scholarly journals PREDIKSI HARGA EMAS MENGGUNAKAN FEED FORWARD NEURAL NETWORK DENGAN METODE EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 171-183
Author(s):  
Nisa Afida Izati ◽  
Budi Warsito ◽  
Tatik Widiharih

The prediction of gold price aims to find out the gold price in the future on the basis of historical data on gold prices in the past, so it can be used as a consideration by gold investors to investing in gold. Prediction methods that do not require assumptions, one of which is Artificial Neural Networks. In this study, using Artificial Neural Networks, Feed Forward Neural Network with Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). ELM is a non-iterative algorithm so ELM has advantages in process speed. The input weight and bias for this method are determined randomly. After that, to find the final weight using the Moore-Penrose Generalized Inverse calculation on the hidden layer output matrix. The best model selection criteria uses the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). This study shows that the results of the training and testing process from the model 1 input neuron and 7 hidden neurons are very good, because it produces MAPE training = 0.6752% and MAPE testing = 0.8065%. Also gives a very good prediction result because it has MAPE = 0.5499% Keywords: gold price, Extreme Learning Machine, MAPE

2015 ◽  
Vol 760 ◽  
pp. 771-776
Author(s):  
Daniel Constantin Anghel ◽  
Nadia Belu

This paper presents the application of Artificial Neural Networks to predict the malfunction probability of the human-machine-environment system, in order to provide some guidance to designers of manufacturing processes. Artificial Neural Networks excel in gathering difficult non-linear relationships between the inputs and outputs of a system. We used, in this work, a feed forward neural network in order to predict the malfunction probability. The neural network is simulated with Matlab. The design experiment presented in this paper was realized at University of Pitesti, at the Faculty of Mechanics and Technology, Technology and Management Department.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 4176-4181
Author(s):  
A. S. Kote ◽  
D. V. Wadkar

Coagulation and chlorination are complex processes of a water treatment plant (WTP). Determination of coagulant and chlorine dose is time-consuming. Many times WTP operators in India determine the coagulant and chlorine dose approximately using their experience, which may lead to the use of excess or insufficient dose. Hence, there is a need to develop prediction models to determine optimum chlorine and coagulant doses. In this paper, artificial neural networks (ANN) are used for prediction due to their ability to learn and model non-linear and complex relationships. Separate ANN models for chlorine and coagulant doses are explored with radial basis neural network (RBFNN), feed-forward neural network (FFNN), cascade feed forward neural network (CFNN) and generalized regression neural network (GRNN). For modeling, daily water quality data of the last four years are collected from the plant laboratory of WTP in Maharashtra (India). In order to improve performance, these models are established by varying input variables, hidden nodes, training functions, spread factor, and epochs. The best models are selected based on the comparison of performance measures. It is observed that the best performing chlorine dose model using defined statistics is found to be RBFNN with R=0.999. Similarly, the CFNN coagulant dose model with Bayesian regularization (BR) training function provided excellent estimates with network architecture (2-40-1) and R=0.947. Based on the above models, two graphical user interfaces (GUIs) were developed for real-time prediction of chlorine and coagulant dose, which will be useful for plant operators and decision makers.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anshul Parulkar ◽  
Wasiq Sheikh ◽  
Malik B Ahmed ◽  
Sachit Singal ◽  
Fabio V Lima ◽  
...  

Introduction: Despite increasing TAVR volumes after a series of recent favorable clinical trials, adverse outcomes remain frequent, including new or worsened conduction disease requiring PPMI, life-threatening bleeding, paravalvular leak, and stroke. PPMI carries a reported incidence ranging from 8.8-14.6% and is of particular concern given the increased risk of mortality and rehospitalization. New techniques in signal processing may inform novel statistical approaches to better predict PPMI from a set of clinical variables. Artificial neural networks (ANN) comprise a family of algorithms that utilize non-linear activation functions to enable improved prediction of PPMI in TAVR patients. Objective: To examine the predictive utility of a feed-forward neural network in classifying PPM implantation in patients undergoing TAVR. Methods: Pre and post-operative data from a single institution were collected for all patients undergoing TAVR without prior pacemaker implantation from January 2016 to December 2019. Data was imported into Matlab, partitioned into training, validation, and test sets, and processed in a two-layer feed-forward neural network with sigmoid hidden and softmax output neurons. Performance data included confusion matrices and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results: The total sample size for the cohort was 513 patients with a PPMI incidence of 8.6%. The training set contained 40 variables and 359 patients, while the validation and test sets contained 77 patients each. The final optimized model showed cross-entropy of 0.25 with 6 iterations and an area under ROC curve of 0.73. Overall model accuracy was 92.7% in the validation set and 88.3% in the test set. Conclusions: In summary, we show that feed-forward neural networks can be useful in processing multiple interdependent variables to aid clinical prediction. Our network demonstrated modest discriminatory ability in predicting the need for PPMI after TAVR.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 221-224
Author(s):  
Joy Oyinye Orukwo ◽  
Ledisi Giok Kabari

