scholarly journals Stock Prices Predicted by Bankruptcy Condition?

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-114
Author(s):  
Irawati Junaeni
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Simple Regression Analysis ◽  
Score Model

This research had two objectives. First, it determined the prediction of the method of Altman Z-Score whether it could classify banking positions, bankruptcy, or financial distress in the go-public bank in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Second, it was to know the influence of value position of Altman Z-Score on the stock price. The population was 84 banking company listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2010-2015. The sampling method was purposive sampling. Moreover, data analysis method used was a simple regression analysis. For data processing, it used software Eviews 8. The Z-Score calculations predict the potential bankruptcy of go-public bank in 2010-2015. All results show that Z-Score has the small score of 1,81. It can be said there is a potential bankruptcy. For t-test, it can be concluded that Z-Score has the positive and significant effect on the stock price. The ability of Z-Score values in explaining the stock price is 95,50% while the remaining 4,50% is influenced by other variables that are not analyzed in the research. With some weaknesses of Altman’s Z-Score model, this research has the implication for management bank. It improves the financial performance for the future to avoid opportunity bankruptcy prediction. The results show how the effect of bankruptcy on banking stock prices.

scholarly journals Prediksi Kebangkrutan Dengan Altman Z-Score dan Harga Saham pada Perusahaan Manufaktur

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 121
Author(s):  
Hikmah Hikmah
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Report ◽  
Basic Industry ◽  
Manufacturing Company ◽  
Score Method

Bankruptcy Prediction With the Altman Z-Score Method and the stock price on Manufacturing Company. This research aims to analyze the bankruptcy prediction on stock prices in manufacturing company of basic industry sector and chemical sub-sector of metals that listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period of 2015-2017. The sampling method was done with purposive sampling which then determined 15 companies as sample. Sources of data used are secondary data in the form of financial report published in BEI. Data analysis used data panel regression using eviews version 8. These result shows that Altman Z-Score variable: 1) Working capital to total assets, 2) Retained earning to total assets, 3) Earning before interest and taxes to total assets, 4) Market value of equity to book value of total debts, and 5) Sales to total assets significantly influence stock prices in the metal subsector on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, the average company is in the gray area

scholarly journals Company Bankruptcy Prediction Coal Mining Sector Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and Its Impact on Stock Prices

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 95-106
Author(s):  
Erik Priambodo ◽  
Augustina Kurniasih
Keyword(s):  
Coal Mining ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Mining Sector ◽  
Mining Companies ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
Data Regression ◽  
Score Model

This study aims to prove whether coal mining sector companies have the potential to go bankrupt if measured using the Altman Z-Score model. The study also analyzed the effect of the components of financial ratios in the Altman Z-Score model on stock prices. The research sample is 17 coal mining companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2015-2019 period. The results of the calculation of the Z-Score value show that several coal mining companies have the potential to go bankrupt. Using the panel data regression approach, it was found that the Z-Score value had a significant effect on stock prices. Partially, the EB/TA ratio has a significant effect on stock prices. The ratios of WC/TA, RE/TA, and MVE/BVL have no significant effect on stock prices.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENILAIAN FINANCIAL DISTRESS MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ALTMAN (Z-SCORE) PADA PERUSAHAAN FARMASI YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PERIODE 2013-2015

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Sri Yati ◽  
Katarina Intan Afni Patunrui
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Pharmaceutical Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Total Debt ◽  
Score Model

This study aims to observe the financial distress assessment for pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange using the Altman Z-Score model. The sample is selected using purposive sampling method. Ten pharmaceutical companies were selected with the criteria listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) and regularly published financial reports in 2013 until 2015. Secondary data was derived from www.idx.co.id site.  The results indicate that the Altman Z-Score model can be implemented in detecting the possibility of financial distress in the pharmaceutical company. Working capital to total assets and book value equity to book value of total debt are two determinant variables which is determining the decrease in Z-score value in this research.  One from ten companies have the lowest value of the Z-Score and experiencing financial distress. For two years, the company is in distress zones but in the third year, the company is managed to increase the value of the company and included in the gray zones. This company must continue to strive in order to stabilize the company's financial and asset utilization to obtain maximum profit, and until it was declared as a healthy company.

