scholarly journals Modification of the International Energy Agency Model (the IEA Model of Short-term Energy Security) for Assessing the Energy Security of Ukraine

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 95-103
Author(s):  
Taulant Salihaj ◽  
◽  
Svitlana Pryimenko ◽  
Author(s):  
B.N. Chigarev

The article analyzes the general picture of the use of five indicators for assessing energy security: World Energy Trilemma Index, International Index of Energy Security Risk, SES. Sustainable Energy Security Index, Global Energy Architecture Performance, The IEA Model of Short-term Energy Security, proposed by international energy agencies in research studies on energy security. Their rare use in scientific publications and even in the texts of reports of a number of agencies is noted. As an example, the case of China shows that the use of indicators in conjunction with the regular International Energy Agency reports can only give a general picture of the country’s energy security, but does not allow a deeper analysis due to the lack of access to the source data. A brief bibliometric analysis of publications on energy security indicators is provided. It is shown that bibliometric indicators can be verstatile markers of expert attitude to the topic under study and identify promising areas of research on energy security issues.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Fatri Morina

Energy plays a vital role in the sustainable development of a nation and regions as well, thus affordable and reliable energy supplies are crucial for this development. South East Europe countries are characterized from high energy dependence and face several difficulties in guaranteeing a sustainable development. Only an integrated approach, which combines all the dimensions of energy security, can be a successful way for nations to guarantee their energy security and sustainable development. The scope of this paper is to analyze energy sector and sustainable development in Southeast Europe, with a focus on economic, social, environmental and geopolitical dimension of energy security. The methodology used for this paper combines energy security approach and Regional Security Complex Theory, with a focus in Regional Energy Security Complexes. Energy sector in this region is characterized by a problematic energy infrastructure, low system reliability and low efficiency, energy dependence and lack of diversification of energy sources, all elements with a direct impact on energy security. The data used for this paper are based upon the data of World Bank, International Energy Agency, International Monetary Fund and United Nations.


2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 502-509
Author(s):  
Nikolay P. Gusakov ◽  
Yulia A. Konovalova ◽  
Sayar Akhmad Reshad

Energy is an integral part of the economic security of any state, and it is more complex, the lower the degree of provision with its mineral resources and the higher the number of the population living in the country. Being the undisputed world leaders in terms of population (1.4 billion people and 1.3 billion people), China and India are concerned about ensuring the energy security of their national economies. According to the latest forecasts formed by the International Energy Agency, by 2040, these two countries will become world leaders in terms of imports of mineral products (in this case: crude oil and natural gas). China is the world leader in exporting goods; India is implementing an economic and industrial policy to turn the country into a world manufacturing hub. In this regard, providing countries with energy resources is one of the most critical tasks. At the same time, a significant problem is a dependence on regular supplies of raw materials and world prices for energy carriers. Respectively, countries should pursue a policy of diversification of suppliers of mineral products. The subject of this study is the Republic of India and its position in the world energy markets; issues of energy security and energy policy are also highlighted.


Subject Long-term energy markets outlook. Significance The International Energy Agency (IEA) has upgraded its forecast for total primary energy demand (TPED) to 2040 for the first time since it began projecting this far out in 2014. Impacts The IEA’s belief that the world is on an environmentally unsustainable path will bolster decarbonisation efforts nationally and globally. The IEA does not see oil demand peaking by 2040; this and gas’s growing share of global demand will help sustain oil and gas investment. China and India switching from coal to gas will reduce coal’s share of energy demand even though India’s official targets are optimistic.


Author(s):  
Fatri Morina

Energy security is one of the main factors that determine the contemporary international relations. Energy is crucial for the development of any society; therefore it occupies an important place in the hierarchy of political and economic agendas of the various governments. Nowadays energy sources are exhausting and the global demand and energy consumption is extremely growing. Such a situation leads right to what is known as ‘energy hunger’, a problem which affects every country, regardless its position. This is affecting both those who consume energy as well as countries which export energy or even transit countries where this energy passes through. Balkan region cannot bail out to such a situation where its geostrategic position and role or influence of Russia in the energetic sector in this region is determinant of the current situation. These factors also shape their future. he purpose of this paper is to provide an analytical approach on energy security in the Balkan region, identifying and analysing the role of Russia on this regard. Despite the importance of energy security, in contemporary literature there lacks a definition accepted by all actors on this definition. For this reason, in the field of energy security approach there are selected two operational concepts, ‘energy dependence’ and ‘diversification of energy sources’ which help in analysing the energy situation in the Balkan region, always taking into account Russia's role in the energy in this region. Data on economic and energy indicators, which refer to 2011 - 2012, have as their primary source the World Bank and the International Energy Agency.


Author(s):  
Pappu Kumar Singh ◽  
A. K. Mahapatra ◽  
U. Prasad

The efficient use of energy is the key to maintaining our world’s resources; indeed our future depends on it. Energy conservation can be achieved through increased efficient energy use, in connection with decreased energy consumption and reduced consumption from conventional energy sources. Energy conservation can result in increased financial capital, environmental quality, national security, personal security, and human comfort. Individuals and organizations that are direct consumers of energy choose to conserve energy to reduce energy costs and promote economic security. In view of the nation's energy security interests, it is important to be increasing alternative fuel capability throughout the fleet. The need to ensure the nation's long-term energy security is of such vital concern that it takes precedent over possible short-term convention energy sources consumption and environmental impacts.


2021 ◽  
pp. 65-83
Author(s):  
Peter Drahos

States, motivated by military concerns, have mismanaged the geo-energy trilemma with the result that they face a much deeper climate emergency than they otherwise might. The geo-energy trilemma consists of climate mitigation, energy security, and economic/military development. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has been central to the creation of a data path that prioritizes fossil fuels over the development of renewable energy. The International Energy Agency sent states down the track of more coal development even though carbon capture storage was never a realistic prospect. The IEA failed to build trust among states on energy and climate change issues. The creation of the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) is an important step forward globally for the renewable energy industries.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 471 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Boland

With the recent rapid increase in the use of roof top photovoltaic solar systems worldwide, and also, more recently, the dramatic escalation in building grid connected solar farms, especially in Australia, the need for more accurate methods of very short-term forecasting has become a focus of research. The International Energy Agency Tasks 46 and 16 have brought together groups of experts to further this research. In Australia, the Australian Renewable Energy Agency is funding consortia to improve the five minute forecasting of solar farm output, as this is the time scale of the electricity market. The first step in forecasting of either solar radiation or output from solar farms requires the representation of the inherent seasonality. One can characterise the seasonality in climate variables by using either a multiplicative or additive modelling approach. The multiplicative approach with respect to solar radiation can be done by calculating the clearness index, or alternatively estimating the clear sky index. The clearness index is defined as the division of the global solar radiation by the extraterrestrial radiation, a quantity determined only via astronomical formulae. To form the clear sky index one divides the global radiation by a clear sky model. For additive de-seasoning, one subtracts some form of a mean function from the solar radiation. That function could be simply the long term average at the time steps involved, or more formally the addition of terms involving a basis of the function space. An appropriate way to perform this operation is by using a Fourier series set of basis functions. This article will show that for various reasons the additive approach is superior. Also, the differences between the representation for solar energy versus solar farm output will be demonstrated. Finally, there is a short description of the subsequent steps in short-term forecasting.


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