ANOMALI PASAR PADA RETURN SAHAM LQ 45 DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA: FENOMENA THE DAY OF WEEK EFFECT, WEEK FOUR EFFECT, ROGALSKY EFFECT, DAN JANUARY EFFECT

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Reza Widhar Pahlevi
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Research ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Strong Form ◽  
January Effect ◽  
Efficient Markets ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Market Anomalies ◽  
Day Of The Week

Market anomalies appears on all forms of efficient markets, both weak form, semi-strong and strongform. But plenty of evidence to link the anomaly with semi-strong form efficient market exploited togenerate abnormal returns. Market anomalies that is often discussed is the Day of the Week Effect,January Effect, Week Four Effect and other market anomalies. Empirical research is intended todetermine whether there is the phenomenon of the day of the week effect, week four effect, the effectrogalsky and January effect on LQ 45 stocks in the Indonesia Stock Exchange year period 2014-2015.Based on the analysis of data, shows that there is the phenomenon of the day of week effect on thecompany LQ-45 in Indonesia Stock Exchange 2014-2015 period, there is the phenomenon of weekfour effect on the LQ-45 in Indonesia Stock Exchange 2014-2015 period, there are phenomenonRogalski Effect on the LQ-45 in Indonesia Stock Exchange 2014-2015 period and there is no Januaryeffect phenomenon in the LQ-45 in Indonesia Stock Exchange 2014-2015 period.Keywords: the day of the week effect, week four effect, rogalsky effect and january effect

Day-of-the-week effect: A sectoral analysis of Pakistan stock exchange

2021 ◽  
pp. 2141006
Author(s):  
Farah Naz ◽  
Kanwal Zahra ◽  
Muhammad Ahmad ◽  
Salman Riaz
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Financial Decision ◽  
Day Of The Week ◽  
Timing Strategies ◽  
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity ◽  
Sector Returns

This study scrutinizes the day-of-the-week effect anomaly in the context of market and industry analysis of the Pakistan stock exchange. For this purpose, daily closing prices of KSE-100, KSE-30, and KSE-All Share Index from January 01, 2009 to December 31, 2018, have been used. Similarly, sector returns are also calculated, taking average log-returns of selected sample firms. To analyze the data ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, general generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) as well as asymmetric threshold GARCH (TGARCH) and exponential GARCH (EGARCH) models have been employed to model the leverage effect of good and bad news on market volatility. The results indicate the evidence of daily seasonality, with significant Monday and Wednesday effect in PSX indices returns as well as in most of the industry returns. Monday is found to be the day with the highest average returns with the highest return volatility. The findings of the study reveal that there exists a weak form of inefficiency in the Pakistan Stock Market, which implies the possibility of earning abnormal returns by investors using timing strategies. In terms of return predictability, this study is essential for international and domestic investors and it may affect their investment strategy and return management. The results might be interesting to the financial experts as they ponder the available conditions in the capital market for financial decision-making. This study is one of its first kind that includes both indices as well as industry returns for analysis of manufacturing industries in Pakistan stock exchange.

scholarly journals Efficient Market Hypothesis and Market Anomalies of LQ 45 Index in Indonesia Stock Exchange

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 107
Author(s):  
Helma Malini
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Market Anomalies ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Year Effect

The paper attempts to investigate the validity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis and the existence of calendar effect on Indonesia Stock Exchange Market. Initially, this paper discusses types of EMH also the literature available regarding this topic. The sample of research is twenty one securities listed in LQ 45 Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange Market (IDX), this paper applies non parametric tests which are Run test, Kruskal-Wallis test, Mann-Whitney test  parametric test which are series correlation test, One-way Anova test and independent t-test two sample. Based on the results of the test of this paper, it can be concluded that Weak Form Efficient Market exists in LQ 45 Index of IDX while Day of the Week Effect and Month of the Year Effect are not found to exist in LQ 45 Index of IDX. In conclusion, it is observed that the effect of stock prices for the sample companies on future prices is very meager and an investor cannot reap profits by using the historical share price data as the current share prices already reflect the effect of past share prices data.

