scholarly journals VOLATILITAS HARGA SAHAM DI INDONESIA DAN MALAYSIA

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 109
Author(s):  
Andi Kartika

<p>Disintermediatior phenomena in financial market show that many people tend to invest in capital market more than in banking. That’s happened, because of the return on stock is profitable than banking interest rate. But, there is a big risk in capital market. It’s natural, financial market say that high risk high return, low risk low return. So, if we do not want to loss, we must have ability to analyse stock performance, pecially volatility of stock. This research use to ARCH/GARCH Model<br />to estimation of volatility. The research show that stock growth in 2007 – 2009 tend to decrease for all index (JSX and KLCI). JSX and KLCI just have ARCH effect, so the index influence volatility this time price index. The research show too, that á value e” 0,7 and sum of á and â almost one for all index (JSX and KLCI). That are means, the volatility shock are persistent or the volatility are high and persistent.</p>

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 141
Author(s):  
Mohammad Naim Azimi

<p>This paper proposes to examine the clustering volatility of India’s Wholesale Price Index throughout the period 1960 to 2014 by applying the ARCH (1) and GARCH (1) model. The pre-conditional requirement for the computation of ARCH (1, 1) required us to perform several other tests i.e. Dickey Fuller, Ordinary Least Squared Regression and post OLS tests for investigating the ARCH effect in the first difference of WPI. The statistical analysis reveals a <em>p-value</em> of 0.569 for the GARCH mean model which is not significant at ∂ 0.05 to explain that the previous period’s volatility can influence the WPI. The coefficient of WPI at first difference exhibits a value of less than 1 which is nice in magnitude with a <em>p</em>-value of 0.005 for ARCH at ∂ 0.05 which is significant to explain the volatility of the WPI. The diagnostic test of autocorrelation in the residuals reveals that the residuals are white noise by exhibiting a corresponding probability value of 0.3757. Since, the overarching objective of this paper is to examine the clustering volatility of the aforementioned variable with regards to the internal shocks, there might have been other factors of external shocks on WPI that have deliberately been overlooked in this paper.</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-54
Author(s):  
Sukma Irdiana

Capital market is one form of financial market, where the capital market players invest in the form of securities offered by the issuer. One of the most popular securities for sale on the stock market is stock. Stocks are securities that have high profits and risks or better known as high risk and high return. High risk and high return is the higher the risk of an investment, the higher the amount of profits derived from an investment. The purpose of this study is to obtain evidence empirically and find clarity about the influence of fundamental variables consisting of ROA, EPS, NPM, DER and BVS to stock prices of companies listed in IDX period 2010-2015, either partially or simultaneously. Sample selection method used is purposive sampling and analysis model used is multiple linier regression analysis. The results showed that partially ROA, EPS, NPM, DER, and BVS have a significant effect on stock prices. Simultaneously ROA, ROE, EPS, NPM, DER and BVS simultaneously affect the stock price. Coefficient of Determination (R Square) of 48% and the rest of 52% influenced by other variables that have not been studied in this study.


2005 ◽  
pp. 72-89 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ya. Pappe ◽  
Ya. Galukhina

The paper is devoted to the role of the global financial market in the development of Russian big business. It proves that terms and standards posed by this market as well as opportunities it offers determine major changes in Russian big business in the last three years. The article examines why Russian companies go abroad to attract capital and provides data, which indicate the scope of this phenomenon. It stresses the effects of Russian big business’s interaction with the world capital market, including the modification of the principal subject of Russian big business from integrated business groups to companies and the changes in companies’ behavior: they gradually move away from the so-called Russian specifics and adopt global standards.


Author(s):  
N.I. Chovgan ◽  
◽  
O.S. Akupiyan ◽  

The development of the modern capital market and innovative technologies, including in the financial sector, creates the need to expand the research areas of the reproduction process and individual mechanisms that support it. Financial institutions are constantly required participants in responsible financing. Investors’ expectations regarding investments in environmental production and technologies reorient capital flows to these areas, and schemes for attracting financial resources and distributing risks in the process of implementing the principles of sustainable development are considered as unified. The article analyzes transformations and reviews the existing experience of forming appropriate mechanisms, justifies the functioning of the most effective ones. Among the investment and financial mechanisms of the “green” economy, the most important are budget investment mechanisms and financial market mechanisms. The mechanisms of the stock, credit and insurance markets are identified as components of the financial market mechanisms.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 60
Author(s):  
Greis S Lilipaly ◽  
Djoni Hatidja ◽  
John S Kekenusa

