scholarly journals Spatio-Temporal Classification and Prediction of Land Use and Land Cover Change for the Vembanad Lake System, Kerala – a Machine Learning Approach

Author(s):  
Parthasarathy Kulithalai Shiyam Sundar ◽  
Paresh Chandra Deka

Abstract Land use and land cover (LULC) change has become a critical issue for decision planners and conservationists due to inappropriate growth and its effect on natural ecosystems. As a result, the goal of this study is to identify the LULC for the Vembanad Lake System (VLS), Kerala in the short term, i.e., within a decade, utilizing two standard machine learning approaches, Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machines (SVM), on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. When comparing the two techniques, SVM is classified at an average accuracy of around 84.5%, while RF is classified at 89%. The RF outperformed the SVM in almost identical spectral classes such as barren land and built-up areas. As a result, RF classified LULC is considered to predict the Spatio-temporal distribution of LULC transition analysis for 2035 and 2050. The study was conducted in Idrisi TerrSet software using the Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov chain analysis. The model's efficiency is evaluated by comparing the projected 2019 image to the actual 2019 classified image. The efficiency was good with more than 94% accuracy for the classes except for barren land, which might have resulted from the recent natural calamities and the accelerated anthropogenic activity in the area.

2021 ◽  
pp. 194-200
Author(s):  
Darshana Rawal ◽  
Vishal Gupta

Spatio-temporal changes in land use land cover (LULC) have been relevant factors in causing the changes in Urban Heat Island (UHI) pattern across rural and urban areas all over the world. Studies conducted have shown that the relation between LULC on scale of the UHI can be an important factor assessing the condition not only for a country but for environment of a city also. Over the years it is reflected in health of vegetation and urbanization pattern of cities. As the thermal remote sensing has been evolved, the measurement of the temperature through satellite products has become possible. Thermal data derived through remote sensing gives us birds-eye-view to see how the thermal data varies in the entire city. In this study such relations are shown over Ahmedabad city of India for the period of 2007 to 2020 using Landsat series satellite data. Land Surface Temperature (LST) is calculated using Google Earth Engine Platform Surface Brightness Temperature for Landsat data and using Radiative Transfer Equation for Landsat data. LST is correlated with land use land cover mainly Built-up, Vegetation, Barren land, Water & Other and corresponding Land Use and Land Cover respectively, and it is found that LST is positively related with all indices except for Normalize Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) with strong negative correlation and R 2 of 0.51.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aman Srivastava ◽  
Pennan Chinnasamy

AbstractThe present study, for the first time, examined land-use land cover (LULC), changes using GIS, between 2000 and 2018 for the IIT Bombay campus, India. Objective was to evaluate hydro-ecological balance inside campus by determining spatio-temporal disparity between hydrological parameters (rainfall-runoff processes), ecological components (forest, vegetation, lake, barren land), and anthropogenic stressors (urbanization and encroachments). High-resolution satellite imageries were generated for the campus using Google Earth Pro, by manual supervised classification method. Rainfall patterns were studied using secondary data sources, and surface runoff was estimated using SCS-CN method. Additionally, reconnaissance surveys, ground-truthing, and qualitative investigations were conducted to validate LULC changes and hydro-ecological stability. LULC of 2018 showed forest, having an area cover of 52%, as the most dominating land use followed by built-up (43%). Results indicated that the area under built-up increased by 40% and playground by 7%. Despite rapid construction activities, forest cover and Powai lake remained unaffected. This anomaly was attributed to the drastically declining barren land area (up to ~ 98%) encompassing additional construction activities. Sustainability of the campus was demonstrated with appropriate measures undertaken to mitigate negative consequences of unwarranted floods owing to the rise of 6% in the forest cover and a decline of 21% in water hyacinth cover over Powai lake. Due to this, surface runoff (~ 61% of the rainfall) was observed approximately consistent and being managed appropriately despite major alterations in the LULC. Study concluded that systematic campus design with effective implementation of green initiatives can maintain a hydro-ecological balance without distressing the environmental services.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (16) ◽  
pp. 1907 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Mardani ◽  
Hossein Mardani ◽  
Lorenzo De Simone ◽  
Samuel Varas ◽  
Naoki Kita ◽  
...  

