scholarly journals An Econometric Analysis on the Relationship between Foreign Trade and Foreign Direct Investment in Turkey

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Özgür Ömer Ersin ◽  
Mustafa Batuhan Tufaner
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Roots ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Capital Movements ◽  
Johansen Cointegration Test ◽  
The Relationship

The globalization process has accelerated the liberalization of foreign trade and capital movements. This acceleration is caused in widening and intensifying relations between foreign direct investment and foreign trade. This paper examines the foreign direct investments’ contribution to the foreign trade. The empirical study is based on time series analysis for Turkey and used monthly data over the period 1992-2017. Econometric techniques for time series are applied to test unit roots, Johansen cointegration test, ARDL bound model and Granger causality test. The test results indicate that there is a correlative relation between foreign trade and foreign direct investment. As a result foreign trade affects foreign direct investments.

scholarly journals Causal Links between Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment in Romania

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Malsha Mayoshi Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage ◽  
Gheorghe Epuran ◽  
Bianca Tescașiu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Test Procedure ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

In this increasingly globalized era, foreign direct investments are considered to be one of the most important sources of external financing for all countries. This paper investigates the causal relationship between trade openness and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Romania during the period 1997–2019. Throughout this study, Trade Openness is the main independent variable, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (EXR), Inflation (INF), and Education (EDU) act as control variables for investigating the relationships between trade openness (TOP) and FDI inflow in Romania. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test procedure was adopted to achieve the above-mentioned objective. Trade openness has negative and statistically significant long-run and short-run relationships with FDI inflows in Romania throughout the period. Trade openness negatively affects the FDI inflow, which suggest that the higher the level of openness is, the less likely it is that FDI will be attracted in the long run. The result of the Granger causality test indicated that Romania has a unidirectional relationship between trade openness and FDI. It also showed that the direction of causality ran from FDI to trade openness.

scholarly journals A time series analysis of determinants of FDI in Afghanistan: Which one matters the most, security or economic growth?

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Abdul Fareed Delawari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Market Economic ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship

Afghanistan has been practicing market economic system since 2002. Since then, the government has been initiating different policies and announced various incentives to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) to the country. However, the outcome has not been satisfactory due to several political and economic factors. This paper explores the relationship between security, economic growth and FDI in Afghanistan, using ARDL model. The paper covers a period from 2002 to 2016. The empirical results of this study show that there is a negative long-term relationship between security and FDI. Hence,  the author concludes that, to attract FDI to the country, insuring security should be the top priority of the government of Afghanistan.

Impact of foreign direct investment inflows on environmental pollution in Turkey

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yilmaz Bayar
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Environmental Pollution ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

The globalization accelerated especially as of 1980s and the countries began to integrate global economy and remove the constraints on the flows of goods, services and capital. In this context, the developed countries partly shifted their environmentally hazardous production activities to the developing countries especially by means of foreign direct investments. This study investigates the impact of foreign direct investment inflows on the environmental pollution in Turkey during the period 1974-2010 by using Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causality test. We found that there was a bidirectional causality between foreign direct investment inflows and  emissions.Keywords: Foreign direct investment inflows,  emissions, causality analysis

THE RELATIVE CONTRIBUTIONS OF DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS AND EXPORTS TO MALAYSIA'S ECONOMIC GROWTH

2015 ◽  
Vol 60 (02) ◽  
pp. 1550011 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHOR FOON TANG ◽  
EU CHYE TAN
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Decomposition Analysis ◽  
Variance Decomposition ◽  
Growth Effect ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test

The objective of this study is to assess the roles of domestic direct investment, foreign direct investment and exports as catalysts of Malaysia's economic growth using cointegration and Granger causality test techniques. To address the dynamics in the growth relationships, the study also performs time-varying regression and variance decomposition analyses. It covers the quarterly sample period from 1991:Q1 to 2010:Q2. The econometric results suggest that all the three variables have a positive impact on economic growth and thus are catalytic to economic growth. However, the growth effect of domestic direct investment is more stable than that of the other two growth determinants. Contrary to earlier empirical studies, the variance decomposition analysis herein reveals that domestic direct investment is the most important determinant of growth in the long-run (L-R) compared to exports and foreign direct investment.

FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS AND MANUFACTURING SECTOR PERFORMANCE IN NIGERIA, (1970-2009)

2013 ◽  
Vol 03 (04) ◽  
pp. 39-56
Author(s):  
Adejumo Akintoye Victor
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Sector Performance ◽  
The Relationship

The study examined the relationship between foreign direct investment and the value added to the manufacturing industry in Nigeria, between the period 1970 and 2009. In view of the development and industrialising desires of Nigeria, as well as the foreign aid received in form of private investments, it is pertinent to examine the effect the presence of multinationals has had in shaping the Nigerian manufacturing industry. Using the autoregressive lag distribution technique to determine the relationship between foreign direct investment and manufacturing value added, it was discovered that in the long-run, foreign direct investments have had a negative effect on the manufacturing sub-sector in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Trade (Export and Import) in Turkey

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Mehman Karimov
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Lag Selection ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

It is said that after globalization processes foreign direct investment start to influence trade moreover it is very complicated to deduce the relationship between trade and FDI according to theoretical analysis. Therefore, empirical studies showed that until the 1980s international trade generated direct investment but after 1980s FDI started to heavily influencing international trade. Also, results showed that the relationship can differ from one country to another. Thus, this paper is aimed to analyze the impact of Foreign Direct Investment inflow on the macroeconomic variable as a Trade (Export, Import) in Turkey. The paper covers the time period from 1974 to 2017. The time series datasets, those are obtained from World Bank and IMF database are utilized in employed statistical models as ADF Unit Root, VAR lag selection, Johansen co-integration, and the Granger Causality tests, to fulfill empirical part of the paper. Based on results, it was confirmed that there was the presence of the co-integration between analyzed series. Additionally, results of Granger causality test showed that there is unidirectional causality from Export and Import to FDI.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment and Trade—Between Complementarity and Substitution. Evidence from European Union Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 559
Author(s):  
Marian Catalin Voica ◽  
Mirela Panait ◽  
Eglantina Hysa ◽  
Arjona Cela ◽  
Otilia Manta
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Flow ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Host Countries ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Visegrad Group

This aim of this work is to study the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and trade. FDI is a driving force for economic growth for host countries. The positive effects of FDI are seen in many aspects of the economy. However, the implications of FDI on foreign trade are questionable. Therefore, this study uses a Granger causality technique to test whether the relationship between FDI and foreign trade is complementary or substitutive. The findings of this study indicate that this relationship appears to be complementary, and FDI investment does cause an increase in trade flow in the countries that are taken into consideration. This research aims to make a comparison between the relations of FDI flows of three groups of countries from the European Union (EU)—Romania and Bulgaria, the Visegrád Group and the Euro area—for the period of 2005 to 2019. However, the results indicate that this link between the variables is not yet found for the three group of countries, and further research is required in this aspect. This leads to the conclusion that the FDI impact on foreign trade of the host country depends on the type of investment and absorptive capacity of the receiver, the economic development of host and home countries, and not every type of FDI leads to more trade.

scholarly journals Relationship between Corruption and FDI Inflow: A Causality Test

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-99
Author(s):  
Abdelhamid A. Mahboub ◽  
Hatem Hassan Garamon
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Developed Countries ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the relationship between the inflow of foreign direct investment and corruption. By using 2006 – 2015 time series data from 19 developed countries and 18 developing countries, it starts by testing the Granger causality between these two variables. It finds that causality direction goes from corruption to foreign direct investment. After making the time series data stationary, the study runs regression analysis for each country group separately. Significant and strong impact of corruption on foreign direct investment is found for each group, and the impact is even stronger for the developed countries. Data from each group could not support the hypothesis of ‘greasing the wheels of business’, which is used for justifying soft treatment of corruption in some countries. Policy implication is to stand strong against corruption in order to promote the inflow of foreign direct investment.

scholarly journals Effect of Economic Recession on Development Expenditure, Domestic Investment and Foreign Direct Investments In Malaysia

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 83-91
Author(s):  
Aainaa Izzati Azman ◽  
Nor Ermawati Hussain ◽  
Jaharudin Padli
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Recession ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Development Expenditure ◽  
The Government ◽  
Investment Spending

Malaysia is also affected by the economic crisis as it applies the door-to-door policy economy even though the crisis has started on a global platform. Therefore, the objective of this study is to see how far economic recession affects development expenditure, domestic investment, and foreign direct investment in Malaysia. Using secondary data from 1980 to 2015, unit root tests, Johansen co-integration test, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), and Granger-causality test were carried out. The findings showed that there was a long run relationship between the economic recession and at least one independent variable while there was no short run relationship between the variables. For causal relationships, the economic recession was the cause of domestic development and investment expenditure while foreign direct investment was the cause of the recession, domestic development, and investment spending. Hence, the government must ensure economic stability by implementing various policies.

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