scholarly journals Financial sector and manufacturing sector performance: evidence from Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 35-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abiola John Asaleye ◽  
Joseph Ibrahim Adama ◽  
Joseph Olufemi Ogunjobi
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Money Stock ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Sector Performance

Nigerian economy depends on oil as the major source of revenue, failure to diversify the revenue base has raised questions about its sustainability and implication on the economy. This study uses market capitalization, broad money stock, credit to private sector, prime interest rate and deposit liability as proxies for the financial sector, while output in the manufacturing sector and manufacturing employment are used as proxies for manufacturing performance. The study examines the causal effects, shock effect and long-run impact using Granger Non-Causality, Vector Error Correction Model, and Dynamic Ordinary Least Square method, respectively. The results showed unidirectional causality, confirming the hypothesis of the ‘supply-leading view’ and ‘demand-following view’ except for market capitalization and output in the manufacturing sector, where independence was observed. The variance decomposition shows that the forecast error shock of credit to private sector and prime interest rate show more variations in manufacturing sector performance than other financial indicators. The long-run result using output in manufacturing sector as dependent variable shows a positive significant relationship with other financial sector indicators, except for broad money stock and deposit liability. This study recommended credit channel for transmission of monetary policy using interest rate to improve the performance of manufacturing sector, among others.

Another Side of the Coin: Exchange Rate Movements and the Manufacturing Sector in Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 63-79
Author(s):  
Anthony Orji ◽  
Jonathan E. Ogbuabor ◽  
Chiamaka Okeke ◽  
Onyinye I. Anthony-Orji
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study estimated the impact of exchange rate (EXCH) movements on the manufacturing sector in Nigeria over the period 1981–2016. Time series data and ordinary least square (OLS) estimation technique were employed in this study to address the specified objective. The variables analysed were EXCH, manufacturing GDP (MGDP), government capital expenditure, foreign direct investment (FDI), credit to private sector and value of imports. From the result, it is apparent that EXCH movements play a significant role in the manufacturing sector’s performance in Nigeria. Specifically, the findings showed that EXCH, government capital expenditure (GCEXP), imports and FDI were positively related to MGDP, while credit to private sector was negatively related. Among others, the study recommends that the apex bank keep a closer watch on EXCH developments in order to keep formulating up-to-date policies that will ultimately enhance EXCH stability. This will largely contribute to the development of the manufacturing sector in the short and long run. JEL Classification: D51, F31, Q24

scholarly journals Responsiveness of Service Sector Growth to Financial Development in Nigeria: Evidence from 1981-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Henry Ikechukwu Amalu ◽  
Lucy Obiageli Agbasi ◽  
Loenard U. Olife ◽  
Anthony Okechukwu
Keyword(s):  
Private Sector ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Service Sector ◽  
Business Environment ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sector Performance ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose: This paper explores the relationship between financial development and output of the service sector in Nigeria over the period 1981-2019. It presents an analysis of the long-run and short-run impacts of financial development on the performance growth of the service sector, as well as the cointegration between the variables. Approach/Methodology/Design: We test the time series for stationarity using Phillips-Perron and Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root tests. We adopt the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to analyze the relationship between financial development and service sector performance in Nigeria. Market capitalization, monetization ratio, and the ratio of credit to the private sector to GDP represent the indicators of financial development. Findings: The results of the study show that market capitalization and monetization ratio have significant positive impacts on service sector output, respectively. However, the effect of credit to the private sector on service sector performance is insignificant and negative. We find no cointegration among the investigated variables; while, the result of the error correction estimation indicates that it takes about two years to restore the long-run equilibrium after a deviation. In light of the findings made, this paper concludes that financial development exerts a significant positive effect on service sector performance in Nigeria. Practical Implications: This study is valuable at this period of economic uncertainties in Nigeria. With input from this paper, policymakers in the public sector via the formulation and implementation of effective policy measures such as fiscal measures can channel the benefits of financial sector development to the service sector to create an enabling business environment for the sector, especially as it concerns the provision of private credit to the sector. Originality/value: Based on literature review, this paper for the first time investigated the link between financial development and the performance of the service sector in Nigeria as defined by the CBN Statistical Bulletin 2019 edition. 

