scholarly journals Geo-financial stability of the global banking system

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 164-178
Author(s):  
Galina Gospodarchuk ◽  
Nataliya Amosova

The development of globalization creates a need for diagnosis of financial stability at the global level. This study aims to analyze the financial stability of the global banking system and identify threats to stability at the level of geographic regions and countries. The study uses the methods of a structured system, comparative and cluster analysis. The empirical study is based on World Bank data for 126 countries for the period 1998–2017. One of the key results of the study is the development of quantitative indicators of the financial stability of the world banking system. These indicators differ from the existing ones due to the predictive nature of the former. The study also proposes criteria of qualitative assessment of the level of financial stability of the world banking system and its individual elements in the form of regional and national banking systems. In addition, appropriate algorithms were developed to calculate the proposed indicators and criteria. The results helped to form clusters of countries in terms of the level of their banking system stability, compile maps of financial stability risks at the global level, and identify countries that are sources of potential threats to financial stability. The empirical part of the study confirms the practical applicability of the proposed analytical tools. The study shows that in 2017, the banking system of Asian countries moved to the high-risk zone. Potential threats to the financial stability of the global banking system come from the European and Asian banking systems, as well as from the Australian banking system. AcknowledgmentThe study was funded by the RFBR according to the research project No 18 010 00232 “A methodology of multilevel system of diagnostics and regulation of financial stability” year 2018–2020.

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 478-491 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thanh Ngo ◽  
Tu Le

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate the causal relationship between banking efficiency and capital market development in 86 countries between 2006 and 2011. Design/methodology/approach The authors follow the two-stage framework: data envelopment analysis (DEA) with the use of financial ratios is used to arrive at efficiency scores of the banks in the first stage. Thereafter, those efficiency scores will be linked with the development level of the capital markets of the corresponding country in the second stage using the generalised method of moments in a simultaneous equations model. Findings The authors found that banking systems around the world were still inefficient, suggesting that it would take time for the global banking system to recover after the global financial crisis 2007/2008. More importantly, the findings demonstrated that the larger the capital market is, the less efficient its banking system would be. In contrast, banking efficiency can positively influence the development of the capital market. Research limitations/implications The data are unbalanced and limited to 86 countries; the study did not analyse the productivity change over time of those banking systems; and it would be useful to test the first-stage DEA with different sets of variables as well as different assumptions. Practical implications The paper suggests that for any economy around the world, an improvement in banking performance and efficiency rather than capital market development should be a priority, alongside with monitoring inflation. Originality/value The paper provides an unbiased analysis of the causal relationship between the banking sector and the capital market.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 44
Author(s):  
Tu D. Q. Le ◽  
Tin H. Ho ◽  
Dat T. Nguyen ◽  
Thanh Ngo

The expansion of fintech credit around the world is challenging the global banking system. This study investigates the interrelationships between the development of fintech credit and the efficiency of banking systems in 80 countries from 2013 to 2017. The findings indicate a two-way relationship between them. More specifically, a negative relationship between bank efficiency and fintech credit implies that fintech credit is more developed in countries with less efficient banking systems. Meanwhile, a positive impact of fintech credit on the efficiency of banking systems suggests that fintech credit may serve as a wake-up call to the banking system. Therefore, fintech credit should be encouraged by the authorities around the world.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 79-90
Author(s):  
Marijana Joksimović ◽  
Jozefina Beke-Trivunac

The Covid-19 virus pandemic, declared in 2020 by the World Health Organization, has a very large impact on banking business around the world. The most significant problem is the growth of credit risk and the huge growth of demand for liquid assets. The crisis has also increased the risks associated with the digitalization of banking business and brought new risks posed by the work of employees from home. The timely reaction of regulatory authorities, at the global level, and the willingness of the monetary and fiscal authorities of all countries to cooperate have shown a very positive effect on the stability of the banking system.


Author(s):  
Gokhan Karabulut ◽  
Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: justify; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: x-small;">The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of the unlimited deposit insurance on non-performing loans and market discipline. Deposit insurance program play a crucial role in achieving financial stability. Governments in many advanced and developing economies established deposit insurance schemes for reducing the risk of systemic failure of banks. Deposit insurance has a beneficial effect of reducing the probability of a bank run.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>However deposit insurance systems have its own set of problems. Deposit insurance systems create moral hazard incentives that encourage banks to take excessive risk. Turkey established an explicit deposit insurance system in 1960. Until 1994, the coverage determined by a flat rate but in that date, Turkey experienced a major economic crisis. In April 1994, Turkish government started to apply an unlimited deposit insurance scheme to restore banking system stability. Unlimited deposit insurance caused a remarkable increase at non-performing loans. This paper empirically estimates the impact of unlimited deposit insurance system on non-performing bank loans (NPLs) and analyses the other potential sources of NPLs. </span></p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (11) ◽  
pp. 143-149
Author(s):  
Natalia Yu. Lebedeva ◽  
◽  
Kheda M. Musayeva ◽  
Georgy O. Berkaev ◽  
◽  
...  

