scholarly journals Prediksi Kebangkrutan Dengan Altman Z-Score dan Harga Saham pada Perusahaan Manufaktur

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 121
Author(s):  
Hikmah Hikmah
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Report ◽  
Basic Industry ◽  
Manufacturing Company ◽  
Score Method

Bankruptcy Prediction With the Altman Z-Score Method and the stock price on Manufacturing Company. This research aims to analyze the bankruptcy prediction on stock prices in manufacturing company of basic industry sector and chemical sub-sector of metals that listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period of 2015-2017. The sampling method was done with purposive sampling which then determined 15 companies as sample. Sources of data used are secondary data in the form of financial report published in BEI. Data analysis used data panel regression using eviews version 8. These result shows that Altman Z-Score variable: 1) Working capital to total assets, 2) Retained earning to total assets, 3) Earning before interest and taxes to total assets, 4) Market value of equity to book value of total debts, and 5) Sales to total assets significantly influence stock prices in the metal subsector on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, the average company is in the gray area

scholarly journals BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION OF THE COMPANY USING ALTMAN Z–SCORE METHOD FOR THE CONVENTIONAL BANKS REGISTERED IN THE INDONESIA STOCKS EXCHANGE (BEI)

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (02) ◽  
pp. 11
Author(s):  
Irwansyah .
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Gray Area ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Score Analysis ◽  
Score Method ◽  
Score Model ◽  
Conventional Banks

This study was conducted to prove the accuracy of bankruptcy prediction of Altman Z-Score model on conventional banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from the annual financial statements of conventional banks during the period of 2013-2016 mentioned on the official website of the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data analysis technique used is bankruptcy prediction of Altman Z-Score model, using five variables representing liquidity ratios X1, profitability ratios X2 and X3, and activity ratios X4 and X5. The formula Z-score = 1.2X1 + 1.4X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 + X5. When Z-Score criteria is Z > 2.90 it is categorized as a healthy company. Z-Score between 1.23 to 2.90 is categorized as a company in area. While Z-Score Z < 1.23 is categorized as a potential bankrupt company. Based on the results of the research, Z-Score analysis that has been done in the period of 2013-2016 indicating that most conventional banks are predicted bankrupt. The lowest score of the Z-Score is 1.23. Only one Bank Jtrust Indonesia Tbk (BCIC bank code) is in a healthy category. Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk with BMRI bank code, has been increasing from the prediction of bankruptcy category to the prediction of gray area category.Keywords: Altman Z-Score, Conventional Banks Listed on BEI 2013-2016, Prediction of Bankruptcy.

Peran financial distress Altman memediasi kinerja keuangan terhadap harga saham pada BUMN di BEI

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-40
Author(s):  
Mia Laksmiwati ◽  
◽  
Sugeng Priyanto ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Score Method ◽  
Program Sample

Purpose: Testing the effect of financial performance consisting of CR, DER, ROA, TATO on stock prices with Financial Distress as the mediating variable. Research methodology: The data are secondary data in the form of financial reports. This research method uses Path Analysis, and to analyze the data using the SPSS version 25 program. Sample of 16 companies listed on the BEI in 2014-2018. Results: CR, ROA affect FD while DER, TATO do not affect FD. Only TATO has a direct effect on stock prices. FD with the Altman Z score method only indicates the DER. Limitations: The historical data used is limited, 5-year time series and the variables: six variables and Altman Z Score method. Contribution: Non-bank SOEs pay attention to CR, DER and ROA that have not influenced share prices and maintain the performance of TATO. SOE must conduct FD analysis, which is an early warning system, solutions can be found immediately if predicted will experience financial difficulties in the future. Keywords: Financial performance, Financial distress, Stock price

ANALISIS PREDIKSI KEBANGKRUTAN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ALTMAN Z- SCORE DAN ZMIJEWSKI PADA PERUSAHAAN KOSMETIK YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-33
Author(s):  
Dewi Oktary
Keyword(s):  
Quantitative Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
The Other ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Gray Area ◽  
Score Method ◽  
Data Source ◽  
Score Model

Increasingly intense competition in the cosmetics industry in Indonesia, one of which is the number of artists opening a cosmetics business and besides the entry of many cosmetics brands from abroad which makes existing cosmetic companies must be careful in running their business. This study aims to predict the bankruptcy of cosmetics companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with the Altman Z-Score model and the Zmijewski model. The sample in this study was cosmetic companies listed on the Main Board of the Indonesia Stock Exchange as many as 4 companies. The data source used is secondary data taking data from the IDX, the type of data used is quantitative data. The result of this research is bankruptcy prediction using the Altman-Z Score method showing that PT. Martino Berto, Tbk for 2016 is included in the Gray Area category while in 2017-2018 it is predicted to go bankrupt while for PT. Mustika Ratu, in 2016 - 2018 entered the Gray Area category while the other two companies namely PT. Mandom Indonesia, Tbk and PT. Unilever, Tbk from 2016 to 2018 is predicted not to go bankrupt. Meanwhile, using the Zmijewski method in cosmetics companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period 2016-2018 is predicted not to go bankrupt. From the comparison between the Altman Z-Score model and the Zmijewski model, the Zmijewski model has an effectiveness of 100% compared to the Altman Z-Score model which has an effectiveness level of 50%.

