scholarly journals Parameter estimation in a Black Scholes

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (Suppl. 1) ◽  
pp. 117-122
Author(s):  
Mustafa Bayram ◽  
Buyukoz Orucova ◽  
Tugcem Partal
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Parametric Method ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Parametric Estimation ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Black Scholes ◽  
Non Parametric

In this paper we discuss parameter estimation in black scholes model. A non-parametric estimation method and well known maximum likelihood estimator are considered. Our aim is to estimate the unknown parameters for stochastic differential equation with discrete time observation data. In simulation study we compare the non-parametric method with maximum likelihood method using stochastic numerical scheme named with Euler Maruyama.

Parameter Estimation of Weibull Distribution Model Based on Ant Colony Algorithm

2014 ◽  
Vol 1070-1072 ◽  
pp. 2073-2078
Author(s):  
Xiu Ji ◽  
Hui Wang ◽  
Chuan Qi Zhao ◽  
Xu Ting Yan
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Ant Colony Algorithm ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Ant Colony ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Algorithm Theory

It is difficult to estimate the parameters of Weibull distribution model using maximum likelihood estimation based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) theory for which is easy to fall into premature and needs more variables, ant colony algorithm theory was introduced into maximum likelihood method, and a parameter estimation method based on ant colony algorithm theory was proposed, an example was simulated to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of this method by comparing with ant colony algorithm and PSO.This template explains and demonstrates how to prepare your camera-ready paper for Trans Tech Publications. The best is to read these instructions and follow the outline of this text.

Estimating the distribution of a stochastic sum of IID random variables

2020 ◽  
Vol 70 (3) ◽  
pp. 759-774
Author(s):  
Viktor Witkovský ◽  
Gejza Wimmer ◽  
Tomas Duby
Keyword(s):  
Probability Distribution ◽  
Heavy Tails ◽  
Expert Knowledge ◽  
Parametric Method ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Parametric Estimation ◽  
Empirical Characteristic Function ◽  
Parametric Modelling ◽  
Non Parametric

AbstractSuggested is a non-parametric method and algorithm for estimating the probability distribution of a stochastic sum of independent identically distributed continuous random variables, based on combining and numerically inverting the associated empirical characteristic function (CF) derived from the observed data. This is motivated by classical problems in financial risk management, actuarial science, and hydrological modelling. This approach can be naturally generalized to more complex semi-parametric modelling and estimating approaches, e.g., by incorporating the generalized Pareto distribution fit for modelling heavy tails of the considered continuous random variables, or by considering the weighted mixture of the parametric CFs (used to incorporate the expert knowledge) and the empirical CFs (used to incorporate the knowledge based on the observed or historical data). The suggested numerical approach is based on combination of the Gil-Pelaez inversion formulae for deriving the probability distribution (PDF and CDF) from the associated CF and the trapezoidal quadrature rule used for the required numerical integration. The presented non-parametric estimation method is related to the bootstrap estimation approach, and thus, it shares similar properties. Applicability of the proposed estimation procedure is illustrated by estimating the aggregate loss distribution from the well-known Danish fire losses data.

Non-parametric estimation of copula parameters: testing for time-varying correlation

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinguo Gong ◽  
Weiou Wu ◽  
David McMillan ◽  
Daimin Shi
Keyword(s):  
Likelihood Function ◽  
Empirical Distribution ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Statistical Test ◽  
Parametric Estimation ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Copula Parameter ◽  
Non Parametric Estimation ◽  
Non Parametric

AbstractThe correlation structure of financial assets is a key input with regard to portfolio and risk management. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric estimation method for the time-varying copula parameter. This is achieved in two steps: first, displaying the marginal distributions of financial asset returns by applying the empirical distribution function; second, by implementing the local likelihood method to estimate the copula parameters. The method for obtaining the optimal bandwidth through a maximum pseudo likelihood function and a statistical test on whether the copula parameter is time-varying are also introduced. A simulation study is conducted to show that our method is superior to its contender. Finally, we verify the proposed estimation methodology and time-varying statistical test by analysing the dynamic linkages between the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong stock markets.

scholarly journals Exact Interval Inference for the Two-Parameter Rayleigh Distribution Based on the Upper Record Values

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-In Seo ◽  
Jae-Woo Jeon ◽  
Suk-Bok Kang
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Rayleigh Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Upper Record Values ◽  
Upper Record ◽  
Two Parameter

The maximum likelihood method is the most widely used estimation method. On the other hand, it can produce substantial bias, and an approximate confidence interval based on the maximum likelihood estimator cannot be valid when the sample size is small. Because the sizes of the record values are considerably smaller than the original sequence observed in the majority of cases, a method appropriate for this situation is required for precise inference. This paper provides the exact confidence intervals for unknown parameters and exact predictive intervals for the future upper record values by providing some pivotal quantities in the two-parameter Rayleigh distribution based on the upper record values. Finally, the validity of the proposed inference methods was examined from Monte Carlo simulations and real data.

scholarly journals Selection of Efficient Parameter Estimation Method for Two-Parameter Weibull Distribution

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Mohammed M. A. Almazah ◽  
Muhammad Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Two Parameter

