Components of Political Change in Latin America
Mr. Tad Szulc, a highly perceptive and knowledgeable New York Times correspondent and certainly an “old Latin American hand” wrote very wisely: “One of the first rules a reporter needs to learn in Latin America is that he must never be swayed by reason or logic in trying to gauge future events. This precept should apply as well to the contemporary historian or to the foreign-policy maker observing the Latin American scene, who must realize that neither short- nor long-range predictions are possible and that in all wisdom none should be attempted. The scene is too crowded, the actors move too fast, propelled by visible and invisible forces of formidable magnitude.” Having uttered this warning, Mr. Szulc proceeded to violate it and make some sage observations about the “tomorrow” of Latin America.