Pengaruh Likuiditas, Debt to Equity Rasio dan Return on Asset Terhadap Harga Saham Perbankan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesa Periode 2014-2016

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tan Kim Hek
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Current Ratio ◽  
Financial Report ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Simultaneous Test ◽  
Equity Ratio

This study aims to examine the effect of Liquidity, Debt to Equity and Ratio Return On Assets on stock prices on banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2012-2016 both partially and simultaneously.The data in this study are secondary data obtained from the Indonesia Stock Exchange website. While the research data sources are: Financial Report of Banking Companies downloaded from the Indonesia Stock Exchange website in 2014 to 2016. The number of samples used is 24 companies taken from a population of 41 companies with year observation figures of 3 years so that the number of observations in this study is as much as 72 observations. The analytical method used in this study is using multiple regression analysis, partial test, simultaneous test and determination test, where the classical assumption has been previously performed.The results showed that the Return On Asset partially affects the stock price as evidenced by a significant value less than 0.05, while Current Ratio and Debt to Equity Ratio have no effect. Simultaneously Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio and Return On Asset affect the stock price in Banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange as evidenced by a significant value less than 0.05.Conclusions from the results of this study indicate that partially Return On Asset affects the stock price, while Debt to Equity Ratio and Current Ratio have no effect. Simultaneously Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio and Return On Asset affect the stock price in Banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange..Keywords: Current Ratio, Debt To Equity Ratio, Return On Assets and Share Prices

scholarly journals Stock Prices Predicted by Bankruptcy Condition?

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-114
Author(s):  
Irawati Junaeni
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Simple Regression Analysis ◽  
Score Model

This research had two objectives. First, it determined the prediction of the method of Altman Z-Score whether it could classify banking positions, bankruptcy, or financial distress in the go-public bank in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Second, it was to know the influence of value position of Altman Z-Score on the stock price. The population was 84 banking company listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2010-2015. The sampling method was purposive sampling. Moreover, data analysis method used was a simple regression analysis. For data processing, it used software Eviews 8. The Z-Score calculations predict the potential bankruptcy of go-public bank in 2010-2015. All results show that Z-Score has the small score of 1,81. It can be said there is a potential bankruptcy. For t-test, it can be concluded that Z-Score has the positive and significant effect on the stock price. The ability of Z-Score values in explaining the stock price is 95,50% while the remaining 4,50% is influenced by other variables that are not analyzed in the research. With some weaknesses of Altman’s Z-Score model, this research has the implication for management bank. It improves the financial performance for the future to avoid opportunity bankruptcy prediction. The results show how the effect of bankruptcy on banking stock prices.

scholarly journals Bankruptcy Prediction Analysis Using the Altman Z-Score Method at PT Aneka Tambang (Persero) Tbk

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 51-58
Author(s):  
Iis Fitriani ◽  
Puji Muniarty
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Literature Study ◽  
Test Analysis ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Score Method ◽  
Data Collection Technique ◽  
Retained Earnings

This study aims to determine the prediction of bankruptcy in Aneka Tambang (Persero) Tbk for the period 2011 to 2018. Z-score is the independent variable (X) measuring by five ratios: working capital to total assets, retained earnings to total assets, earnings before interest and tax to total assets, the market value of equity to total liabilities, and sales to total assets. The background of this research is the government's ban on the export of raw minerals, which resulted in Aneka Tambang (Persero) Tbk no longer making overseas sales of nickel ore, which made the company's profit decline. This research method uses descriptive research with a quantitative approach, the source of the data used is secondary data based on financial reports published on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and the official website www.antam.com. The population used is the financial statement data for ten years, namely from 2009 to 2018, while the sample using for eight years, namely from 2011 to 2018. The data collection technique carried out using documentation and literature study techniques. Data analysis techniques were carried out by discriminant analysis using the Altman Z-Score method and one sample t-test analysis. The Altman Z-Score uses five variables that represent liquidity ratios X1, profitability ratios X2 and X3, and activity ratios X4, and X5. The formula Z-Score Z = 0.717 X1 + 0.847 X2 + 3.107 X3 + 0.420 X4 + 0.998 X5. With criteria, Z> 2.99 categorized as a good company. Z between 1.23 to 2.99 categorized as a company in the grey area or area of ​​financial difficulty. Z <1.23 is categorized as a potentially bankrupt company.