scholarly journals Real Exchange Rate and Manufacturing Performance in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 279
Author(s):  
Abiola John Asaleye ◽  
Rotdelmwa Filibus Maimako ◽  
Henry Inegbedion ◽  
Adedoyin Isola Lawal ◽  
Adeyemi A. Ogundipe
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Manufacturing Performance ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sector Performance ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The efficacy of currency devaluation to improve output in Nigeria is under debate, and coupled with an unsatisfactory result in the behaviour of the manufacturing sector performance regenerated interest of this study to investigate the impact of exchange rate on output and employment in the sector. The work uses Structural Vector Autoregression, ECM and Canonical Co-integrating Regression to examine the shock effect, short and long-run elasticities of exchange rate on the manufacturing performance. While employment and output are used as a proxy for manufacturing sector performance. The findings show that changes in the exchange rate are fairly elastic with output and employment both in short and long-run. However, changes in the exchange rate are insignificant with employment in the short run. The variance decomposition form the SVAR shows that forecast error shock of the exchange rate is more prolong on employment than output. Consequently, the result of the estimation of the Impulse Response Function from the Monte Carlos shows that one standard deviation of the exchange shock adversely affect employment. The outcome of the result indicates that the Nigerian exchange rate has not improved output and employment in the manufacturing sector. Several factors may be accounted for this, although, it may be due to cost-push inflationary pressure and unfavourable competitiveness. The study suggests the need to encourage long-term supply-side policies among others to improve the situation.   Received: 7 June 2020 / Accepted: 9 January 2021 / Published: 5 March 2021

Financial Deepening, Financial Intermediation and Nigerian Economic Growth: Time Variant Analysis

2019 ◽  
pp. 60-73
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Long Run

This study examines financial deepening, financial intermediation and Nigerian economic growth. The main purpose is to examine the relationship between financial deepening and Nigerian economic growth while the specific objectives are to examine the impact of interest rate, capital market development, rational savings, credit to private sector and broad money supply on the growth of Nigerian. Secondary data of the variables were sourced from the publications of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from 1981-2017. Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) was used as dependent variable while Broad money supply (M2), Credit to Private Sector (CPS), National Savings (NS), Capital Market Capitalization (CAMP) and Interest Rate (INTR) was used as independent variables. Multiple regressions with E-view statistical package were used as data analysis techniques. Cointegration test, Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test, Granger causality test was used to determine the relationship between the variable in the long-run and short-run. R2, F – statistics and β Coefficients were used to determine the extent to which the independent variable affects the dependent variable. It was found from the regression result that Broad Money Supply, credit to private sector have position effect on the growth of Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product while National Savings, Capitalization and Interest Rate on Nigeria Real Gross Domestic Product. The co-integration test revealed presence of long-run relationship among the variables, the stationary test indicated stationarity of the variables at level. The Granger Causality Test found bi – variant relationship from the dependent to the independent and from the independent to the dependent variables. The regression summary found 99.0% explained variation, 560.5031, F – statistics and probability of 0.00000. From the above, the study concludes that financial deepening has significant relationships with Nigerian economic growth. We recommend that government and the financial sector operators should make policies that will further deepen the functions of the financial system to enhance Nigerian economic growth.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF ZIMBABWE'S PRICE HYPERINFLATION ON REPORTED LEVELS OF NATIONAL MANUFACTURING SECTOR ACTIVITY

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
PURUWETI SIYAKTYA
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
International Economy ◽  
Rational Decision ◽  
Rational Decision Making ◽  
Sector Performance ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Rational Decisions

Zimbabwe experienced price hyperinflation as internationally defined in the period March 2007 to January 2009. This paper addresses the issue of how this hyperinflation interacted with manufactur- ing sector performance. Interviews with a small anonymous sample of ‘survivor’ manufacturers suggest that rational decisions as responses to the internal/external structural events from 2000 induced a number of actions that tended to economize on the use of Zimbabwean dollars as the highly monetized manufacturing sector was especially exposed to monetary risks, but was also well connected with the international economy and using other currencies. Though damage to the manufacturing sector continued during the hyperinflation period it did not accelerate as might have been expected. Therefore, analytically, rational decision-making by private sector manufacturers prior to the hyperinflation may have helped protect some of them from its effects but also played a role as acause of the hyperinflation.

FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS AND MANUFACTURING SECTOR PERFORMANCE IN NIGERIA, (1970-2009)

2013 ◽  
Vol 03 (04) ◽  
pp. 39-56
Author(s):  
Adejumo Akintoye Victor
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Sector Performance ◽  
The Relationship

The study examined the relationship between foreign direct investment and the value added to the manufacturing industry in Nigeria, between the period 1970 and 2009. In view of the development and industrialising desires of Nigeria, as well as the foreign aid received in form of private investments, it is pertinent to examine the effect the presence of multinationals has had in shaping the Nigerian manufacturing industry. Using the autoregressive lag distribution technique to determine the relationship between foreign direct investment and manufacturing value added, it was discovered that in the long-run, foreign direct investments have had a negative effect on the manufacturing sub-sector in Nigeria.

