scholarly journals The Global Financial Crisis and Short-Run Prospects for India

Author(s):  
Raghbendra Jha
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhamad Abduh

Purpose This study aims to investigate the volatility of conventional and Islamic indices and to explore the impact of the global financial crisis toward the volatility of both markets in Malaysia. Design/methodology/approach The data consist of financial times stock exchange group (FTSE) Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index and FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah-Shari‘ah Index covering the period January 2008-October 2014. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity is used to find the volatility of the two markets and an ordinary least square model is then used to investigate the impact of the crisis toward the volatility of those markets. Findings Interestingly, the result shows that Islamic index is less volatile during the crisis compared to the conventional index. Furthermore, the crisis is proven to significantly affect the volatility of conventional index in the short run and Islamic index in the long run. Originality/value This study explores the volatility–financial crisis nexus, especially for the Islamic financial markets, which to the best of the author’s knowledge, is still lacking empirical research which may improve the understanding upon this issue.


2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
VICTOR MANUEL DE SOUSA GABRIEL ◽  
JOSE RAMOS PIRES MANSO

This paper investigates interdependencies and linkages between international stock markets in the short-run. Thus, twelve European and non-European markets were selected, and the period from 4. October 1999 to 30 June 2011 was chosen, which includes the Dot-Com crisis and the recent Global Financial Crisis. To investigate interdependence and dynamic linkages between stock markets, a vector autoregressive model, the concept of Granger causality and impulse-response functions were considered. We concluded that the global financial crisis contributes to the intensification of the interdependence between stock markets. 


Author(s):  
Sinem Yapar Saçık ◽  
Ebubekir Karaçayır

An important macroeconomic variable, current account deficit as percentage of gross domestic product is considered as an indicator of an economic crisis when it is above 5%. In the economies where current account deficit is a problem, source of current account deficit should be determined for the solution. In the case of an interaction between credit expansion and current account, policies using a credit mechanism can be applied to stabilize the current account balance. In order to determine the relationship between current account deficit and credit volume before and after the financial crisis, visual graphics based on data will be utilized. This paper analysis the cointegration, long and short run causality relationship between current account deficit and consumer credits for Turkey over the period 2004Q3-2013Q3. The results of Johansen cointegration test indicate a cointegration between these variables. The empirical results show that there is bidirectional long and short run casuality relationship among variables. After the financial crisis of 2008, the increase in credit expansion increased domestic consumption depending on imports causing deterioration in current account deficit. There are difficulties of low finance qualities of this current account deficit and the realization of structural transformation in favor of exports in short term. Targeting a continuing economic growth increases energy dependency and import of investment goods, so puts credit mechanism policies forward to fight with current account deficit. Limiting the credit volume more than necessary to reduce current account deficit can worsen the various macroeconomic variables.


Author(s):  
Arjan Tushaj ◽  
Rakela Thano

Tourism is the elastic sector and capable of demonstrating the significant capacity past the crisis occurrence despite it is more appreciable in the short run. The global financial crisis during 2008 – 2009 passed likewise the adverse external shock to developing countries and we faced to the consequences of it. It had the significant impact on the tourism sector. Empirical results demonstrated that tourist revenues tend to be more affected than cash tourist during the time of crisis. Impact of the crisis on the tourism sector associated with the different effects in diverse countries. The crisis around the world brought to Albania the highest number of tourists, but tourism receipts per tourist were lower compared to other years. The goal of this paper is to analyze the impacts of post global economic crisis on the tourism sector according to Albania and around the diverse world regions. The paper investigated the indicators of tourism sector linking to Albania and global regions through the comparative static and dynamic analysis during 2009 – 2014. We concluded that the impact of crisis in the tourism sector and its renovation were altering to dissimilar countries. The global tourism renovated during 2012, meanwhile the Albanian tourism sector was renovating during 2014.


2021 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
pp. 40-44
Author(s):  
Markus Demary ◽  
Stefan Hasenclever ◽  
Michael Hüther

AbstractGiven the global trend in corporate saving over the last decades, the COVID-19 crisis raises doubts about the persistence of companies’ saving behaviour due to the losses which have occurred in many companies caused by the isolation of households and by lockdowns. Before the pandemic, corporate net lending activities had been increasing for decades due to various factors ranging from the rise in uncertainty after the global financial crisis to the increased reliance on internal funding for research and development expenditures. In Germany, the rise in corporate saving was accompanied by an increase in equity capital and a reduction in the corporate sector’s reliance on bank loans. This article argues that the coronavirus crisis is most likely to interrupt the trend in corporate saving in the short run due to the decline in companies’ revenues. Nonetheless, similar to the pattern observed in the aftermath of the financial crisis, it seems reasonable to conjecture that the COVID-19 shock will strengthen corporate saving in the long run as companies may attempt to restore their liquidity and equity capital buffers to better prepare for future shocks. This will in turn create downward pressure on real interest rates and complicate the conduct of monetary policy.


2013 ◽  
pp. 152-158 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Senchagov

Due to Russia’s exit from the global financial crisis, the fiscal policy of withdrawing windfall spending has exhausted its potential. It is important to refocus public finance to the real economy and the expansion of domestic demand. For this goal there is sufficient, but not realized financial potential. The increase in fiscal spending in these areas is unlikely to lead to higher inflation, given its actual trend in the past decade relative to M2 monetary aggregate, but will directly affect the investment component of many underdeveloped sectors, as well as the volume of domestic production and consumer demand.


ALQALAM ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 187
Author(s):  
Budi Harsanto

The fall of Enron, Lehman Brothers and other major financial institution in the world make researchers conduct various studies about crisis. The research question in this study is, from Islamic economics and business standpoint, why the global financial crisis can happen repeatedly. The purpose is to contribute ideas regarding Islamic viewpoint linked with the global financial crisis. The methodology used is a theoretical-reflective to various article published in academic journals and other intellectual resources with relevant themes. There are lots of analyses on the causes of the crisis. For discussion purposes, the causes divide into two big parts namely ethics and systemic. Ethics contributed to the crisis by greed and moral hazard as a theme that almost always arises in the study of the global financial crisis. Systemic means that the crisis can only be overcome with a major restructuring of the system. Islamic perspective on these two aspect is diametrically different. At ethics side, there is exist direction to obtain blessing in economics and business activities. At systemic side, there is rule of halal and haram and a set of mechanism of economics system such as the concept of ownership that will early prevent the seeds of crisis. Keywords: Islamic economics and business, business ethics, financial crisis 


2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 159-167
Author(s):  
Kevin Garlan

This paper analyses the nexus of the global financial crisis and the remittance markets of Mexico and India, along with introducing new and emerging payment technologies that will help facilitate the growth of remittances worldwide. Overall resiliency is found in most markets but some are impacted differently by economic hardship. With that we also explore the area of emerging payment methods and how they can help nations weather this economic strife. Mobile payments are highlighted as one of the priority areas for the future of transferring monetary funds, and we assess their ability to further facilitate global remittances.


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