The article is devoted to the development of the global banking sector in the context of the digital transformation of the economy, the introduction of platform solutions and the creation of ecosystems that provide the client with a range of financial and non-financial products and services. The author highlights the trends and directions of development of the banking sector, among which many researchers and econo-mists note the presence of facts that are directly related to the conditions of modern social and state develop-ment. A set of trends in the development of the world banking system is proposed, which is directly related to the processes of digitalization of society and the widespread dissemination of information technologies.


Author(s):  
Kateryna Tsytsyk

The article is devoted to the research of prudential banking supervision, as one of the key factors for ensuring financial stability. The fundamentals of prudential risk-oriented banking supervision system’s organization in current circumstances are defined. Particular attention of this article is paid to the question of optimal institutional organization of prudential banking supervision system with an aim to ensure stability of banking system of the country. The practice of foreign counties in organization of prudential banking supervision system is considered.


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 62-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleh Kolodiziev ◽  
Iryna Chmutova ◽  
Vitaliy Lesik

According to the stages of the banking system stability monitoring, the analysis of caus¬al links is used to identify the causes of the crisis trends spreading and the rationale for the most effective levers of regulatory influence on the banking system parameters by the central bank.The research is based on the use of the canonical correlation method for structuring causal links between the indicators for the assessment of the banking system stability, which are grouped into four sub-indices (assessing the intensity of credit and financial interaction in the interbank market, the effectiveness of the banking system functions, structural changes and financial disproportions in the banking system, activities of systemically important banks); the method of regression analysis and the calculation of elasticity coefficients is also used to assess the sensitivity of the banking system stability to changes in parameters that characterize the banking regulation instruments.The article analyzes the results of quantitative and qualitative assessment of the banking system stability (comparison of actual results of the evaluation with the data for previous years and comparison of values of stability indicators with critical values). The causes of detected deviations are determined taking into account the results of applying the canonical correlations method. Regression models have been constructed to confirm the dependence of the banking system stability index on the change in parameters that characterize banking regulation instruments, and to determine the most effective of them. Practical testing of submitted proposals is realized based on the Ukrainian banking system indicators for 2007–2016.


2021 ◽  
pp. 205-218
Author(s):  
Valentin Yur’evich Vakhrushev ◽  
Andrey Viktorovich Zakharov ◽  
Mikail Bekzadaevich Khudzhatov

In the face of the COVID-19 pandemic world banking system is being severely tested. The last time such shocks occurred during the global fi nancial crisis of 2008–2009. However, the crisis of the global banking system in 2020 caused by the COVID-19 pandemic is very diff erent from the global fi nancial crisis of 2008–2009. During the previous global fi nancial crisis, central banks around the world were able to cut key rates to stimulate the aff ected economy, while the current crisis is taking place in conditions of extremely low and even negative key rates. Consequently, the central banks of the economically developed countries of the world lack one of the most eff ective tools to stimulate the economy in the face of a global crisis. Since the maximum income of commercial banks is generated by the operation of high key rates, the downward trend in recent years is a serious risk to the business of commercial banks. The article analyses the dynamics of key rates in the economically developed countries of the world in comparison with China and the Russian Federation, based on the results of this document, the main trends and patterns were identified, the most dangerous risks for commercial banks are shown. Besides the article discusses the modern conceptual provisions of interest rate risk management in commercial banks of the Russian Federation. They form the basis for the development of constructive methods for assessing commercial risk and the formation of managerial decisions that ensure its prevention or reduction of negative consequences in the event of the implementation of risk events that determine it.


1998 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 405-432 ◽  

Weaknesses in the banking system of a country, whether developing or developed, can threaten financial stability both within that country and internationally. The need to improve the strength of financial systems hasattracted growing international concern. The Communique issued at the close of the Lyon G-7 Summit in June 1996 called for action in this domain. Several official bodies, including the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision, the Bank for International Settlements, the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, have recently been examining ways to strengthen financial stability throughout the world.


2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vighneswara Swamy

Purpose – This study aims to investigate the inter-relatedness and the dynamics of banking stability measures and offers answers for some of the related issues such as does financial stability require the soundness of banking institutions, the stability of markets, the absence of turbulence and low volatility? and to what extent the soundness of banking sector in the case of emerging economies can help financial system stability. Design/methodology/approach – This study investigates banking stability by structuring a recursive micro panel vector auto regressive (VAR) model and corroborates the significance of the interrelatedness of the bank-specific variables such as liquidity, asset quality, capital adequacy and profitability by employing a robust panel data drawn from 56 leading banks for a period of 12 years. Findings – A significant contribution of this study is in establishing that liquidity in the banking-dominated financial system is reciprocally related with asset quality, capital adequacy, and profitability of the banking system and in effectively forecasting banking stability employing micro panel recursive VAR model. Research limitations/implications – The study could be further broadened by employing a macro and structural VAR modelling to forecast banking stability. Practical implications – This paper is one among the evolving body of literature that underscores the significant relationship between banking system resilience and financial stability in the context of emerging economies dominated with banking systems. Further, the forecast model is able to capture the dynamics of banking stability with greater and appreciable accuracy. Originality/value – The uniqueness of the study is in modelling banking stability measures in the context of banking-dominated emerging economy financial systems by employing micro panel recursive VAR model by deriving data from 58 leading banks for the period of 12 years from 1996 to 2009 and in offering insights in understanding financial stability with comprehensive literature review.


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