scholarly journals Entry, exit, ownership structure and the efficient market hypothesis: a case study of the Kuala Lumpur stock exchange

2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 315-325
Author(s):  
Vglingam Sivalingam
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Theoretical Perspective ◽  
Complete Information ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Strong Form ◽  
Barriers To Entry ◽  
Kuala Lumpur ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Competitive Model

The objective of this paper is to provide a new theoretical perspective on testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis in the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE). Previous studies have shown that the KLSE is weak form efficient or at most semi strong form efficient. However, an adequate explanation has not been provided as to why the KLSE is not strong form efficient. The paper suggests that this is because the KLSE does not approximate the neoclassical competitive model in terms of entry, pricing and exit. There are barriers to entry and exit and hence to the free flow of accurate and complete information in the KLSE. The securities offered for sale are also underpriced as there is extensive government intervention to ensure adequate returns to investors. The market is also dominated by large government owned and family owned conglomerates. This together with a segmented market for three classes of investors, that is, the bumiputras, the other Malaysians and foreigners ensures that resources are not allowed to flow to their most value users and hence prices are not competitively set. The paper ends by noting that the KLSE is moving from a government dominated exchange for securities to a market system as a result of recent reforms and policy changes

scholarly journals ANOMALI EFEK KALENDER PADA RETURN SAHAM LQ-45 DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 2642
Author(s):  
Komang Intan Permatasari ◽  
I Ketut Mustanda
Keyword(s):  
Data Collection ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Participant Observation ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
January Effect ◽  
Average Abnormal Return ◽  
Day Of The Week

Calendar effect anomalies indicate a return deviation in a capital market that allows investors to take advantage of a time and obtain abnormal returns. This study aims to determine the difference in the average abnormal return on the day (the day of the week effect), Monday the fourth week (week-four effect), and January with other months (January effect). The study was conducted on companies included in the LQ-45 stock group and obtained a sample of35 companies using the saturated sample method. The data source comes from secondary data, through the yahoo finance website and the method of data collection is done by non-participant observation including data collection on the development of stock prices included in the LQ-45 group during the period February 2015 to January 2018. Test results with the SPSS program through Kruskal-Wallis test and Mann Whitney Test, show that the stock’s average abnormal return at any time is not different, so the conclusion that there is no day of the week effect, week-four effect, and January effect on the LQ-45 stock index on the Stock Exchange Indonesia. Keywords: calendar effect anomaly, abnormal return

scholarly journals An Investigation of the Weak Form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis for the Kuwait Stock Exchange

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hesham I. Almujamed ◽  
Suzanne G. M. Fifield ◽  
David M. Power
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Efficient Markets ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Emerging Stock Markets ◽  
Kuwait Stock Exchange ◽  
Efficient Markets Hypothesis ◽  
Filter Rules

This article investigates the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) for the Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE). In particular, it tests whether share returns on the KSE exhibit patterns which may be used to predict future share price changes. Ten filter rules are tested on weekly data for 42 firms over the period 1998–2011. The results suggest that the KSE was not weak-form efficient because patterns and trends were present in security prices. In addition, the results are consistent with the substantive literature which has argued that emerging stock markets are informationally inefficient, such as Fifield, Power and Sinclair (2005, 2008) and Xu (2010) and particularly those early studies of Al-Shamali (1989) and Al-Loughani and Moosa (1999) that looked at trading rules for the KSE.

scholarly journals Pengujian Calendar Effect di Bursa Efek Indonesia tahun 2016

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 76-86
Author(s):  
Mega Noerman Ningtyas
Keyword(s):  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Strong Form ◽  
January Effect ◽  
Market Theory ◽  
Ols Regression ◽  
Day Of The Week