FINANCIAL DISTRESS PREDICTION AND SEEING THE INFLUENCE OF THE ALTMAN RATIO ON COMPANY FINANCIAL DISTRESS

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 236-243
Author(s):  
Hadhi Dharmaputra Juliyan ◽  
Bertilia Lina Kusrina
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Large Role ◽  
Corporate Bankruptcy ◽  
Mining Companies ◽  
Financial Distress Prediction ◽  
Distress Prediction ◽  
Score Model

This research aims to determine the level of the bankruptcy of the company and to see if the Altman ratio can predict the condition of corporate bankruptcy in mining companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange because mining companies have a large role in the Indonesian economy. This study uses the Altman Z-Score model analysis to see how much the company's bankruptcy prediction and uses logistic regression to see how much the influence of the Altman ratio in predicting corporate bankruptcy. Keywords: financial distress, the Altman z–score, bankruptcy prediction

scholarly journals ANALISIS TINGKAT AKURASI MODEL ALTMAN Z-SCORE, INDEKS KEPAILITAN, DAN INDEKS IN05 SEBAGAI PREDIKTOR KEBANGKRUTAN PADA PERUSAHAAN MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA TAHUN 2011-2015

Jurnal Ecogen ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 197
Author(s):  
Diana Novita
Keyword(s):  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Total Sample ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Sample Test ◽  
Score Model ◽  
Post Hoc

This study discusses the use of bankruptcy prediction model that does not exist applied in Indonesia and determine the accuracy of each model. The research objective is to analyze the differences in outcome prediction and know the model that has the best accuracy level between the model Altman Z-Score, Bankruptcy Index, and IN05 Index. This type of research is a comparative study, the population of all manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2011 to 2015. The sample is determined by purposive sampling method so acquired 28 companies, and the total sample is 140 years old company. Data used is secondary data obtained from the official website of Indonesia Stock Exchange (www.idx.co.id). The analytical method used is the analysis of different test-independent k-sample test, descriptive statistics and the accuracy of the model using post hoc test and the type of error. The results show that: 1) there are significant differences between the model of the Altman Z-Score model Insolvency Index, and models IN05 index on manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange. 2) The model has the best accuracy by post hoc test is a model of the Altman Z-Score and by type of error is the most accurate models are models IN05 index.Keywords: Altman Z-Score, Insolvency Index, IN05, Bankruptcy

scholarly journals Pengaruh Corporate Social Responsibility Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan Dengan Profitabilitas Sebagai Variabel Moderating

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 157
Author(s):  
Rival Rohmawan ◽  
Yeni Oktaviani ◽  
Pitri Yandri
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
Data Regression ◽  
Corporate Social

This study aims to test the effect of CSR on firm value (stock price) with profitability as a moderating variable with quantitative approach on the 7 manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia stock Exchange (BEI) in the period from 2013 to 2019, so there are 49 observational data acquired. The sampling method using purposive sampling with the criteria that have been determined. Data analysis method used is the analysis of panel data regression with the aid of EViews 10. The results showed that CSR does not affect the Profitability of the proxies ROA can not strengthen the influence of CSR on stock price. Simultaneously, CSR and profitability as a moderating effect on stock prices.

scholarly journals BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION ANALYSIS USING THE ZMIJEWSKI MODEL (X-SCORE) AND THE ALTMAN MODEL (Z-SCORE)

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (5) ◽  
pp. 794-806
Author(s):  
Viciwati Viciwati
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Accuracy Rate ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Normality Test ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Score Model

This study aims to identify and analyze the accurate models of Financial Distress in retail companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange in 2014-2018 using the Zmijewski (X-Score) and Altman (Z-Score) Model. The sample used is 70. This study uses secondary data from the 2014-2018 annual financial reports. This study tested the hypothesis using the normality test and the Kruskal Wallis test or the difference test using SPSS version 26. The results of this study indicate that the Zmijewski (X-Score) model is the model that has the highest accuracy rate in predicting bankruptcy with an accuracy rate of 90%.

scholarly journals Analysis of The Bankruptcy of Companies with Altman Model and Ohlson Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 243-251
Author(s):  
Andi Septian Najib ◽  
Dwi Cahyaningdyah
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Processing Application ◽  
Ohlson Model ◽  
Altman Model