Several studies have considered various scheduling methods and reliability functions to determine the optimum maintenance time. These methods and functions correspond to the lowest cost by using the maximum likelihood estimator to evaluate the model parameters. However, this paper aims to estimate the parameters of the two-parameter Weibull distribution (α, β). The maximum likelihood estimation method, modified linear exponential loss function, and Wyatt-based regression method are used for the estimation of the parameters. Minimum mean square error (MSE) criterion is used to evaluate the relative efficiency of the estimators. The comparison of the different parameter estimation methods is conducted, and the efficiency of these methods is observed, both mathematically and experimentally. The simulation study is conducted for comparison of samples sizes (10, 50, 100, 150) based on the mean square error (MSE). It is concluded that the maximum likelihood method was found to be the most efficient method for all sample sizes used in the research because it achieved the least MSE compared with other methods.

scholarly journals ESTIMATION OF THE BINARY LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL PARAMETER USING BOOTSTRAP RE-SAMPLING

2018 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 199-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. LI ◽  
J. ZHOU ◽  
L. WANG
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Parametric Bootstrap ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Bayesian Bootstrap ◽  
Non Parametric

In this paper, the non-parametric bootstrap and non-parametric Bayesian bootstrap methods are applied for parameter estimation in the binary logistic regression model. A real data study and a simulation study are conducted to compare the Nonparametric bootstrap, Non-parametric Bayesian bootstrap and the maximum likelihood methods. Study results shows that three methods are all effective ways for parameter estimation in the binary logistic regression model. In small sample case, the non-parametric Bayesian bootstrap method performs relatively better than the non-parametric bootstrap and the maximum likelihood method for parameter estimation in the binary logistic regression model.

scholarly journals Moment based Estimation for the Shape Parameters, Effect it on Some Probability Statistical Distributions Using the Moment Method and Maximum Likelihood Method

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (6) ◽  
pp. 979-986
Author(s):  
Hassan Tawakol A. Fadol
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Shape Parameter ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Simulation Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Inductive Method ◽  
Binomial Distributions ◽  
Best Estimate

The purpose of this paper was to identify the values of the parameters of the shape of the binomial, bias one and natural distributions. Using the estimation method and maximum likelihood Method, the criterion of differentiation was used to estimate the shape parameter between the probability distributions and to arrive at the best estimate of the parameter of the shape when the sample sizes are small, medium, The problem was to find the best estimate of the characteristics of the society to be estimated so that they are close to the estimated average of the mean error squares and also the effect of the estimation method on estimating the shape parameter of the distributions at the sizes of different samples In the values of the different shape parameter, the descriptive and inductive method was selected in the analysis of the data by generating 1000 random numbers of different sizes using the simulation method through the MATLAB program. A number of results were reached, 10) to estimate the small shape parameter (0.3) for binomial distributions and Poisson and natural and they can use the Poisson distribution because it is the best among the distributions, and to estimate the parameter of figure (0.5), (0.7), (0.9) Because it is better for binomial binomial distributions, when the size of a sample (70) for a teacher estimate The small figure (0.3) of the binomial and boson distributions and natural distributions can be used for normal distribution because it is the best among the distributions.

Genetic Algorithm-Based Maximum Likelihood Parameter Estimation for Transit Buses

2001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Xiao ◽  
Bohdan T. Kulakowski
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Optimization Techniques ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Parameter Estimation Method ◽  
Transit Buses ◽  
Simulation And Control ◽  
And Control

Abstract Vehicle dynamic models include parameters that qualify the dependence of input forces and moments on state and control variables. The accuracy of the model parameter estimates is important for modeling, simulation, and control. In general, the most accurate method for determining values of model parameters is by direct measurement. However, some parameters of vehicle dynamics, such as suspension damping or moments of inertia, are difficult to measure accurately. This study aims at establishing an efficient and accurate parameter estimation method for developing dynamic models for transit buses, such that this method can be easily implemented for simulation and control design purposes. Based on the analysis of robustness, as well as accuracy and efficiency of optimization techniques, a parameter estimation method that integrates Genetic Algorithms and the Maximum Likelihood Estimation is proposed. Choices of output signals and estimation criterion are discussed involving an extensive sensitivity analysis of the predicted output with respect to model parameters. Other experiment-related aspects, such as imperfection of data acquisition, are also considered. Finally, asymptotic Cramer-Rao lower bounds for the covariance of estimated parameters are obtained. Computer simulation results show that the proposed method is superior to gradient-based methods in accuracy, as well as robustness to the initial guesses and measurement uncertainty.

scholarly journals Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Three-Parameter Weibull Distribution Using Evolutionary Strategy

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fan Yang ◽  
Hu Ren ◽  
Zhili Hu
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Function ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Estimation Procedure ◽  
Evolutionary Strategy ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Conventional Algorithm

The maximum likelihood estimation is a widely used approach to the parameter estimation. However, the conventional algorithm makes the estimation procedure of three-parameter Weibull distribution difficult. Therefore, this paper proposes an evolutionary strategy to explore the good solutions based on the maximum likelihood method. The maximizing process of likelihood function is converted to an optimization problem. The evolutionary algorithm is employed to obtain the optimal parameters for the likelihood function. Examples are presented to demonstrate the proposed method. The results show that the proposed method is suitable for the parameter estimation of the three-parameter Weibull distribution.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document