scholarly journals Spatiotemporal variation characteristics of extreme precipitation in the upper reaches of the Hongshui River Basin during 1959–2016

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ya Huang ◽  
Ling Yi ◽  
Weihua Xiao ◽  
Guibing Hou ◽  
Yuyan Zhou
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
Flood Control ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Disaster Mitigation ◽  
Eastern Region ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Indices ◽  
Precipitation Indices ◽  
Precipitation Events

Abstract Understanding changes in the intensity and frequency of extreme precipitation is vital for flood control, disaster mitigation, and water resource management. In this study, 12 extreme precipitation indices and the best-fitting extreme value distribution were used to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of extreme precipitation in the upper reaches of the Hongshui River Basin (UHRB). The possible links between extreme precipitation and large-scale circulation were also investigated. Most extreme precipitation indices increased from west to east in the UHRB, indicating that the eastern region is a humid area with abundant precipitation. The indices for consecutive wet days (CWD) and precipitation events (R0.1) decreased significantly, indicating that the UHRB tends to be dry, with few precipitation events. The probability distribution functions of most extreme precipitation indices, especially that of R0.1, shifted significantly to the left in 1988–2016 compared with 1959–1987, further indicating that the UHRB has experienced a significant drying trend in recent decades. The East Asian summer monsoon and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation were confirmed to influence extreme precipitation in the UHRB. These findings are helpful for understanding extreme precipitation variation trends in the UHRB and provide references for further research.

Understanding Precipitation Characteristics of Afghanistan at Provincial Scale

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shakti Suryavanshi ◽  
Nitin Joshi ◽  
Hardeep Kumar Maurya ◽  
Divya Gupta ◽  
Keshav Kumar Sharma
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Asian Country ◽  
Annual Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Pattern ◽  
Precipitation Trend ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Events ◽  
Changing Patterns ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Indices ◽  
Precipitation Indices ◽  
Precipitation Events

Abstract This study examines the pattern and trend of seasonal and annual precipitation along with extreme precipitation events in a data scare, south Asian country, Afghanistan. Seven extreme precipitation indices were considered based upon intensity, duration and frequency of precipitation events. The study revealed that precipitation pattern of Afghanistan is unevenly distributed at seasonal and yearly scales. Southern and Southwestern provinces remain significantly dry whereas, the Northern and Northeastern provinces receive comparatively higher precipitation. Spring and winter seasons bring about 80% of yearly precipitation in Afghanistan. However, a notable declining precipitation trend was observed in these two seasons. An increasing trend in precipitation was observed for the summer and autumn seasons, however; these seasons are the lean periods for precipitation. A declining annual precipitation trend was also revealed in many provinces of Afghanistan. Analysis of extreme precipitation indices reveals a general drier condition in Afghanistan. Large spatial variability was found in precipitation indices. In many provinces of Afghanistan, a significantly declining trends were observed in intensity-based (Rx1-day, RX5-day, SDII and R95p) and frequency-based (R10) precipitation indices. The duration-based precipitation indices (CDD and CWD) also infer a general drier climatic condition in Afghanistan. This study will assist the agriculture and allied sectors to take well-planned adaptive measures in dealing with the changing patterns of precipitation, and additionally, facilitating future studies for Afghanistan.

scholarly journals Bias correction of gauge-based gridded product to improve extreme precipitation analysis in the Yarlung Tsangpo-Brahmaputra River Basin

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xian Luo ◽  
Xuemei Fan ◽  
Yungang Li ◽  
Xuan Ji
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Bias Correction ◽  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Data ◽  
Brahmaputra River ◽  
Spatial Coverage ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Indices ◽  
Precipitation Analysis ◽  
Precipitation Indices ◽  
Yarlung Tsangpo

Abstract. Critical gaps in the amount, quality, consistency, availability, and spatial distribution of rainfall data limit extreme precipitation analysis, and the application of gridded precipitation data are challenging because of their considerable biases. This study corrected Asian Precipitation Highly Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation of Water Resources (APHRODITE) in the Yarlung Tsangpo-Brahmaputra River Basin (YBRB) using two linear and two nonlinear methods, and assessed their influence on extreme precipitation indices. The results showed that the original APHRODITE data tended to underestimate precipitation during the summer monsoon season, especially in the topographically complex Himalayan belt. Bias correction using complementary rainfall observations to add spatial coverage in data-sparse regions greatly improved the performance of extreme precipitation analysis. Although all methods could correct mean precipitation, their ability to correct the wet-day frequency and coefficient of variation were substantially different, leading to considerable differences in extreme precipitation indices. Generally, higher-skill bias-corrected APHRODITE data are expected to perform better than those corrected by lower-skill approaches. This study would provide reference for using gridded precipitation data in extreme precipitation analysis and selecting bias-corrected method for rainfall products in data-sparse regions.

scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Trend Analysis of Precipitation Extremes in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam During 1980–2017

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nguyen Trong Quan ◽  
Dao Nguyen Khoi ◽  
Nguyen Xuan Hoan ◽  
Nguyen Ky Phung ◽  
Thanh Duc Dang
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Precipitation Extremes ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variability ◽  
Ho Chi Minh City ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Events ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Indices ◽  
Precipitation Indices ◽  
The City

Abstract In this study, the spatiotemporal variability of trends in extreme precipitation events in Ho Chi Minh City during the period 1980–2017 was analyzed based on several core extreme precipitation indices (Rx1day, Rx5day, CDD, CWD, R20mm, R25mm, R95p, and SDII). The non-parametric Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope methods were used to compute the statistical strength, stability, and magnitude of trends in annual rainfall, as well as the extreme precipitation indices. We found that 64% of the stations had statistically significant upward trends in yearly rainfall, with high magnitudes frequently observed in the northern and southern regions of the city. For the extreme precipitation indices, only SDII and R25mm showed dominantly significant trends. Additionally, there were increasing trends in the frequency and duration at the southern and central regions of the city during the study period. Furthermore, El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation positively correlated with the duration and negatively correlated with the intensity and frequency of extreme precipitation. Thus, water management plans should be adjusted appropriately to reduce the severe impacts of precipitation extremes on communities and ecosystems.

scholarly journals Changes of Extreme Precipitation and Possible Influence of ENSO Events in a Humid Basin in China

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1522
Author(s):  
Xiaoxia Yang ◽  
Juan Wu ◽  
Jia Liu ◽  
Xuchun Ye
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Poyang Lake ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Lake Basin ◽  
Driving Mechanism ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Poyang Lake Basin ◽  
Increasing Trend ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Indices ◽  
Precipitation Indices

In this study, 11 extreme precipitation indices were selected to examine the spatiotemporal variation of extreme precipitation in the Poyang Lake Basin during 1960–2017. The responses of extreme precipitation indices to El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events of different Pacific Ocean areas were further investigated. The results show that the temperature in the Poyang Lake Basin has increased significantly since the 1990s, and the inter-decadal precipitation fluctuated. Most extreme precipitation indices showed an increasing trend with abrupt changes occurring around 1991. Spatially, most of the extreme precipitation indices decreased from northeast to southwest. The increasing trend of most indices in the center and south of the basin was relatively prominent. The linear correlations between the extreme precipitation indices and Nino 1 + 2 were the most significant. On the timescale of 2–6 years, a common oscillation period between the extreme precipitation of the basin and the four ENSO indices can be observed. After 2010, the positive correlation between the precipitation of the Poyang Lake Basin and the SST (sea surface temperature) anomalies in the equatorial Pacific increased significantly. Additionally, annual total wet–day precipitation in most areas of the Poyang Lake Basin increased with varying degrees in warm ENSO years. The results of this study will improve the understanding of the complex background and driving mechanism of flood disasters in the Poyang Lake Basin.

scholarly journals Spatial Seasonal Distribution of Climatological Precipitation over the Middle of the Indochina Peninsula

2017 ◽  
pp. 63-76
Author(s):  
Nattapon Mahavik
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
Agricultural Development ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Rainfall Variability ◽  
Upward Trend ◽  
Indochina Peninsula ◽  
Significant Upward Trend ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Indices ◽  
Precipitation Indices

Rainfall intensity and frequency are important parameters in agricultural development and water resource management. The middle of the Indochina peninsula climate is characterized by rainfall variability associated with complex terrains. The present study focuses on spatial seasonal extreme precipitation trends over the middle of the Indochina Peninsula for the 30 year period from 1978-2007. Daily gridded precipitation data obtained at 0.5° horizontal grid resolution from APHRODITE (Asian Precipitation-Highly Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation of Water Resources) was used to detect the spatial trends with the use of the Man-Kendall and Theil-Sen approach. Extreme precipitation indices were selected from the WMO–CCL/CLIVAR list of extreme precipitation indices focusing on intensity and frequency. The study shows a consistently increasing upward trend at 10.04 dfrom the WDAY index. In seasonal analysis, the pre-monsoon trend shows a significant upward trend in the PRCTOT index, while the WDAY index for pre-monsoon season has the highest correlation coefficient in downward trend. Spatial analysis of extreme precipitation indices shows that the PRCTOT index of the pre-monsoon season has the largest percentage change in significant upward trend over the northern Basins that are consistent with MAX and Mean but not for WDAY. In addition, the inter-annual relationship between the Oceanic Nino Index and PRCTOT is shown in relation with the La Niña phase for both April and May.

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