Often companies that have been operating for a certain period forced to disperse because of increased financial distress that caused bankruptcy. There are two models that can be used to predict bankruptcy of companies, that is Altman model (Z-score) and Ohlson model. This study aims to determine the accuracy of the Altman model (Z-Score) and Ohlson's model in predicting bankruptcy of delisting companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2015-2019 period.The population in this study were all of delisting companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2015-2019 period, totaled 17 companies. The number of samples used in this study were 8 companies, by using purposive sampling method. Data analysis used data processing application SPSS version 25. The results showed that accuracy of the Altman model is 58.3%, while the Ohlson model is 79.2%. The conclusion of this research Ohlson model has the highest accuracy that compared to Altman model in predicting bankruptcy at delisting companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2015-2019 period, with accuracy values of Ohlson model is 79.2% and 58.3% for the Altman model. For further researchers, it is expected to increase the number of samples of companies studied and extend the research periods in order to provides more accurate results, and combining the Altman and Ohlson models with other bankruptcy prediction models that can be applied in companies in Indonesia.

scholarly journals MODEL ALTMAN Z-SCORE UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI FINANCIAL DISTRESS : STUDI EMPIRIS PADA INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

JURNAL PUNDI ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lidya Martha ◽  
Sri Mardhatillah ◽  
Zusmawati Zus
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Financial Difficulties ◽  
Grey Area ◽  
Score Model ◽  
A Company

Financial distress is the financial difficulties experience by a company before the company become bankruptcy (Mafiroh, 2016). The purpose of this study was to determine which firms would be predicted financial distress. The population in this research is manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015. In this study, the population is used 365 companies. The process of collecting samples are using purposive sampling method. The model used to analyze the rate of financial distress is Altman Z-Score Model. The results showed that of the 15 companies that were sampled 5 (five) of them were healthy (>2,99), 2 (two) of them were financial distress (<1,81) and 8 (eight) indicated in grey area (1,81 – 2,99).  

scholarly journals PENGARUH JUMLAH DEWAN DIREKSI DAN SHAREHOLDER EQUITY TO TOTAL ASSET RATIO TERHADAP FINANCIAL DISTRESS (Studi Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar Di BEI Tahun 2012-2015 )

2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelle Kristian
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Multiple Regression Method ◽  
Equity Ratio ◽  
Score Model ◽  
Positive Effect

The objective of this research was to examine the directors size and shareholderequity ratio towards financial distress. In this research, directors size measured by its size and shareholder equity ratio measured by comparing shareholder equity to total assets, while financial distress was measured by Altman Z-Score Model with five ratios.The object in this research was companies that are experiencing financial distress and were listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for period 2012 until 2015. The sample was selected by using purposive sampling method and the secondary data used in this research was analyzed by using multiple regression method. In total, there were 22 companies that fulfill the requirements set by the researcher.The results of this research were directors size and shareholder equity ratio simultaneously had significant effect on financial distress. Directors size had no positive effect on financial distress and Shareholder equity ratio had positive significant effect on financial distress. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menguji ukuran direksi dan rasio ekuitas pemegang saham terhadap tekanan keuangan. Dalam penelitian ini, ukuran direksi diukur dengan ukuran dan rasio ekuitas pemegang saham yang diukur dengan membandingkan ekuitas pemegang saham dengan total aset, sedangkan financial distress diukur dengan Altman Z-Score Model dengan lima rasio. Objek dalam penelitian ini adalah perusahaan yang mengalami financial distress. dan terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) untuk periode 2012 sampai 2015. Sampel dipilih dengan menggunakan metode purposive sampling dan data sekunder yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini dianalisis dengan menggunakan metode regresi berganda. Secara keseluruhan, ada 22 perusahaan yang memenuhi persyaratan yang ditetapkan oleh peneliti. Hasil penelitian ini adalah rasio direksi dan rasio ekuitas pemegang saham secara simultan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap financial distress. Ukuran Direksi tidak berpengaruh positif terhadap financial distress dan rasio ekuitas pemegang saham berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap financial distress.

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