In-time and accurate monitoring of land cover and land use are essential tools for countries to achieve sustainable food production. However, many developing countries are struggling to efficiently monitor land resources due to the lack of financial support and limited access to adequate technology. This study aims at offering a solution to fill in such a gap in developing countries, by developing a land cover solution that is free of costs. A fully automated framework for land cover mapping was developed using 10-m resolution open access satellite images and machine learning (ML) techniques for the African country of Lesotho. Sentinel-2 satellite images were accessed through Google Earth Engine (GEE) for initial processing and feature extraction at a national level. Also, Food and Agriculture Organization’s land cover of Lesotho (FAO LCL) data were used to train a support vector machine (SVM) and bagged trees (BT) classifiers. SVM successfully classified urban and agricultural lands with 62 and 67% accuracy, respectively. Also, BT could classify the two categories with 81 and 65% accuracy, correspondingly. The trained models could provide precise LC maps in minutes or hours. they can also be utilized as a viable solution for developing countries as an alternative to traditional geographic information system (GIS) methods, which are often labor intensive, require acquisition of very high-resolution commercial satellite imagery, time consuming and call for high budgets.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 1174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammadreza Sheykhmousa ◽  
Norman Kerle ◽  
Monika Kuffer ◽  
Saman Ghaffarian

Post-disaster recovery (PDR) is a complex, long-lasting, resource intensive, and poorly understood process. PDR goes beyond physical reconstruction (physical recovery) and includes relevant processes such as economic and social (functional recovery) processes. Knowing the size and location of the places that positively or negatively recovered is important to effectively support policymakers to help readjust planning and resource allocation to rebuild better. Disasters and the subsequent recovery are mainly expressed through unique land cover and land use changes (LCLUCs). Although LCLUCs have been widely studied in remote sensing, their value for recovery assessment has not yet been explored, which is the focus of this paper. An RS-based methodology was created for PDR assessment based on multi-temporal, very high-resolution satellite images. Different trajectories of change were analyzed and evaluated, i.e., transition patterns (TPs) that signal positive or negative recovery. Experimental analysis was carried out on three WorldView-2 images acquired over Tacloban city, Philippines, which was heavily affected by Typhoon Haiyan in 2013. Support vector machine, a robust machine learning algorithm, was employed with texture features extracted from the grey level co-occurrence matrix and local binary patterns. Although classification results for the images before and four years after the typhoon show high accuracy, substantial uncertainties mark the results for the immediate post-event image. All land cover (LC) and land use (LU) classified maps were stacked, and only changes related to TPs were extracted. The final products are LC and LU recovery maps that quantify the PDR process at the pixel level. It was found that physical and functional recovery can be mainly explained through the LCLUC information. In addition, LC and LU-based recovery maps support a general and a detailed recovery understanding, respectively. It is therefore suggested to use the LC and LU-based recovery maps to monitor and support the short and the long-term recovery, respectively.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Bindereif ◽  
Tobias Rentschler ◽  
Martin Batelheim ◽  
Marta Díaz-Zorita Bonilla ◽  
Philipp Gries ◽  
...  

<p>Land cover information plays an essential role for resource development, environmental monitoring and protection. Amongst other natural resources, soils and soil properties are strongly affected by land cover and land cover change, which can lead to soil degradation. Remote sensing techniques are very suitable for spatio-temporal mapping of land cover mapping and change detection. With remote sensing programs vast data archives were established. Machine learning applications provide appropriate algorithms to analyse such amounts of data efficiently and with accurate results. However, machine learning methods require specific sampling techniques and are usually made for balanced datasets with an even training sample frequency. Though, most real-world datasets are imbalanced and methods to reduce the imbalance of datasets with synthetic sampling are required. Synthetic sampling methods increase the number of samples in the minority class and/or decrease the number in the majority class to achieve higher model accuracy. The Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (SMOTE) is a method to generate synthetic samples and balance the dataset used in many machine learning applications. In the middle Guadalquivir basin, Andalusia, Spain, we used random forests with Landsat images from 1984 to 2018 as covariates to map the land cover change with the Google Earth Engine. The sampling design was based on stratified random sampling according to the CORINE land cover classification of 2012. The land cover classes in our study were arable land, permanent crops (plantations), pastures/grassland, forest and shrub. Artificial surfaces and water bodies were excluded from modelling. However, the number of the 130 training samples was imbalanced. The classes pasture (7 samples) and shrub (13 samples) show a lower number than the other classes (48, 47 and 16 samples). This led to misclassifications and negatively affected the classification accuracy. Therefore, we applied SMOTE to increase the number of samples and the classification accuracy of the model. Preliminary results are promising and show an increase of the classification accuracy, especially the accuracy of the previously underrepresented classes pasture and shrub. This corresponds to the results of studies with other objectives which also see the use of synthetic sampling methods as an improvement for the performance of classification frameworks.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 43-52
Author(s):  
Boudewijn van Leeuwen ◽  
Zalán Tobak ◽  
Ferenc Kovács

AbstractClassification of multispectral optical satellite data using machine learning techniques to derive land use/land cover thematic data is important for many applications. Comparing the latest algorithms, our research aims to determine the best option to classify land use/land cover with special focus on temporary inundated land in a flat area in the south of Hungary. These inundations disrupt agricultural practices and can cause large financial loss. Sentinel 2 data with a high temporal and medium spatial resolution is classified using open source implementations of a random forest, support vector machine and an artificial neural network. Each classification model is applied to the same data set and the results are compared qualitatively and quantitatively. The accuracy of the results is high for all methods and does not show large overall differences. A quantitative spatial comparison demonstrates that the neural network gives the best results, but that all models are strongly influenced by atmospheric disturbances in the image.