scholarly journals Effect of Deepening Finacial Sector on Income Gap in Six Asia Countries 2012-2016

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lizzy Dominica ◽  
Zeisha Shabrina ◽  
Hanna Octavianie ◽  
Sindy Septiani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Income Gap ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

The financial sector has an important role in increasing a country’s economic growth, but the income gap is one of the main problems in economic growth in various countries. The financial sector has a strong influence on economic development, poverty alleviation and economic stability. This study aims to determine the effect of financial sector deepening on income inequality by using panel data from six countries, namely Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore, China and Korea which are divided into two groups, namely lower middle income countries, namely Indonesia and the Philippines and upper middle / high income, namely Malaysia, Singapore, China and Korea in 2012-2016. By using the Panel Least Squares analysis technique, this study found results that were upper middle / high income; bank assets, money supply, stock traded have a positive effect; lending to the private sector; domestic money bank assets, private sector debt securities and stock market capitalization have a negative effect. Whereas in lower middle income countries; bank assets, money suply, stock market capitalization have a negative effect; stock traded has a positive effect; however, lending to the private sector, domestic money bank assets, government debt and private sector debt does not affect the income gap.   Keywords: Financial Deepening, Income Gap, Asia

scholarly journals Trade Liberalization and Manufacturing Sector Performance in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (05) ◽  
Author(s):  
ENIEKEZIMENE, Ariayefa Francis and QUESTION ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Structural Adjustment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Multiple Regression Model ◽  
Import Penetration ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Sector Performance ◽  
Manufacturing Productivity ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the impact of trade liberalization on manufacturing sector performance in Nigeria from 1970 to 2018. A multiple regression model was developed to achieve the study’s objectives with real manufacturing growth rate (RMGR) as proxy for manufacturing sector performance. Import penetration, export penetration, dummy variable for structural adjustment programme alongside other control variables were used. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing for cointegration approach, it was found that all the variables for the model had long run relationship. Furthermore, the ARDL results revealed a mixed impact of trade liberalization on the performance of the manufacturing sector. Specifically, while trade liberalization exerted insignificant positive impact on RMGR in the short run, the impact was positive and statistically significant in the long run. Consequently, the study recommended policies that would encourage the importation of capital goods to enhance manufacturing productivity in Nigeria.

scholarly journals External Sector and The Nigerian Manufacturing Sector Performance, 1981-2019

2022 ◽  
Vol 05 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Leera Kpagih ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Environment Impact ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sector Performance ◽  
External Sector ◽  
Exchange Rate Level

No country is an island. The globalization phenomenon is making all countries to be interdependent. The external sector environment has become critical for the success of every country and internal balance. Thus, it has become important to examine how much the externa sector environment impact on the performance of the domestic economy. The present study, therefore, examined the influence of Nigerian external sector environment on the performance of the Nigerian manufacturing sector between 1981 and 2019. The study adopted exp-post research design approach and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model estimation techniques. The empirical model consists of the Nigerian manufacturing sector output index as the dependent variable and exchange rate, trade openness, and foreign direct investment as independent variables and external sector environment variables. Test of unit root results indicated that the variables have mix order of integration, while the co integration analysis results indicated that the variables in the model have stable long run relationship. Estimate of the ARDL model reveals that in the short run exchange rate variations have negative, but significant effect on manufacturing sector performance, while trade openness, and FDI have positive but insignificant influence on the manufacturing sector performance in the short run. In the long run, exchange rate level and FDI inflows have positive and significant effect on the manufacturing sector performance, while trade openness has negative and significant effect on the Nigerian manufacturing sector performance. The study therefore conclude that the Nigerian external sector Environment has significant influence on the performance of the Nigerian manufacturing sector.

scholarly journals Inflation and Financial Sector Performance: The Case of Nigeria

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Santos Alimi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Macroeconomic Performance ◽  
Financial Sector Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sector Performance ◽  
Definition Of

Abstract The paper examines the long run and short run relationships between inflation and the financial sector development in Nigeria over the period between 1970 and 2012. Three variables, namely; broad definition of money as ratio of GDP, quasi money as share of GDP and credit to private sector as share of GDP, were used to proxy financial sector development. Our findings suggest that inflation presented deleterious effects on financial development over the study period. The main implication of the results is that poor macroeconomic performance has deleterious effects to financial development - a variable that is important for affecting economic growth and income inequality. Moreover, we observed a negative effect of the measures of financial development on growth, suggesting that impact of inflation on the economic growth passes through financial sector. Therefore, low and stable prices, is a necessary first step to achieving a deeper and more active financial sector that will enhance growth as predicted by Schumpeter.

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