scholarly journals Analisis Dengan Menggunakan Metode Altman Z- Score, Springate (S-Score) Dan Zmijewski Sebagai Signaling Kebangkrutan Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Sektor Otomotif Yang Terdaftar Di Bei Periode 2015-2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Agnes Mega Widiastuti
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Automotive Sector ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Report ◽  
Grey Area ◽  
Score Method ◽  
Method Analysis ◽  
Annual Financial Report

he purpose of this study was to determine the predictions of bankruptcy in the Automotive Sector Manufacturing Companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2015-2017 based on the results of the Altman Z-score, Springate (S-score) and Zmijewski method analysis. This study uses secondary data, it was the annual financial report of the Automotive Sector Manufacturing Company for the period 2015-2017 using the technique of documentation and analyzed by the Altman Z-score method, Springate (S-score), and Zmijewski. The final results of this study indicate that there is a difference in the percentage of bankruptcy rates of each company from each method used. The results of the prediction of the Altman Z-score bankruptcy method, it was the bankrupt category of 25.00%, the non-bankrupt category of 8.33% and the grey area category of 66.67%. The prediction results of Springate (S-score) bankruptcy method, it was the bankrupt category of 66.67%, and the non-bankrupt category of 33.33%. The prediction results of Zmijewski bankruptcy method, it was the bankrupt category of 8.33%, and the non-bankrupt category by 91.67%.

The Effect of Current Ratio and Debt to Asset Ratio on Net Profit Margin and Stock Prices: A Study of Basic Industry and Chemicals Companies

2020 ◽  
pp. 282-294
Author(s):  
Sudirman S ◽  
Muhammad Wahyuddin Abdullah ◽  
Muhammad Obie
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Profit Margin ◽  
Current Ratio ◽  
Industry Sector ◽  
Basic Industry ◽  
Net Profit ◽  
Equity Ratio ◽  
Index Value

This study examined the effect of current ratio and debt to asset ratio on net profit margin and stock prices of the sector basic industry and chemicals companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period 2015-2019. The object of research was the stock prices of companies in the Basic Industry and Chemicals sector, which have been published through the official website of the Indonesian capital market. It was used secondary data derived from the monthly statistics, including Current Ratio data, Net Profit Margin, Debt to Asset Ratio, and data on closing prices for the period 2015-2019. In analyzing data, it was used path analysis of secondary data obtained from the basic industry sector financial statements of 60 companies. The company's performance in this sector is considered quite good when seen from the movement of the index value in the last five years. The results show that direct current ratio had a positive and significant effect on the net profit margin, and the debt to equity ratio did not significantly influence the net profit margin. The current ratio has a positive and significant effect on stock prices, and the debt to equity ratio has a negative and not significant effect on stock prices. In contrast, the net profit margin has a significant effect on stock prices in the basic industry sector companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Indirectly the current ratio has a positive and significant effect on stock prices. In contrast, the debt to asset ratio has a negative and not significant effect on the company's stock prices in the basic industry sector on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.

scholarly journals Harga Saham Kini: Dalam Bayang-bayang Fundamental

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80
Author(s):  
Sari Gabe Sagala ◽  
Mochamad Muslih
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Industrial Revolution ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Pharmaceutical Companies ◽  
Funding Policy ◽  
Funding Policies

This study aims to determine the effect of liquidity, funding policies, and financial performance on the stock prices of pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) for the 2009-2018 period. The theory tested in this research is signaling theory. This research uses quantitative methods. The research variables are stock price, company liquidity, funding policy, and financial performance. The data used are secondary data taken from the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The population in this study is pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The research sample is 7 (seven) pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the period 2009-2018. The results showed that company liquidity had no significant effect on stock prices, funding policies had no significant effect on stock prices, and financial performance had no significant effect on stock prices. The results of this study add to the outer layer of knowledge building according to Imre Lakatos. The implication of this research is that the company's fundamental conditions do not necessarily affect stock prices, depending on the type of stock market. It is recommended to investors to be more careful in observing the factors that influence stock prices in the 4.0 industrial revolution era. Next researchers are advised to use other fundamental aspects as their independent variables so that more fundamental elements of the company are examined in relation to stock prices in the 4.0 industrial revolution era.

scholarly journals Analisis Variabel Yang Mempengaruhi Harga Saham Syariah di Jakarta Islamic Index

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 421
Author(s):  
Lisa Febriani
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Financial Report ◽  
The Public ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Equity Ratio

One of the methods used by companies to obtain company capital is by selling shares to the public through the capital market. Stock prices can change and this is changed by various factors. This study aims to determine the effect of Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Earning per Share (EPS), and Return on Equity (ROE) on sharia stock prices listed in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) in 2014-2017, both partially and simultaneously. The data used in this study is secondary data taken from the Indonesia Stock Exchange website (www.idx.co.id), which is in the form of a company's annual financial report. The analysis technique used in this study uses Linear Regression Analysis. Based on the research results, it is known that partially DER has no significant effect on stock prices, while EPS and ROE have a significant effect on stock prices. Simultaneously, DER, EPS, and ROE significantly influence stock prices.

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