Author(s):  
S. Shrestha

Abstract. Increasing land use land cover changes, especially urban growth has put a negative impact on biodiversity and ecological process. As a consequences, they are creating a major impact on the global climate change. There is a recent concern on the necessity of exploring the cause of urban growth with its prediction in future and consequences caused by this for sustainable development. This can be achieved by using multitemporal remote sensing imagery analysis, spatial metrics, and modeling. In this study, spatio-temporal urban change analysis and modeling were performed for Biratnagar City and its surrounding area in Nepal. Land use land cover map of 2004, 2010, and 2016 were prepared using Landsat TM imagery using supervised classification based on support vector machine classifier. Urban change dynamics, in term of quantity, and pattern was measured and analyzed using selected spatial metrics and using Shannon’s entropy index. The result showed that there is increasing trend of urban sprawl and showed infill characteristics of urban expansion. Projected land use land cover map of 2020 was modeled using cellular automata-based approach. The predictive power of the model was validated using kappa statistics. Spatial distribution of urban expansion in projected land use land cover map showed that there is increasing threat of urban expansion on agricultural land.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 3337
Author(s):  
Shaker Ul Din ◽  
Hugo Wai Leung Mak

Land-use/land cover change (LUCC) is an important problem in developing and under-developing countries with regard to global climatic changes and urban morphological distribution. Since the 1900s, urbanization has become an underlying cause of LUCC, and more than 55% of the world’s population resides in cities. The speedy growth, development and expansion of urban centers, rapid inhabitant’s growth, land insufficiency, the necessity for more manufacture, advancement of technologies remain among the several drivers of LUCC around the globe at present. In this study, the urban expansion or sprawl, together with spatial dynamics of Hyderabad, Pakistan over the last four decades were investigated and reviewed, based on remotely sensed Landsat images from 1979 to 2020. In particular, radiometric and atmospheric corrections were applied to these raw images, then the Gaussian-based Radial Basis Function (RBF) kernel was used for training, within the 10-fold support vector machine (SVM) supervised classification framework. After spatial LUCC maps were retrieved, different metrics like Producer’s Accuracy (PA), User’s Accuracy (UA) and KAPPA coefficient (KC) were adopted for spatial accuracy assessment to ensure the reliability of the proposed satellite-based retrieval mechanism. Landsat-derived results showed that there was an increase in the amount of built-up area and a decrease in vegetation and agricultural lands. Built-up area in 1979 only covered 30.69% of the total area, while it has increased and reached 65.04% after four decades. In contrast, continuous reduction of agricultural land, vegetation, waterbody, and barren land was observed. Overall, throughout the four-decade period, the portions of agricultural land, vegetation, waterbody, and barren land have decreased by 13.74%, 46.41%, 49.64% and 85.27%, respectively. These remotely observed changes highlight and symbolize the spatial characteristics of “rural to urban transition” and socioeconomic development within a modernized city, Hyderabad, which open new windows for detecting potential land-use changes and laying down feasible future urban development and planning strategies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (24) ◽  
pp. 10452
Author(s):  
Auwalu Faisal Koko ◽  
Wu Yue ◽  
Ghali Abdullahi Abubakar ◽  
Roknisadeh Hamed ◽  
Akram Ahmed Noman Alabsi

Monitoring land use/land cover (LULC) change dynamics plays a crucial role in formulating strategies and policies for the effective planning and sustainable development of rapidly growing cities. Therefore, this study sought to integrate the cellular automata and Markov chain model using remotely sensed data and geographical information system (GIS) techniques to monitor, map, and detect the spatio-temporal LULC change in Zaria city, Nigeria. Multi-temporal satellite images of 1990, 2005, and 2020 were pre-processed, geo-referenced, and mapped using the supervised maximum likelihood classification to examine the city’s historical land cover (1990–2020). Subsequently, an integrated cellular automata (CA)–Markov model was utilized to model, validate, and simulate the future LULC scenario using the land change modeler (LCM) of IDRISI-TerrSet software. The change detection results revealed an expansion in built-up areas and vegetation of 65.88% and 28.95%, respectively, resulting in barren land losing 63.06% over the last three decades. The predicted LULC maps of 2035 and 2050 indicate that these patterns of barren land changing into built-up areas and vegetation will continue over the next 30 years due to urban growth, reforestation, and development of agricultural activities. These results establish past and future LULC trends and provide crucial data useful for planning and sustainable land use management.


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