Application of Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Cotton Production: A Case Study in Diyarbakır Province, Turkey

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nazire Mikail ◽  
Mehmet Fırat BARAN

Abstract Cultivators are always curious about the factors affecting yield in plant production. Determining these factors can provide information about the yield in the future. The reliability of information is dependent on a good prediction model. According to the operating process, artificial neural networks imitate the neural network in humans. The ability to make predictions for the current situation by combining the information people have gained from different experiences is designed in artificial neural networks. Therefore, in complex problems, it gives better results than artificial neural networks.In this study, we used an artificial neural network method to model the production of cotton. From a comprehensive datum collection spanning 73 farms in Diyarbakır, Turkey, the mean cotton production was 559.19 kg da-1. There are four factors that are selected as pivotal inputs into this model. As a result, the ultimate ANN model is able to forshow cotton production, which is built on elements such as farm states (cotton area and irrigation periodicity), machinery usage and fertilizer consumption.At the end of the study, cotton yield was estimated with 84% accuracy.

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 49
Author(s):  
Jajang Jajang ◽  
Sylvia Meilani

An information on the data is not easily obtained if the data is not presented well. The nutritional needs of toddlers are important to be studied to get an information about growth of these toddlers. This research studied the nutritional needs and its factors by using Artificial neural networks (ANN) model.  These factors are toddler's age, gender, weight, height, activity.  Nutrition data for children under five years old was obtained from interviews at 47 Posyandu locations.  The results showed that the resulting ANN model gave quite good results where the error value generated was 0.024


Author(s):  
Vu Van Dat ◽  
Le Kim Long ◽  
Nguyen Hoang Trang ◽  
Doan Van Phuc ◽  
Nguyen Van Trang ◽  
...  

This article presents the results of the quantitative structure – activity relationship (QSAR) study of bisphenol A (BPA) and its analogs using quantum chemistry calculations and method of artificial neural networks (ANN). Molecular structural analysis is performed using Density Functional Theory (DFT) at the B3LYP/6-31+G(d) level. The quantum calculations focus on finding the optimized molecular structures, vibrational frequencies, the molecular orbital energies with reasonable accuracy. The study of electron density distribution was carried out in the framework of the natural bond orbital (NBO) methods. The obtained parameters and known observable estrogen activities are used as input data for constructing the QSAR model, using the artificial neural network method. Based on the artificial neural network method the quantum parameters having the strongest impact on the estrogen activity of the compounds were revealed. The internal and external validation methods have been performed to test the performance and the stability of the model. The statistical parameters obtained of the QSAR model were: R2 = 0.99; Q2LOO = 0.98; R2Predict = 0.98. According to the obtained results, our proposed model, constructing by method of artificial neural network using the parameters of quantum chemistry is adequate and may be useful to predict of estrogen activities for unexplored derivatives and BPA analogs with moderate reliability.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 171-183
Author(s):  
Nisa Afida Izati ◽  
Budi Warsito ◽  
Tatik Widiharih

The prediction of gold price aims to find out the gold price in the future on the basis of historical data on gold prices in the past, so it can be used as a consideration by gold investors to investing in gold. Prediction methods that do not require assumptions, one of which is Artificial Neural Networks. In this study, using Artificial Neural Networks, Feed Forward Neural Network with Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). ELM is a non-iterative algorithm so ELM has advantages in process speed. The input weight and bias for this method are determined randomly. After that, to find the final weight using the Moore-Penrose Generalized Inverse calculation on the hidden layer output matrix. The best model selection criteria uses the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). This study shows that the results of the training and testing process from the model 1 input neuron and 7 hidden neurons are very good, because it produces MAPE training = 0.6752% and MAPE testing = 0.8065%. Also gives a very good prediction result because it has MAPE = 0.5499% Keywords: gold price, Extreme Learning Machine, MAPE


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 033
Author(s):  
Miona Andrejević Stošović ◽  
Novak Radivojević ◽  
Igor Jovanović ◽  
Andrija Petrušić

In this paper, we will present an artificial neural network (ANN) model trained to forecast hourly electricity consumption of energy in industry for a day-ahead. We will start with a brief analysis of the global electricity market with a special reference to the Serbian market. Next, the daily electricity consumption amounts between August 1st and December 19th 2019 will be analyzed using statistical tools. According to the obtained results, we will give predictions of our models, based on different number of previous days.


Biomolecules ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 500
Author(s):  
László Keresztes ◽  
Evelin Szögi ◽  
Bálint Varga ◽  
Viktor Farkas ◽  
András Perczel ◽  
...  

The amyloid state of proteins is widely studied with relevance to neurology, biochemistry, and biotechnology. In contrast with nearly amorphous aggregation, the amyloid state has a well-defined structure, consisting of parallel and antiparallel β-sheets in a periodically repeated formation. The understanding of the amyloid state is growing with the development of novel molecular imaging tools, like cryogenic electron microscopy. Sequence-based amyloid predictors were developed, mainly using artificial neural networks (ANNs) as the underlying computational technique. From a good neural-network-based predictor, it is a very difficult task to identify the attributes of the input amino acid sequence, which imply the decision of the network. Here, we present a linear Support Vector Machine (SVM)-based predictor for hexapeptides with correctness higher than 84%, i.e., it is at least as good as the best published ANN-based tools. Unlike artificial neural networks, the decisions of the linear SVMs are much easier to analyze and, from a good predictor, we can infer rich biochemical knowledge. In the Budapest Amyloid Predictor webserver the user needs to input a hexapeptide, and the server outputs a prediction for the input plus the 6 × 19 = 114 distance-1 neighbors of the input hexapeptide.


