Assessment of uncertainty in Great Barrier Reef catchment models

2007 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
pp. 181-188 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Herr ◽  
P.M. Kuhnert

This paper addresses uncertainty in socio-economic and sediment-nutrient models that are being developed for the assessment of change in the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) area. The catchments draining into the GBR lagoon are sources of pollutants. The Reef Water Quality Management Plan of the Queensland Government identified sediments and nutrients transported to the GBR lagoon as the major long-term threats to the reef and inshore ecosystems and the wellbeing of the human communities. The plan clearly indicates that changes in land management are required by 2013 to reduce pollutant inputs and, at the same time, maintain or enhance the benefits from using the inland waters. Science that provides decision tools for natural resource management and improves socio-economic and biophysical understanding is required to enable managers to make better decisions. A major research activity (the Water for a Healthy Country Flagship) aims to address social, economic and biophysical outcomes of land management change in the GBR. It contains research activities that provide information for integrated model development. Currently, however, these models lack the ability to estimate the uncertainty associated with prediction. This project aims to provide statistical methods for assessing uncertainty in models of sediment transportation to the GBR. Furthermore, it provides a link between the models and the decision-making process that allows assessment of uncertainty, a step pertinent to the risk analysis of policy options. This paper describes current and ongoing approaches for assessing uncertainty using a sediment modelling example and provides a way forward for the integration of applied socio-economic and biophysical models used in the decision-making process.

Author(s):  
P. Ishwara Bhat

Discipline in thinking, attitude, approach, and action in the course of research activity is the topic of the third chapter. Objectivity as a major concern of legal research demands that the researcher develops views on the basis of relevant reasons and shuns irrelevant ones. Examining every question with care, thoroughness, and reason by relating to truth and welfare brings objectivity. Value neutrality is another mindset a researcher should enshrine. Impartiality and sincerity in commitment to truth are its features. But constitutional values influence the decision-making process. Originality is another virtue that should be deliberately cultivated by reflecting over the questions and introspecting about the outcomes. The chapter takes up the issues of ethics in legal research, its evolution, need, and reach, and the researcher’s ethical obligation towards informers, society, funders, and fellow researchers. Why and how to avoid plagiarism and how to develop independent thought is also discussed in the chapter.


1989 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 267-272 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. L. Baldwin

Use of the Great Barrier Reef Region for tourism, the economic value of Reef tourism to Queensland, and the value placed by society on natural settings has been increasing rapidly during the 1980's. The Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority has the role of providing for reasonable use of this valuable resource. The concern for reefal water quality is discussed in terms of enhanced nutrient levels in the inshore GBR and the low tolerance of corals to nutrients. Findings of a recent Workshop on Nutrients in the Great Barrier Reef Region are described. This paper summarises the Authority's role in ensuring information exchange, appropriate research, and management in the area of water quality management and tourism.


2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (02) ◽  
pp. 130-137
Author(s):  
Angelos Tsereklas-Zafeirakis ◽  
Konstantin Aravossis ◽  
George Gougoulidis ◽  
Yanna Pavlopoulou

In light of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) directives on climate change and the continuous effort of shipping companies to reduce operating costs, this article proposes a methodology for the technoeconomic evaluation of energy efficiency retrofits. The aim of this article is to provide a management tool able to support the decision-making process of investing in energy efficiency methods. The introductory part briefly discusses the environmental problem caused by the gaseous pollutants as well as the regulatory framework that is going to seriously affect the bunker pricing in the near future. In the main part, a series of energy efficiency retrofits, suggested by IMO in the Ship Energy Efficiency Management Plan Annex, are presented with a view to applying them on a bulk carrier. The analysis focuses on the evaluation of these retrofits as potential investments from an owner's strategic point of view. The assessment takes into account major uncertainties of the data used through Monte Carlo simulations and conducts multicriteria analysis to include also nonfinancial criteria in the decision-making process.


2013 ◽  
Vol 411-414 ◽  
pp. 2465-2471
Author(s):  
Rong Ping Li ◽  
Zheng Cui ◽  
Rui Bing Du

Comparing various methods of multi-objective decision making, we find data envelopment analysis method is very suitable for handling multi-input, especially multi-output problems, and also get lots of useful management information. Natural Science Foundation research activity, having multi-input and multi-output variable, is a typical multi-objective decision problem, so it is ideal for using DEA method to study the effectiveness and implementation results of the activity. Therefore, the paper based on the models of C2R and C2GS2, excess input and output shortage of DEA method and taking the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province as the research object measures and analyzes the implementation results of different years and types of research activities. The conclusion is that the implementation effect of the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province is well overall and it has a good development trend but uneven development in different years, different units and disciplines, namely that implementation results are quite different.


2007 ◽  
Vol 58 (7) ◽  
pp. 624 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Bannister ◽  
R. Brinkman ◽  
C. Wolff ◽  
C. Battershill ◽  
R. de Nys

The distribution and abundance of dictyoceratid sponges was surveyed to a depth of 20 m at eleven locations within the Palm Island Group, Great Barrier Reef (GBR), Australia. These surveys were related to prevailing hydrodynamic conditions to identify candidates and environmental conditions for sponge aquaculture. Locations were classified as sheltered, intermediate and exposed using quantitative wave exposure and current force models. The species richness of dictyoceratid sponges was high with ten taxa, but the abundance of most species was low with patchy distributions. Two species, Coscinoderma sp. and Rhopaloeides odorabile, were abundant, and detailed surveys of these species were conducted at seven locations representing common habitats within the Palm Island Group. Coscinoderma sp. was present at all locations and although abundances differed significantly across locations, this was not related to hydrodynamic conditions. In contrast, R. odorabile was only present at exposed locations with low abundance. The higher abundance and broad distribution of Coscinoderma sp. supports its selection as an aquaculture candidate. In contrast, R. odorabile was less abundant and was restricted to high-energy environments making aquaculture more problematic. The present study demonstrates the importance of ecological data in the decision-making process for new species aquaculture.


Polar Record ◽  
1994 ◽  
Vol 30 (173) ◽  
pp. 123-129 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serge Pannatier

AbstractUnder the regime established by the Antarctic Treaty of 1959, decision-making remains exclusively with the limited number of states that are entitled to appoint representatives to participate in Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meetings. Whereas the 12 original signatory states have a permanent right to attend these meetings, acceding states may gain consultative status only during the time they carry out substantial scientific research in the Antarctic. This paper addresses three issues: the first relates to the problems arising out of the ‘admission procedure’ adopted by the original signatory states when faced with the first application of an acceding state to become an Antarctic Treaty Consultative Party, a procedure that has been applied ever since to similar cases. The second looks at the forms of scientific research activities an acceding party ought to conduct in Antarctica in order to meet the requirements laid down in the Antarctic Treaty. The third deals more generally with the issue of limited participation in the Antarctic Treaty decision-making process, which has come under severe criticism from non-Consultative Parties and states that have not acceded to the Treaty.


1966 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 52-55
Author(s):  
William F. O'Dell

Marketing theorists and marketing men in business view each other with mild suspicion, neither fully recognizing that the activities of both groups are aimed at improving the decision-making process. The author of this article holds that marketing research is more useful than marketing theory in the selection of the most appropriate course of marketing action. He believes that the most fruitful opportunities for the marketing theorist are in the development of theory for improving the design of marketing research activity.


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