Is the Association Between Cognitive Decline and Mortality Modified by High Blood Pressure Among the Oldest Old?
Abstract BackgroundFew studies have systematically explored the association between cognitive decline and mortality among the oldest old (above 80 years old) and also have limited evidence of the potential effect modifiers between them. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the association between cognitive decline, stratified by detailed levels, and mortality as well as the potential effect modifiers between them.MethodsThis study included 14,891 oldest old (mean age: 90.3±7.5 years) and 10,904 oldest old deaths with 34,486 person-years were observed. Cognitive decline was continuous and stratified into ten categories. Potential effect modifiers were identified as age, sex, blood pressure (BP) and high BP related diseases, including hypertension and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the relationship between them after adjusting for demographic characteristics, socioeconomic status, lifestyle factors, leisure activities and health conditions.ResultsIn the ten categories, compared to those with maintained high normal cognitive function, participants who have declined to severe cognitive impairment from a high normal cognitive function, low normal cognitive function and mild cognitive impairment have 55%, 56% and 63% mortality risks respectively. Cognitive function declined to mild cognitive impairment from a high normal cognitive function and low normal cognitive function with mortality risks 25% and 17% respectively. The multivariable-adjusted model indicated that the oldest old with decreasing one more point in MMSE score per year, had around 4% higher risk of mortality. There was a significant association of interaction of cognitive decline-mortality and sex (P=0.013) as well as hypertension (P=0.004) but with no significant association among age (P=0.277), high BP (P=0.082), and CVD mortality (P=0.058).ConclusionsOur findings suggest that cognitive decline is associated with an elevated risk of all-cause mortality among the oldest old, even at a low level of cognitive decline. Low BP, non-hypertension and non-CVD mortality may be potentially beneficial in the cognitive decline-mortality association.