The Relationship between Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Trade in MENA Countries: A Causality Test

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehdi Behname
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Mena Countries ◽  
The Relationship

scholarly journals The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Trade (Export and Import) in Turkey

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Mehman Karimov
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Lag Selection ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

It is said that after globalization processes foreign direct investment start to influence trade moreover it is very complicated to deduce the relationship between trade and FDI according to theoretical analysis. Therefore, empirical studies showed that until the 1980s international trade generated direct investment but after 1980s FDI started to heavily influencing international trade. Also, results showed that the relationship can differ from one country to another. Thus, this paper is aimed to analyze the impact of Foreign Direct Investment inflow on the macroeconomic variable as a Trade (Export, Import) in Turkey. The paper covers the time period from 1974 to 2017. The time series datasets, those are obtained from World Bank and IMF database are utilized in employed statistical models as ADF Unit Root, VAR lag selection, Johansen co-integration, and the Granger Causality tests, to fulfill empirical part of the paper. Based on results, it was confirmed that there was the presence of the co-integration between analyzed series. Additionally, results of Granger causality test showed that there is unidirectional causality from Export and Import to FDI.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Trade and Its Contribution to the Proposed Logistics Hub in Jamaica

2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 44-48
Author(s):  
Kimberly Racquel Elizabeth Chin
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Mining Industry ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship

In order to objectively analyze contribution of logistic operations to Jamaica’s Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), we perform the Granger causality test. This test was used to determine the relationship among Gross Domestic Product (as a dependent variable) and Government Income, Trade, FDI inflow and the Exchange rate (as independent variables). The Granger causality test produced evidence of a bidirectional causality relationship which suggests that FDI’s influence on efficiency lies in the government relaxing its dependency on the mining industry for economic growth. fdi logistics

The Relationship Between Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development in OECD Countries

2020 ◽  
pp. 206-226
Author(s):  
Metin Gürler ◽  
Funda Kara
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Fixed Effects Model ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Section Data ◽  
Main Determinants ◽  
The Relationship

This chapter investigates the relationship between the OECD-FRRI issued by OECD and IMF-FDI issued by IMF for 36 OECD member countries. Cross-section data (CSD) analysis and panel data (PD) analysis consisting of random and fixed effects estimations were used in the study to investigate the relationship between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Financial Development for OECD countries for the years 1997, 2003, and 2006 and the 7-year period of 2010-2016. Granger Causality Test (GCT) is also applied to test the direction of causality between two indicators. According to the Random Effects Model (RAM) and Fixed Effects Model (FEM) with PD analysis in the study OECD-FRRI is found as one of the determinants of IMF-FDI and IMF-FDI is found as one of the determinants of OECD-FRRI in OECD member countries. For CSD analysis, there is no significant proof to say OECD-FRRI is one of the main determinants of IMF-FDI and IMF-FDI is one of the determinants of OECD-FRRI in OECD member countries. For CSD, OECD-FRRI does not cause IMF-FDI whereas IMF-FDI causes OECD-FRRI.

scholarly journals The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Trade (Export and Import) in Turkey

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Mehman Karimov
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Lag Selection ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

It is said that after globalization processes foreign direct investment start to influence trade moreover it is very complicated to deduce the relationship between trade and FDI according to theoretical analysis. Therefore, empirical studies showed that until the 1980s international trade generated direct investment but after 1980s FDI started to heavily influencing international trade. Also, results showed that the relationship can differ from one country to another. Thus, this paper is aimed to analyze the impact of Foreign Direct Investment inflow on the macroeconomic variable as a Trade (Export, Import) in Turkey. The paper covers the time period from 1974 to 2017. The time series datasets, those are obtained from World Bank and IMF database are utilized in employed statistical models as ADF Unit Root, VAR lag selection, Johansen co-integration, and the Granger Causality tests, to fulfill empirical part of the paper. Based on results, it was confirmed that there was the presence of the co-integration between analyzed series. Additionally, results of Granger causality test showed that there is unidirectional causality from Export and Import to FDI.

scholarly journals An Econometric Analysis on the Relationship between Foreign Trade and Foreign Direct Investment in Turkey

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Özgür Ömer Ersin ◽  
Mustafa Batuhan Tufaner
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Roots ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Capital Movements ◽  
Johansen Cointegration Test ◽  
The Relationship

The globalization process has accelerated the liberalization of foreign trade and capital movements. This acceleration is caused in widening and intensifying relations between foreign direct investment and foreign trade. This paper examines the foreign direct investments’ contribution to the foreign trade. The empirical study is based on time series analysis for Turkey and used monthly data over the period 1992-2017. Econometric techniques for time series are applied to test unit roots, Johansen cointegration test, ARDL bound model and Granger causality test. The test results indicate that there is a correlative relation between foreign trade and foreign direct investment. As a result foreign trade affects foreign direct investments.