Metals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Rahel Jedamski ◽  
Jérémy Epp

Non-destructive determination of workpiece properties after heat treatment is of great interest in the context of quality control in production but also for prevention of damage in subsequent grinding process. Micromagnetic methods offer good possibilities, but must first be calibrated with reference analyses on known states. This work compares the accuracy and reliability of different calibration methods for non-destructive evaluation of carburizing depth and surface hardness of carburized steel. Linear regression analysis is used in comparison with new methods based on artificial neural networks. The comparison shows a slight advantage of neural network method and potential for further optimization of both approaches. The quality of the results can be influenced, among others, by the number of teaching steps for the neural network, whereas more teaching steps does not always lead to an improvement of accuracy for conditions not included in the initial calibration.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Vasyl Teslyuk ◽  
Artem Kazarian ◽  
Natalia Kryvinska ◽  
Ivan Tsmots

In the process of the “smart” house systems work, there is a need to process fuzzy input data. The models based on the artificial neural networks are used to process fuzzy input data from the sensors. However, each artificial neural network has a certain advantage and, with a different accuracy, allows one to process different types of data and generate control signals. To solve this problem, a method of choosing the optimal type of artificial neural network has been proposed. It is based on solving an optimization problem, where the optimization criterion is an error of a certain type of artificial neural network determined to control the corresponding subsystem of a “smart” house. In the process of learning different types of artificial neural networks, the same historical input data are used. The research presents the dependencies between the types of neural networks, the number of inner layers of the artificial neural network, the number of neurons on each inner layer, the error of the settings parameters calculation of the relative expected results.


Processes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 1070
Author(s):  
Abdul Gani Abdul Jameel

The self-learning capabilities of artificial neural networks (ANNs) from large datasets have led to their deployment in the prediction of various physical and chemical phenomena. In the present work, an ANN model was developed to predict the yield sooting index (YSI) of oxygenated fuels using the functional group approach. A total of 265 pure compounds comprising six chemical classes, namely paraffins (n and iso), olefins, naphthenes, aromatics, alcohols, and ethers, were dis-assembled into eight constituent functional groups, namely paraffinic CH3 groups, paraffinic CH2 groups, paraffinic CH groups, olefinic –CH=CH2 groups, naphthenic CH-CH2 groups, aromatic C-CH groups, alcoholic OH groups, and ether O groups. These functional groups, in addition to molecular weight and branching index, were used as inputs to develop the ANN model. A neural network with two hidden layers was used to train the model using the Levenberg–Marquardt (ML) training algorithm. The developed model was tested with 15% of the random unseen data points. A regression coefficient (R2) of 0.99 was obtained when the experimental values were compared with the predicted YSI values from the test set. An average error of 3.4% was obtained, which is less than the experimental uncertainty associated with most reported YSI measurements. The developed model can be used for YSI prediction of hydrocarbon fuels containing alcohol and ether-based oxygenates as additives with a high degree of accuracy.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2332
Author(s):  
Cecilia Martinez-Castillo ◽  
Gonzalo Astray ◽  
Juan Carlos Mejuto

Different prediction models (multiple linear regression, vector support machines, artificial neural networks and random forests) are applied to model the monthly global irradiation (MGI) from different input variables (latitude, longitude and altitude of meteorological station, month, average temperatures, among others) of different areas of Galicia (Spain). The models were trained, validated and queried using data from three stations, and each best model was checked in two independent stations. The results obtained confirmed that the best methodology is the ANN model which presents the lowest RMSE value in the validation and querying phases 1226 kJ/(m2∙day) and 1136 kJ/(m2∙day), respectively, and predict conveniently for independent stations, 2013 kJ/(m2∙day) and 2094 kJ/(m2∙day), respectively. Given the good results obtained, it is convenient to continue with the design of artificial neural networks applied to the analysis of monthly global irradiation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 718-725
Author(s):  
Maria Mrówczyńska ◽  
Jacek Sztubecki ◽  
Małgorzata Sztubecka ◽  
Izabela Skrzypczak

Abstract Objects’ measurements often boil down to the determination of changes due to external factors affecting on their structure. The estimation of changes in a tested object, in addition to proper measuring equipment, requires the use of appropriate measuring methods and experimental data result processing methods. This study presents a statement of results of geometrical measurements of a steel cylinder that constitutes the main structural component of the historical weir Czersko Polskie in Bydgoszcz. In the initial stage, the estimation of reliable changes taking place in the cylinder structure involved the selection of measuring points essential for mapping its geometry. Due to the continuous operation of the weir, the points covered only about one-third of the cylinder area. The set of points allowed us to determine the position of the cylinder axis as well as skews and deformations of the cylinder surface. In the next stage, the use of methods based on artificial neural networks allowed us to predict the changes in the tested object. Artificial neural networks have proved to be useful in determining displacements of building structures, particularly hydro-technical objects. The above-mentioned methods supplement classical measurements that create the opportunity for carrying out additional analyses of changes in a spatial position of such structures. The purpose of the tests is to confirm the suitability of artificial neural networks for predicting displacements of building structures, particularly hydro-technical objects.


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