scholarly journals Predicting Real GDP Per Capita in France, Germany, New Zealand, and the UK

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivan Kitov

2007 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 379-388 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanislav Ivanov ◽  
Craig Webster

This paper presents a methodology for measuring the contribution of tourism to an economy's growth, which is tested with data for Cyprus, Greece and Spain. The authors use the growth of real GDP per capita as a measure of economic growth and disaggregate it into economic growth generated by tourism and economic growth generated by other industries. The methodology is compared with other existing methodologies; namely, Tourism Satellite Account, Computable General Equilibrium models and econometric modelling of economic growth.



2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-46
Author(s):  
Zia Ur Rahman

The core objective of the study is to analyze the association between export and eco-nomic growth under the consideration of the time frame 1967 to 2017 for Pakistan economy. The review of literature assists to find out the frequently utilize factors are the real GDP per capita, export, import, trade openness, fiscal development and capi-tal formation possible determinants of the economic growth. However, Export Led Growth (ELG) hypothesis is oftenly employed to elaborate the affiliation between ex-port and the growth. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test approach to cointegration accompanied with the structural break and vector auto regressive (VAR) are employed to analysis the long-term association among real GDP per capita, ex-port, import, trade openness, fiscal development and capital formation. The empirical analysis confirms the cointegration among the factors and the ELG hypothesis holds in Pakistan economy. The Block Exogeneity reveals that export and the capital for-mation have strong influence to stimulate the economic growth. While all the other factors have cumulative influence on the growth. Moreover, the impulse response exposes that if the shock of real GDP per capita, import, trade openness, fiscal devel-opment and the capital formation are given to the export, then response of export would be positive in the coming time frame.



2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 27-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

Distribution of new — the fifth and sixth technological ways in economy of regions of Russia is investigated. For economic evaluation of technological structures hysterical time series of real per capita GDP of Great Britain are used. Construction of econometric models of cyclical trends has allowed establishing the date of the beginning of the upward half-waves of the fourth and fifth Kondratieff cycles. For the construction of econometric models of technological structures was assumed that the beginning of upward half-waves cycles coincide with the beginning of the upward wave of new orders, since the beginning of the dominance of another way of life and a torque of the withering away of the old order. We used piecewise linear model orders. By the simulation it was found, that the relic and fourth technological orders provide a contribution to real GDP per capita value of 4000 Gehry-Hemis dollars in 1990. The contribution of the new — the fifth and sixth in the Russian economy is estimated as the excess of the value of real per capita GDP over the contribution of relic and fourth technological structures, evaluated according to the UK. This has allowed for the first time to give an economic assessment of the contribution of new orders in the Russian economy. It now has exceeded 50%. By degree of distribution of new ways in the groups of regions is irregular. The regional group in the economy where new ways are not observed, the economic policy directed to the continued industrialization. In the regions, where new ways make contribution to the economies, economic policy should focus on the development of post-industrial economies.



2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 16-22
Author(s):  
Аверина ◽  
Tatyana Averina ◽  
Иванова ◽  
O. Ivanova

The article presents the research results of Kondratieff cycles in the economy of Finland on the basis of real GDP per capita over the period of 1860–2008 years. The using of economic and mathematical modeling has allowed estimating the power of long duration business cycles, revealing the chronological framework of long waves: the third, fourth and fifth. Kondratieff’s theory has served as a methodological basis for the study of processes: the emergence, the domination and the withering away of technological structures. Regression analysis has allowed establishing the productivity of different technological structures in the Finnish economy.





1987 ◽  
Vol 97 (386) ◽  
pp. 468 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew J. Stollar ◽  
Stephen G. Grubaugh ◽  
G. Rodney Thompson


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