PREDIKSI HARGA SAHAM PT. BRI, Tbk. MENGGUNAKAN METODE ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Greis S. Lilipaly1) , Djoni Hatidja1) , John S. Kekenusa1) ABSTRAK Metode ARIMA adalah salah satu metode yang dapat digunakan dalam memprediksi perubahan harga saham. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk membuat model ARIMA dan memprediksi harga saham PT. BRI, Tbk. bulan November 2014. Penelitian menggunakan data harga saham  harian  maksimum dan minimum PT. BRI, Tbk. Data yang digunakan yaitu data sekunder yang diambil dari website perusahaan PT. BRI, Tbk. sejak 3 Januari 2011 sampai 20 Oktober 2014 untuk memprediksi harga saham bulan November 2014. Dari hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa data tahun 2011 sampai Oktober 2014 bisa digunakan untuk memprediksi harga saham bulan November 2014. Hasilnya model ARIMA untuk harga saham maksimum adalah ARIMA (2,1,3) dan harga saham minimum adalah model (2,1,3) yang dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi data bulan November 2014 dengan validasi prediksi yang diambil pada bulan Oktober 2014 untuk selanjutnya dilakukan prediksi bulan November 2014. Kata Kunci: Metode ARIMA, PT. BRI, Tbk., Saham THE PREDICTION STOCK PRICE OF PT. BRI, Tbk. USE ARIMA METHOD (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) ABSTRACT ARIMA method is one of the method that used to prediction the change of stock price. The purpose of this research is to make model of ARIMA and predict stock price of PT. BRI, Tbk. in November 2014. The research use maximum and minimum data of stock price daily of PT. BRI, Tbk. Data are used is secondary data that taking from website of PT. BRI, Tbk. since January 3rd 2011 until October 20th 2014 to predict stock price in November 2014. From this research show that data from 2011 until October 2014 can be used to predict the stock price in November 2014. The result of ARIMA’s model for the maximum stock price is ARIMA (2,1,3) and the minimum stock price is (2,1,3) can use to predict the data on November 2014 with predict validation that take on October 2014 and with that predict November 2014. Keywords: ARIMA method, PT. BRI, Tbk., Stock


Author(s):  
Mirosław Wasilewski ◽  
Marta Juszczyk

The aim of the study was to investigate the investors’ opinions concerning the usefulness of behavioral factors for investment decisions. The research was carried out in the group of 100 investors, using the services of five brokerages with a long history of operation. The results of the research show that people’s psychological conditions and sentiment in the stock market play an important role in the decision-making process of investors in the capital market. The importance of this factor increased with the length of the investment period. The emotional states of people and their psychological conditions affect the stock price volatility. However, the complexity of the determinants of stock prices makes the market value of stocks can be affected by many factors at the same time and investors seem aware of this.


1997 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Bricker ◽  
Kevin Brown

In 1908, the American Sugar Refining Company (ASR) reversed its long-held policy of secrecy as to its financial condition and performance. Prior work, applying contemporary capital market methods to ASR security price data of that period, has suggested a value to ASR shareholders of this policy reversal. This paper examines the historical record of that time and presents additional evidence on this matter, particularly in terms of identifying potentially confounding events occurring during the period under study. The results of this analysis suggest a difficulty in attributing observed abnormal returns to ASR's secrecy policy reversal on the basis of the results obtained from applying capital markets methods. This analysis is useful for scholars interested in applying modern capital market methods to historical data. It highlights the significance of the possible effects of contemporaneous historical events, focuses attention on the importance of a deep understanding of the historical period studied, and suggests a value in combining historical and empirical-markets methods to gain a richer understanding of the events and conditions in the time period under study.


2012 ◽  
Vol 02 (11) ◽  
pp. 15-24
Author(s):  
Charles Kombo Okioga

Capital Market Authority in Kenya is in a development phase in order to be effective in the regulation of the financial markets. The market participants and the regulators are increasingly adopting international standards in order to make the capital markets in sync with those of developed markets. New products are being introduced and new business lines are being established. The Capital Markets Authority (Regulator) is constantly reviewing existing regulations and recommending changes to regulate the market properly. Business lines and activities are being harmonized by market participants to provide a one stop solution in order to meet the financial and securities services needs of the investors. The convergence of business lines and activities of market intermediaries gives rise to the diversity of a firm’s business operations to meet multiplicity of regulations that its activities are subject to. The methodology used in this study was designed to examine the relationship between capital markets Authority effective regulation and the performance of the financial markets. The study used correlation design, the study population consisted of 30 employees in financial institutions regulated by Capital Markets Authority and 80 investors. The study found out that effective financial market regulation has a significant relationship with the financial market performance indicated by (r=0.571, p<0.01) and (r=0.716, p≤0.01, the study recommended a further research on the factors that hinder effective financial regulation by the Capital Markets Authority.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 347-361
Author(s):  
Sufiati Annisa ◽  
Ismu Hartarto ◽  
Surya Ningsih Damanik ◽  
Reni Ria Armayani Hasibuan

Investment is the process of saving money and putting it somewhere in the hope that it will increase in value.  Many people are not familiar with the capital market, and many people who don't know much about it are more likely to invest in it and fall victim to fraud.  In order to reduce fraud and feel safe when investing, the Indonesian people need to learn investment knowledge.  The growth of Islamic banks has helped Islamic law develop as a part of the financial market.  Although Indonesia is currently being hit by the Covid-19 pandemic, it is undeniable that the growth of the Islamic capital market in Indonesia has increased quite significantly.  The Millennial generation is now looking for and trying to start investing. The millennial generation has the highest rate of unemployment of any generation in history. Keywords: investment knowledge, capital market, millennial generation


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maulida Dwi Kartikasari

This research aims to find out the benefits of using the Card Payment Inatrument in Tegal. This research was conducted in the Tegal by taking 100 respondents to visitors shopping center in Tegal. The respondent despite into two groups, 50 male respondents and 50 female respondents this research use qualitative method. Respondents were randomly selected and the data were collected based on in depth interview results. The results of this research show that the Card Payment Method has a huge benefit for its users. Some societies state. able to bring cost-effective behavior because it can control spending. Of money. However, there are also people who give the perception that APMK is a secure payment instrument because mostly card has a Personal Indentification Number in it. Some of respondents sid that Card Payment Method are able to avoid the crime of counterfeit money  Keywords: Card Payment Instrument, Financial Behavior, Perception, Benefit


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