scholarly journals The Relationship Between Foreign Direct Investment Oriented Economic Growth in Uganda: An Empirical Study Based on VAR Model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nabyonga Barbra ◽  
Hina Nawaz
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Vector Autoregressive Model ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Economic growth as measured by Gross Domestic Product (GDP) over Uganda, from 1980-2018. Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) and Granger Causality test were used. The results show thatlag 1 is the optimal lag hence bivariate VAR (1) model was used. GDP and FDI exhibits long-term equilibrium since the two-time series are cointegrated in long run. The causality test indicates that there exists a unilateral relationship between FDI and GDP, and FDI causes GDP growth and not vice versa. Understanding these causality links can help in future forecasting of Uganda's economic growth.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment and Youth Employment Causality: Evidence From ASEAN-5 Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 208-219
Author(s):  
Axellina Muara Setyanti ◽  
Setyo Tri Wahyudi
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Employment Relationship ◽  
Youth Employment ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Employment Conditions ◽  
Bidirectional Relationship ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract: FDI - employment relationship has been a major concern of many researchers due to it's various findings. FDI is stated that able to trigger growth in employment, however, on the other hand, some have found that employment conditions affect FDI inflow. Meanwhile, several studies found a bidirectional relationship, or even no-relationship. With a focus on youth employment, this study aimed to examine the link between FDI and youth employment in ASEAN-5 countries. From the results of the Granger Causality test, it was found that in Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Singapore the FDI inflow is leading to youth employment, while in Thailand, the relationship is vice versa. Overall, there is no bidirectional causal relationship between FDI and youth employment in ASEAN-5 countries.Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment, Youth Employment, Granger Causality, ASEAN-5 Kausalitas Penanaman Modal Asing dan Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja Muda: Bukti dari Negara-negara ASEAN-5Abstrak: Keterkaitan antara FDI dan penyerapan tenaga kerja telah menjadi perhatian utama banyak peneliti karena temuan yang beragam. FDI dinyatakan dapat memicu pertumbuhan lapangan kerja, namun di sisi lain, beberapa peneliti menemukan bahwa kondisi ketenagakerjaanlah yang mempengaruhi arus masuk FDI. Sementara itu, beberapa penelitian lain menemukan adanya hubungan dua arah, atau bahkan tidak ada hubungan. Dengan fokus pada penyerapan tenaga kerja muda, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji hubungan antara FDI dan penyerapan tenaga kerja muda di negara-negara ASEAN-5. Dari hasil uji kausalitas Granger ditemukan bahwa di Indonesia, Malaysia, Filipina, dan Singapura, aliran FDI yang masuk mengarah pada pada penciptaan lapangan kerja bagi kaum muda, sedangkan di Thailand ditemukan hubungan yang sebaliknya. Secara keseluruhan, tidak ditemukan hubungan kausal dua arah antara FDI dan penyerapan tenaga kerja muda di negara-negara ASEAN-5.Kata kunci: Penanaman Modal Asing, Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja Muda, Kausalitas Granger, ASEAN-5

scholarly journals Short And Long Term Effects Of Tourism Gdp Performance In Malaysia

2021 ◽  
pp. 1333-1341
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Vector Error Correction Model ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Stationary Test ◽  
The Relationship

This study applies observational investigation and concentrates on two primary variables which foreign direct investment and tourism. Information from 1991 to 2019 was gathered from World Bank to focus the relationship among the variables. The tests used to decipher this result are Stationary Test, Co-integration Test, Vector Error Correction Model and Granger Causality test. First, the Stationary Test focused on the Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test was measuring about the time series data’s stationary property. Next, the method used to assess the existence of the relationship between two foreign direct investment variables and tourism is the Co-integrated Test. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) includes a bug fix model that should focus on the core behavior of that model. VECM specifies a simulated model that changes simultaneously towards its long-term estimates. It shows that disequilibrium disease will join in to make it work longer. VECM similarly observed the relationship between the variables over time. Finally, the Granger Causality Test was performed to look at the causal relationship between the two variables which is the relationship between foreign direct investment and tourism

scholarly journals Exploring the linkages of Foreign Direct Investment in Spain since 1970’s: an ARDL approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-54
Author(s):  
Verónica Cañal Fernández ◽  
Julio Tascón Fernández ◽  
María Gómez Martín
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

This paper analyzes the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), exports and economic growth in Spain using annual time series data for the period 1970 to 2016. To examine these linkages the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration for the long-run is applied. The results confirm a long-run relationship among the examined variables. The Granger causality test indicates a strong unidirectional causality between FDI and exports with direction from FDI to exports. Besides, the results for the relationship between FDI and economic growth are interesting and indicate that there is no significant Granger causality from FDI to economic growth and vice-versa.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document