Diabetes has always been a silent killer and the number of people suffering from it has increased tremendously in the last few decades. More often than not, people continue with their normal lifestyle, unaware that their health is at severe risk and with each passing day diabetes goes undetected. Artificial Neural Networks have become extensively useful in medical diagnosis as it provides a powerful tool to help analyze, model and make sense of complex clinical data. This study developed a diabetes diagnosis system using feed-forward neural network with supervised learning algorithm. The neural network is systematically trained and tested and a success rate of 90% was achieved.


2021 ◽  
Vol 47 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feliksas Ivanauskas ◽  
Robertas Paulauskas ◽  
Pranas Vaitkus

In this paper extreme learning machine and support vector regression are used for biosensors response to mixtures of compounds classification. The results are compared with the results obtained using artificial neural networks and others.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nazire Mikail ◽  
Mehmet Fırat BARAN

Abstract Cultivators are always curious about the factors affecting yield in plant production. Determining these factors can provide information about the yield in the future. The reliability of information is dependent on a good prediction model. According to the operating process, artificial neural networks imitate the neural network in humans. The ability to make predictions for the current situation by combining the information people have gained from different experiences is designed in artificial neural networks. Therefore, in complex problems, it gives better results than artificial neural networks.In this study, we used an artificial neural network method to model the production of cotton. From a comprehensive datum collection spanning 73 farms in Diyarbakır, Turkey, the mean cotton production was 559.19 kg da-1. There are four factors that are selected as pivotal inputs into this model. As a result, the ultimate ANN model is able to forshow cotton production, which is built on elements such as farm states (cotton area and irrigation periodicity), machinery usage and fertilizer consumption.At the end of the study, cotton yield was estimated with 84% accuracy.


2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
G-A. Tselentis ◽  
E. Sokos

Abstract. In this paper we suggest the use of diffusion-neural-networks, (neural networks with intrinsic fuzzy logic abilities) to assess the relationship between isoseismal area and earthquake magnitude for the region of Greece. It is of particular importance to study historical earthquakes for which we often have macroseismic information in the form of isoseisms but it is statistically incomplete to assess magnitudes from an isoseismal area or to train conventional artificial neural networks for magnitude estimation. Fuzzy relationships are developed and used to train a feed forward neural network with a back propagation algorithm to obtain the final relationships. Seismic intensity data from 24 earthquakes in Greece have been used. Special attention is being paid to the incompleteness and contradictory patterns in scanty historical earthquake records. The results show that the proposed processing model is very effective, better than applying classical artificial neural networks since the magnitude macroseismic intensity target function has a strong nonlinearity and in most cases the macroseismic datasets are very small.


2022 ◽  
pp. 1174-1193
Author(s):  
Sam Goundar ◽  
Suneet Prakash ◽  
Pranil Sadal ◽  
Akashdeep Bhardwaj

A number of numerical practices exist that actuaries use to predict annual medical claim expense in an insurance company. This amount needs to be included in the yearly financial budgets. Inappropriate estimating generally has negative effects on the overall performance of the business. This study presents the development of artificial neural network model that is appropriate for predicting the anticipated annual medical claims. Once the implementation of the neural network models was finished, the focus was to decrease the mean absolute percentage error by adjusting the parameters, such as epoch, learning rate, and neurons in different layers. Both feed forward and recurrent neural networks were implemented to forecast the yearly claims amount. In conclusion, the artificial neural network model that was implemented proved to be an effective tool for forecasting the anticipated annual medical claims for BSP Life. Recurrent neural network outperformed the feed forward neural network in terms of accuracy and computation power required to carry out the forecasting.


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