Practice ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The One

Many important changes occurred in the Russian Federation's foreign policy since 2000s with Putin's coming to power. Although the foreign policy is defined as pragmatic during this period, it is in fact ideologically constructed on the basis of the concept of “sovereign democracy.” The concept constitutes in the same time the source of loyalty of the Russian reelpolitik towards the West, especially the USA and of the Russian anti-globalist policies. The aim of this chapter is to analyze the intellectual, normative, and conceptual dimensions of the “sovereign democracy” concept that could serve to conceive the foreign policy practice of the Russian Federation, on the one hand, and on the other hand its dialectical relationships with the West in the era of globalization.

Specific Performance: A Comparative Analysis (2)

2003 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 194-217
Author(s):  
Shael Herman
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
United Nations ◽  
Final Section ◽  
The Other ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Specific Performance ◽  
The Usa ◽  
United Nations Convention ◽  
Anglo American

The first part of this article appeared in the first issue of this volume of the Edinburgh Law Review. The article explores the regulation of specific performance of sales by reference to Spain and the USA and speculates on the interaction of these municipal laws with the United Nations Convention on Contracts for the International Sale of Goods (CISG). The first part compared Spanish and United States approaches to specific performance. In this second part the CISG's approach to specific performance is examined with the goal of inquiring, on one hand, whether the drafters have successfully accounted for both Anglo-American and Romano-Germanic preferences, or, on the other hand, whether the CISG's synthesis of the preferences is faulty and manifests incompatible goals that may be difficult to harmonise. Recent US decisions on specific performance under the CISG are discussed as well as some of the assumptions underlying the reasoning processes of US courts in commercial cases. The final section speculates on reasons for the intensity of the rivalry between proponents of specific performance as a primary remedy and those favouring damages as a primary remedy.

Cognitive Therapy and the Facilitation of Affect: Two Case Illustrations

1991 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 305-316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cory F. Newman
Keyword(s):  
Negative Affect ◽  
Positive Affect ◽  
Cognitive Therapy ◽  
The Other ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
First Case ◽  
Thinking Processes

Cognitive therapy, as conducted by Aaron T. Beck and his associates, is known for effectively teaching clients to modify the kinds of dysfunctional thinking processes that are associated with depression and a number of other disorders. On the other hand, cognitive therapy has developed a reputation for paying too little attention to emotionality and its expression thereof as part of treatment. In spite of this popular viewpoint, it is argued here that cognitive therapy is very much concerned with the appropriate experiencing of affect. Two brief case illustrations are presented that highlight the role of emotion enhancement as an important, congruent component of cognitive therapy. The first case demonstrates the facilitation of positive affect in therapy, while the second case example suggests that the augmentation of negative affect may also be appropriate during the course of cognitive therapy.

The Effect of Knowledge of Results on Learning and Performance IV. The Direction of the Error in Very Simple Skills

1951 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valerie Dees ◽  
G. C. Grindley
Keyword(s):  
Short Interval ◽  
The Other ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Knowledge Of Results ◽  
Short Intervals ◽  
Visual Knowledge ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Subject ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Learning And Performance

Re-examination of the data discussed in previous papers of this series shows a greater tendency toward “overshooting” when the time interval between trials, in some of the experiments, is short than when it is longer. The subject tends to make a bigger movement or exert more pressure with short intervals. This seems to be true with or without visual knowledge of results. On the other hand, with the experiments in which the task was to press a key for a given short interval, the effect was not conclusively shown. A hypothesis is put forward to explain these results in terms of proprioceptive adaptation.

Reduction of binary sulfate mixtures containing CuSO4 by H2

1976 ◽  
Vol 54 (23) ◽  
pp. 3651-3657 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fathi Habashi ◽  
Shaheer A. Mikhail
Keyword(s):  
Intermediate Product ◽  
The Other ◽  
Temperature Range ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
First Case ◽  
Limited Temperature ◽  
Limited Temperature Range ◽  
The Individual

The reduction of a binary sulfate mixture cannot be predicted from the behavior of the individual components. Thus, while CuSO4 is reduced to Cu at 400 °C and NiSO4 is reduced to Ni3S2, the sulfate mixture yields Cu, Ni3S2, and Cu2S. Also while FeSO4 is completely stable in H2 at 400 °C, (Cu,Fe) SO4 yields Cu and Cu5FeS4. The formation of Cu2S in the first case and Cu5FeS4 in the second was unexpected. On the other hand, (Cu,Mn)SO4 is stable in H2 up to 550 °C although pure CuSO4 is completely reduced at 400 °C. CoSO4 also interferes when reduced in presence of CuSO4, while Na2SO4, MgSO4, Al2(SO4)3, ZnSO4, CdSO4 do not interfere within limited temperature range. Of these only Na2SO4 forms a complex sulfate with CuSO4. No Cu2SO4 was identified when CuSO4 was reduced in presence of other sulfates although it is an intermediate product during the reduction of pure CuSO4.

scholarly journals The Сoncept of Leadership is Always Engaging for an Elite Occupational Preeminence

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-146
Author(s):  
Dr. Rudrarup Gupta
Keyword(s):  
Time Frame ◽  
The Other ◽  
Academic Leaders ◽  
Statistical Institute ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Core Concepts ◽  
Analytical Review ◽  
Indian Statistical ◽  
Future Consequences ◽  
Term Management

The term ‘’Management and Leadership’’ are the very prime focus for any of the very enriching occupational steps to deal with most significant progress. Most importantly, both education and occupation are largely dependent upon the same because the term ‘’Management’’ shall be navigating the most legitimate avenues to accomplish the task with the finest objectives. On the other hand, the term ‘’Leadership’’ shall be focusing upon the methodology and best future consequences respectively. It is quite evident that both academic leaders and organizational leaders shall have to focus for the vivid progressions along with the radiant dimension of success in terms of best financial outputs, occupational vibrancy, global appreciations and undeniable good will at all. This is the primary need of those leaders to refine both education and organization in a befitting manner. This is how they may enrich the best occupational goal with momentous dexterity, where economical solidity is one of the significant measures consequently. Therefore, leaders are those very eminent personalities, who are here to execute their best through the stature of prime competency for leading the hierarchy of an organization without any second thought because their elite motive to ensure the comprehensive organizational success and the most rapid celerity with best available resources, indeed. That is how leaders do empower their followers who shall have to be well trained not only for the self enrichment within the stipulated time frame but to contribute a lot for the unbeaten occupational culmination in a conforming manner. Leaders have been finding some of the very dynamic objects through some outstanding organizations like “Indian Statistical Institute”. It a prime institute of ‘’National Importance’’. It is India based research institute which consists of all the scientific research which are of absolute elite class indeed. All the academic leaders are comprehensively seeking for the comprehensive innovations along with their global clarities and those are going to be the historic discoveries for the best consequential research soon. All the forthcoming researchers will be undoubtedly successful, and they shall have the exclusive vive to accept that exemplary methodologies of research in the end. Therefore, their conceptual depth would really be high, and they shall be able to implement those core concepts like departmental culmination, communal advocacy, collective perception, proclamation of ideas, elevation of various convictions and the amalgamation of multifarious exposures will definitely be determined. On the other hand, renowned institute like ISI finds the captivating solutions for the researchers through their insightful data and their comprehensive analysis respectively. So, each researcher can have the best analytical review not only to focus our extensive splendor of research but to refine our collective benefaction over a due course of time.

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