Market efficiency theory stated that stock prices reflect all information in the market. There are 3 different level of market efficiency: weak form, semi-strong form and strong form. When a market is in the state of weak form, there is no investor can gain abnormal return using past information. Calendar effect that is Day of the Week, January Effect and Turn of the Month is anomaly in the stock market that opposed the efficiency market theory. The purpose of this study is to examine the Calendar Effect in Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2016. This research use daily stock price data in LQ45. Using the OLS regression with 5 dummy variables, the results showed that trading day had an effect on stock return where negative return occurred on Monday but not significant. The positive return occured in the following days and the highest return occurred on Wednesday. It can be concluded that the first hypothesis of Day of the Week phenomenon is supported. OLS regression with  1 variable dummy for return in January and 0 otherwise, the result shows that the coefficient is negative and insignificant so it can be concluded that January Effect is not supported. Third hypothesis, Turn of the Month, result shows positive and significant coefficient at level 1%. It means the stock returns in 5 trading days at the end of the month and 2 trading days at the beginning of the month are higher than in other days.

An Empirical Study on Efficient Market Hypothesis with reference to FMCG Sector

GIS Business ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-126
Author(s):  
Nitin Tanted ◽  
Prashant Mistry
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Controversial Issues ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Price Movements ◽  
Run Test ◽  
Stock Price Movements

One of the highly controversial issues in the area of finance is “Efficient Market Hypothesis”. Efficient Market Hypothesis states that, “In an efficient market, all available price information is reflected in the stock prices and it is not possible to generate abnormal returns compared to other investors.” A lot of studies conducted previouslyto test the Efficient Market Hypothesis, confirmed the theory until recent years, when some academicians found it to be non-applicable in financial markets. According to them, it is possible to forecast the stock price movements using Technical Analysis. The results of various studies have been inconclusive and indefinite about the issue. This study attempted to test the efficiency of FMCG Sector stocks in India in its weak form. For the study, closing prices of top 10 stocks from Nifty FMCG index has been taken for the 5-year period ranging from 1st October 2014 to 30th September 2019. Wald-Wolfowitz Run test has been used to test the haphazard movements in the stock price movements. The results indicated that FMCG sector stocks does support the Efficient Market Hypothesis and exhibit efficiency in its weak form. Hence, it is not possible to accurately predict the price movements of these stocks.

scholarly journals Evidence for and Against the Validity of Efficient Market Hypothesis

2018 ◽  
Vol 56 (3) ◽  
pp. 369-387
Author(s):  
Miljan Leković
Keyword(s):  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Strong Form ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Market Anomalies ◽  
Development Path

Abstract The concept of an efficient financial market, in literature known as efficient market hypothesis (EMH), has had a long and difficult development path from the idea itself to its final conception, as one of the central paradigms in modern finance. It has been tested and critically reviewed for decades, and the two basic types of problems it has encountered are theoretical paradoxes and market anomalies. The aim of the paper is to examine the validity of EMH through various financial market efficiency tests and the results of previous research. The intention is to answer the question of whether, despite theoretical paradoxes and market anomalies, the notion of validity can be attributed to the concept of an efficient financial market. In this regard, the paper presents plenty of evidence for and against the validity of weak, semi-strong, and strong form of EMH, to conclude that, even after more than half a century of research, financial literature has not reached a consensus on the presence or absence of the validity of this hypothesis.

scholarly journals Random Walk Investigation in Indian Market with special reference to S&P Nifty – Fifty Stocks

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 52-61
Author(s):  
Tamilselvan Manickam ◽  
R Madhumitha
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Empirical Support ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Indian Market ◽  
Price Series ◽  
Stock Market Efficiency ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
Weak Form Efficiency

The competence of a financial system is entirely depending upon the stock market efficiency. The gradual growth of equity investor’s participation is inevitable to enrich the overall growth of emerging economies.Hence the necessity is felt to provide an empirical support to the investing community. For the purpose, this study attempts to examine the weak-form efficiency of Indian stock market – National Stock Exchange (NSE). The study has used the daily closing price of the Nifty fifty stocks from 3rdJanuary 2011 to 24thApril 2015. To test the weak form efficiency both parametric and non-parametric tests called Autocorrelation, Augmented Dicky Fuller test, and Runs Test were performed.  The study reveals that 39 stocks of NSE-Nifty Fifty are found to be weak form inefficient, so that the investors can formulate trading strategies to gain abnormal returns. The Index and 10 stocks are found to be weak form efficient during the study period since the price series found to be autocorrelation existence.

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